21 research outputs found
PERAMALAN BEBAN LISTRIK JANGKA PANJANG KOTA PROBOLINGGO MENGGUNAKAN METODE LOGIKA FUZZY TSUKAMOTO
No full textPeramalan Beban Listrik Jangka Panjang Kota Probolinggo
Menggunakan Metode Logika Fuzzy Tsukamoto
Febry Ramadan
Yusuf Ismail Nakhoda
Ni Putu Agustini
[email protected]
ABSTRAK
Sejalan dengan perkembangan zaman dan kemajuan ilmu dan
teknologi, kebutuhan akan ketersediaan energi listrik kian meningkat. Energi
listrik tidak dapat disimpan dalam skala besar, sehingga energi ini harus
disediakan pada saat dibutuhkan. Berdasarkan pertumbuhan jumlah penduduk,
peningkatan pembangunan infrastruktur, pertumbuhan ekonomi dan
ketersediaan energi listrik, maka perlu dilakukan peramalan beban listrik jangka
panjang. Kota Probolinggo mempunyai banyak potensi di antaranya Industri
sebanyak 398 unit juga Pelabuhan Perikanan Pantai (PPP) Mayangan yang
tentunya membutuhkan konsumsi listrik yang sangat besar. Pada penelitian ini
peramalan beban listrik jangka panjang menggunakan metode logika fuzzy
Tsukamoto sebagai solusi peramalan. Kemampuan peramalan sangat baik jika
memiliki nilai MAPE kurang dari 10% dan mempunyai kemampuan peramalan
yang baik jika MAPE kurang dari 20%.
Data yang digunakan adalah data histori yang diambil dari GI
Probolinggo pada tahun 2011 – 2020 yang di dukung dengan jumlah
pertumbuhan penduduk dan nilai PDRB (Produk Domestik Regional Bruto)
yang nantinya akan dibagi dalam beberapa sektor.
Pada Penelitian ini penulis menggunakan fungsi keanggotaan segitiga.
Penelitian ini menghasilkan nilai rata – rata MAPE sebesar 2,4% sehingga dapat
dikatakan sangat baik.
Kata Kunci : Peramalan Beban Listrik Jangka Panjang, Logika Fuzzy
Tsukamoto, MAPE.
iii
Forecasting Of Long-Term Electricity Loads Of
Probolinggo City Using Fuzzy Logic Tsukamoto Method
Febry Ramadan
Yusuf Ismail Nakhoda
Ni Putu Agustini
[email protected]
ABSTRACT
In line with the times and advances in science and technology, the
need for electricity availability is increasing. Electrical energy cannot be stored
on a large scale, so this energy must be provided when needed. Based on
population growth, increased infrastructure development, economic growth and
availability of electricity, it is necessary to forecast long-term electricity loads.
The city of Probolinggo has a lot of potential in the Industrial sector as many as
398 units and the Mayangan Pelabuhan Perikanan Pantai (PPP) which requires
very large electricity. In this research forecasting long-term electricity load
using Tsukamoto fuzzy logic method as a forecasting solution. Forecasting
capability is very good if it has a MAPE value of less than 10% and has good
forecasting ability if MAPE is less than 20%.
The data used is historical data taken from GI Probolinggo in 2011
- 2020 which is supported by the amount of population growth and PDRB value
(Produk Domestik Regional Bruto) which will be divided into several sectors.
In this research the author uses the triangle membership function.
This study produces an average MAPE value of 2.4% so that it can be said to be
very good.
