14 research outputs found

    PERFORMANCE OF THE ACCURACY OF FORECASTING THE CONSUMER PRICE INDEX USING THE GARCH AND ANN METHODS

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    The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is the most widely used indicator of the inflation rate. Then, the value of CPI in the future must be known to be the basis of the government's making appropriate and accurate policies. The CPI data used in this study was taken from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS) from January 2006 - to December 2021. The CPI data used has a data pattern containing symptoms of heteroskedasticity. To overcome the symptoms of heteroskedasticity, the author uses the GARCH and ANN methods to determine the value of CPI in the future. The GARCH method can overcome the symptoms of heteroskedasticity in the time series forecasting process, while ANN is an effective method in time series forecasting because of its high level of accuracy. In this study, mape error calculation results were obtained with the ARIMA model (4,2,2)~GARCH(1.1) of 3.19% or with an accuracy of 96.81%, and ANN using two hidden layers of 1.24% or with an accuracy of 98.76%. Thus, the results of this study show that the ANN method is the best method of forecasting Consumer Price Index (CPI) data

    Collaboration between Universities and Governments In Realizing Quality Policies, (Evidence-Based Policy)

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    In the policy formulation process, there is a gap between universities and the government as policy makers, which causes the existence of policies that are not evidence based. Many background this gap, including the lack of validity of information from the results of tertiary research so that it is unable to increase the government's confidence to accommodate the information. On the one hand there is still strong political influence in policy formulation. lobbying system, compromise to bargaining to determine whether or not the policy is decided. Therefore, this paper aims to see the collaboration of universities and government in producing quality policies. The author uses the method of library study, which is collecting data, information, by examining research journals, books, literature and sources of reliable sources both written and digital that are relevant and relevant to this paper. The results of the study indicate that universities have not been able to meet the needs of quality policies. This much of the information from research results has not been able to open up the confidence of policy makers. as a result of the study are only small input and are more dominated by political interests. Therefore, one of the efforts that must be addressed is involving the government in the research design process, this will increase the confidence of policy makers regarding the information obtained

    ANALISIS PERSEDIAAN BAHAN BAKU UNTUK EFISIENSI PERUSAHAAN (Studi Kasus pada Toko Kue Boutique Bakery-Rafflesia Bread Mega Mall Bengkulu)

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    The Purpose of this research was to analyze the optimal inventory level of raw material wheat flour for Rafflessia Boutique Bakery Bread and level of inventory company should purchase raw materials back. This Research conducted by the authors is a qualitative descriptive study. In this study the author uses primary data, that is data obtained from the first source, either from individuals or individuals, such as interviews or questionnaires charge. The Methods used in this study is quantitative analysis. In this study, quantitative analysis of research methods used by the probabilistic approach to determine the economic order quantity and re order point. Before using the EOQ, to provide the raw material of wheat flour companies spend up Rp. 27.300.000 with purchase 3.900 kg of flour for Rp. 7.000 per kilogram, also excluded the order cost about Rp 35.000 every order. Total costs spends out by the company prior to using the EOQ method is Rp 29.085.000. But after using the EOQ, ordering only done six times a year. Total cost of post- adoption EOQ method amounting to Rp25.018.000,-. In this case company save amounting to Rp.4.067.000,-

    Analisis Pelaksanaan Program Pengelolaan Teknologi Tepat Guna (Ttg) Oleh Badan Pemberdayaan Masyarakat Dan Desa (Bapermades) Provinsi Jawa Tengah

