17 research outputs found
Exploring the cost-effectiveness of high versus low perioperative fraction of inspired oxygen in the prevention of surgical site infections among abdominal surgery patients in three low- and middle-income countries
No full textBackground: This study assessed the potential cost-effectiveness of high (80–100%) vs low (21–35%) fraction of inspired oxygen (FiO2) at preventing surgical site infections (SSIs) after abdominal surgery in Nigeria, India, and South Africa. Methods: Decision-analytic models were constructed using best available evidence sourced from unbundled data of an ongoing pilot trial assessing the effectiveness of high FiO2, published literature, and a cost survey in Nigeria, India, and South Africa. Effectiveness was measured as percentage of SSIs at 30 days after surgery, a healthcare perspective was adopted, and costs were reported in US dollars (216 compared with 6 (95% confidence interval [CI]: −1) difference in costs. In India, the average cost for high FiO2 was 195 for low FiO2 leading to a −15 to −1164 compared with 93 (95% CI: −65) difference in costs. The high FiO2 arm had few SSIs, 7.33% compared with 8.38% for low FiO2, leading to a −1.05 (95% CI: −1.14 to −0.90) percentage point reduction in SSIs. Conclusion: High FiO2 could be cost-effective at preventing SSIs in the three countries but further data from large clinical trials are required to confirm this. © 2023 The Author
Global variation in anastomosis and end colostomy formation following left-sided colorectal resection
No full textnone3427noBackground: End colostomy rates following colorectal resection vary across institutions in high-income settings, being influenced by patient, disease, surgeon and system factors. This study aimed to assess global variation in end colostomy rates after left-sided colorectal resection. Methods: This study comprised an analysis of GlobalSurg-1 and-2 international, prospective, observational cohort studies (2014, 2016), including consecutive adult patients undergoing elective or emergency left-sided colorectal resection within discrete 2-week windows. Countries were grouped into high-, middle-and low-income tertiles according to the United Nations Human Development Index (HDI). Factors associated with colostomy formation versus primary anastomosis were explored using a multilevel, multivariable logistic regression model. Results: In total, 1635 patients from 242 hospitals in 57 countries undergoing left-sided colorectal resection were included: 113 (6·9 per cent) from low-HDI, 254 (15·5 per cent) from middle-HDI and 1268 (77·6 percent) from high-HDI countries. There was a higher proportion of patients with perforated disease (57·5, 40·9 and 35·4 per cent; P < 0·001) and subsequent use of end colostomy (52·2, 24·8 and 18·9 per cent; P < 0·001) in low-compared with middle-and high-HDI settings. The association with colostomy use in low-HDI settings persisted (odds ratio (OR) 3·20, 95 per cent c.i. 1·35 to 7·57; P = 0·008) after risk adjustment for malignant disease (OR 2·34, 1·65 to 3·32; P < 0·001), emergency surgery (OR 4·08, 2·73 to 6·10; P < 0·001), time to operation at least 48 h (OR 1·99, 1·28 to 3·09; P = 0·002) and disease perforation (OR 4·00, 2·81 to 5·69; P < 0·001). Conclusion: Global differences existed in the proportion of patients receiving end stomas after left-sided colorectal resection based on income, which went beyond case mix alone.noneGlasbey, James C; Adisa, Adewale O; Costas‐Chavarri, Ainhoa; Qureshi, Ahmad U; Allen‐Ingabire, Jean C; Salem, Hosni Khairy; Kojo, Anyomih Theophilus Teddy; Tabiri, Stephen; Nepogodiev, Dmitri; Lilford, Richard J; Harrison, Ewen M; Pinkney, Thomas D; Smart, Neil; Bhangu, Aneel; Verjee, Azmina; Runigamugabo, Emmy; Glasbey, James; Bhangu, Aneel; Ademuyiwa, Adesoji O; Adisa, Adewale O; Aguilera, Maria Lorena; Altamini, Afnan; Alexander, Philip; Al‐Saqqa, Sara W; Borda‐Luque, Giuliano; Cornick, Jen; Costas‐Chavarri, Ainhoa; Drake, Thomas M; Fergusson, Stuart J; Fitzgerald, J Edward; Glasbey, James; Ingabire, J.C Allen; Ismaïl, Lawani; Jaffry, Zahra; Salem, Hosni Khairy; Khatri, Chetan; Kirby, Andrew; Kojo, Anyomih Theophilus Teddy; Lapitan, Marie Carmela; Lilford, Richard; Mihaljevic, Andre L; Mohan, Midhun; Morton, Dion; Mutabazi, Alphonse Zeta; Nepogodiev, Dmitri; Ntirenganya, Faustin; Ots, Riinu; Pata, Francesco; Pinkney, Thomas; Poškus, Tomas; Qureshi, Ahmad Uzair; Medina, Antonio Ramos‐De; Rayne, Sarah; Recinos, Gustavo; Søreide, Kjetil; Shaw, Catherine A; Shu, Sebastian; Spence, Richard; Smart, Neil; Tabiri, Stephen; Lilford, Richard; Morton, Dion; Harrison, Ewen M; Bhangu, Aneel; Khatri, Chetan; Gobin, Neel; Freitas, Ana Vega; Hall, Nigel; Kim, Sung‐Hee; Negida, Ahmed; Khairy, Hosni; Jaffry, Zahra; Chapman, Stephen J; Arnaud, Alexis P; Tabiri, Stephen; Recinos, Gustavo; Manipal, Cutting Edge; Mohan, Midhun; Amandito, Radhian; Shawki, Marwan; Hanrahan, Michael; Pata, Francesco; Zilinskas, Justas; Roslani, April Camilla; Goh, Cheng Chun; Ademuyiwa, Adesoji O; Irwin, Gareth; Shu, Sebastian; Luque, Laura; Shiwani, Hunain; Altamimi, Afnan; Alsaggaf, Mohammed Ubaid; Fergusson, Stuart J; Spence, Richard; Rayne, Sarah; Jeyakumar, Jenifa; Cengiz, Yucel; Raptis, Dmitri A; Glasbey, James C; Modolo, Maria Marta; Iyer, Dushyant; King, Sebastian; Arthur, Tom; Nahar, Sayeda Nazmum; Waterman, Ade; Ismaïl, Lawani; Walsh, Michael; Agarwal, Arnav; Zani, Augusto; Firdouse, Mohammed; Rouse, Tyler; Liu, Qinyang; Correa, Juan Camilo; Salem, Hosni