427 research outputs found

    Multimorbidity pattern and risk of dementia in later life: an 11-year follow-up study using a large community cohort and linked electronic health records

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    Background: Several long-term chronic illnesses are known to be associated with an increased risk of dementia independently, but little is known how combinations or clusters of potentially interacting chronic conditions may influence the risk of developing dementia. Methods: 447 888 dementia-free participants of the UK Biobank cohort at baseline (2006-2010) were followed-up until 31 May 2020 with a median follow-up duration of 11.3 years to identify incident cases of dementia. Latent class analysis (LCA) was used to identify multimorbidity patterns at baseline and covariate adjusted Cox regression was used to investigate their predictive effects on the risk of developing dementia. Potential effect moderations by C reactive protein (CRP) and Apolipoprotein E (APOE) genotype were assessed via statistical interaction. Results: LCA identified four multimorbidity clusters representing Mental health, Cardiometabolic, Inflammatory/autoimmune and Cancer-related pathophysiology, respectively. Estimated HRs suggest that multimorbidity clusters dominated by Mental health (HR=2.12, p<0.001, 95% CI 1.88 to 2.39) and Cardiometabolic conditions (2.02, p<0.001, 1.87 to 2.19) have the highest risk of developing dementia. Risk level for the Inflammatory/autoimmune cluster was intermediate (1.56, p<0.001, 1.37 to 1.78) and that for the Cancer cluster was least pronounced (1.36, p<0.001, 1.17 to 1.57). Contrary to expectation, neither CRP nor APOE genotype was found to moderate the effects of multimorbidity clusters on the risk of dementia. Conclusions: Early identification of older adults at higher risk of accumulating multimorbidity of specific pathophysiology and tailored interventions to prevent or delay the onset of such multimorbidity may help prevention of dementia

    Chaos in 1D radiative edge Plasmas

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    Bifurcation and chaos in radiative edge plasmas are investigated on the basis of a periodically driven reaction- diffusion equation which results from the time dependent 1d heat conduction equation including a given periodically time- modulated impurity density. The temporal problem shows the transition to chaos through the Feigenbaum route. In Id and time dependent, plasmas Hopf bifurcation and intermittency phenomena exist. The application to a carbon seeded plasma shows the existence of different oscillation regimes

    Cost effectiveness of community-based therapeutic care for children with severe acute malnutrition in Zambia: decision tree model

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    Background: Children aged under five years with severe acute malnutrition (SAM) in Africa and Asia have high mortality rates without effective treatment. Primary care-based treatment of SAM can have good outcomes but its cost effectiveness is largely unknown. Method: This study estimated the cost effectiveness of community-based therapeutic care (CTC) for children with severe acute malnutrition in government primary health care centres in Lusaka, Zambia, compared to no care. A decision tree model compared the costs (in year 2008 international dollars) and outcomes of CTC to a hypothetical 'do-nothing' alternative. The primary outcomes were mortality within one year, and disability adjusted life years (DALYs) after surviving one year. Outcomes and health service costs of CTC were obtained from the CTC programme, local health services and World Health Organization (WHO) estimates of unit costs. Outcomes of doing nothing were estimated from published African cohort studies. Probabilistic and deterministic sensitivity analyses were done. Results: The mean cost of CTC per child was 203(95203 (95% confidence interval (CI) 139–274),ofwhichreadytousetherapeuticfood(RUTF)cost36274), of which ready to use therapeutic food (RUTF) cost 36%, health centre visits cost 13%, hospital admissions cost 17% and technical support while establishing the programme cost 34%. Expected death rates within one year of presentation were 9.2% with CTC and 20.8% with no treatment (risk difference 11.5% (95% CI 0.4–23.0%). CTC cost 1760 (95% CI 592592–10142) per life saved and 53(95 53 (95% CI 18–306)perDALYgained.CTCwasatleast80306) per DALY gained. CTC was at least 80% likely to be cost effective if society was willing to pay at least 88 per DALY gained. Analyses were most sensitive to assumptions about mortality rates with no treatment, weeks of CTC per child and costs of purchasing RUTF. Conclusion: CTC is relatively cost effective compared to other priority health care interventions in developing countries, for a wide range of assumptions

