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Sistem Peramalan Jumlah Produksi Daging Ayam Pedaging di Provinsi Jawa Timur Tahun 2024 Mengunakan Metode Double Exponensial Smoothing Berbasis PHP Dan MYSQL
Full text linkPurebred chicken meat is a type of animal protein that is affordable and easy to obtain. Demand for purebred chickens is expected to continue to increase. This research aims to evaluate the most suitable production forecasting method, so that it can be used as a basis for policies that support food security. Therefore, a forecasting system is needed that can predict chicken meat production, especially in East Java, for the coming period. Researchers use the Double Exponential Smoothing Method in their research. The data used comes from an analysis of broiler chicken production in East Java obtained from the Central Statistics Agency (BPS), covering the period 2000 to 2023. The Double Exponential Smoothing method is a technique that applies double smoothing values to previous data to predict actual data. After carrying out several stages of calculations based on the data that has been obtained, the system predicts that broiler chicken production in East Java in 2024 will be 594,304.58 tons with the smallest MAPE of 5.86 % using alpha 0.5. With these results, users get additional information on broiler meat production in the coming period, and can be used as a website to support decision maker
Akurasi Prediksi Harga Karkas Ayam Broiler Dan Harga Pakan Ayam Broiler Menggunakan Metode Moving Average Dan Single Exponential Smoothing (Studi Kasus = Jawa Timur)
Full text linkThis study will use two forecasting methods: moving average and single exponential smoothing. Both use data from the past to predict what will happen in the future, therefore both techniques are referred to as time series methods. This method comparison was chosen to determine which method is most appropriate for predicting sales. This choice is based on the smallest error resulting from both methods which is known through the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) calculation. Forecasting broiler chicken feed and carcasses can help farmers improve carcass quality, increase feed use, and increase profits. Forecasting can also make and find out whether there is a link between the price of broiler chickens and the price of broiler chicken feed
Analisis dan Perancangan Aplikasi Presensi Mahasiswa Berbasis Mobile di Universitas Merdeka Malang
Full text linkThe role of information and communication technology (ICT) is increasing and having an impact on various sectors, including education. In education, ICT plays an important role in the learning and teaching process. Universities are educational institutions that have many processes involved in learning and teaching activities, one of which is lectures. Lectures are activities that are closely related to administrative requirements, and student attendance is usually one of the graduation requirements. Currently, student attendance at the University of Merdeka Malang is still using manual methods, namely by calling students' names one by one and entering them into SIAKAD, through Google Forms, or through Eclass. To overcome this problem, the author designed a mobile-based student attendance application using the Figma application. This design uses the User Centered Design (UCD) method to obtain design results that are easy for users to use and the System Usability Scale (SUS) method to measure the level of usability of the application. The evaluation results using the SUS method with an average of 80, which shows that the user interface design is in accordance with user needs
Pengaruh Rasio Volumetrik Tulangan Pengekang Bambu pada Jalur Tekan terhadap Momen Lentur Balok Beton Bertulang Bambu
Full text linkThe use of bamboo as an alternative to replace steel reinforcement is generally stillnot good. New research is needed to address these weaknesses, so improvements were made by providing confinement in the compression zone. This study aims todetermine the effect of the volumetric ratio of bamboo stirrups in the compressionzone on the flexural strength of bamboo-reinforced concrete beams. The testspecimens used in this study were sized 15 x 15 x 65 cm with a concrete quality of25 Mpa. The variations in volumetric ratio used were 0.71%, 1.31%, and 1.54%. The testing was conducted when the concrete was 28 days old based on ASTMC78/C78M. The research results indicate that the volumetric ratio of bamboo stirrups affects the flexural capacity of the beams. The variations in volumetric ratio (0.71%, 1.31%, and 1.54%) had flexural moment values of 1.64 KNm, 1.73 KNm, and 1.78 KNm respectively, while the normal (without stirrups) had a value of 1.52 KNm. The greater the volumetric ratio, the greater the resulting flexural moment
Rancang Bangun Website Layanan Penjualan Dengan Penerapan Metode Design Thinking
Full text linkIn this case study, the Design thinking method is used to design the Dutamas Komputer service website. The problem of this research is the consumer’s need to buy goods at Dutamas Komputer. The purpose of this study is to use the design thinking process to create a UI/UX (User Interface/User Experience) design for the web. This method allows for identifying user needs, generating creative ideas, and testing those ideas. Empathize, define, ideate, prototype, and testing are the five steps in the design thinking process. Each process is carried out based on user preferences and needs. The evaluation results show that the use of the design thinking method in the UI/UX design of the Dutamas Komputer service website can improve user engagement, user experience, and user suitability. The prototype design of the website received an average score of 92.625 on the System Usability Scale (SUS) method, indicating that the website has a high level of user suitability. The Dutamas Komputer service website must be continuously evaluated and customer feedback collected to ensure long-term success
Komparasi Peramalan Penerimaan Siswa Baru Menggunakan Metode Exponential Smoothing