Khairy; Talving, Peep; Worku, Mengistu; Arnaud, Alexis; Tabiri, Stephen; Kalles, Vassilis; Aguilera, Maria Lorena; Recinos, Gustavo; Kumar, Basant; Kumar, Sunil; Amandito, Radhian; Quek, Roy; Pata, Francesco; Ansaloni, Luca; Altibi, Ahmed; Venskutonis, Donatas; Zilinskas, Justas; Poskus, Tomas; Whitaker, John; Msosa, Vanessa; Tew, Yong Yong; Farrugia, Alexia; Borg, Elaine; Medina, Antonio Ramos‐De; Bentounsi, Zineb; Ademuyiwa, Adesoji O; Søreide, Kjetil; Gala, Tanzeela; Al‐Slaibi, Ibrahim; Tahboub, Haya; Alser, Osaid H.; Romani, Diego; Shu, Sebestian; Major, Piotr; Mironescu, Aurel; Bratu, Matei; Kourdouli, Amar; Ndajiwo, Aliyu; Altwijri, Abdulaziz; Alsaggaf, Mohammed Ubaid; Gudal, Ahmad; Jubran, Al Faifi; Seisay, Sam; Lieske, Bettina; Rayne, Sarah; Spence, Richard; Ortega, Irene; Jeyakumar, Jenifa; Senanayake, Kithsiri J.; Abdulbagi, Omar; Cengiz, Yucel; Raptis, Dmitri; Altinel, Yuksel; Kong, Chia; Teasdale, Ella; Irwin, Gareth; Stoddart, Michael; Kabariti, Rakan; Suresh, Sukrit; Gash, Katherine; Narayanan, Ragavan; Maimbo, Mayaba; Fermani, Claudio; Balmaceda, Ruben; Modolo, Maria Marta; Macdermid, Ewan; Gobin, Neel; Chenn, Roxanne; Yong, Cheryl Ou; Edye, Michael; Jarmin, Martin; D'amours, Scott K; Iyer, Dushyant; Youssef, Daniel; Phillips, Nicholas; Brown, Jason; George, Robert; Koh, Cherry; Warren, Oliver; Hanley, Isaac; Dickfos, Marilla; Nawara, Clemens; Öfner, Dietmar; Primavesi, Florian; Mitul, Ashrarur Rahman; Mahmud, Khalid; Hussain, Margub; Hakim, Hafiz; Kumar, Tapan; Oosterkamp, Antje; Assouto, Pamphile A; Lawani, Ismail; Souaibou, Yacoubou Imorou; Tun, Aung Kyaw; Chong, Chean Leung; Devadasar, Giridhar H; Chong, Chean Leung; Qadir, Muhammad Rashid Minhas; Aung, Kyaw Phyo; Yeo, Lee Shi; Chong, Chean Leung; Castillo, Vanessa Dina Palomino; Munhoz, Monique Moron; Moreira, Gisele; De Castro Segundo, Luiz Carlos Barros; Ferreira, Salim Anderson Khouri; Careta, Maíra Cassa; Kim, Stella Binna; De Sousa, Alexandre Venancio; Cury, Alyne Daltri Lazzarini; Miguel, Gustavo Peixoto Soares; De Freitas, Ana Vega Carreiro; Guasti, Barbara Pereira Silvestre Julia; Vianna, Pinto; Felipe, Carolina Oliveira; Laufer, Luis Alberto Valente; Altoe, Fernanda; Da Silva, Luana Ayres; Pimenta, Marina Luiza; Giuriato, Thiago Fernandes; Morais, Paulo Alves Bezerra; Araujo, Jessica Souza Luiz Rafael; Menegussi, Juliana; Leal, Marisa; Lima, Caio Vinícius Barroso; Tatagiba, Luiza Sarmento; Leal, Antônio; Santos, Diogo Vinicius; Fraga, Gustavo Pereira; Simoes, Romeo Lages; Stock, Simon; Nigo, Samuel; Kabba, Juana; Ngwa, Tagang Ebogo; Brown, James; King, Sebastian; Zani, Augusto; Azzie, Georges; Firdouse, Mohammed; Kushwaha, Sameer; Agarwal, Arnav; Bailey, Karen; Cameron, Brian; Livingston, Michael; Horobjowsky, Alexandre; Deckelbaum, Dan L; Razek, Tarek; Marinkovic, Boris; Grasset, Eugenio; D'aguzan, Nicole; Grasset, Eugenio; Jimenez, Julio; Macchiavello, Roberto; Zhang, Zhongtao; Guo, Wei; Oh, Junyeong; Zheng, Fei; Montes, Irene; Sierra, Sebastian; Mendez, Manuela; Villegas, Maria Isabel; Arango, Maria Clara Mendoza; Mendoza, Ivan; Naranjo Aristizã¡bal, Fred Alexander; Botero, Jaime Andres Montoya; Riaza, Victor Manuel Quintero; Restrepo, Jakeline; Morales, Carlos; Arango, Maria Clara Mendoza; Cruz, Herman; Munera, Alejandro; Arango, Maria Clara Mendoza; Karlo, Robert; Domini, Edgar; Mihanovic, Jakov; Radic, Mihael; Zamarin, Kresimir; Pezelj, Nikica; Hache‐Marliere, Manuel; Lemaire, Sylvia Batista; Rivas, Ruben; Khyrallh, Ahmed; Hassan, Ahamed; Shimy, Gamal; Baky Fahmy, Mohamed A; Nabawi, Ayman; Elfil, Mohamed; Ghoneem, Mohamed; Gohar, Muhammad El‐Saied Ahmad Muhammad; Asal, Mohamed; Abdelkader, Mostafa; Gomah, Mahmoud; Rashwan, Hayssam; Karkeet, Mohamed; Gomaa, Ahmed; Hasan, Amr; Elgebaly, Ahmed; Saleh, Omar; Fattah, Ahmad Abdel; Gouda, Abdullah; Elshafay, Abd Elrahman; Gharib, Abdalla; Menshawy, Ahmed; Hanafy, Mohammed; Al‐Mallah, Abdullah; Abdulgawad, Mahmoud; Baheeg, Mohamad; Alhendy, Mohammed; AbdelFattah, Ibrahim; Kenibar, Abdalla; Osman, Omar; Gemeah, Mostafa; Mohammed, Ahmed; Adel, Abdalrahman; Gharib, Abdalla; Mohammed, Abdelrahman; Sayed, Abdelrahman; Abozaid, Mohamed; Kotb, Ahmed Hafez El‐Badri; Ata, Ali Amin Ahmed; Nasr, Mohammed; Alkammash, Abdelrahman; Saeed, Mohammed; El Hamid, Nader Abd; Attia, Attia Mohamed; El Galeel, Ahmed Abd; Elbanby, Eslam; El‐Dien, Khalid Salah; Hantour, Usama; Alahmady, Omar; Mansour, Billal; Elkorashy, Amr Muhammad; Taha, Emad Mohamed Saeed; Lasheen, Kholod Tarek; Elkolaly, Salma Said; Abdel‐Wahab, Nehal Yosri Elsayed; Abozyed, Mahmoud Ahmed Fathi; Adel, Ahmed; Saeed, Ahmed Moustafa; El Sayed, Gehad Samir; Youssif, Jehad Hassan; Ahmed, Soliman Magdy; El‐Shahat, Nermeen Soubhy; Khedr, Abd El‐Rahman Hegazy; Elsebaaye, Abdelrhman Osama; Elzayat, Mohamed; Abdelraheim, Mohamed; Elzayat, Ibrahim; Warda, Mahmoud; El Deen, Khaled Naser; Elnemr, Abdelrhman Essam; Salah, Omar; Abbas, Mohamed; Rashad, Mona; Elzayyat, Ibrahim; Hemeda, Dalia; Tawfik, Gehad; Salama, Mai; Khaled, Hazem; Seisa, Mohamed; Elshaer, Kareem; Hussein, Abdelfatah; Elkhadrawi, Mahmoud; Afifi, Ahmed Mohamed; Ebrahim, Osama Saadeldeen; Metwally, Mahmoud Mohamed; Elmelegy, Rowida; Elsawahly, Diaa Moustafa Elbendary; Safa, Hisham; Nofal, Eman; Elbermawy, Mohamed; Ghazy, Ahmed Abdelmotaleb; Samih, Hisham; Abdelgelil, Asmaa; Abdelghany, Sarah; El Kholy, Ahmed; Aboraya, Metwally; Elkady, Fatma; Salma, Mahmoud; Samy, Sarah; Fakher, Reem; Aboarab, Aya; Samir, Ahmed; Sakr, Ahmed; Haroun, Abdelrahman; Al‐Aarag, Asmaa Abdel‐Rahman; Elkholy, Ahmed; Elshanwany, Sally; Ghanem, Esraa; Tammam, Ahmed; Hammad, Ali