Keywords : Long Term Electricity Forecasting, Fuzzy Logic
Tsukamoto, MAPE
Analisis pengaruh konsumsi BBM bersubsidi dan harga minyak mentah dunia terhadap anggaran subsidi BBM periode 2000-2010 [Skripsi]
No full textBibliografi hal. 80-81ada CD-nya.vi, 81 hlm. : 30 cm. . -- Lamp. (8 Lembar
PENGARUH KOTORNYA PLATE PADA LOW TEMPERATURE COOLER TERHADAP DIESEL GENERATOR DENGAN METODE FAULT TREE ANALYSIS DIKAPAL MV. ARMADA PURNAMA
No full textABSTRACTION
Febry Eko Romadhon 2017 NIT: 49124570.T, "Temperature Effect of Gross Plate Cooler ON Low Against Diesel Generator for Google Pages Tree Analysis Method Error In MV. Fleet Purnama". Thesis Program Teknika. Diploma Program IV, Shipping Imu Polytechnic Semarang, Supervisor I: H. Suwondo, M.M., M.Mar.E And Supervisor II :. Captain Budi Mantoro, M.Si, M.Mar .
The refrigeration system in MV. Purnama Fleet used to support the review and the smooth operation onboard auxiliary machinery. Searching google pages above their diesel engines ship generator can be to support the electricity system and the smooth nets shipping. Article search google for reviews on fluency on provisions cooling system required regular temperatures between 710C and 600C up for review if temperatures exceeding conditions on can be made the diesel engine generator problems caused by dirty plate yan in between cold low temperature 770C up to 820C. The author formulates issue with searching factors from the dirty on low temperature cold plate, Impact of gross on low temperature cold plate, and the efforts taken to review its gross overcoming on low temperature cold plate. The author summarizes the problems and try solving the problem with fault tree analysis method using namely to make tree method error as the cause of the problem seekers, and also coupled with interview, observation and literature study.
Based on the findings of research carried out in MV . Fleet Purnama with using method of fault tree analysis can be concluded that the factors what can be affecting the work plat on low temperature against cold diesel engine plant is a decrease in capacity of air cooling sea low temperature cold, matter on dishes, change Pressure sea water sign and out , gas diesel engine generator discard on high, changes in air temperature cooling sea air flushing. These factors are secondary event can still be traced again its cause.
Impact of gross on low temperature cold plate will cause a rise in gas discard on diesel engine generators, diesel engine generators heat, round diesel engine plant down-operate automatic. As well as the expansion of materials exposed due to excessive heat. For a review keeping the temperature differences at optimal cooling systems namely perform on care components of the refrigeration system operates routinely accordance with intruction manuals.
Keywords: Flue Gas, Diesel Generator, Fault Tree Analysis
Penilaian Supplier Relationship Management Maturity Level: Studi Kasus PT PJB Unit Pembangkitan Gresik
No full textSupply chain management memegang peran penting dalam mendukung kinerja sebuah perusahaan termasuk perusahaan dalam industri pembangkitan listrik. Hubungan dengan supplier sebagai salah stakeholder dalam proses bisnis supply chain management perlu dikelola dengan baik dan efektif dalam program Supplier Relationship Management (SRM) agar memberikan benefit bagi perusahaan. Program SRM dilaksanakan dalam beberapa aktivitas, yaitu Supplier Segmentation, SRM Governance, Supplier Performance Management, Supplier Development, dan Risk Management. Penelitian ini penting untuk dilakukan karena diindikasikan implementasi yang berjalan tidak efektif bisa menurunkan kinerja supplier, salah satunya terkait ketepatan waktu pengiriman material. Beberapa penelitian dilakukan dengan tema besar SRM dengan berbagai sudut pandang dan fokus, diantaranya penyusunan arsitektur sistem informasi sebagai tujuan akhir penelitian, nilai yang ingin dicapai perusahaan melalui implementasi SRM, dan segmentasi berdasarkan indeks proses kapabilitas. Penelitian SRM ini dilakukan dengan metode kualitatif dan kuantitatif dengan cara menyusun instrumen dan memperoleh data level implementasi SRM berdasarkan instrumen pengukuran implementasi yang disusun oleh peneliti berdasarkan literatur review dan divalidasi oleh expert. Penelitian ini bertujuan mengevaluasi efektivitas implementasi program SRM, untuk kemudian dijadikan dasar dalam perumusan program SRM untuk direkomendasikan pada perusahaan pembangkitan listrik. Pengukuran implementasi menunjukkan Supplier Selection and Segmentation dan Risk Management memiliki hasil yang terendah, sehingga perlu dikembangkan. Dengan rumusan program SRM yang direkomendasikan program SRM bisa memperlancar dan membuat proses yang lebih efektif antara perusahaan dan suppliernya. Sehingga dapat meningkatkan kualitas dan kinerja perusahaan melalui hubungan yang kolaboratif konstruktif dengan supplier.
