126,581 research outputs found
158. Paisley shawl owned by Mrs. M. C. Nelson of Richfield, Utah
No full textPhotograph of and document for a paisley shawl owned by Mrs. M. C. Nelson of Richfield, Utah. Belonged to owner\u27s mother, Caroline M. Larsen Miller, who was born in Denmark in 1840 and came to Utah in 1862. Believed to have been purchased in Salt Lake, since all clothes were lost on the way ove
164. Pellerine owned by Mrs. M. C. Nelson of Richfield, Utah
No full textPhotograph of and document for a pellerine owned by Mrs. M. C. Nelson of Richfield, Utah. Owner\u27s father gave it to owner\u27s sister, Caroline Miller Peterson, on her 21st birthday in 1889; may have been purchased in Salt Lake Cit
166. Petticoat owned by Mrs. M. C. Nelson of Richfield, Utah
No full textPhotograph of and document for a shawl owned by petticoat skirt owned by Mrs. M. C. Nelson of Richfield, Utah. Belonged to owner\u27s mother, Caroline Larsen Miller (born 1840), who came from Denmark to Utah in 1862. Estimated date: 1870
Marriage record of Jackson, Alfred M. and Nelson, Margaret J.
No full textMarriage license for Alfred M. Jackson and Margaret J. Nelson. S.C. Thompson was the officiant
Exterior of the Andrew John Nelson farm house, south and west elevations, with family outside, near Round Rock, Texas
No full textPhotograph shows rear of Andrew J. Nelson farm house (originally the home of Arvid and Anna Lena Nelson)'' Andrew J. and Hedwig Nelson seated on ground m left)'' Four women (their daughters?) behind them
Elder\u27s certificate for Nelson Higgins for his mission to Carson Valley, 10 April 1856
No full textDocument dated 10 April 1856, signed by Brigham Young, Heber C. Kimball, and J. M. Grant, appointing Nelson Higgins to serve a mission at Carson Valley, Utah TerritoryElder\u27s certificate, signed by Brigham Young, Heber C. Kimball and Jedediah M. Gran
Nelson Higgins elected Justice of Peace in Richfield, August 1873
No full textNotice dated 8 August 1873 by Austin M. Farnsworth, Sevier County Clerk, certifying the election of Nelson Higgins as Justice of the Peace for the Richfield PrecinctNotice declaring Higgins\u27 election as Justice of the Peace in Richfiel
Evidence for the decay B0→J/ψω and measurement of the relative branching fractions of meson decays to J/ψη and J/ψη′
No full textFirst evidence of the B 0 → J / ψ ω decay is found and the B s 0 → J / ψ η and B s 0 → J / ψ η ′ decays are studied using a dataset corresponding to an integrated luminosity of 1.0 fb -1 collected by the LHCb experiment in proton-proton collisions at a centre-of-mass energy of sqrt(s) = 7 TeV. The branching fractions of these decays are measured relative to that of the B 0 → J / ψ ρ 0 decay:frac(B (B 0 → J / ψ ω), B (B 0 → J / ψ ρ 0)) = 0.89 ± 0.19 (stat) - 0.13 + 0.07 (syst),frac(B (B s 0 → J / ψ η), B (B 0 → J / ψ ρ 0)) = 14.0 ± 1.2 (stat) - 1.5 + 1.1 (syst) - 1.0 + 1.1 (frac(f d, f s)),frac(B (B s 0 → J / ψ η ′), B (B 0 → J / ψ ρ 0)) = 12.7 ± 1.1 (stat) - 1.3 + 0.5 (syst) - 0.9 + 1.0 (frac(f d, f s)), where the last uncertainty is due to the knowledge of f d / f s, the ratio of b-quark hadronization factors that accounts for the different production rate of B 0 and B s 0 mesons. The ratio of the branching fractions of B s 0 → J / ψ η ′ and B s 0 → J / ψ η decays is measured to befrac(B (B s 0 → J / ψ η ′), B (B s 0 → J / ψ η)) = 0.90 ± 0.09 (stat) - 0.02 + 0.06 (syst)
The Relationship between the Beveridge-Nelson Decomposition andUnobserved Component Models with Correlated Shocks
No full textMany researchers believe that the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition leads to permanent and transitory components whose shocks are perfectly negatively correlated. Indeed, some even consider it to be a property of the decomposition. We demonstrate that the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition does not provide definitive information about the correlation between permanent and transitory shocks in an unobserved components model. Given an ARIMA model describing the evolution of U.S. real GDP, we show that there are many state space representations that generate the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition. These include unobserved components models with perfectly correlated shocks and partially correlated shocks. In our applications, the only knowledge we have about the correlation is that it lies in a restricted interval that does not include zero. Although the filtered estimates of the trend and cycle are identical for models with different correlations, the observationally equivalent unobserved components models produce different smoothed estimates.
The Multistep Beveridge-Nelson Decomposition
No full textThe Beveridge-Nelson decomposition defines the trend component in terms of the eventual forecast function, as the value the series would take if it were on its long-run path. The paper introduces the multistep Beveridge-Nelson decomposition, which arises when the forecast function is obtained by the direct autoregressive approach, which optimizes the predictive ability of the AR model at forecast horizons greater than one. We compare our proposal with the standard Beveridge-Nelson decomposition, for which the forecast function is obtained by iterating the one-step-ahead predictions via the chain rule. We illustrate that the multistep Beveridge-Nelson trend is more efficient than the standard one in the presence of model misspecification and we subsequently assess the predictive validity of the extracted transitory component with respect to future growth.Trend and Cycle; Forecasting; Filtering.
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