Mohamed; El Shoura, Yousra; El Ashal, Gehad; Khairy, Hosni; Antar, Sarah; Mehrez, Sara; Abdelshafy, Mahmoud; Hamad, Maha Gamal Mohamad; Hosh, Mona; Abdallah, Emad; Magdy, Basma; Alzayat, Thuraya; Gamaly, Elsayed; Elfeki, Hossam; Abouzahra, Amany; Elsheikh, Shereen; Elgendy, Fatimah I; El‐Salam, Fathia Abd; Seifelnasr, Osama; Ammar, Mohamed; Eysa, Athar; Sadek, Aliaa; Toeema, Aliaa Gamal; Nasr, Aly; Abuseif, Mohamed; Zidan, Hagar; Barakat, Sara Abd Elmageed; Elsayed, Nadin; Elrasoul, Yasmin Abd; Elkelany, Ahmed; Ammar, Mohamed Sabry; Mustafa, Mennat‐Allah; Hegazy, Yasmin; Etman, Mohamed; Saad, Samar; Alrahawy, Mahmoud; Raslan, Ahmed; Morsi, Mahmoud; Rslan, Ahmed; Sabry, Ahmed; Elwakil, Hager; Shaker, Heba; Zidan, Hagar; Abd‐Elrasoul, Yasmin; Elkelany, Ahmed; El‐Kashef, Hussein; Shaalan, Mohamed; Tarek, Areej; Elwan, Ayman; Nayel, Ahmed Ragab; Seif, Mostafa; Elwan, Ayman; Emadeldin, Doaa; Ghonaim, Mohamed Ali; Almallah, Ahmad; Fouad, Ahmed; Sayma, Eman Adel; Elbatahgy, Ahmad; El‐Ma'doul, Angham Solaiman; Mosad, Ahmed; Tolba, Hager; Elsorogy, Diaa Eldin Abdelazeem Amin; Mostafa, Hassan Ali; Omar, Amira Atef; El Hameed, Ola Sherief Abd; Lasheen, Ahmed; El Salam, Yasser Abd; Morsi, Ashraf; Ismail, Mohammed; El‐badawy, Hager Ahmed; Amer, Mohamed A; Elkelany, Ahmed; Elkelany, Ahmed; El‐Hamouly, Ahmed Sabry; Attallah, Noura A.; Mosalum, Omnia; Afandy, Ahmed; Mokhtar, Ahmed; Abouelnasr, Alaa; Ayad, Sara; Shaker, Ramdan; Sakr, Rokia; Shaker, Ramadan; Amreia, Mahmoud; Elsobky, Soaad; Mustafa, Mohamed; El Magd, Ahmed Abo; Marey, Abeer; Hafez, Amr Tarek; Zalabia, Mohamed F; Mohamed, Mohamed Moamen; Fadel, Amr; Ahmed, Emad Ali; Ali, Ahmad; Alwafai, Mohammad Ghassan; Dwydar, Abdullah; Kharsa, Sara; Mamdouh, Ehab; El‐Sheemy, Hatem; AlYoussef, Ibrahim; Aly, Abouelatta Khairy; Aldalaq, Ahmad; Alnawam, Ehab; Alkhabbaz, Dalia; Saad, Mahmoud; Hussein, Shady; Elazayem, Ahmed Abo; Meshref, Ahmed; Elashmawy, Marwa; Mousa, Mohammed; Nashaat, Ahmad; Ghanem, Sara; Elsayed, Zaynab M; Elwaey, Aya; Elkadsh, Iman; Darweesh, Mariam; Mohameden, Ahmed; Hafez, Mennaallah; Badr, Ahmed; Badwy, Assmaa; El Slam, Mohamed Abd; Elazoul, Mohamed; Al‐Nahrawi, Safwat; Eldamaty, Lotfy; Nada, Fathee; Ameen, Mohamed; Hagar, Aya; Elsehimy, Mohamed; Aboraya, Mohammad; Dawoud, Hossam; El Mesery, Shorouk; El Gendy, Abeer; Abdelkareem, Ahmed; Marey, Ahmed Safwan; Allam, Mostafa; Shehata, Sherif; Abozeid, Khaled; Elshobary, Marwa; Fahiem, Ahmed; Sarsik, Sameh; Hashish, Amel; Zidan, Mohamed; Hashish, Mohamed; Aql, Shaimaa; Elhendawy, Abdelaziz Osman Abdelaziz; Husseini, Mohamed; Kasem, Esraa; Gheith, Ahmed; Elfouly, Yasmin; Soliman, Ahmed Ragab; Ibrahim, Yasmein; Elfouly, Nesma; Fawzy, Ahmed; Hassan, Ahmed; Rashid, Mohammad; Elsherbiny, Abdallah Salah; Sieda, Basem; Badwi, Nermin M; Mohammed, Mohammed Mustafa Hassan; Mohamed, Osama; Habeeb, Mohammad Abdulkhalek; Worku, Mengistu; Starr, Nichole; Desta, Semay; Wondimu, Sahlu; Abebe, Nebyou Seyoum; Thomas, Efeson; Asele, Frehun Ayele; Dabessa, Daniel; Abebe, Nebiyou Seyoum; Zerihun, Abebe Bekele; Mentula, Panu; Leppäniemi, Ari; Sallinen, Ville; Scalabre, Aurelien; Frade, Fernanda; Irtan, Sabine; Graffeille, Vivien; Gaignard, Elodie; Alimi, Quentin; Alimi, Quentin; Graffieille, Vivien; Gaignard, Elodie; Abbo, Olivier; Mouttalib, Sofia; Bouali, Ourdia; Hervieux, Erik; Aigrain, Yves; Botto, Nathalie; Faure, Alice; Fievet, Lucile; Panait, Nicoleta; Eyssartier, Emilie; Schmitt, Francoise; Podevin, Guillaume; Parent, Valentine; Martin, Amandine; Arnaud, Alexis Pierre; Muller, Cecile; Bonnard, Arnaud; Peycelon, Matthieu; Abantanga, Francis; Boakye‐Yiadom, Kwaku; Bukari, Mohammed; Owusu, Frank; Awuku‐Asabre, Joseph; Tabiri, Stephen; Bray, Lemuel Davies; Lytras, Dimitrios; Psarianos, Kyriakos; Bamicha, Anastasia; Kefalidi, Eirini; Gemenetzis, Georgios; Dervenis, Christos; Gouvas, Nikolaos; Agalianos, Christos; Kontos, Michail; Kouraklis, Gregory; Karousos, Dimitrios; Germanos, Stylianos; Marinos, Constantinos; Anthoulakis, Christos; Nikoloudis, Nikolaos; Mitroudis, Nikolaos; Recinos, Gustavo; Estupinian, Sergio; Forno, Walter; Azmitia, José René Arévalo; Cabrera, Carla Cecilia Ramãrez; Guevara, Romeo; Aguilera, Maria; Mendez, Napoleon; Mendizabal, Cesar Augusto Azmitia; Ramazzini, Pablo; Urquizu, Mario Contreras; Tale, Fernando; Soley, Rafael; Barrios, Emanuel; Barrios, Emmanuel; Rodríguez, Daniel Estuardo Marroquín; Velásquez, Carlos Iván Pérez; Mérida, Sara María Contreras; Regalado, Francisco; Lopez, Mario; Siguantay, Miguel; Lam, Fong Yee; Szeto, Kylie Joan‐yi; Szeto, Charing Cheuk Ling; Li, Wing Sum; Li, Kieran Ka Kei; Leung, Man Fung; Mak, Tony; Ng, Simon; Prasad, SS; Kirishnan, Anand; Gyanchandani, Nidhi; Kumar, Bylapudi Seshu; Rangarajan, Muthukumaran; Bhat, Sriram; Sreedharan, Anjana; Kinnera, S.V.; Reddy, Yella; Venugopal, Caranj; Kumar, Sunil; Mittal, Abhishek; Nadkarni, Shravan; Lakshmi, Harish Neelamraju; Malik, Puneet; Limaye, Neel; Pai, Srinivas; Jain, Pratik; Khajanchi, Monty; Satoskar, Savni; Satoskar, Rajeev; Mahamood, Abid Bin; Sutanto, Eldaa Prisca Refianti; Soeselo, Daniel Ardian; Tedjaatmadja, Chintya; Rahmawati, Fitriana Nur; Amandito, Radhian; Mayasari, Maria; Al‐Hasani, Ruqaya Kadhim Mohammed Jawad; Al‐Hameedi, Hasan Ismael Ibraheem; Ibraheem, Hasan Ismael; Al‐Azraqi, Israa Abdullah Aziz; Sabeeh, Lubna; Kamil, Rahma; Shawki, Marwan; Telfah, Muwaffaq Mezeil; Rasendran, Amoudtha; Sheehan, Jacqueline; Kerley, Robert; Normile, Caoimhe; Gilbert, Richard