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    This research was arranged to analyze the implementation of TTG managerial program from Bapermades of Central Java Province and the constraints that may affect the TTG's program implementation. Bapermades of Central Java province has not implement guidance and facilitation of optimal thus giving rise to problems in implementation. This research is kind of descriptive- qualitative research where the data was collected through interviews, observation, and literature study. Informants were taken by author is the head of SDA and TTG sub division, TTG's sub division staff, Posyantek officials, and representatives of community groups. The Author used the indicators of TTG's program implementation guides from Minister of Home Affairs Regulation and Central Java Governor Regulation then it compared accordingly with problems in the field. Based on the research, the results obtained that needs mapping of TTG are still in manual. Socialization, information media, IT knowledge and training are still in deficiency. Posyantek formation is still uneven and regulatory in Regents Regulation level as well as a special institution for TTG has not yet been established. The Number of human resources and budget limitation is the kind of obstacles for conducting the program. Based on the results, this study concludes that the implementation of TTG managial program have conducted in accordingly with the applicable guidelines of regulation, but it still encountered some obstacles so it can't be implemented to the fullest. The advice given by the author is this program needs to be socialized and assisted to the community,it needs to improve the information media, training and developing in the IT field as well as increasing the cooperation with various stakeholders

    Makna Lokalitas “Gereja Maria” di Paroki Administratif Mater Dei Bonoharjo

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    This study aims to discover the theological reflections contained in a work of art that is the fruit of an artist's reflection. The author intends to examine a case study of a religious statue, namely the Virgin Mary, which appears in an unusual form. This statue is located in the Mater Dei Bonoharjo Administrative Parish, Wates, Kulon Progo, D.I. Yogyakarta, in the local area. It is a work of art with theological meaning and hidden beauty. The study was further explored using a literature review method from various relevant sources. In order to obtain more accurate data, the author conducted an interview with Mr. Ismanto, a sculptor from Muntilan, Central Java. The results of the author's research state that Mary's role is not only as the Mother of Jesus, but she is also present as the Mother of the Church. Thanks to Mary's motherhood, the Church appears as a mother who nurtures the children of God. Works of art are a means of expressing the fruit of faith reflection on the encounter with God. Works of art are often viewed merely as decorations, without looking more deeply at the fact that a work of art is the result of a person's contemplation. Every time a work of art is created, there is a ‘soul’ that remains in the work of art.AbstrakPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk menemukan refleksi teologis yang terdapat pada suatu hasil karya seni yang merupakan buah refleksi seorang seniman. Penulis hendak meneliti studi kasus tentang sebuah patung religius yakni Bunda Maria yang tampil secara tidak biasa. Sebuah patung yang terdapat di Paroki Administratif Mater Dei Bonoharjo, Wates, Kulon Progo, D.I. Yogyakarta dalam lokalitas setempat. Suatu karya seni dengan segala makna teologis dan keindahan yang tersembunyi. Kajian terkait lebih diperdalam dengan metode studi pustaka dari berbagai sumber yang relevan. Supaya memperoleh data yang lebih akurat, penulis melakukan wawancara dengan Bapak Ismanto, seorang seniman pematung dari Muntilan, Jawa Tengah. Hasil penelitan yang diperoleh penulis menyatakan bahwa peranan Maria bukan saja sebagai Bunda Yesus, namun ia hadir sebagai Bunda Gereja. Berkat keibuaan Maria, Gereja tampil sebagai seorang ibu yang mengayomi anak-anak Allah. Karya seni merupakan sarana untuk mengekspresikan buah refleksi iman akan perjumpaan dengan Allah. Karya seni seringkali hanya dipandang sebagai hiasan saja, tanpa melihat secara lebih mendalam bahwa suatu karya seni ialah hasil dari permenungan seseorang. Setiap kali proses menciptakan karya seni, terdapat ‘jiwa’ yang tertinggal dalam hasil karya seni itu

    A Comparative Analysis of Appraisal between Editorial and Opinion Column Exposing Ahmadiyah Issue Published on The Jakarta Globe and The Jakarta Post Websites (A Study Based on Systemic Functional Linguistics)

