125 research outputs found
A relação entre antifragilidade e incerteza à luz das contribuições de Taleb
Get PDFThis study aims to review the theme of the two main works of author Nassim Nicholas Taleb:
The Black Swan: The impact of the highly improbable (2008) and Antifragile: Things that
benefit from chaos (2014), with emphasis for the second, believing it to be a work that more
fully contemplates their understanding of uncertainty, risk management and how we can take
advantage of uncertain situations. A secondary objective is to understand his contribution and
current relevance to the study related to uncertainty and randomness of events, in the sense that
they do not follow a deterministic pattern and how concepts apparently related to the fields of
statistics can be applied to everyday life, with several examples, allegories and metaphors that
the author proposes throughout the works bringing his thoughts to the reality of readers in a
more clear and objective way, the practical content of his narrative may be due to his practical
experience in the financial market in the past and his current role in scientific production, Taleb
certainly forms the "bridge" between empirical and theoretical knowledge. The uncertainty in
Taleb's idea takes on a peculiar nuance with the allegory of the Black Swan, which are ev events
that, because they are highly improbable and rare, seem to have no effect on our reality, but
with the development of the theme we come to understand its relevance with both positive and
negative consequences for reality and more than trying to predict it (which would be
impossible), we are compelled to adopt a posture that makes us not only resilient, but better,
more prepared and with fewer weaknesses, which the author will call “antifragile”. Therefore,
those who adopt an antifragile posture should not be concerned about the lack of inherent
information about the uncertain, but should be more concerned about learning that what is not
within our reach at present, can bring us later in the future.Este estudo tem como principal objetivo fazer uma resenha sobre a temática das duas principais
obras do autor Nassim Nicholas Taleb: O Cisne Negro: O impacto do altamente improvável
(2008) e Antifrágil: Coisas que se beneficiam com o caos (2014), com destaque para a segunda
acreditando se tratar de uma obra que contempla de forma mais completa seu entendimento
sobre incerteza, gerenciamento de risco e como podemos tirar proveito de situações incertas.
Um objetivo secundário está em entender sua contribuição e relevância atual para o estudo
relacionado a incerteza e aleatoriedade dos eventos, no sentido que estes não seguem um padrão
determinístico e como conceitos aparentemente relacionados aos campos da estatística podem
se aplicar a vida cotidiana, com vários exemplos, alegorias e metáforas que o autor propõe ao
longo das obras trazendo para realidade dos leitores seu pensamento de forma mais clara e
objetiva, o teor pratico da sua narrativa talvez seja em função da sua experiência pratica no
mercado financeiro no passado e sua atuação no presente na produção cientifica, Taleb
certamente faz a “ponte” entre o conhecimento empírico e teórico. A incerteza na ideia de Taleb
ganha uma nuance peculiar com a alegoria do Cisne Negro, que são eventos que por serem
altamente improváveis e raros, parecem não ter efeito na nossa realidade, mas que com o
desenvolvimento do tema passamos a entender sua relevância com consequências tanto
positivas quanto negativas para a realidade, e mais do que tentar prevê-lo (o que seria
impossível), somos compelidos a ter uma postura que nos tornem não apenas resilientes, mas
melhores, mais preparados e com menos fraquezas, o que o autor vai chamar de “antifrágil”.
Portanto, aquele que adota uma postura antifrágil não deve se preocupar com a falta de
informações inerentes sobre o incerto, mas deve estar mais preocupado no aprendizado que
aquilo que no presente não está ao nosso alcance, pode nós trazer posteriormente no futuro
The Decline of Violent Conflicts: What Do The Data Really Say?
Get PDFWe propose a methodology to look at violence in particular, and other aspects ofquantitative historiography in general, in a way compatible with statistical inference, which needs to accommodate the fat-tailedness of the data and the unreliability of the reports of conflicts. We investigate the theses of “long peace” and drop in violence and find that these are statistically invalid and resulting from flawed and naive methodologies, incompatible with fat tails and non-robust to minor changes in data formatting and methodologies. There is no statistical basis to claim that “times are different” owing to the long inter-arrival times between conflicts; there is no basis to discuss any “trend”, and no scientific basis for narratives about change in risk. We describe naive empiricism under fat tails. We also establish that violence has a “true mean” that is underestimated in the track record. This is a historiographical adaptation of the results in Cirillo and Taleb (2016)
Contribution À L’Étude De La Spectroscopie À Résonance De Spin: Application À L’Identification De La Microstructure Des Pièges Dans Si/Sio2.