William; Song, Jiheon; Dablouk, Mohamed; Mauro, Linnea; Dablouk, Mohammed Osman; Hanrahan, Michael; Kielty, Paul; Marks, Eleanor; Gosling, Simon; Mccarthy, Michelle; Rasendran, Amoudtha; Mirghani, Diya; Naqvi, Syed Altaf; Wong, Chee Siong; Chung, Siyi; D'cruz, Reuban; Cahill, Ronan; Gosling, Simon George; Mccarthy, Michelle; Rasendran, Amoudtha; Fahy, Ciara; Song, Jiheon; Hanrahan, Michael; Cadogan, Diana Duarte; Powell, Anna; Gilbert, Richard; Clifford, Caroline; Normile, Caoimhe; Driscoll, Aoife; Paul, Stassen; Lee, Chris; Bowe, Ross; Hutch, William; Hanrahan, Michael; Mohan, Helen; O'neill, Maeve; Mealy, Kenneth; Danelli, Piergiorgio; Bondurri, Andrea; Maffioli, Anna; Pasini, Mario; Pata, Giacomo; Roncali, Stefano; Silvani, Paolo; Carlucci, Michele; Faccincani, Roberto; Bonavina, Luigi; Macchitella, Yuri; Ceriani, Chiara; Tugnoli, Gregorio; Di Saverio, Salomone; Khattab, Khaled; Paludi, Miguel Angel; Pata, Domenica; Cloro, Luigi Maria; Allegri, Andrea; Ansaloni, Luca; Coccolini, Federico; Veronese, Ezio; Bortolasi, Luca; Hasheminia, Alireza; Nastri, Giacomo; Canto, Massimiliano Dal; Cucumazzo, Stefano; Pata, Francesco; Benevento, Angelo; Tessera, Gaetano; Grandinetti, Pier Paolo; Maniscalco, Alessio; Lamanna, Giovanni Luca; Turati, Luca; Sgroi, Giovanni; Rausa, Emanuele; Villa, Roberta; Monteleone, Michela; Merlini, David; Coccolini, Federico; Ansaloni, Luca; Allegri, Andrea; Grassi, Veronica; Cirocchi, Roberto; Cacurri, Alban; Waleed, Hamza; Diab, Ahmed; Elzowawi, Fathi; Jokubauskas, Mantas; Varkalys, Karolis; Venskutonis, Donatas; Pranevicius, Robertas; Ambrozeviciute, Viktorija; Juciute, Simona; Skardžiukaitė, Austė; Venskutonis, Donatas; Bradulskis, Saulius; Urbanavicius, Linas; Austraite, Aiste; Riauka, Romualdas; Zilinskas, Justas; Dambrauskas, Zilvinas; Karumnas, Paulius; Urniezius, Zigmantas; Zilinskiene, Reda; Rudzenskaite, Anele; Usaityte, Ausrine; Montrimaite, Margarita; Kaselis, Nerijus; Strazdas, Andrius; Jokubonis, Kristijonas; Maceviciute, Kornelija; Beisa, Virgilijus; Poskus, Tomas; Strupas, Kestutis; Laugzemys, Erikas; Kolosov, Andrej; Jotautas, Valdemaras; Rakita, Ignas; Mikalauskas, Saulius; Kazanavicius, Darius; Rackauskas, Rokas; Strupas, Kestutis; Poskus, Tomas; Beisa, Virgilijus; Rakauskas, Ritauras; Preckailaite, Egle; Coomber, Ross; Johnson, Kenneth; Nowers, Jennifer; Periasammy, Dineshwary; Salleh, Afizah; Das, Andre; Tze, Reuben Goh Ern; Kumar, Milaksh Nirumal; Abdullah, Nik Azim Nik; Kosai, Nik Ritza; Taher, Mustafa; Rajan, Reynu; Chong, Hoong Yin; Roslani, April Camilla; Goh, Cheng Chun; Agius, Marija; Borg, Elaine; Bezzina, Maureen; Bugeja, Roberta; Vella‐Baldacchino, Martinique; Spina, Andrew; Psaila, Josephine; Francois‐Coridon, Helene; Tolg, Cecilia; Colombani, Jean‐Francois; Diaz‐Zorrilla, Carmina; De La Medina, Antonio Ramos‐; Gonzalez, Samantha Corro‐Diaz; Jacobe, Mário; Mapasse, Domingos; Snyder, Elizabeth; Oumer, Ramadan; Osman, Mohammed; Mohammad, Aminu; Anyanwu, Lofty‐John; Sheshe, Abdulrahman; Adesina, Alaba; Faturoti, Olubukola; Taiwo, Ogechukwu; Ibrahim, Muhammad Habib; Nasir, Abdulrasheed A; Suleiman, Siyaka Itopa; Adeniyi, Adewale; Adesanya, Opeoluwa; Adebanjo, Ademola; Osuoji, Roland; Atobatele, Kazeem; Ogunyemi, Ayokunle; Williams, Omolara; Oludara, Mobolaji; Oshodi, Olabode; Ademuyiwa, Adesoji; Lawal, AbdulRazzaq Oluwagbemiga; Alakaloko, Felix; Elebute, Olumide; Osinowo, Adedapo; Bode, Christopher; Adesuyi, Abidemi; Tade, Adesoji; Adekoya, Adeleke; Nwokoro, Collins; Ayandipo, Omobolaji O; Lawal, Taiwo Akeem; Ajao, Akinlabi E; Ali, Samuel Sani; Odeyemi, Babatunde; Olori, Samson; Popoola, Ademola; Adeyeye, Ademola; Adeniran, James; Lossius, William J.; Havemann, Ingemar; Thorsen, Kenneth; Narvestad, Jon Kristian; Soreide, Kjetil; Wold, Trude Beate; Nymo, Linn; Elsiddig, Mohammed; Dar, Manzoor; Bhopal, Kamran Faisal; Iftikhar, Zainab; Furqan, Muhammad Mohsin; Nighat, Bakhtiar; Jawaid, Masood; Khalique, Abdul; Zil‐E‐Ali, Ahsan; Rashid, Anam; Dharamshi, Hasnain Abbas; Naqvi, Tahira; Faraz, Ahmad; Anwar, Abdul Wahid; Yaseen, Tahir Muhammad; Shamsi, Ghina Shamim; Shamsi, Ghina; Yaseen, Tahir; Anwer, Wahid; Decoud, Horacio Paredes; Aguilera, Omar; Alvarez, Ismael Isaac Zelada; Delgado, Juan Marcelo; Vega, Gustavo Miguel Machain; Lohse, Helmut Alfredo Segovia; Aguilar, Wendy Leslie Messa; Chiong, Jose Antonio Cabala; Bautista, Ana Cecilia Manchego; Huaman, Eduardo; Zegarra, Sergio; Camacho, Rony; Celis, Jose María Vergara; Pozo, Diego Alonso Romani; Hamasaki, José; Temoche, Edilberto; Herrera‐Matta, Jaime; Torres, Carla Pierina García; Barreda, Luis Miguel Alvarez; Ojeda, Ronald Renato Barrionuevo; Garaycochea, Octavio; Mollo, Melanie Castro; Delgado, Mitchelle Solange De Fã Tima Linare; Fujii, Francisco; Bautista, Ana Cecilia Manchego; Aguilar, Wendy Leslie Messa; Chiong, Jose Antonio Cabala; Durand, Susana Yrma Aranzabal; Basto, Carlos Alejandro Arroyo; Rojas, Nelson Manuel Urbina; Yip, Sebastian Bernardo Shu; Vergara, Ana Lucia Contreras; Moran, Andrea Echevarria Rosas; Luque, Giuliano Borda; Castro, Manuel Rodriguez; Jaramillo, Ramon Alvarado; Sila, George Manrique; Lopez, Crislee Elizabeth; De Leon, Mardelangel Zapata Ponze; Machaca, Massiell; Huaraya, Ronald Coasaca; Arenas, Andy; López, Crislee; Puma, Clara Milagros Herrera; Pino, Wilfredo; Hinojosa, Christian; De Leon, Melanie Zapata Ponze; Limache, Susan; Sila, George Manrrique; Rodriguez, Layza‐Alejandra Mercado; Melo, Renato; Costa‐Maia, Jose; Muralha, Nuno; Sauvat, Frederique; Dan, Ionasc; Hogea, Mircea; Eduard, Pandi; Bratu, Razvan‐Matei; Beuran, Mircea; Diaconescu, Ionut‐Bogdan; Martian, Bogdan‐Valeriu; Iordache, Florin‐Mihail; Vartic, Mihaela; Vida, Lucian Corneliu; Muntean, Liviu Iuliu; Mironescu, Aurel Sandu; Nsengimana, Vizir Jean Paul; Niragire, Alice; Ingabire, Jean De La Croix Allen; Niyirera, Eugene; Zanini, Nicola; Jovine, Elio; Landolfo, Giovanni; Alomar, Ibrahim N.; 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Global variation in anastomosis and end colostomy formation following left-sided colorectal resection