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    Idha Dwi Prasetyo. 2011. A Comparative Analysis of Appraisal between Editorial and Opinion Column Exposing Ahmadiyah Issue Published on The Jakarta Globe and The Jakarta Post Websites (A Study Based on Systemic Functional Linguistics). English Department, Faculty of Letters and Fine Arts, Sebelas Maret University. This research explored the appraisal system in the editorial and opinion column exposing issue of Ahmadiyah, taken from Jakarta Globe and Jakarta Post Websites. There were four texts that were analyzed. They were four texts of editorial and opinion taken from The Jakarta Globe and Jakarta Post Websites. These texts were analyzed using Appraisal Theory. Appraisal theory is concerned with attitude, graduation, and engagement. The objectives of this thesis were to find out the atttudes applied in those texts; the influence of the attitudes toward the texts; the similarities and differences of the texts; and why they were applied, including the ideology. This was a descriptive qualitative research. The technique used in this research was total sampling since all data containing appraising items become the data of this research. There were two data in this research. The primary data was taken from the four analyzed texts and the secondary were the information of media Jakarta Globe and Jakarta Post, as well as the information of the writer taken from other news related to the Ahmadiyah news. The results show that the three kinds of attitudes (affect, jugdment, and appreciation) are applied in the texts. From the analysis, there are two kinds of attiudes applied dominantly in the texts, they are Judgement and Appreciation with positive and negative attitudes. The engagement is mostly monogloss, and the moslty graduation is force. The employment of attitudes influence the texts in term of prosody, ideology and also genre. Hortatory exposition is laid in editorial published on Jakarta Globe Website; analytical exposition is laid in editorial from Jakarta Post Website, while discussion genre is employed in opinion texts published on Jakarta Globe and Jakarta Post Website. The appraising items are applied in the texts because of the ideologies that the writer wants to convey. The ideologies are Left antagonist for editorial text from Jakarta Globe and Jakarta Post Websites and right protagonist for opinion texts from Jakarta Globe and Jakarta Post Websites. From the analysis, the ideology of the media and the writer become an important one to influence the ideology of the texts. Both of media Jakarta Globe and Jakarta Post tend to be negative in its editorials because the media wants to put its contradictory position toward the issue of violence attack and religious persecution toward Ahmadiyah. Meanwhile, opinion text is written individually. Therefore, the story or background of the writer may influence the ideology of the texts. In this case, both writers tend to give positive evaluation toward the issue of Ahmadiyah. Based on the sources, both of them really hav

    Evaluasi Efektivitas Penerapan Pengendalian Internal Terhadap Dosen dan Mahasiswa di Fakultas Ekonomika dan Bisnis Universitas Gadjah Mada

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    This research is a qualitative study. The purpose of this research is to understand about effectiveness of the rules are applied by Faculty of Economics and Business Universitas Gadjah Mada. This research focuses on the regulation of lecturers and students. In the regulation of lecturers, the author focuses on discipline of lecturers about entering the classes, ending of the lectures and fulfillment of 14 meetings. While the student regulations, the author focuses on minimum of 75% attendance and plagiarism. The result of the research, discipline of FEB UGM lecturers considered to be very discipline in term of entering the classes and ending of lectures, about the fulfillment of 14 meetings, FEB UGM lecturers are considered good enough for the discipline. While regulation about the minimum presence 75% of the students also very effective because the students obey the regulation, but in the rule of �illegal absent� as a consequence of the rule of minimum presence 75% is considered less effective. The rule of plagiarism of tasks is considered less effective, while plagiarism of thesis is considered very ineffective

    ANALISIS PENGARUH SERVICE QUALITY TERHADAP KEPUASAN DAN KESETIAAN NASABAH (Studi Kasus Bank Syariah Mandiri Cabang Pontianak)