Full text linkEducation is a systematic and structured process of alignment for individuals to acquire adequate abilities, good moral values, critical thinking, insights, and proficient soft skills. It is often perceived as everything taught by adults to those considered not yet mature. Improving the quality of education must be carried out to prepare them for the future in line with the targets and applicable systems, and it must be balanced with quality and quantity standards in making appropriate policy decisions. Each institution faces various issues in admitting new students, such as high demand but insufficient capacity and facilities, or minimal demand but ample capacity and facilities. To address these issues and achieve alignment with the needs of educational institutions, planning and analysis are required to make decisions, such as utilizing Exponential Smoothing techniques to predict the values of potential new students. This research aims to understand and evaluate the use of Single Exponential Smoothing and Double Exponential Smoothing methods in predicting the quantity of potential new students. This research employs a quantitative method, and data collection is conducted through surveys. The data collected spans from the years 2012 to 2023. The criterion used to determine the appropriate method is based on the error value; if the error value produced is the smallest from the Single Exponential Smoothing and Double Exponential Smoothing methods, then that value is considered the best. The total sample obtained in this study is 317. Based on the test results and data analysis using Exponential Smoothing methods, it is shown that the forecast for potential new students at SD Negeri 5 Dampit in 2024 that yields the smallest error value is the Double Exponential Smoothing method. From calculations using the Double Exponential Smoothing method, 20 students are forecasted with α = 1 and β = 0.525806, with a MAPE value of 39% categorized as acceptable. This forecast functionally assists SD Negeri 5 Dampit in preparing potential new students according to adequate facilities while maintaining the quality and quantity of education in line with applicable policies
Masjid Al-Huda Universitas Merdeka Malang: Proyek Design and Build
Full text linkDesign and Build (DB) project is implemented, because of its complexity and urgency. Because of the urgency to be functione, Al-Huda Mosque of Unmer Malang project was implemented using this DB system. It was said that the mosque had to be functioned by March 2023, when the Ramadhan session began. Due the limited time, the DB system was chosen. The DB system integrated design team and build team as one
team work. The aim of this study is describe the implementation of DB project of Al-Huda Mosque. Descriptive-depictive method was used to elaborate process of the DB project. Some factors were significant for the project completion. The ability of design team, the ability of construction team, the ability of project manager and the ability of the owner played dominant roles. The design team worked fast because of the contextual concept to design similar with the former buildings around the campus. As one team, every week each role met, coordinated intensively to evaluate the progress and minimalized conflicts. The intensive coordination was managed to meet the goals; providing DED, contracts and procurement documents. The changes of job volume affected the progress, that’s why the project factor needed to be defined clearly. From the hard process at last project completed, indicated by the operation of the mosque in the beginning
of Ramadhan 2023. From the DB project, it was recommended to sort the job description clearly to minimalize the conficts although in DB system the DB team worked as one
Korean Wave Culture dalam video on demand ( Pengaruh audiens atas budaya Korea dalam program variety show Running Man )
Full text linkSouth Korean culture or what can be called the Korean Wave has spread throughout the world, including Indonesia. The Korean Wave itself spreads from various fields, such as songs, drama, language, games, even variety show programs can also be used as intermediaries to spread culture. One of the interesting and unique variety show programs is Running Man. The Running Man program can not only be enjoyed and seen by Korean citizens, but the whole world can also watch it using video streaming technology called Video on Demand (VoD). The method used in this research is descriptive quantitative and descriptive quantitative research, data collection using questionnaires, with young adult subjects aged 16-29 years who have watched Running Man. The research results showed that the results of the questionnaire distribution included 26 respondents in the city of Malang aged around 16 to 29 years. So there are around 96.2% of them who know the variety show program Running Man, there are 92.3% who have watched the variety show program Running Man and there are as many as 7 people watching more than 300 episodes and 9 people watching 1-50 episodes of more than 600 episodes broadcast
Sistem Pengendalian Persediaan Bahan Baku Air Minum Dalam Kemasan (Amdk) Pada Perum Jasa Tirta 1
Full text linkThis researcher aims to find out how the raw material inventory control system is inBottled Drinking Water (AMDK) Perum Jasa Tirta I. The inventory control system isa mechanism used by companies to manage their stock of goods. The goal is to ensurethat inventory is sufficient to meet customer demand without running out of stock.Having too many unsold items can increase storage costs. This research method usesa qualitative method by conducting interviews. The data source for this study is primarydata obtained from research interviews and observations. From the results of thisstudy, it can be concluded that the results of the raw material inventory control systemare still simple, namely if the number of orders is greater, the company will make moreinventory, and vice versa if the order is small, the company will reduce inventor
Pengaruh Perubahan Organisasi dan Budaya Kerja terhadap Kinerja Pegawai di Kantor Kelurahan Wlingi Kabupaten Blitar
Full text linkThis research examines the influence of organizational changes and work culture in theWlingi Village office (Case Study on Wlingi Village Employee Performance). TheApproach was to used to conduct this study a questionnaire method for Walingisubdistrict office employees. The sample in this study consisted of 50 respondents.
This research aims to determine the influence of organizational changes and work cultureon employee performance at the Wlingi sub-district office partially, simultaneously andthe variables that have a more dominant influence on employee performance at theWlingi sub-district office.
The results of this research show that t test data (partial) organizational changes do nothave a significant effect on the performance of sub-district office employees,organizational changes have a significant effect on employee performance, and workculture has a significant effect on employee performance. The f test data (simultaneous)concluded that together there is an influence between organizational changes and workculture on employee performance. This means that the independent variable does nothave a partial effect on employee performance but has a simultaneous effect. Workculture variables have a dominant influence on employee performance