No full text3427sinoneBackground: End colostomy rates following colorectal resection vary across institutions in high-income settings, being influenced by patient, disease, surgeon and system factors. This study aimed to assess global variation in end colostomy rates after left-sided colorectal resection. Methods: This study comprised an analysis of GlobalSurg-1 and-2 international, prospective, observational cohort studies (2014, 2016), including consecutive adult patients undergoing elective or emergency left-sided colorectal resection within discrete 2-week windows. Countries were grouped into high-, middle-and low-income tertiles according to the United Nations Human Development Index (HDI). Factors associated with colostomy formation versus primary anastomosis were explored using a multilevel, multivariable logistic regression model. Results: In total, 1635 patients from 242 hospitals in 57 countries undergoing left-sided colorectal resection were included: 113 (6·9 per cent) from low-HDI, 254 (15·5 per cent) from middle-HDI and 1268 (77·6 percent) from high-HDI countries. There was a higher proportion of patients with perforated disease (57·5, 40·9 and 35·4 per cent; P < 0·001) and subsequent use of end colostomy (52·2, 24·8 and 18·9 per cent; P < 0·001) in low-compared with middle-and high-HDI settings. The association with colostomy use in low-HDI settings persisted (odds ratio (OR) 3·20, 95 per cent c.i. 1·35 to 7·57; P = 0·008) after risk adjustment for malignant disease (OR 2·34, 1·65 to 3·32; P < 0·001), emergency surgery (OR 4·08, 2·73 to 6·10; P < 0·001), time to operation at least 48 h (OR 1·99, 1·28 to 3·09; P = 0·002) and disease perforation (OR 4·00, 2·81 to 5·69; P < 0·001). Conclusion: Global differences existed in the proportion of patients receiving end stomas after left-sided colorectal resection based on income, which went beyond case mix alone.noneGlasbey, James C; Adisa, Adewale O; Costas‐Chavarri, Ainhoa; Qureshi, Ahmad U; Allen‐Ingabire, Jean C; Salem, Hosni Khairy; Kojo, Anyomih Theophilus Teddy; Tabiri, Stephen; Nepogodiev, Dmitri; Lilford, Richard J; Harrison, Ewen M; Pinkney, Thomas D; Smart, Neil; Bhangu, Aneel; Verjee, Azmina; Runigamugabo, Emmy; Glasbey, James; Bhangu, Aneel; Ademuyiwa, Adesoji O; Adisa, Adewale O; Aguilera, Maria Lorena; Altamini, Afnan; Alexander, Philip; Al‐Saqqa, Sara W; Borda‐Luque, Giuliano; Cornick, Jen; Costas‐Chavarri, Ainhoa; Drake, Thomas M; Fergusson, Stuart J; Fitzgerald, J Edward; Glasbey, James; Ingabire, J.C Allen; Ismaïl, Lawani; Jaffry, Zahra; Salem, Hosni Khairy; Khatri, Chetan; Kirby, Andrew; Kojo, Anyomih Theophilus Teddy; Lapitan, Marie Carmela; Lilford, Richard; Mihaljevic, Andre L; Mohan, Midhun; Morton, Dion; 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Sabeeh, Lubna; Kamil, Rahma; Shawki, Marwan; Telfah, Muwaffaq Mezeil; Rasendran, Amoudtha; Sheehan, Jacqueline; Kerley, Robert; Normile, Caoimhe; Gilbert, Richard William; Song, Jiheon; Dablouk, Mohamed; Mauro, Linnea; Dablouk, Mohammed Osman; Hanrahan, Michael; Kielty, Paul; Marks, Eleanor; Gosling, Simon; Mccarthy, Michelle; Rasendran, Amoudtha; Mirghani, Diya; Naqvi, Syed Altaf; Wong, Chee Siong; Chung, Siyi; D'cruz, Reuban; Cahill, Ronan; Gosling, Simon George; Mccarthy, Michelle; Rasendran, Amoudtha; Fahy, Ciara; Song, Jiheon; Hanrahan, Michael; Cadogan, Diana Duarte; Powell, Anna; Gilbert, Richard; Clifford, Caroline; Normile, Caoimhe; Driscoll, Aoife; Paul, Stassen; Lee, Chris; Bowe, Ross; Hutch, William; Hanrahan, Michael; Mohan, Helen; O'neill, Maeve; Mealy, Kenneth; Danelli, Piergiorgio; Bondurri, Andrea; Maffioli, Anna; Pasini, Mario; Pata, Giacomo; Roncali, Stefano; Silvani, Paolo; Carlucci, Michele; Faccincani, Roberto; Bonavina, Luigi; Macchitella, Yuri; Ceriani, Chiara; Tugnoli, Gregorio; Di Saverio, Salomone; Khattab, Khaled; Paludi, Miguel Angel; Pata, Domenica; Cloro, Luigi Maria; Allegri, Andrea; Ansaloni, Luca; Coccolini, Federico; Veronese, Ezio; Bortolasi, Luca; Hasheminia, Alireza; Nastri, Giacomo; Canto, Massimiliano Dal; Cucumazzo, Stefano; Pata, Francesco; Benevento, Angelo; Tessera, Gaetano; Grandinetti, Pier Paolo; Maniscalco, Alessio; Lamanna, Giovanni Luca; Turati, Luca; Sgroi, Giovanni; Rausa, Emanuele; Villa, Roberta; Monteleone, Michela; Merlini, David; Coccolini, Federico; Ansaloni, Luca; Allegri, Andrea; Grassi, Veronica; Cirocchi, Roberto; Cacurri, Alban; Waleed, Hamza; Diab, Ahmed; Elzowawi, Fathi; Jokubauskas, Mantas; Varkalys, Karolis; Venskutonis, Donatas; Pranevicius, Robertas; Ambrozeviciute, Viktorija; Juciute, Simona; Skardžiukaitė, Austė; Venskutonis, Donatas; Bradulskis, Saulius; Urbanavicius, Linas; Austraite, Aiste; Riauka, Romualdas; Zilinskas, Justas; Dambrauskas, Zilvinas; Karumnas, Paulius; Urniezius, Zigmantas; Zilinskiene, Reda; Rudzenskaite, Anele; Usaityte, Ausrine; Montrimaite, Margarita; Kaselis, Nerijus; Strazdas, Andrius; Jokubonis, Kristijonas; Maceviciute, Kornelija; Beisa, Virgilijus; Poskus, Tomas; Strupas, Kestutis; Laugzemys, Erikas; Kolosov, Andrej; Jotautas, Valdemaras; Rakita, Ignas; Mikalauskas, Saulius; Kazanavicius, Darius; Rackauskas, Rokas; Strupas, Kestutis; Poskus, Tomas; Beisa, Virgilijus; Rakauskas, Ritauras; Preckailaite, Egle; Coomber, Ross; Johnson, Kenneth; Nowers, Jennifer; Periasammy, Dineshwary; Salleh, Afizah; Das, Andre; Tze, Reuben