9 research outputs found
Spatial disparities of antenatal care utilization among pregnant women in sub-Saharan Africa-Bayesian geo-additive modelling approach
No full textAbstract
Background:
Antenatal care (ANC) is critical for ensuring healthy pregnancies and positive birth outcomes. Despite its importance, significant disparities in ANC access and utilization exist across sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), influenced by various socioeconomic, geographical, and systemic factors. This study aimed to analyze the spatial disparities in the proportion of recommended ANC utilization and its associated risk factors among pregnant women in 34 sub-Saharan African countries.
Method:
This study utilized the most recent Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) data from 34 countries across the SSA region. To assess the spatial disparities and their associated risk factors of ANC utilization, a geo-additive model via the Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation (INLA) was adopted.
Result:
The overall prevalence of recommended ANC utilization in SSA was 22.15%, with a significant difference between countries, ranging from 0.27% in Rwanda to 76.28% in Zimbabwe. Both Moran’s I and Geary’s C tests, with different neighborhood structures, evidenced the existence of spatial autocorrelation of ANC utilization among women in SSA countries. A Bayesian geo-additive model with Besag-York-Mollié (BYM) mixed effect was found to be the best model to assess the spatial dependencies and the non-linear effects of the factors on ANC utilization among women of reproductive age. The study showed that the existence of spatial disparities in ANC utilization and media exposure, as well as the mother’s work status, partner’s working status, age of mother, age at first cohabitation, and place of delivery, has a significant effect on ANC utilization.
Conclusion:
The overall coverage of recommended ANC in SSA countries falls short of the global minimum recommended ANC utilization. The lower coverage and inequality of ANC utilizations are influenced by underutilization of healthcare services, economic status, women’s education coverage, poor/absence of transportation facilities, and media exposure related to healthy reproduction. Empowering women through different media outlets, strengthening their economic power, easy access to health facilities, and decision-making power increases maternal healthcare service utilization.Abstract
Background:
Antenatal care (ANC) is critical for ensuring healthy pregnancies and positive birth outcomes. Despite its importance, significant disparities in ANC access and utilization exist across sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), influenced by various socioeconomic, geographical, and systemic factors. This study aimed to analyze the spatial disparities in the proportion of recommended ANC utilization and its associated risk factors among pregnant women in 34 sub-Saharan African countries.
Method:
This study utilized the most recent Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) data from 34 countries across the SSA region. To assess the spatial disparities and their associated risk factors of ANC utilization, a geo-additive model via the Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation (INLA) was adopted.
Result:
The overall prevalence of recommended ANC utilization in SSA was 22.15%, with a significant difference between countries, ranging from 0.27% in Rwanda to 76.28% in Zimbabwe. Both Moran’s I and Geary’s C tests, with different neighborhood structures, evidenced the existence of spatial autocorrelation of ANC utilization among women in SSA countries. A Bayesian geo-additive model with Besag-York-Mollié (BYM) mixed effect was found to be the best model to assess the spatial dependencies and the non-linear effects of the factors on ANC utilization among women of reproductive age. The study showed that the existence of spatial disparities in ANC utilization and media exposure, as well as the mother’s work status, partner’s working status, age of mother, age at first cohabitation, and place of delivery, has a significant effect on ANC utilization.