    Non-communicable diseases in public sector primary care clinics in South Africa: multimorbidity, control, treatment, socioeconomic associations, and evaluation of educational outreach with a clinical management tool

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    This thesis uses experience gained from a large implementation trial in two rural districts of the Western Cape, South Africa, to address the needs of patients with non-communicable diseases (NCDs) and depression, and to identify solutions to those needs. The Primary Care 101 intervention supports and expands nurses' role in integrated care, in particular for NCDs. It comprises a comprehensive clinical management tool implemented in primary care services using educational outreach training. It was evaluated using a pragmatic cluster randomised controlled trial: 38 clinics in the Eden and Overberg districts of the Western Cape were randomised to receive the intervention or to continue with usual care. 4393 Patients were enrolled and four cohorts identified: hypertension, diabetes, chronic respiratory disease and depression. Patients were re-interviewed once, 14 months later. Primary outcomes for the trial were treatment intensification for the hypertension, diabetes and chronic respiratory disease cohorts, and case detection for the depression cohort. Multimorbidity, NCD care and their socioeconomic associations were assessed on the whole trial cohort (combining intervention and control arms) at baseline and follow-up. The results are presented in published papers. Baseline data revealed considerable multimorbidity and unmet treatment needs (Paper 1). Socioeconomic indicators such as education, and modifiable clinic-level factors such as adequate staffing and communitybased chronic medication collection services were associated with blood pressure control (Paper 2) and depression management (Paper 3). The intervention was shown to be feasible and safe but none of the four primary outcomes showed significant improvement (Paper 4). The thesis addresses the public health challenge of providing integrated chronic disease primary care in South Africa by: • Providing original evidence for high levels of NCD multimorbidity and unmet treatment needs. • Identifying modifiable factors that could improve care for these diseases. • Providing new evidence from South Africa to support the bidirectional relationship between poverty and depression. • Reporting evidence of the effectiveness of a novel intervention aimed at improving NCD care. The findings point to the need for improved strategies for NCD care, including equipping primary health care providers to manage the complexities of multimorbidity

    Progression of diabetes retinal status within community screening programs and potential implications for screening intervals

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    OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to follow the natural progression of retinal changes in patients with diabetes. Such information should inform decisions with regard to the screening intervals for such patients.RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: An observational study was undertaken linking the data from seven diabetes retinal screening programs across the U.K. for retinal grading results between 2005 and 2012. Patients with absent or background retinopathy were followed up for progression to the end points referable retinopathy and treatable retinopathy (proliferative retinopathy).RESULTS: In total 354,549 patients were observed for up to 4 years during which 16,196 patients progressed to referable retinopathy. Of patients with no retinopathy in either eye for two successive screening episodes at least 12 months apart, the conditions of between 0.3% (95% CI 0.3-0.8%) and 1.3% (1.0-1.6%) of patients progressed to referable retinopathy, and rates of treatable eye disease were &lt;0.3% at 2 years. The corresponding progression rates for patients with bilateral background retinopathy in successive screening episodes were 13-29% and up to 4%, respectively, in the different programs.CONCLUSIONS: It may be possible to stratify patients for risk, according to baseline retinal criteria, into groups with low and high risk of their conditions progressing to proliferative retinopathy. Screening intervals for such diverse groups of patients could safely be modified according to their risk.</p

    A Perisynaptic Ménage à Trois between Dlg, DLin-7, and Metro Controls Proper Organization of Drosophila Synaptic Junctions