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Supply chain management plays an important role in supporting the performance of a company, including companies in the power generation industry. Relationships with suppliers as one of the stakeholders in the supply chain management business process need to be managed properly and effectively in the Supplier Relationship Management (SRM) program in order to provide benefits for the company. The SRM program is implemented in several activities, namely Supplier Segmentation, SRM Governance, Supplier Performance Management, Supplier Development, and Risk Management. This research is important to do because it is indicated that ineffective implementation can reduce supplier performance, one of which is related to the timeliness of material delivery Several studies were conducted with the big theme of SRM with various perspectives and focuses, including the preparation of information system architecture as the ultimate research goal, the value the company wants to achieve through SRM implementation, and segmentation based on the process capability index. This SRM research was conducted using a qualitative and quantitaive method by compiling instrument and obtaining SRM implementation level data based on implementation measurement instruments compiled by researcher based on literature review and validated by experts. This study aims to evaluate the effectiveness of the implementation of the SRM program, to then be used as the basis for the formulation of the SRM program to be recommended to power generation companies. Implementation measurement shows that Supplier Selection and Segmentation and Risk Management have the lowest results, so they need to be developed. With the formulation of the recommended SRM program, the SRM program can facilitate and make the process more effective between the company and its suppliers. So that it can improve the quality and performance of the company through constructive collaborative relationships with suppliers
Inventory Control dan perencanaan persediaan bahan baku produksi menggunakan metode EOQ (Economic Order Quantity) Pada Sate Tukri Sobikun Ponorogo (Studi Pada Sate Tukri Sobikun Ponorogo)
No full textTulisan ini meneliti tentang pengendalian persediaan bahan baku dengan menggunakan metode economic order quantity (EOQ). Secara khusus penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui besarnya pembelian yang optimal, berapa banyak frekuensi pembelian, berapa besarnya safety stock dan kapan waktu yang tepat perusahaan melakukan pemesanan kembali (re-order point).
Obyek penelitian ini adalah Sate Ayam H Tukri Sobiqun. Perusahaan tersebut adalah perusahaan industry yang sudah pasti membutuhkan bahan baku untuk kelangsungan hidup perusahaan. Oleh karena itu, dibuatlah penelitian yang bertujuan untuk menganalisis besarnya pembelian yang optimal, berapa banyak frekuensi pembelian, berapa besarnya safety stock dan kapan waktu yang tepat perusahaan melakukan pemesanan kembali (re-order point). Karena penelitian ini adalah penelitian terapan yang ditujukan untuk satu perusahaan, maka untuk populasinya adalah Sate Ayam H Tukri Sobiqun sedangkan untuk sampelnya adalah keseluruhan kasus persediaan dan penggunaan bahan baku di perusahaan tersebut.
Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa terbukti jika menggunakan metode economic order quantity (EOQ) perusahaan akan mengalami efisiensi dibandingkan dengan kebijakan perusahaan yang mengalami pemborosan biaya-biaya.
Kata kunci: EOQ, Frekuensi Pembelian, Safety Stock, Re-order poin
Prediction of vapor-liquid equilibria for the alcohol + glycerol systems using UNIFAC and modified UNIFAC (Dortmund)
No full textTINJAUAN YURIDIS TERHADAP PENOLAKAN PERMOHONAN PAILIT YANG DIAJUKAN OLEH OJK TERKAIT PUTUSAN HAKIM DALAM PERKARA Nomor : 04/PDT-SUS-PAILIT/2015/PN.NIAGA.JKT.PST.Jo No27Pdt.Sus.PKPU/2015/PN.NIAGA.Jkt.Pst.