Conclusion:
The overall coverage of recommended ANC in SSA countries falls short of the global minimum recommended ANC utilization. The lower coverage and inequality of ANC utilizations are influenced by underutilization of healthcare services, economic status, women’s education coverage, poor/absence of transportation facilities, and media exposure related to healthy reproduction. Empowering women through different media outlets, strengthening their economic power, easy access to health facilities, and decision-making power increases maternal healthcare service utilization
Prevalence of diarrhea and its associated factors among children under five years in Awi Zone, Northwest Ethiopia
No full textAbstract Background Globally, diarrhea continues to be the leading cause of morbidity and mortality for children under five, with an annual rate of 149 million cases of illness and 760,000 deaths. This study aimed to assess prevalence and contributing factors of diarrhea among children under-five years in Awi Zone, Northwest Ethiopia. Methods A community based cross-sectional study was conducted on 1387 participants from February to June 2023. A multistage sampling method was conducted. Structured and pretested questionnaires were used to collect the data. Data were entered in to Epi data and exported to STATA for analysis. A multivariable logistic regression was performed to determine factors associated with diarrhea with p-value < 0.05. Results The prevalence of diarrheal disease among children under five was 17.16%. Child’s age 12 to 23 months [AOR = 16.642; 95% CI: (3.119, 88.805)], protected drinking water [AOR: 0.629; 95% CI: (0.840, 0.928)], health insurance [AOR = 0.571;95% CI: (0.386, 0.844)], institutional delivery [AOR = 0.426, 95% CI: (0.256, 0.707)], water shortage [AOR = 1.570, 95% CI: (1.083, 2.277)], and vaccinated for measles [AOR = 0.124, 95% CI: (0.065, 0.236)] were associated with diarrhea. Conclusion Age of children, source of drinking water, health insurance, place of delivery, family size, water shortage, liquid waste disposal, and measles vaccination were significantly associated with diarrhea among under five children. Interventions targeting improvements in drinking water sources, health insurance coverage, sanitation practices, and vaccination rates are crucial for mitigating the impact of diarrheal disease among children under five years in Awi Zone
Multilevel Analysis of Community Acquired Pneumonia Among 2‐59 Months Old Children in Awi Zone, Northwest Ethiopia: A Community‐Based Cross‐Sectional Study
No full textABSTRACT Background and Aims Worldwide, pneumonia was responsible for about 740,180 deaths in children under 5 year, accounting for 14% of all deaths in 2019. The purpose of this study was to identify associated risk factors of community acquired pneumonia among 2–59 months old children in Awi Zone, Northwest Ethiopia. Methods A community‐based cross‐sectional study was conducted from March to July 2023, using a multistage sampling method to select 1368 participants. Data were collected using a structured questionnaire. Multilevel analysis was used to identify factors associated with community‐acquired pneumonia. Variables with p‐value < 0.05 were considered as statistically significant. Results The prevalence of community acquired pneumonia among 2‐59 months old was 11.33%. Primary education (AOR = 0.34; 95% CI: 0.12, 0.95), stunting (AOR = 6.12; 95% CI: 2.41, 15.51), having diarrhea (AOR = 5.04; 95% CI: 2.41, 10.55), history of acute lower respiratory tract infection (AOR = 20.84; 95% CI: 3.95, 109.83), use of charcoal as fuel source (AOR = 130.56, 95% CI: 5.94, 2869.18), carrying of a child on mother during cooking (AOR = 2.27, 95% CI: 1.10, 4.69), and presence of separate kitchen (AOR = 0.38; 95% CI: 0.19, 0.74) were associated with community acquired pneumonia. Conclusion Mother education, age of child, stunting, presence of separate kitchen, previous respiratory tract infection, use of charcoal for fuel source, carrying of a child on mother during cooking, and history of diarrhea showed a significant association with community acquired pneumonia. Therefore, we recommend adequate health education on nutrition, diarrhea prevention and treatment, and reducing indoor air pollution to reduce the risk of community‐acquired pneumonia
Determinants of community-acquired pneumonia among under-five children in Awi Zone, Northwest Ethiopia
