16 research outputs found
Analisis Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Konsumsi Masyarakat di Propinsi Sumatera Utara
No full textThe title of this research is analysis of some factors effect on the household
consumption in north Sumatera. The purpose of this study was to (1) analyze the
influence of current real GDRP to household consumption (2) analyze the influence
of real GDRP last year to households consumption (3) analyzing the effect of deposit
rates for household consumption (5) analyzing the effect of population for household
consumption, and to find out how much marginal propensity to consume in North
Sumatra.
The data used in this research is secondary data using a distributed lag
model. Data obtained mainly from the Central Statistics Beureu of North Sumatera in
various publications, the data of the National Socio economic Survey (SUSENAS) of
2006, the annual report of Bank Indonesia publications, and other sources related.
To support the basic data is also collected a variety of additional data that supports
the research obtained through the writings of scientific journals and the literature
that discusses the problems referred to above.
The research is partially known that there is a significant influence of real
GDP in year t and t-1 and deposit rates influence on the household consumption.
Value of real GDP in year t has a probability of 0.0155, GDP the previous year (t-1)
of 0.0490, and deposit rates have a probability value of 0.0005. In this research
population as a variable light having a positive relationship with consumption. R2 =
0,973 results can be concluded that in terms of fitness test (Test of goodness of fit)
that explain the total variation in independent variable can explain the dependent
variable as 97,3%, and only 0.027 percent of the determinants that influence
consumption in North Sumatra explained by other variables in the research model.
Also be obtained from the estimated value of prob (F-Statistics) for 0000 <
significant independent variables influence the dependent 0.05 variable as a whole
is strong enough.Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk (1) menganalisis pengaruh PDRB riil saat
ini terhadap konsumsi rumah tangga (2) menganalisis pengaruh PDRB riil tahun lalu
terhadap konsumsi rumah tangga (3) menganalisis pengaruh suku bunga deposito
terhadap konsumsi rumah tangga (4) menganalisis pengaruh jumlah penduduk
terhadap konsumsi rumah tangga, serta untuk mengetahui berapa besar
kecenderungan konsumsi masyarakat di Propinsi Sumatera Utara.
Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data sekunder yang
menggunakan model distributed lag. Data terutama diperoleh dari Badan Pusat
Statistik Sumatera Utara dalam berbagai terbitan, data hasil Survei Sosial Ekonomi
Nasional (Susenas) tahun 2006, laporan tahunan Bank Indonesia berbagai terbitan,
dan sumber-sumber lain yang terkait. Untuk mendukung data pokok juga
dikumpulkan berbagai data tambahan yang mendukung penelitian yang diperoleh
melalui tulisan-tulisan ilmiah, jurnal dan literatur-literatur yang membahas masalah
yang termaksud di atas.
Hasil penelitian secara parsial diketahui bahwa terdapat pengaruh yang
signifikan PDRB riil pada tahun t dan t-1 dan suku bunga deposito terhadap konsumsi
rumah tangga. Nilai PDRB riil pada tahun t memiliki probabilitas sebesar 0,0155,
PDRB tahun sebelumnya (t-1) sebesar 0,0490, dan suku bunga deposito memiliki
nilai probabilitas 0,0005. Dalam penelitian ini populasi penduduk sebagai variabel
penjelas yang mempunyai hubungan positif dengan konsumsi. Hasil R2 = 0.973 dapat
disimpulkan bahwa dari segi uji kesesuaian (Test of goodness of fit) sangat baik,
dan hanya 0,027 persen dari determinan yang mempengaruhi konsumsi di Sumatera
Utara dijelaskan oleh variabel lain yang tidak dimasukkan dalam model penelitian.
Dari estimasi juga diperoleh nilai prob (F-Statistik) sebesar 0.000 < 0,05 yang
berarti pengaruh variabel independen terhadap variabel dependen secara keseluruhan
cukup kuat.117 HalamanTesis Magiste
Enhancement of MSME Digitalization With Collaborative Governance: Public Values, Decision-Making, and The Administrative Context
No full textBackground: Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) are vital to Indonesia’s economy but struggle with digitalization.Purpose: This study investigates how collaborative governance accelerates MSME digitalization through NVivo 12, focusing on the role of public values, decision-making, and administrative culture in driving digital transformation. It aims to identify key themes that strengthen governance and foster a sustainable digital ecosystem for MSMEs.Design/methodology/approach: This study examines the Fast Track Digitalization (FTD) Program in North Sumatra, a collaboration between the government, private sector, and civil society to support MSME digitalization. Data from 16–24 in-depth interviews were analyzed using thematic analysis to identify key themes in collaborative governance.Findings/Result: The study highlights the role of stakeholder collaboration and public values in accelerating MSME digitalization. It emphasizes public-private partnerships, digital literacy, and financial support, while transparent governance and flexible regulations are key to sustainable growth.Conclusion: Collaborative governance has proven effective in enhancing the competitiveness and sustainability of MSMEs in the digital era. However, research on this topic is limited, especially regarding North Sumatra, and does not fully explore the impact of emerging technologies like AI and blockchain on MSMEs\u27 digital resilience. Future studies should investigate how these technologies can strengthen governance frameworks and contribute to long-term sustainability.Originality/value (State of the art): This research offers novelty by developing a threefold perspective that emphasizes the importance of integrating public values, collaborative decision-making, and the administrative and cultural context of policy.