Goh Ern; Kumar, Milaksh Nirumal; Abdullah, Nik Azim Nik; Kosai, Nik Ritza; Taher, Mustafa; Rajan, Reynu; Chong, Hoong Yin; Roslani, April Camilla; Goh, Cheng Chun; Agius, Marija; Borg, Elaine; Bezzina, Maureen; Bugeja, Roberta; Vella‐Baldacchino, Martinique; Spina, Andrew; Psaila, Josephine; Francois‐Coridon, Helene; Tolg, Cecilia; Colombani, Jean‐Francois; Diaz‐Zorrilla, Carmina; De La Medina, Antonio Ramos‐; Gonzalez, Samantha Corro‐Diaz; Jacobe, Mário; Mapasse, Domingos; Snyder, Elizabeth; Oumer, Ramadan; Osman, Mohammed; Mohammad, Aminu; Anyanwu, Lofty‐John; Sheshe, Abdulrahman; Adesina, Alaba; Faturoti, Olubukola; Taiwo, Ogechukwu; Ibrahim, Muhammad Habib; Nasir, Abdulrasheed A; Suleiman, Siyaka Itopa; Adeniyi, Adewale; Adesanya, Opeoluwa; Adebanjo, Ademola; Osuoji, Roland; Atobatele, Kazeem; Ogunyemi, Ayokunle; Williams, Omolara; Oludara, Mobolaji; Oshodi, Olabode; Ademuyiwa, Adesoji; Lawal, AbdulRazzaq Oluwagbemiga; Alakaloko, Felix; Elebute, Olumide; Osinowo, Adedapo; Bode, Christopher; Adesuyi, Abidemi; Tade, Adesoji; Adekoya, Adeleke; Nwokoro, Collins; Ayandipo, Omobolaji O; Lawal, Taiwo Akeem; Ajao, Akinlabi E; Ali, Samuel Sani; Odeyemi, Babatunde; Olori, Samson; Popoola, Ademola; Adeyeye, Ademola; Adeniran, James; Lossius, William J.; Havemann, Ingemar; Thorsen, Kenneth; Narvestad, Jon Kristian; Soreide, Kjetil; Wold, Trude Beate; Nymo, Linn; Elsiddig, Mohammed; Dar, Manzoor; Bhopal, Kamran Faisal; Iftikhar, Zainab; Furqan, Muhammad Mohsin; Nighat, Bakhtiar; Jawaid, Masood; Khalique, Abdul; Zil‐E‐Ali, Ahsan; Rashid, Anam; Dharamshi, Hasnain Abbas; Naqvi, Tahira; Faraz, Ahmad; Anwar, Abdul Wahid; Yaseen, Tahir Muhammad; Shamsi, Ghina Shamim; Shamsi, Ghina; Yaseen, Tahir; Anwer, Wahid; Decoud, Horacio Paredes; Aguilera, Omar; Alvarez, Ismael Isaac Zelada; Delgado, Juan Marcelo; Vega, Gustavo Miguel Machain; Lohse, Helmut Alfredo Segovia; Aguilar, Wendy Leslie Messa; Chiong, Jose Antonio Cabala; Bautista, Ana Cecilia Manchego; Huaman, Eduardo; Zegarra, Sergio; Camacho, Rony; Celis, Jose María Vergara; Pozo, Diego Alonso Romani; Hamasaki, José; Temoche, Edilberto; Herrera‐Matta, Jaime; Torres, Carla Pierina García; Barreda, Luis Miguel Alvarez; Ojeda, Ronald Renato Barrionuevo; Garaycochea, Octavio; Mollo, Melanie Castro; Delgado, Mitchelle Solange De Fã Tima Linare; Fujii, Francisco; Bautista, Ana Cecilia Manchego; Aguilar, Wendy Leslie Messa; Chiong, Jose Antonio Cabala; Durand, Susana Yrma Aranzabal; Basto, Carlos Alejandro Arroyo; Rojas, Nelson Manuel Urbina; Yip, Sebastian Bernardo Shu; Vergara, Ana Lucia Contreras; Moran, Andrea Echevarria Rosas; Luque, Giuliano Borda; Castro, Manuel Rodriguez; Jaramillo, Ramon Alvarado; Sila, George Manrique; Lopez, Crislee Elizabeth; De Leon, Mardelangel Zapata Ponze; Machaca, Massiell; Huaraya, Ronald Coasaca; Arenas, Andy; López, Crislee; Puma, Clara Milagros Herrera; Pino, Wilfredo; Hinojosa, Christian; De Leon, Melanie Zapata Ponze; Limache, Susan; Sila, George Manrrique; Rodriguez, Layza‐Alejandra Mercado; Melo, Renato; Costa‐Maia, Jose; Muralha, Nuno; Sauvat, Frederique; Dan, Ionasc; Hogea, Mircea; Eduard, Pandi; Bratu, Razvan‐Matei; Beuran, Mircea; Diaconescu, Ionut‐Bogdan; Martian, Bogdan‐Valeriu; Iordache, Florin‐Mihail; Vartic, Mihaela; Vida, Lucian Corneliu; Muntean, Liviu Iuliu; Mironescu, Aurel Sandu; Nsengimana, Vizir Jean Paul; Niragire, Alice; Ingabire, Jean De La Croix Allen; Niyirera, Eugene; Zanini, Nicola; Jovine, Elio; Landolfo, Giovanni; Alomar, Ibrahim N.; Alnuqaydan, Saleh A.; Altwigry, Abdulrahman M.; Othman, Moayad; Osman, Nohad; Alqahtani, Enas; Alzahrani, Mohammed; Alyami, Rifan; Aljohani, Emad; Alhabli, Ibrahim; Mikwar, Zaher; Almuallem, Sultan; Aljohani, Emad; Alyami, Rifan; Alzahrani, Mohammed; Nawawi, Abrar; Bakhaidar, Mohamad; Maghrabi, Ashraf A.; Alsaggaf, Mohammed; Aljiffry, Murad; Altaf, Abdulmalik; Khoja, Ahmad; Habeebullah, Alaa; Akeel, Nouf; Ghandora, Nashat; Almoflihi, Abdullah; Huwait, Abdulmalik; Al‐shammari, Abeer; Al‐Mousa, Mashael; Alghamdi, Masood; Adham, Walid; Albeladi, Bandar; Alfarsi, Muayad Ahmed; Mahdi, Atif; Al Awwad, Saad; Altamimi, Afnan; Nouh, Thamer; Hassanain, Mazen; Aldhafeeri, Salman; Sadig, Nawal; Algohary, Osama; Aledrisy, Mohannad; Gudal, Ahmad; Alrifaie, Ahmad; AlRowais, Mohammed; Althwainy, Amani; Shabkah, Alaa; Alamoudi, Uthman; Alrajraji, Mawaddah; Alghamdi, Basim; Aljohani, Saud; Daqeeq, Abdullah; Al‐Faifi, Jubran J; Jennings, Vicky;
Pooled analysis of WHO Surgical Safety Checklist use and mortality after emergency laparotomy
No full textBackground
The World Health Organization (WHO) Surgical Safety Checklist has fostered safe practice for 10 years, yet its place in emergency surgery has not been assessed on a global scale. The aim of this study was to evaluate reported checklist use in emergency settings and examine the relationship with perioperative mortality in patients who had emergency laparotomy.
Methods
In two multinational cohort studies, adults undergoing emergency laparotomy were compared with those having elective gastrointestinal surgery. Relationships between reported checklist use and mortality were determined using multivariable logistic regression and bootstrapped simulation.