No full textThis legal research entitled “Judicial Review Against Refusal on Bankruptcy Decision Submitted By The Financial Service Authority Related To Judges Verdict On Case Number 04/Pdt-Sus Pailit/2015/Pn.Niaga.Jkt.Pst. Jo. Number 27/Pdt.Sus.Pkpu/2015/Pn.Niaga.Jkt.Pst”. PT. Asuransi Bumi Asih Jaya is an insurance company which lawsuit for bankruptcy by The Financial Service Authority related to insurance claim payment dispute. This suit proves there is a distrust between client, The Financial Service Authority, and insurance company. This legal research using normative legal method. Normative legal method focusing on positive law in the form of legislation. Normative legal method also using secondary data. After done some research, author reach a conclusion that judges verdict on case Number 04/Pdt-Sus-Pailit/2015/Pn.Niaga.Jkt.Pst. Jo. Number 27/Pdt.Sus.Pkpu/2015/Pn.Niaga.Jkt.Pst are not suitable with the legislations and author suggested that judges especially judges on commercial court could interpret a legislation deeper so it will not causing problems in future
A STUDY OF REINFORCED CONCRETE COLUMN STRUCTURE TO COMPARE OF STEEL COLUMN STRUCTURE (CASE STUDY ON INDONESIA EDUCATION MUSEUM BUILDING YOGYAKARTA STATE UNIVERSITY)
No full textIndonesia education museum building which consists of two floors has a
unique architectural style and in the earthquake zone 3, its design is using a system of
intermediate moment frame bearers (SRPMM) to carry the gravity and seismic loads.
The frame of the building is quite unique, so the author is interested in reviewing of
the structure. In this study is limited on reviewing the structures of the frame and the
aims of the study: (1) Expenses of gravity and seismic loads, (2) Analyzing the
strength and ductility of columns, and (3) Comparison the use of reinforced concrete
columns and steel columns.
The design of the frame was using the 3D and analysis assuming the
dimensions of each frame in according to the real building ground. The author used
Etabs version 7.10 for earthquake load analysis based on SNI 03-1726-2002 the code
of earthquake resistant building standards of assigning, analysis of concrete structures
based on SNI 03-2847-2002 about regulation procedures for reinforced concrete
structures, and SNI 03-1729-2002 about steel structure design procedures for
structural design of steel columns.
Based on engineering drawing, obtained K1 column uses 400 mm x 400 mm
using 8D16 for the longitudinal reinforcement, shear reinforcement P10-100 on the
pedestal and P10-150 on the middle of the space area. K2 column uses 400 mm x 400
mm using 6D16 for the longitudinal reinforcement, shear reinforcement P10-100 on
the pedestal and P10-150 on the middle of the space area. From the results shows of
data analysis to K1 column uses 400 mm x 400 mm using 8D16 for the longitudinal
reinforcement, shear reinforcement P10-120 on the pedestal and P10-200 on the
middle of the space area. K2 column uses 400 mm x 400 mm using 6D16 for the
longitudinal reinforcement and shear reinforcement P10-120 on the pedestal and P10-
200 on the middle of the space area. For the design of steel columns was taken from
the Mnb as Mr for column interaction diagram (MN) on its balance point. It was
obtained I-profile steel 350mm x 350mm x 10mm x 16mm for the whole portal
columns. Employment cost of reinforced concrete column total is Rp. 56,038,214.36
while total cost of the work of steel columns is Rp. 130,938,080.00.
Key words: study columns, concrete, and steel
Pengaruh Likuiditas Terhadap Kinerja Keuangan, dengan Leverage sebagai Variabel Intervening pada Perusahaan Manufaktur yang Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia
No full textThis study aims to analyze the effect of liquidity on the financial
performance with leverage as intervening variables in the manufacturing
companies listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange.
