Jurnal Manajemen & Agribisnis
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Sistem Penunjang Keputusan Pra Rancang Bangun Industri Intermediate Minyak Pala
A lot of industries such as pharmacy, food industry, cosmetics industries use nurmeg oil for their products. Demand of nutmeg oil is very high its abaut 3-4% every year. Indonesia can export nutmeg oil up to 75 % world demands. Nutmeg oil which was expoted by Indonesia was crude nutmeg oil how ever some times have inconsistency quality. In order to produce nutmeg oil with better quality, nutmeg oil intermediate industry is needed. Decision support system is used to suggest the most potential process based on expert opinions. Methodology used was system approach and it was support with Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP), Exponencial Comparison Method (MPE) and financial feasibility analysis. The system was named SPKIMPA. This system consist four models there are selection model, election model, Institution model and financial feasibility model. From verification result it was know that the most potential process was fractionation. The intermediate industry is feasible to run with Net Present Value (NPV) value Rp 426.627.432,83,- and Internal Rate Return (IRR) value 45.28 %. Another result from verification system was created partnership with upperstream industry and also with downstream industry
ANALISIS KONTRAK BERJANGKA OLEIN DI BURSA BERJANGKA JAKARTA
Study about efficient market hypothesis is a common object for many financial researchers. Nevertheless, there are still limited studies about futures contract market particularly in the emerging market. The purposes of this study were to test the weak form efficiency of the Olein futures contract in the Jakarta Futures Exchange and to seek factors that can affect the fluctuation of Olein futures contract price. ARIMA and GARCH models were used as the basis for the analyses. Results of the study indicated that using weekly data, the weak form efficient market (random walk) hypothesis was rejected for the Olein futures contract in the Jakarta Futures Exchange, meaning that the market was in efficient.This implies that some one will be able to outperform the market using technical analysis for predicting future price changes. Furthermore, using monthly data, the fluctuation of Olein futures contract returnis influenced significantly by interest rate, exchange rate and CPO price. Keywords : Jakarta Futures Exchange, Efficient Market Hypothesis, ARIMA, GARC
ANALISIS KEBIJAKAN SUBSIDI PUPUK : PENENTUAN POLA SUBSIDI DAN SISTEM DISTRIBUSI PUPUK DI INDONESIA
This study aims to determine an alternative subsidy model and distribution system of fertilizer in Indonesia. The purpose of the research in details are to create a framework of fertilizer subsidy policy, analyze factors that are affecting the fertilizer subsidy policy, and to select the best alternative subsidy model and distribution system of fertilizer. Analitical methods used to answer these purposes is by using the Analytic Network Process (ANP) which is also supported by literature study, focus group discussions and interviews with expert respondents. The result concludes that the conditions that affect fertilizer subsidy policy is the economic condition, The main priority of the fertilizer subsidy objective is availibility of fertilizer, the most prioritized fertilizer subsidy is the subsidy for inorganic fertilizer, Ministry of agriculture is the most important actors in the implementation of the fertilizer subsidy policy, and the most important factor considered in choosing a fertilizer distribution system is supervision. The choice of fertilizer subsidy policy in Indonesia is the indirect subsidy model through the manufacturer and its distribution system is conducted by the manufacturer to the farmer. Keywords : Subsidy Policy, Fertilizer Subsidy, Fertilizer Distribution, AN
MODEL PENGEMBANGAN USAHA PERIKANAN TANGKAP DI DAERAH ISTIMEWA YOGYAKARTA
Capture fishery has an important role in the economic activity and livelihood among the people ofYogyakarta, but its dynamic interaction is not yet effective and still dominated by monopoly practices.This study has analyzed the feasibility and appropriate dynamic interaction for the development ofcapture fishing. The method developed in the study consisted of a cost-benefit analysis and SEM.Catching fish using sero, payang, gillnet, and krendet was found to be feasible and obtain net profits of Rp. 44,291,851, Rp. 91,202,416, Rp 47,585,387, and Rp 56,514,757, respectively. The most significant aspects of interaction determining the environments (internal, external, and industrial), business strategies, fishing industry performance, and development goals were management, social aspect, entry barrier, finance, and feedback period. For the construct interaction, the internal environment had a significant positive effect on the external environment, the external environment had a significant positive effect the industrial environment, and the business strategies had a significant positive effect on the goal of fishery development
STRATEGI MANAJEMEN RESIKO PETANI CABAI MERAH PADA LAHAN SAWAH DATARAN RENDAH DI JAWA JAWA TENGAH
Red pepper farmers as the farm managers deal with risk management. Objectives of this study was to analysis farmers’ behavior in coping with risks and risks management strategy on red pepper farm management on lowland in Central Java. This study was carried out between February to March, 2009, in lowland areas in Kersana sub district, Brebes district; Karangnongko, Jogonalan, Manisrenggo, and Ngawen sub districts, Klaten district, and Teras sub district, Boyolali district, Central Java. Decision to adopt dominant cropping pattern by including red pepper as high economic value commodity was an ex ante risk management strategy. Meanwhile, interactive risk management was carried out through over use of seeds and pesticides. If the farms failed and led to lower households’ incomes and farm sustainability, the farmers tended to employ other farm incomes, to draw savings, to sell some assets, and to borrow as the ex post risk strategy management. Implications of this study are: (i) cropping patterns need to include red pepper to sustain and to improve farmers’ incomes; (ii) application of hybrid red pepper varieties to cope with environmental pressure and pests’ attack; (iii) farm practice technique should be locally specific based on red pepper varieties and agro ecology; (iv) farm diversification and agriculture insurance could lessen production risk; and (v) farmers’ group and contract farming will reduce marketing risks