Results
Of 12 296 patients included from 76 countries, 4843 underwent emergency laparotomy. After adjusting for patient and disease factors, checklist use before emergency laparotomy was more common in countries with a high Human Development Index (HDI) (2455 of 2741, 89·6 per cent) compared with that in countries with a middle (753 of 1242, 60·6 per cent; odds ratio (OR) 0·17, 95 per cent c.i. 0·14 to 0·21, P < 0·001) or low (363 of 860, 42·2 per cent; OR 0·08, 0·07 to 0·10, P < 0·001) HDI. Checklist use was less common in elective surgery than for emergency laparotomy in high‐HDI countries (risk difference −9·4 (95 per cent c.i. −11·9 to −6·9) per cent; P < 0·001), but the relationship was reversed in low‐HDI countries (+12·1 (+7·0 to +17·3) per cent; P < 0·001). In multivariable models, checklist use was associated with a lower 30‐day perioperative mortality (OR 0·60, 0·50 to 0·73; P < 0·001). The greatest absolute benefit was seen for emergency surgery in low‐ and middle‐HDI countries.
Conclusion
Checklist use in emergency laparotomy was associated with a significantly lower perioperative mortality rate. Checklist use in low‐HDI countries was half that in high‐HDI countries
Surgical site infection after gastrointestinal surgery in children: An international, multicentre, prospective cohort study
No full textSurgical site infection (SSI) is one of the most common healthcare-associated infections (HAIs). However, there is a lack of data available about SSI in children worldwide, especially from low-income and middle-income countries. This study aimed to estimate the incidence of SSI in children and associations between SSI and morbidity across human development settings
Global warming and malaria: a call for accuracy
No full textFor more than a decade, malaria has held a prominent place in speculations on the impacts of global climate change. Mathematical models that “predict? increases in the geographic distribution of malaria vectors and the prevalence of the disease have received wide publicity. Efforts to put the issue into perspective1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 are rarely quoted and have had little influence on the political debate. The model proposed by Frank C Tanser and colleagues6 in The Lancet and the accompanying Commentary by Simon Hales and Alistair Woodward7 are typically misleading examples.The relation between climate and malaria transmission is complex and varies according to location,2 yet Tanser et al base their projections on thresholds derived from a mere 15 African locations. Slight adjustments of values assigned to such thresholds and rules can influence spatial predictions strongly.8 The authors invest considerable effort in assessing the sensitivity of their model to climate change scenarios but do not report the internal sensitivities to thresholds and rules. The predictive skill of their model is low (63% sensitivity, 95% CI 61–65%) but they consider projections acceptable if prevalence is projected “to within a month? (presumably +/- 1 month?), thereby biasing their model towards success. A model covering an entire year in a parasite-positive site would always be correct, although in such areas it would be relatively insensitive to climate. By contrast, sites in which transmission is seasonal would provide a more reliable test of accuracy, but estimation is more difficult because climate sensitivity is greater. Furthermore, because parasite clearance in communities is not instantaneous,9 spot samples of parasitaemia on survey dates are not a suitable indicator of the duration of the transmission season. Lastly, “person/months? are unsuitable as a measure of transmission: an extension of season from 1 to 4 months will have more impact than from 10 to 12 months. According to their model, an extension of transmission from 11 to 12 months results in 106 more person/months in a population of 106 people, whereas an extension from 1 to 5 months gives the same increase in a population of 250·000.What Tanser and colleagues have modelled is merely the duration of the transmission season, which they interpret as “heightened transmission? and increased incidence. A greater failing is their reliance on “parasite-ratio studies?. The relations between transmission season and parasite prevalence, and parasite prevalence and clinical disease, are unclear but unlikely to be linear. Moreover, they use 1995 data for human populations, although these are projected to double by 2030. In addition, the proportion living in urban areas—with a specific climate10 and orders of magnitude less malaria transmission11 and 12—is projected to rise from 37% to 53%.13 For all these reasons, we do not accept the model as a “baseline against which interventions can be planned?.It is regrettable that many involved in this debate ignore the rich heritage of literature on the subject. For example, in 1937, in his classic textbook,14 L W Hackett stated: “Everything about malaria is so moulded and altered by local conditions that it becomes a thousand different diseases and epidemiological puzzles. Like chess, it is played with a few pieces, but is capable of an infinite variety of situations?. A pressing question in Hackett's time was the changing distribution of the disease in Europe. On the role of climate, he wrote: “Certainly, climate lays down the broad lines of malaria distribution…Nevertheless, although this is a very simple and plausible explanation…even the early malariologists felt that there was something unsatisfactory about it…malaria has not so much receded as it has contracted, oftentimes toward the north…Thus in Germany it is the northern coast which is still malarious, the south is free…There is, therefore, no climatic reason why (malaria) should have abandoned south Germany or the French Riviera?.We quote Hackett because we feel that the classic components of science—unbiased observation and systematic experimentation—cannot be sidestepped with models that omit many of his chess pieces. Yet Hales and Woodward7 begin by stating: “The present geographical distribution of malaria is explained by a combination of environmental factors (especially climate) and social factors (such as disease-control measures)?. In our opinion, “even the early malariologists? would surely disagree: much of the decline of malaria in Europe took place without control measures during a period when the climate was warming.The text by Hales and Woodward that follows displays a lack of knowledge. Thus, “Most people at risk of malaria live in areas of stable transmission…? is simply wrong. It is true that in many parts of the world malaria is termed “stable? because transmission remains relatively constant from year to year, the disease is endemic, the collective immunity is high, and epidemics are uncommon. However, in many other regions, the disease is endemic but “unstable? because annual transmission varies considerably, and the potential for epidemics is great. Climatic factors, particularly rainfall, are sometimes, but by no means always, relevant.15Again, “On the fringes of endemic zones, where transmission is limited by rainfall…there are strong seasonal patterns, and occasional major epidemics? is also wrong. In many regions, far from any “fringes?, malaria is endemic, stable, but highly seasonal. For example, in semi-arid regions of Mali, transmission is restricted to the rainy season, from July to September. The same 3 months constituted the transmission season for Plasmodium falciparum in Italy before it was eliminated.16 Paradoxically, in parts of the Sudan, rainfall is restricted to a month at most, but malaria is transmitted throughout the year. Female Anopheles gambiae survive drought and heat by resting in dwellings and other sheltered places.17 Blood feeding and transmission continue, but the mosquitoes do not develop eggs until the rains return. This phenomenon, termed gonotrophic dissociation, is remarkably similar to the winter survival strategy of Anopheles atroparvus, the principal vector of malaria in Holland until the mid 20th century.16By contrast, malaria is unstable in many regions that normally have abundant rainfall, and epidemics occur during periods of drought. An illustrative example is the catastrophic 1934–35 epidemic in Ceylon (now Sri Lanka), estimated to have killed 100·000 people.18 Worst hit was the south-western quadrant of the country, where average annual rainfall is greater than 250 cm, and malaria was endemic, but unstable and relatively infrequent. The dominant vector, Anopheles culicifacies, breeds along the banks of rivers and tends to be scarce in normal years. In the years 1928–33 there was abundant rainfall, river flow was high, A culicifacies was rare, and the human population was exceptionally malaria-free. However, after failure of two successive monsoons, the drying rivers produced colossal numbers of A culicifacies, and the resulting epidemic was exacerbated by the low collective immunity. In the drier parts of the island, where A culicifacies was dominant but transmission was more stable, immunity protected the population from the worst ravages of the disease.Hales and Woodward state that “the underlying problem? of the future “extension of seasonality? of malaria is “pollution of the atmosphere?, and call for rich countries to “recognise their obligations to the poorest by substantially reducing fossil-fuel consumption?. We understand public anxiety about climate change, but are concerned that many of these much-publicised predictions are ill informed and misleading. We urge those involved to pay closer attention to the complexities of this challenging subject. <br/
Surgical site infection after gastrointestinal surgery in high-income, middle-income, and low-income countries: a prospective, international, multicentre cohort study