No full textBackgroundGlobally, community-acquired pneumonia is the leading cause of death in under-five children, accounting for 7.6 million deaths. Among these deaths, approximately 99% occur in low and middle-income countries. The present study aimed to assess the magnitude of community-acquired pneumonia and its associated factors among under-five children in Awi Zone.MethodsA community cross-sectional study was conducted on 1,368 participants from March to July 2023. A multistage sampling method was used. Data were entered into Epi-Data and exported to STATA for analysis. Bivariable and multivariable logistic regressions were used. Variables with a p-value of < 0.05 were considered statistically significant.ResultsThe percentage of community-acquired pneumonia among under-five children was 11.33% (95% CI: 9.75–13.12%). Primary education [AOR = 0.38; 95% CI:0.15, 0.95], stunting [AOR = 4.80; 95% CI: 2.31, 9.94], diarrhea [AOR = 3.75; 95% CI: 1.96, 7.18], acute lower respiratory tract infection [AOR = 14.57, 95% CI: 3.18, 66.78], acute upper respiratory tract infection [AOR = 9.06; 95% CI: 2.03, 40.42], and presence of separate kitchen [AOR = 0.38, 95% CI: 0.20, 0.72] were associated with community-acquired pneumonia.ConclusionIn this study, the percentage of community-acquired pneumonia was relatively high. Hence, we recommend adequate health education in areas such as nutritional intervention, the prevention and early treatment of diarrhea and acute respiratory tract infections (ARTI), and preventing indoor air pollution to reduce the risk of community-acquired pneumonia
Author Correction: Mapping local patterns of childhood overweight and wasting in low- and middle-income countries between 2000 and 2017
No full textAuthor Correction: Mapping local patterns of childhood overweight and wasting in low- and middle-income countries between 2000 and 2017 (Nature Medicine, (2020), 26, 5, (750-759), 10.1038/s41591-020-0807-6)
No full textAn amendment to this paper has been published and can be accessed via a link at the top of the paper
Global, regional, and national mortality among young people aged 10-24 years, 1950-2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
No full textBackground Documentation of patterns and long-term trends in mortality in young people, which reflect huge changes in demographic and social determinants of adolescent health, enables identification of global investment priorities for this age group. We aimed to analyse data on the number of deaths, years of life lost, and mortality rates by sex and age group in people aged 10-24 years in 204 countries and territories from 1950 to 2019 by use of estimates from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019.
Methods We report trends in estimated total numbers of deaths and mortality rate per 100 000 population in young people aged 10-24 years by age group (10-14 years, 15-19 years, and 20-24 years) and sex in 204 countries and territories between 1950 and 2019 for all causes, and between 1980 and 2019 by cause of death. We analyse variation in outcomes by region, age group, and sex, and compare annual rate of change in mortality in young people aged 10-24 years with that in children aged 0-9 years from 1990 to 2019. We then analyse the association between mortality in people aged 10-24 years and socioeconomic development using the GBD Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a composite measure based on average national educational attainment in people older than 15 years, total fertility rate in people younger than 25 years, and income per capita. We assess the association between SDI and all-cause mortality in 2019, and analyse the ratio of observed to expected mortality by SDI using the most recent available data release (2017).
Findings In 2019 there were 1.49 million deaths (95% uncertainty interval 1.39-1.59) worldwide in people aged 10-24 years, of which 61% occurred in males. 32.7% of all adolescent deaths were due to transport injuries, unintentional injuries, or interpersonal violence and conflict; 32.1% were due to communicable, nutritional, or maternal causes; 27.0% were due to non-communicable diseases; and 8.2% were due to self-harm. Since 1950, deaths in this age group decreased by 30.0% in females and 15.3% in males, and sex-based differences in mortality rate have widened in most regions of the world. Geographical variation has also increased, particularly in people aged 10-14 years. Since 1980, communicable and maternal causes of death have decreased sharply as a proportion of total deaths in most GBD super-regions, but remain some of the most common causes in sub-Saharan Africa and south Asia, where more than half of all adolescent deaths occur. Annual percentage decrease in all-cause mortality rate since 1990 in adolescents aged 15-19 years was 1.3% in males and 1.6% in females, almost half that of males aged 1-4 years (2.4%), and around a third less than in females aged 1-4 years (2.5%). The proportion of global deaths in people aged 0-24 years that occurred in people aged 10-24 years more than doubled between 1950 and 2019, from 9.5% to 21.6%.