Keywords: MSME, digitalization, collaborative governance, threefold perspective, thematic analysi
Stock Price Prediction Model On Automotive Companies And Its Components Listed On The Indonesia Stock Exchange
No full textThe purpose of this study is to analyze whether economic value added and profitability (ROA) can affect prices for automotive companies and their components on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. This study uses 12 automotive companies and their components listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange in 2014-2019. Methods of collecting data by means of documentation or literature study. The sampling technique in this study used purposive sampling and the ardl panel research method. Based on the results of the study, it can be concluded that there are nine automotive companies on the Indonesian stock exchange, namely; PT. Astra International, Tbk; PT. Astra Otoparts, Tbk; PT. Indo Kordsa, Tbk; PT. Goodyear Indonesia, Tbk; PT. Gajah Tunggal, Tbk; PT. Multi Prima Sejahtera, Tbk; PT. Multistrada Directions Sarana, Tbk; PT. Nippres, Tbk; PT. Prima Alloy Steel Universal, Tbk, Economic Value Added and Profitability variables have a significant influence on stock prices. While in two companies, namely PT. Indomobil Sukses Internasional, Tbk and PT. Selamat Sempurna, Tbk, only the Economic Value Added variable has a significant influence on stock prices. And in one company, namely PT. Indospring, Tbk only profitability variables that significantly affect stock prices. In general, Economic Value Added and Profitability are leading indicators for controlling stock prices. However, on a panel basis, neither of the two has been able to become a leading indicator for controlling share prices in automotive companies and their components on the Indonesian stock exchange. This is because the two variables have not provided a stable influence on a panel basis for all companies studied as automotive companies and their components on the Indonesian stock exchange
PERSEPSI MASYARAKAT PERKOTAAN TERHADAP LAYANAN SMART CITY: MODEL UTAUT2
No full textIn this study, we look at technology readiness related to performance expectancy and effort expectancy from UTAUT2 to analyze urban community perceptions of smart city services. Data is collected using a survey questionnaire. We use Partial Least Square Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM) analysis. The questionnaire consists of 16 items on the Technology Readiness Index 2.0 scale to measure technological readiness and the UTAUT2 scale which has 29 items. The research of the study shows that optimism has a positive effect on performance expectancy and effort expectancy in using smart services. This means that respondents believe and have a sense of optimism that smart city service technology will be understood and used. Effort expectancy, facilitation conditions, and hedonic motivation have a positive effect on the intention to use smart services. It can be said that although some users are anxious about the new technology, it will not have an impact on the usability and ease of use of smart service technology
POTENSI DAN PELUANG PENGEMBANGAN SENTRA PRODUKSI BAWANG MERAH PROVINSI SUMATERA UTARA
No full textBawang merah memiliki peran strategis dalam perekonomian Provinsi Sumatera Utara. Bawang merah merupakan salah satu komoditas utama sebagai penyumbang inflasi. Namun demikian, Provinsi Sumatera Utara masih mengalami defisit bawang merah. Permintaan akan bawang merah akan terus meningkat dari waktu ke waktu. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk melihat perkembangan produksi bawang merah, mengindentifikasi sentra-sentra produksi bawang merah, serta menganalisis peluang investasi usahatani bawang merah di Provinsi Sumatera Utara. Data dalam penelitian ini dianalisis dengan menggunakan metode deskriptif kuantitatif, metode Location Quotient (LQ), serta analisis finansial (RC Rasio, BC Rasio, BEP, dan analisis sensitivitas). Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data primer dengan 35 sampel petani bawang merah dan data sekunder dari 33 kabupaten/kota. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa produktivitas bawang merah tahun 2018 mencapai 7,83 ton/Ha dengan luas panen sebesar 2.086 Ha. Laju pertumbuhan produksi mencapai 5,48% per tahun dan laju pertumbuhan produktivitas -1,54% per tahun. Sentra produksi bawang merah meliputi kabupaten Dairi, Samosir, Toba Samosir, Humbang Hasudutan, Padang Lawas utara, Tapanuli Utara, serta Kabupaten Simalungun. Secara finansial, usahatani bawang merah menguntungkan. Pendapatan usahatani bawang merah Rp 72.116.667 per Ha, RC Rasio sebesar 2,30. BC Rasio 1,30. Harga titik impas dalam usahatani bawang merah mencapai Rp 7.384/Kg