No full textBackground: Surgical site infection (SSI) is one of the most common infections associated with health care, but its importance as a global health priority is not fully understood. We quantified the burden of SSI after gastrointestinal surgery in countries in all parts of the world. Methods: This international, prospective, multicentre cohort study included consecutive patients undergoing elective or emergency gastrointestinal resection within 2-week time periods at any health-care facility in any country. Countries with participating centres were stratified into high-income, middle-income, and low-income groups according to the UN's Human Development Index (HDI). Data variables from the GlobalSurg 1 study and other studies that have been found to affect the likelihood of SSI were entered into risk adjustment models. The primary outcome measure was the 30-day SSI incidence (defined by US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention criteria for superficial and deep incisional SSI). Relationships with explanatory variables were examined using Bayesian multilevel logistic regression models. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT02662231. Findings: Between Jan 4, 2016, and July 31, 2016, 13 265 records were submitted for analysis. 12 539 patients from 343 hospitals in 66 countries were included. 7339 (58·5%) patient were from high-HDI countries (193 hospitals in 30 countries), 3918 (31·2%) patients were from middle-HDI countries (82 hospitals in 18 countries), and 1282 (10·2%) patients were from low-HDI countries (68 hospitals in 18 countries). In total, 1538 (12·3%) patients had SSI within 30 days of surgery. The incidence of SSI varied between countries with high (691 [9·4%] of 7339 patients), middle (549 [14·0%] of 3918 patients), and low (298 [23·2%] of 1282) HDI (p<0·001). The highest SSI incidence in each HDI group was after dirty surgery (102 [17·8%] of 574 patients in high-HDI countries; 74 [31·4%] of 236 patients in middle-HDI countries; 72 [39·8%] of 181 patients in low-HDI countries). Following risk factor adjustment, patients in low-HDI countries were at greatest risk of SSI (adjusted odds ratio 1·60, 95% credible interval 1·05–2·37; p=0·030). 132 (21·6%) of 610 patients with an SSI and a microbiology culture result had an infection that was resistant to the prophylactic antibiotic used. Resistant infections were detected in 49 (16·6%) of 295 patients in high-HDI countries, in 37 (19·8%) of 187 patients in middle-HDI countries, and in 46 (35·9%) of 128 patients in low-HDI countries (p<0·001). Interpretation: Countries with a low HDI carry a disproportionately greater burden of SSI than countries with a middle or high HDI and might have higher rates of antibiotic resistance. In view of WHO recommendations on SSI prevention that highlight the absence of high-quality interventional research, urgent, pragmatic, randomised trials based in LMICs are needed to assess measures aiming to reduce this preventable complication. Funding: DFID-MRC-Wellcome Trust Joint Global Health Trial Development Grant, National Institute of Health Research Global Health Research Unit Grant
Use of Telemedicine for Post-discharge Assessment of the Surgical Wound: International Cohort Study, and Systematic Review with Meta-analysis
No full textObjective: This study aimed to determine whether remote wound reviews using telemedicine can be safely upscaled, and if standardised assessment tools are needed. Summary background data: Surgical site infection is the most common complication of surgery worldwide, and frequently occurs after hospital discharge. Evidence to support implementation of telemedicine during postoperative recovery will be an essential component of pandemic recovery. Methods: The primary outcome of this study was surgical site infection reported up to 30-days after surgery (SSI), comparing rates reported using telemedicine (telephone and/or video assessment) to those with in-person review. The first part of this study analysed primary data from an international cohort study of adult patients undergoing abdominal surgery who were discharged from hospital before 30-days after surgery. The second part combined this data with the results of a systematic review to perform a meta-analysis of all available data conducted in accordance with PRIMSA guidelines (PROSPERO:192596). Results: The cohort study included 15,358 patients from 66 countries (8069 high, 4448 middle, 1744 low income). Of these, 6907 (45.0%) were followed up using telemedicine. The SSI rate reported using telemedicine was slightly lower than with in-person follow-up (13.4% vs. 11.1%, P<0.001), which persisted after risk adjustment in a mixed-effects model (adjusted odds ratio: 0.73, 95% confidence interval 0.63-0.84, P<0.001). This association was consistent across sensitivity and subgroup analyses, including a propensity-score matched model. In nine eligible non-randomised studies identified, a pooled mean of 64% of patients underwent telemedicine follow-up. Upon meta-analysis, the SSI rate reported was lower with telemedicine (odds ratio: 0.67, 0.47-0.94) than in-person (reference) follow-up (I2=0.45, P=0.12), although there a high risk of bias in included studies. Conclusions: Use of telemedicine to assess the surgical wound post-discharge is feasible, but risks underreporting of SSI. Standardised tools for remote assessment of SSI must be evaluated and adopted as telemedicine is upscaled globally
Development and external validation of the ‘Global Surgical-Site Infection’ (GloSSI) predictive model in adult patients undergoing gastrointestinal surgery
No full textBackground: Identification of patients at high risk of surgical-site infections may allow surgeons to minimize associated morbidity. However, there are significant concerns regarding the methodological quality and transportability of models previously developed. The aim of this study was to develop a novel score to predict 30-day surgical-site infection risk after gastrointestinal surgery across a global context and externally validate against existing models. Methods: This was a secondary analysis of two prospective international cohort studies: GlobalSurg-1 (July-November 2014) and GlobalSurg-2 (January-July 2016). Consecutive adults undergoing gastrointestinal surgery were eligible. Model development was performed using GlobalSurg-2 data, with novel and previous scores externally validated using GlobalSurg-1 data. The primary outcome was 30-day surgical-site infections, with two predictive techniques explored: penalized regression (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator ('LASSO')) and machine learning (extreme gradient boosting ('XGBoost')). Final model selection was based on prognostic accuracy and clinical utility. Results: There were 14 019 patients (surgical-site infections = 12.3%) for derivation and 8464 patients (surgical-site infections = 11.4%) for external validation. The LASSO model was selected due to similar discrimination to extreme gradient boosting (AUC 0.738 (95% c.i. 0.725 to 0.750) versus 0.737 (95% c.i. 0.709 to 0.765)), but greater explainability. The final score included six variables: country income, ASA grade, diabetes, and operative contamination, approach, and duration. Model performance remained good on external validation (AUC 0.730 (95% c.i. 0.715 to 0.744); calibration intercept -0.098 and slope 1.008) and demonstrated superior performance to the external validation of all previous models. Conclusion: The 'Global Surgical-Site Infection' score allows accurate prediction of the risk of surgical-site infections with six simple variables that are routinely available at the time of surgery across global settings. This can inform the use of intraoperative and postoperative interventions to modify the risk of surgical-site infections and minimize associated harm
Global variation in anastomosis and end colostomy formation following left-sided colorectal resection
No full textBackground: End colostomy rates following colorectal resection vary across institutions in high-income settings, being influenced by patient, disease, surgeon and system factors. This study aimed to assess global variation in end colostomy rates after left-sided colorectal resection. Methods: This study comprised an analysis of GlobalSurg-1 and-2 international, prospective, observational cohort studies (2014, 2016), including consecutive adult patients undergoing elective or emergency left-sided colorectal resection within discrete 2-week windows. Countries were grouped into high-, middle-and low-income tertiles according to the United Nations Human Development Index (HDI). Factors associated with colostomy formation versus primary anastomosis were explored using a multilevel, multivariable logistic regression model. Results: In total, 1635 patients from 242 hospitals in 57 countries undergoing left-sided colorectal resection were included: 113 (6·9 per cent) from low-HDI, 254 (15·5 per cent) from middle-HDI and 1268 (77·6 percent) from high-HDI countries. There was a higher proportion of patients with perforated disease (57·5, 40·9 and 35·4 per cent; P < 0·001) and subsequent use of end colostomy (52·2, 24·8 and 18·9 per cent; P < 0·001) in low-compared with middle-and high-HDI settings. The association with colostomy use in low-HDI settings persisted (odds ratio (OR) 3·20, 95 per cent c.i. 1·35 to 7·57; P = 0·008) after risk adjustment for malignant disease (OR 2·34, 1·65 to 3·32; P < 0·001), emergency surgery (OR 4·08, 2·73 to 6·10; P < 0·001), time to operation at least 48 h (OR 1·99, 1·28 to 3·09; P = 0·002) and disease perforation (OR 4·00, 2·81 to 5·69; P < 0·001). Conclusion: Global differences existed in the proportion of patients receiving end stomas after left-sided colorectal resection based on income, which went beyond case mix alone