Interpretation Variation in adolescent mortality between countries and by sex is widening, driven by poor progress in reducing deaths in males and older adolescents. Improving global adolescent mortality will require action to address the specific vulnerabilities of this age group, which are being overlooked. Furthermore, indirect effects of the COVID-19 pandemic are likely to jeopardise efforts to improve health outcomes including mortality in young people aged 10-24 years. There is an urgent need to respond to the changing global burden of adolescent mortality, address inequities where they occur, and improve the availability and quality of primary mortality data in this age group. Copyright (C) 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
Global burden of 87 risk factors in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
No full textBackground: Rigorous analysis of levels and trends in exposure to leading risk factors and quantification of their effect on human health are important to identify where public health is making progress and in which cases current efforts are inadequate. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019 provides a standardised and comprehensive assessment of the magnitude of risk factor exposure, relative risk, and attributable burden of disease. Methods: GBD 2019 estimated attributable mortality, years of life lost (YLLs), years of life lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for 87 risk factors and combinations of risk factors, at the global level, regionally, and for 204 countries and territories. GBD uses a hierarchical list of risk factors so that specific risk factors (eg, sodium intake), and related aggregates (eg, diet quality), are both evaluated. This method has six analytical steps. (1) We included 560 risk–outcome pairs that met criteria for convincing or probable evidence on the basis of research studies. 12 risk–outcome pairs included in GBD 2017 no longer met inclusion criteria and 47 risk–outcome pairs for risks already included in GBD 2017 were added based on new evidence. (2) Relative risks were estimated as a function of exposure based on published systematic reviews, 81 systematic reviews done for GBD 2019, and meta-regression. (3) Levels of exposure in each age-sex-location-year included in the study were estimated based on all available data sources using spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression, DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression method, or alternative methods. (4) We determined, from published trials or cohort studies, the level of exposure associated with minimum risk, called the theoretical minimum risk exposure level. (5) Attributable deaths, YLLs, YLDs, and DALYs were computed by multiplying population attributable fractions (PAFs) by the relevant outcome quantity for each age-sex-location-year. (6) PAFs and attributable burden for combinations of risk factors were estimated taking into account mediation of different risk factors through other risk factors. Across all six analytical steps, 30 652 distinct data sources were used in the analysis. Uncertainty in each step of the analysis was propagated into the final estimates of attributable burden. Exposure levels for dichotomous, polytomous, and continuous risk factors were summarised with use of the summary exposure value to facilitate comparisons over time, across location, and across risks. Because the entire time series from 1990 to 2019 has been re-estimated with use of consistent data and methods, these results supersede previously published GBD estimates of attributable burden. Findings: The largest declines in risk exposure from 2010 to 2019 were among a set of risks that are strongly linked to social and economic development, including household air pollution; unsafe water, sanitation, and handwashing; and child growth failure. Global declines also occurred for tobacco smoking and lead exposure. The largest increases in risk exposure were for ambient particulate matter pollution, drug use, high fasting plasma glucose, and high body-mass index. In 2019, the leading Level 2 risk factor globally for attributable deaths was high systolic blood pressure, which accounted for 10·8 million (95 uncertainty interval UI 9·51–12·1) deaths (19·2% 16·9–21·3 of all deaths in 2019), followed by tobacco (smoked, second-hand, and chewing), which accounted for 8·71 million (8·12–9·31) deaths (15·4% 14·6–16·2 of all deaths in 2019). The leading Level 2 risk factor for attributable DALYs globally in 2019 was child and maternal malnutrition, which largely affects health in the youngest age groups and accounted for 295 million (253–350) DALYs (11·6% 10·3–13·1 of all global DALYs that year). The risk factor burden varied considerably in 2019 between age groups and locations. Among children aged 0–9 years, the three leading detailed risk factors for attributable DALYs were all related to malnutrition. Iron deficiency was the leading risk factor for those aged 10–24 years, alcohol use for those aged 25–49 years, and high systolic blood pressure for those aged 50–74 years and 75 years and older. Interpretation: Overall, the record for reducing exposure to harmful risks over the past three decades is poor. Success with reducing smoking and lead exposure through regulatory policy might point the way for a stronger role for public policy on other risks in addition to continued efforts to provide information on risk factor harm to the general public. Funding: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. © 2020 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 licens