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    Development of Islamic banks experiencing very rapid growth in Indonesia. Even at the end of 2013 popping up new Islamic banks. One of the factors that lead to increased Islamic banks are many customers who want to save money in Islamic banks. Islamic economic growth is undeniable create a positive impact for the development of Islamic banks, but in line with its development arises the question of whether the quality of Islamic banks also increased as growth. Bank as a provider would be very important to the quality of services provided to consumers so that consumers feel satisfied and loyal to the Islamic banks. By this author is interested in doing research on the quality of services provided by Islamic banks. This study was conducted in Pontianak Branch Bank Syariah Mandiri invitation number of respondents 100 bank customers. The purpose of this study was to determine whether the variables of SERVQUAL (tangibles, assurance, reliability, responsiveness, emapati) effect on customer satisfaction and loyalty Islamic banks. Testing techniques using Partial Least Square (PLS) by using application of SmartPLS version 2.0 M3. The results showed that the variables of SERVQUAL are not fully shown to affect customer satisfaction. In the variable physical evidence, assurance, reliability, and responsiveness shown to have no effect on satisfaction. While for empathy variables influencing customer satisfaction. This indicates that the variable empathy remains a priority in terms of customer service so that customers feel satisfied. However, the results of this study also showed that the influence of satisfaction on customer loyalty. Cumulatively, it can be stated that the construct of physical evidence, assurance, reliability, responsiveness and empathy are able to explain the construct of satisfaction by 78.56 percentage, the rest is explained by other constructs which are not hypothesized in the model. The results also show that the satisfaction construct is able to explain the construct of loyalty by 79.86 percentage, while the rest is explained by other constructs which are not hypothesized in the model

    An Appraisal Analysis of Gossip News Texts Written By Perez Hilton From Perezhilton.com (A Study Based on Systemic Functional Linguistics)

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    Clara Ertyas P. 2011. An Appraisal Analysis of Gossip News Texts Written By Perez Hilton From Perezhilton.com (A Study Based on Systemic Functional Linguistics).English Department, Faculty of Letters and Fine Arts, Sebelas Maret University. This research explored the appraisal system in the gossip news text written by Perez Hilton, taken from his website, perezhilton.com. There were eight texts that were analyzed. They were two texts of Katy Perry, two text of Leona Lewis, two text of Miley Cyrus, and two texts of Chris Brown, which were analyzed using Appraisal Theory. Appraisal theory is concerned with attitude, graduation, and engagement. The objectives of this thesis were to find out what appraising items applied in those texts; how they were applied; and why they were applied, including the ideology. This was a descriptive qualitative research. The technique of taking sample used in this research was total sampling. There were two data in this research, the primary data which was sourced from the eight analyzed texts, and the secondary data which was contained the information of Perez Hilton related to his writings. The results show that the three kinds of attitudes (affect, jugdment, and appreciation) are applied in the texts, but mostly is judgment. The types of the items are in the forms of word, nominal group and clause. Mostly the attitudes are in the forms of epithet group, attitudinal lexis and mental process clauses. Meanwhile, the engagement is mostly monogloss. The moslty graduation is force, and the scaling of the graduation is up- scaled. The attitudes are applied through the strong expression, and they are applied in Analytical Exposition genre. Additionally, the texts are written subjectively based on the writer’s aspiration. The appraising items are applied in the texts because of the ideologies that the writer wants to convey. The ideologies are right antagonist for texts exposing Katy Perry and Leona Lewis; and left antagonist for texts exposing Miley Cyrus and Chris Brown. The ideology shows the writer’s style in writing gossip news text that he supports the artist if he likes and conversely he challenges the artists who he does not like

    Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Sustainable Development in Southeast Asia

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    COVID-19 is spreading worldwide and has been declared by the United Nations a global pandemic. The author is curious about how ASEAN member states responded to different policies based on their domestic socioeconomic, security, and political circumstances. The crisis caused by COVID-19 has affected research in various ways, as SDGs are concerned. SDGs are ruined by complex and turbulent problems in three dimensions of sustainable development: economic, social, and environmental. This paper aims to discuss how the COVID-19 pandemic has impacted SDG\u27s achievement and investigate the role of governance for public administration in combating COVID-19 in Southeast Asia. The method used is a qualitative research method through analytical literature reviews. The pandemic has been found to severely threaten the achievement of the SDGs, while opportunities concerning selected SDGs can also be found. The results reveal that massive vaccination is needed for cooperative regional sustainable development and recovery strategies, such as the green economy. The findings provide practical guidance on policy implications to transform regional sustainability and push innovative strategies to achieve sustainable development agendas. ASEAN\u27s government policymakers have built a sustainable strategy for combating pandemics based on the epidemiology of COVID-19
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