This type of research data used in this study is the ratio of secondary data
from company financial statements 2011 to 2013. Number of population of 130
firms. Study sample as many as 35 companies. The variables used in the research
are current ratio, leverage ratio, the ratio of financial performance in this case the
profitability ratios. The author uses statistical analysis of the assumptions of
classical test and path analysis to test and explain the liquidity effect on financial
performance with leverage as an intervening variable.
The results showed that (1) liquidity proxyed with Current Ratio was
positif not significant effects to financial performance proxyed with Return On
Assets (ROA), (2) liquidity proxyed with Current Ratio was no direct effect to
financial performance proxyed with Return On Assets (ROA) to leverage proxyed
with Debt To Asset Ratio (DAR) as an intervening variable84 HalamanSkripsi Sarjan
PROGRAM STUDI SISTEM INFORMASI FAKULTAS TEKNIK UNIVERSITAS WIDYATAMA BANDUNG 2012
No full textABSTRACT
Go_Gaming is a re-seller who is engaged in sales of PC games and started running since September 2011. At the beginning of starting this business using Kaskus go_gaming and Twitter as a medium for selling and promoting merchandise, not just buy even consumers can order a game that does not exist in the list. If the game is there then the game would be sold to consumers who order them and put into the game list. Gradually go_gaming feel you need a web-based applications for more control over the data even better and also more practical, so the business can run much more smoothly. To the authors had the idea to make an application online sales and bookings using php programming language and as an author using macromedia dreamweaver toolnya 8, whereas for editing images using paint, fireworks 8 or also with adobe photoshop. Then to see the author using mozilla firefox browser, but firefox can also use another browser. To run the application must also not forget in install xampp which serves as a device that combines three applications into one package, namely Apache, MySQL and PHPMyAdmin. These applications have a menu content is easily accessible and understood by consumers and there are categories for products, so consumers can search for games according to the desired category. Not only that, but there is also a best seller products.
Key words: application, game, salesABSTRAK
Go_Gaming adalah sebuah re-seller yang bergerak dibidang penjualan pc game dan mulai berjalan sejak bulan September 2011. Pada awal memulai bisnis ini go_gaming menggunakan Kaskus dan Twitter sebagai media untuk menjual dan mempromosikan dagangannya, tidak hanya membeli bahkan konsumen dapat memesan game yang tidak ada didalam daftar. Apabila game tersebut ada maka game itu pun akan dijual kepada konsumen yang memesannya dan memasukkan kedalam daftar game. Lambat laun go_gaming merasa membutuhkan sebuah aplikasi yang berbasis web untuk lebih bisa mengontrol data lebih baik lagi dan juga lebih praktis, sehingga bisnisnya dapat berjalan lebih lancar lagi. Untuk itu penulis mempunyai ide membuat sebuah aplikasi penjualan dan pemesanan secara online yang menggunakan bahasa pemrograman php dan sebagai toolnya penulis menggunakan macromedia dreamweaver 8, sedangkan untuk mengedit gambar menggunakan paint, fireworks 8 atau juga bisa dengan adobe photoshop. Lalu untuk melihat hasil penulis menggunakan browser mozila firefox, selain firefox bisa juga menggunakan browser yang lainnya. Untuk menjalankan aplikasi tidak lupa juga harus di instal xampp yang berfungsi sebagai perangkat yang menggabungkan tiga aplikasi ke dalam satu paket, yaitu Apache, MySQL dan PHPMyAdmin. Aplikasi ini terdapat konten-konten menu yang mudah diakses dan dimengerti oleh konsumen dan terdapat kategori-kategori untuk produk, sehingga konsumen dapat mencari game sesuai dengan kategori yang diinginkan. Bukan hanya itu, tapi juga terdapat produk-produk best seller.
Kata kunci : aplikasi, game, penjuala