Global burden of 369 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territories, 1990-2019 [Elektronisk resurs] : a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019
No full textIn an era of shifting global agendas and expanded emphasis on non-communicable diseases and injuries along with communicable diseases, sound evidence on trends by cause at the national level is essential. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) provides a systematic scientific assessment of published, publicly available, and contributed data on incidence, prevalence, and mortality for a mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive list of diseases and injuries. Methods GBD estimates incidence, prevalence, mortality, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) due to 369 diseases and injuries, for two sexes, and for 204 countries and territories. Input data were extracted from censuses, household surveys, civil registration and vital statistics, disease registries, health service use, air pollution monitors, satellite imaging, disease notifications, and other sources. Cause-specific death rates and cause fractions were calculated using the Cause of Death Ensemble model and spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression. Cause-specific deaths were adjusted to match the total all-cause deaths calculated as part of the GBD population, fertility, and mortality estimates. Deaths were multiplied by standard life expectancy at each age to calculate YLLs. A Bayesian meta-regression modelling tool, DisMod-MR 2.1, was used to ensure consistency between incidence, prevalence, remission, excess mortality, and cause-specific mortality for most causes. Prevalence estimates were multiplied by disability weights for mutually exclusive sequelae of diseases and injuries to calculate YLDs. We considered results in the context of the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a composite indicator of income per capita, years of schooling, and fertility rate in females younger than 25 years. Uncertainty intervals (UIs) were generated for every metric using the 25th and 975th ordered 1000 draw values of the posterior distribution. Findings Global health has steadily improved over the past 30 years as measured by age-standardised DALY rates. After taking into account population growth and ageing, the absolute number of DALYs has remained stable. Since 2010, the pace of decline in global age-standardised DALY rates has accelerated in age groups younger than 50 years compared with the 1990-2010 time period, with the greatest annualised rate of decline occurring in the 0-9-year age group. Six infectious diseases were among the top ten causes of DALYs in children younger than 10 years in 2019: lower respiratory infections (ranked second), diarrhoeal diseases (third), malaria (fifth), meningitis (sixth), whooping cough (ninth), and sexually transmitted infections (which, in this age group, is fully accounted for by congenital syphilis; ranked tenth). In adolescents aged 10-24 years, three injury causes were among the top causes of DALYs: road injuries (ranked first), self-harm (third), and interpersonal violence (fifth). Five of the causes that were in the top ten for ages 10-24 years were also in the top ten in the 25-49-year age group: road injuries (ranked first), HIV/AIDS (second), low back pain (fourth), headache disorders (fifth), and depressive disorders (sixth). In 2019, ischaemic heart disease and stroke were the top-ranked causes of DALYs in both the 50-74-year and 75-years-and-older age groups. Since 1990, there has been a marked shift towards a greater proportion of burden due to YLDs from non-communicable diseases and injuries. In 2019, there were 11 countries where non-communicable disease and injury YLDs constituted more than half of all disease burden. Decreases in age-standardised DALY rates have accelerated over the past decade in countries at the lower end of the SDI range, while improvements have started to stagnate or even reverse in countries with higher SDI. Interpretation As disability becomes an increasingly large component of disease burden and a larger component of health expenditure, greater research and development investment is needed to identify new, more effective intervention strategies. With a rapidly ageing global population, the demands on health services to deal with disabling outcomes, which increase with age, will require policy makers to anticipate these changes. The mix of universal and more geographically specific influences on health reinforces the need for regular reporting on population health in detail and by underlying cause to help decision makers to identify success stories of disease control to emulate, as well as opportunities to improve. Copyright (C) 2020 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd.AuthorOverflow(1598