CREDIT RATIONING OF FARM HOUSEHOLDS AND AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE IN THE RURAL AREAS OF CENTRAL SULAWESI, INDONESIA
The agricultural sector provides the highest contribution to economic development in the Central Sulawesi Province, Indonesia. On average, the share of agriculture in the Product Domestic Regional Bruto (GRDP) is more than 40% (2003). However, poverty is a widespread problem found in this area, as indicated by almost 46% of the total household are categorized as poor and most of them are farmers. Smallholders and poor farmers may perpetually be trapped in poverty due to lack of finance needed to undertake productive investment. This is indicated by lower rate of advance agricultural technology adoption, which results the productivity of some agricultural products in this area is lower compared to the national average.This paper addresses the question of whether greater access of financial services increase agricultural production. Specific research question addressed are as follow: (1) How many household have access to formal credit markets? (2) How many households are credit constrained? (3) What factors influence that households are credit constrained? (4) How does credit rationing influences agricultural production?As many studies have shown, many rural households lack access to either formal or informal credit institutions. In the rural areas of Central Sulawesi Province, particularly in the vicinity of the Lore Lindu National Park only 21.5% of the household have access to formal credits. The results also show that under certain conditions, only 18.1% of the households are not credit constrained. Most households are credit constrained due to lack collateral and because of the self-selection problem.The econometric analysis consists of two parts. The first part explores the determinants for a household to be credit constrained, focusing on the formal credit market by using Probit model. In the second part of the analysis, we investigate the influence of being credit constrained on the rice production by applying a switching regression model. The results of the probit model show that human capital (i.e. education and age of the head of households) as well as wealth and risk-bearing indicators are significant in determining whether household is credit constrained
OPTIMASI MODEL TRANSPORTASI DALAM PENGUKURAN KINERJA MANAJEMEN RANTAI PASOKAN BERAS: STUDI KASUS DI PERUM BULOG DIVISI REGIONAL JAWA BARAT
The purpose of this study was to analyze the ability of West Java on providing the needs of rice through all over West Java as well as the surrounding regions; and to evaluate optimal rice distribution among the regions. It was predicted that the rice production volume in West Java and Banten Provinces tend to decrease, each for 3 806.33 Tons per quartile and 1 662.85 Tons per quartile. The optimal rice transportation network should be conducted through rice distribution from Cirebon Sub Regional Division to Ciamis Sub Regional Division or from Karawang Sub Regional Division to Cianjur Sub Regional Division. Rice distribution could be conducted from Cirebon, Indramayu, Karawang and Subang Sub Regional Divisions to Jakarta Raya Sub Regional Divisio
PERKEMBANGAN DAN DIVERSIFIKASI EKSPOR INDONESIA
To some extent there was a change of Indonesia’s export in term of product diversification and countries of destination. From the market side , however, there was no change at the composition of nine biggest export destination in the period of 2002-2004. This shows that there was sluggishness in making adjustment and overcoming constraints in trade. Indonesia needs to diversify the market dan the export products further. Foreign direct investment factor per se can not push the diversification. This factor need to be accompanied by economic stability, as well as taking care of the various internal and external constraints.
ANALISIS FAKTOR – FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI KONSUMSI KOPI DAN ANALISIS PEMETAAN BEBERAPA MEREK KOPI DAN IMPLIKASINYA PADA PEMASARAN KOPI
The purpose of thisstudy was to identify the influencing factors of consumer decision\u27s process tobuy and consume coffe, and to analyze consumer perceptual by attributes.. Thedata were analyze from 190 respondents in Jakarta.Linear regresion and biplot were used to analyze the data. The results ofregression analyses showed that younger respondents aged between 18 to 25 yearsold had higher probability to consume coffee that that of older respondents.Respondents who perceived having some deseases also had lower probability toconsume coffee. Analyses of perceptual mapping showed that Nescafe and indocafewere located in the same quadrant, indicating that these two coffee brands werepereceived to be similar by respondents. Indocafe was also associated with theattribute of good smell and good packaging , whereas Nescafe was close relatedto the attributes of popularity in advertising in mass media.The results of thestudy suggested for marketing implications that coffee producers should makemarket penetration strategy by age and sex. Producers can produce coffee withother variant or coffee without caffeine, Sachet is still usable because itspractical, preserve the taste and the smell of the coffee
PERAN KEPEMIMPINAN KEPALA DAERAH DALAM MEWUJUDKAN SISTEM KETAHANAN NASIONAL
Leadership is a phenomenon of society, nation, and state which influence and characterize the life of society, nation, and state. Leadership is also one of all functions which can push both the realization of national ideas and national objectives, and national security and defense system. This research seeks for a strategic leadership model which can be implemented in all provinces in Indonesia, and which will influence all of provincial leaders, especially governors, in order to improve the strength of the National Security System (NSS). The collected quantitative and qualitative data were selected and analized descriptively and analitically by the use of descriptive analysis and multivariate regression, to meet the objective of this research. The result of this study shows that the leadership of a governor has a significant and positive influence upon national security and defense system and, therefore, it maybe concluded that a strong leadership of a governor will provide his local area with positive effect, namely, there will be an establishment of a strong and realiable system of national security and defense. Keywords: Leadership, Province, Governor, National Security and Defense System, Multivariate Regressio