Identification of Superior Fruits Commodities in North Sumatra Province
No full textAgricultural is a sector that provides the largest contribution to the economy in North Sumatra Province. The development of fruit production has decreased since 2015. This study aims to identify superior fruits commodities, analyze the development of production for superior fruits commodities, and identify production centers of superior fruits commodities in North Sumatra Province. This study uses secondary data, Namely the time series 2015-2019 period. Data were obtained from the Food Crops and Horticulture Service and the Central Statistics Bureau of North Sumatra Province. The data analysis used is the Location Quotient (LQ) method. The results showed that seven superior fruits commodities were Water Apple (LQ 3.75), Salak (LQ 3.45), Siam Orange (LQ 3.28), Pineapple (LQ 1.58), Durian (LQ 1.35), Sawo (LQ 1.29), and Duku (LQ 1.13). The development of durian, Salak, Duku, and Sawo production shows an increase in the 2015-2019 period. Meanwhile, the development of water apple, Siam Orange, and Pineapple production has shown a decline in production in the 2015-2019 period. The main production centers for each of these superior fruits commodities include Binjai (Water Apple), South Tapanuli (Salak), Karo (Siam Orange). North Tapanuli (Pineapple), Dairi (Durian), South Nias (Duku), and Batubara (Sawo)
Determination of superior agriculture commodities in North Sumatra Province
No full textThis study aims to determine the contribution of the agriculture sector in the economy in North Sumatra Province and to find out the superior agriculture commodities. The data used in this study is secondary data, namely data on the production of various agricultural commodities in North Sumatra Province and Indonesia for the period 2019-2020. Quantitative description analysis in the form of contribution analysis and growth analysis is used to determine the contribution of the agricultural sector in the economy in North Sumatra Province in 2016-2020. Static Location Quotient (SLQ) and Dynamic Location Quotient (DLQ) analyses are used to analyze superior agricultural commodities. The results show that the contribution of the agricultural sector has decreased to the economy in North Sumatra Province in the 2016-2020 period. The results of the SLQ and DLQ analyses show that the superior agricultural commodities that are cross-sub-sectoral are Red Chili, Cabbage, Tomato, Eggplant, Durian, Salak, Rubber, and Fisheries. The superior agricultural commodities come from the Horticulture Sub-sector, Plantation Sub-sector, and Fisheries Sub-sector. Meanwhile, commodities originating from the Food crop Sub-sector and Livestock Sub-sector did not contribute to the creation of superior agriculture commodities in North Sumatra Province in 2019-2020
POTENSI DAN PELUANG PENGEMBANGAN SENTRA PRODUKSI BAWANG MERAH PROVINSI SUMATERA UTARA
No full textBawang merah memiliki peran strategis dalam perekonomian Provinsi Sumatera Utara. Bawang merah merupakan salah satu komoditas utama sebagai penyumbang inflasi. Namun demikian, Provinsi Sumatera Utara masih mengalami defisit bawang merah. Permintaan akan bawang merah akan terus meningkat dari waktu ke waktu. Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk melihat perkembangan produksi bawang merah, mengindentifikasi sentra-sentra produksi bawang merah, serta menganalisis peluang investasi usahatani bawang merah di Provinsi Sumatera Utara. Data dalam penelitian ini dianalisis dengan menggunakan metode deskriptif kuantitatif, metode Location Quotient (LQ), serta analisis finansial (RC Rasio, BC Rasio, BEP, dan analisis sensitivitas). Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data primer dengan 35 sampel petani bawang merah dan data sekunder dari 33 kabupaten/kota. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa produktivitas bawang merah tahun 2018 mencapai 7,83 ton/Ha dengan luas panen sebesar 2.086 Ha. Laju pertumbuhan produksi mencapai 5,48% per tahun dan laju pertumbuhan produktivitas -1,54% per tahun. Sentra produksi bawang merah meliputi kabupaten Dairi, Samosir, Toba Samosir, Humbang Hasudutan, Padang Lawas utara, Tapanuli Utara, serta Kabupaten Simalungun. Secara finansial, usahatani bawang merah menguntungkan. Pendapatan usahatani bawang merah Rp 72.116.667 per Ha, RC Rasio sebesar 2,30. BC Rasio 1,30. Harga titik impas dalam usahatani bawang merah mencapai Rp 7.384/Kg
POTENSI DAN PENGEMBANGAN KOMODITAS UNGGULAN SEKTOR PERTANIAN DI PROVINSI SUMATERA UTARA