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    Structural plasticity of synaptic junctions is a prerequisite to achieve and modulate connectivity within nervous systems, e.g., during learning and memory formation. It demands adequate backup systems that allow remodeling while retaining sufficient stability to prevent unwanted synaptic disintegration. The strength of submembranous scaffold complexes, which are fundamental to the architecture of synaptic junctions, likely constitutes a crucial determinant of synaptic stability. Postsynaptic density protein-95 (PSD-95)/ Discs-large (Dlg)-like membrane-associated guanylate kinases (DLG-MAGUKs) are principal scaffold proteins at both vertebrate and invertebrate synapses. At Drosophila larval glutamatergic neuromuscular junctions (NMJs) DlgA and DlgS97 exert pleiotropic functions, probably reflecting a few known and a number of yet-unknown binding partners. In this study we have identified Metro, a novel p55/MPP-like Drosophila MAGUK as a major binding partner of perisynaptic DlgS97 at larval NMJs. Based on homotypic LIN-2,-7 (L27) domain interactions, Metro stabilizes junctional DlgS97 in a complex with the highly conserved adaptor protein DLin-7. In a remarkably interdependent manner, Metro and DLin-7 act downstream of DlgS97 to control NMJ expansion and proper establishment of synaptic boutons. Using quantitative 3D-imaging we further demonstrate that the complex controls the size of postsynaptic glutamate receptor fields. Our findings accentuate the importance of perisynaptic scaffold complexes for synaptic stabilization and organization.This work was supported by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG-Sonderforschungsbereich 854), the Leibniz Gemeinschaft (WGL-Pakt f ¨ur Forschung und Innovation), and a Max Planck award from the Alexander von Humboldt Foundation and the Max Planck Society to E.D.G. R.J.K. is supported by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft Emmy-Noether Program

    Observations of Bºs→ψ(2S)η and Bº(s)→ψ(2S)π+π- decays

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    First observations of the B0s →ψ(2S)η, B0 →ψ(2S)π + π − and B0s →ψ(2S)π + π − decays are made using a dataset corresponding to an integrated luminosity of 1.0 fb−1 collected by the LHCb experiment in proton–proton collisions at a centre-of-mass energy of √ s = 7 TeV. The ratios of the branching fractions of each of the ψ(2S) modes with respect to the corresponding J/ψ decays are B(B0s →ψ(2S)η) ÷ B(B0s →J/ψη) = 0.83± 0.14 (stat)±0.12 (syst) ±0.02 (B), ; B(B0→ψ(2S)π + π − ) ÷ B(B0→J/ψπ + π − ) = 0.56± 0.07 (stat)±0.05 (syst)± 0.01 (B), ; B(B0s →ψ(2S)π + π − ) ÷ B(B0s →J/ψπ + π − ) = 0.34± 0.04 (stat)±0.03 (syst)± 0.01 (B), where the third uncertainty corresponds to the uncertainties of the dilepton branching fractions of the J/ψ and ψ(2S) meson decays

    Measurement of the polarization amplitudes and triple product asymmetries in the B0s → Φ Φ decay

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    &lt;p&gt;Using 1.0 fb−1 of pp collision data collected at a centre-of-mass energy of s√=7 TeV with the LHCb detector, measurements of the polarization amplitudes, strong phase difference and triple product asymmetries in the B0s→ϕϕ decay mode are presented. The measured values are&lt;/p&gt; &lt;p&gt;|A0|2=0.365±0.022(stat)±0.012(syst),|A⊥|2=0.291±0.024(stat)±0.010(syst),cos(δ∥)=−0.844±0.068(stat)±0.029(syst),AU=−0.055±0.036(stat)±0.018(syst),AV=0.010±0.036(stat)±0.018(syst).&lt;/p&gt

    O teorema adiabático para sistemas quânticos de muitos corpos

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    The original formulation of the Adiabatic Theorem for quantum mechanics was made in 1928 by physicist and mathematician Max Born and physicist Valdimir Fock. Physically, we can understand this theorem this way: if a quantum system undergoes sufficiently slow perturbations, then, over time, the configuration of the system remains close to the instantaneous fixed point of the perturbation. The main objective of this dissertation is to present the formulation and proof of the adiabatic theorem for extended quantum systems, proven by mathematical physicists Sven Bachmann, Wojciech De Roeck and Martin FraasA formulação original do Teorema Adiabático para a mecânica quântica foi feita em 1928 pelo físico e matemático Max Born e pelo físico Valdimir Fock. Fisicamente, podemos entender esse teorema da seguinte maneira: se um sistema quântico sofre pertubações suficientemente lentas, então, ao longo do tempo, a configuração do sistema se mantém próxima do ponto fixo instantâneo da pertubação. O objetivo principal desta dissertação é apresentar a formulação e demonstração do teorema adiabático para sistemas quânticos de muitos corpos, provado pelos físicos matemáticos Sven Bachmann, Wojciech De Roeck e Martin Fraas.CAPES - Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superio
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