No full textNorth Sumatra Province is one of the provinces in Indonesia that places the agricultural sector as a sector that makes a major contribution to the formation of GRDP and employment. The agricultural sector contributes to the GDP of 22.04% and employment of 35.43% of the total workforce. This condition is the basis for consideration for the government to develop the agricultural sector through the superior commodity approach. This study aims to determine the direction of development of leading commodities in the agricultural sector in North Sumatra Province. The data used are primary and secondary data obtained through literature studies and interviews with experts/experts and policy makers. The selection of respondents was done intentionally. The data analysis method used is the SLQ and DLQ, ISM, and SWOT analysis methods. The results showed that the main commodities that were prioritized to be developed in North Sumatra Province were red chili, cabbage, tomatoes, eggplant, rubber, durian, salak, rubber and marine fisheries. The criteria for determining areas that are prioritized for developing superior commodities are areas that are included in quadrant I, namely those that show SLQ and DLQ values greater than 1. There are 3 main criteria that affect the development of regional superior commodities, including job creation, increasing competitiveness, and providing contribution to the local economy. The direction of developing superior commodities in North Sumatra Province within the next 5 years is increasing productivity, increasing competitiveness of export-oriented leading commodities, intensification of sustainable agriculture-based agriculture, strengthening agricultural institutional regulations, strengthening supply chains, strengthening farmer competencies and capabilities, and increasing downstreaming of superior commodity products in the agricultural sector.Provinsi Sumatera Utara adalah salah satu provinsi di Indonesia yang menempatkan sektor pertanian menjadi sektor yang memberikan kontribusi utama dalam pembentukan PDRB dan penyerapan tenaga kerja di Provinsi Sumatera Utara. Sektor pertanian memberikan peranan terhadap PDRB sebesar 22,04% dan penyerapan tenaga kerja sebesar 35,43% dari total angkatan kerja. Kondisi ini menjadi dasar pertimbangan bagi pemerintah untuk mengembangkan sektor pertanian melalui pendekatan komoditas unggulan yang terdapat di Provinsi Sumatera Utara. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menentukan arah pengembangan komoditas unggulan sektor pertanian di Provinsi Sumatera Utara. Data yang yang digunakan adalah data primer dan sekunder yang diperoleh melalui studi literature serta wawancara kepada para ahli/pakar serta pengambil kebijakan. Pemilihan responden dilakukan secara sengaja. Metode analisa data yang digunakan adalah metode SLQ dan DLQ, ISM, dan Analisis SWOT. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa komoditas unggulan yang menjadi prioritas untuk dikembangkan di Provinsi Sumatera Utara yaitu Caba Merah, kubis, tomat, terong, karet, durian, salak, karet dan perikanan laut. Kriteria penentuan wilayah yang menjadi prioritas pengembangan komoditas unggulan adalah wilayah yang masuk pada kuadran I yakni yang menunjukkan nilai SLQ dan DLQ lebih besar dari 1. Terdapat 3 kriteria utama yang mempengaruhi pengembangan komoditas unggulan daerah, meliputi penciptaan lapangan pekerjaan, peningkatan daya saing, serta memberikan kontribusi dalam perekonomian masyarakat setempat. Arah pengembangan komoditas unggulan di Provinsi Sumatera Utara dalam kurun waktu 5 tahun ke depan adalah peningkatan produktivitas, peningkatan daya saing komoditas unggulan berorientasi ekspor, intensifikasi pertanian berbasis pertanian berkelanjutan, penguatan regulasi kelembagaan pertanian, penguatan rantai pasok, penguatan kompetensi dan kapabilitas petani, serta peningkatan hilirisasi produk komoditas unggulan sektor pertanian
MONETARY POLICY AND HERDING BEHAVIOR: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE IN THE INDONESIAN STOCK MARKET BEFORE AND AFTER COVID-19
No full textThis study examines the impact of the Federal Reserve and Bank Indonesia's monetary policies on herding behavior in the Indonesian stock market before and after the COVID-19 pandemic. The research found that changes in benchmark interest rates by the Fed and Bank Indonesia significantly caused herding behavior in the market. Before the pandemic, herding behavior occurred when the Fed lowered the Fed funds rate and Bank Indonesia raised the BI7DRR. After the pandemic, herding behavior occurred when the Fed raised the Fed funds rate and Bank Indonesia lowered the BI7DRR. The study suggests that Bank Indonesia's monetary policy should align with the Fed's to mitigate herding behavior, as the correlation between Bank Indonesia and the Fed's monetary policy was weakening post-pandemic. The findings highlight the importance of aligning monetary policies to mitigate herding behavior in the Indonesian stock marke