No full text44 f. : ill. ; 30 cm. (+ CD-Rom)L’identification des microstructures des défauts dans la structure Si-SiO2 est très importante, car elle nous permet de comprendre les mécanismes responsables de la dégradation des composants électroniques ; une fois ces mécanismes sont connus, cela nous permet d’agir sur le procède de fabrication pour diminuer ces défauts. Des recherches dans le domaine de la caractérisation se sont donc orientées vers la résonance de spin Ce mémoire a pour but d’apporter une contribution dans le domaine de la résonance paramagnétique pour l’identification des défauts atomique de Si-SiO2, pour une meilleure connaissance de l’origine physique des défauts et ainsi l’amélioration de la qualité des dispositifs et leur performance. Notre travail consiste a identifié les défauts dans le Si-SiO2, d’un transistor de puissance par la résonance paramagnétique, après plusieurs simulation nous somme arrivé à obtenir des signaux EDMR qui a détecté des défauts dans l’intervalle du champ magnétique de (6 a 8 mT). Les signaux que nous obtenus sont reproductibles malgré qu’à plusieurs reprise nous avons dû rebrancher tout les blocs du système et refaire les réglages des paramètres. Le matériel de caractérisation est fabriqué au CDTA .La détection des défauts avec cette méthode a été réalisée avec succès et nous pouvons ; il reste cependant à compléter cette technique par l’identification des défauts qui ne sera possible que lorsqu’un logiciel de traitement des données muni d’une base de données importante soit conçu pour l’identification et l’attribution de chaque type de signal au défaut correspondant. C’est ainsi que nous envisageons continuer dans ce domaine pour pouvoir réaliser cette base de données et ainsi compléter la technique
“The Persian Prince in Londonâ€: Autoethnography and Positionality in Travels of Mirza Abu Taleb Khan
No full textThis paper explores the strategies and dynamics of Asian representation of the self and the colonial other in Travels of Mirza Abu Taleb Khan (1810). I argue that while the process of autoethnography in an early period of colonisation anticipates the subsequent oscillation between submission and resistance, such representations are made complex by the positionality of the author within his milieu. Taleb’s text is marked by the ambiguity of his response to colonialism, engaging in a simultaneous admiration and critique of western practices, a critique that is made possible by his identity as the “Persian Prince.†Yet in its history of print, circulation and reception it becomes a tool in the propagation of colonial power
Altered Coagulation and Platelet Indices in Yemeni Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Conflict-Affected Population
No full textOverview
This dataset contains the anonymized data underlying the findings of the study titled "Altered Coagulation and Platelet Indices in Yemeni Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Conflict-Affected Population". The study investigated coagulation parameters (PT, APTT) and platelet indices (MPV, PDW) in Yemeni adults with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM) compared to healthy controls, and correlated these markers with glycemic control (HbA1c) in a conflict-affected setting.
Methods
A case-control study was conducted involving 140 T2DM patients and 100 age- and sex-matched healthy controls from Aden, Yemen. Laboratory analyses included Prothrombin Time (PT), Activated Partial Thromboplastin Time (APTT), Mean Platelet Volume (MPV), Platelet Distribution Width (PDW), and HbA1c.
Data Files
- `T2DM_Coagulation_Data.csv`: The primary dataset containing all variables used in the analysis.
Variables Description
- Group: Study group (T2DM Patient / Healthy Control)
- Age: Participant age in years
- Sex: Biological sex (Male / Female)
- HbA1c: Glycated hemoglobin (%)
- FBG: Fasting Blood Glucose (mg/dL)
- PT: Prothrombin Time (seconds)
- APTT: Activated Partial Thromboplastin Time (seconds)
- MPV: Mean Platelet Volume (fL)
- PDW: Platelet Distribution Width (%)
- Metformin_Use: Metformin therapy (Yes / No)
- Aspirin_Use: Aspirin therapy (Yes / No)
Usage Notes
- Data are fully anonymized to protect participant confidentiality
- Missing values are coded as "NA"
- This dataset is released under CC0 1.0 Universal license
- For detailed methodology and statistical analysis, please refer to the main publication
Citation
If you use this dataset, please cite the main publication: [Full citation will be updated upon publication]
Contact
For questions regarding this dataset, please contact the corresponding author: Naif Taleb Ali ([email protected])
License
This dataset is made available under the CC0 1.0 Universal Public Domain Dedication.
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This description is:
· Professional and academic
· Clearly structured
· Contains all essential elements
· Ready to copy-paste into OSF
· Follows best practices for data sharin
THE MICROWAVE SPECTRUM OF BENZENE: A NEARLY FREE INTERNAL ROTOR
No full text. M. Andrews, M. S. LaBarge, A. Taleb-Bendiab, K. W. Hillig II and R. L. Kuczkowski, TF5, 45th Symposium on Molecular Spectroscopy, Ohio State University (1989). See also: Chem. Phys. Lett. 159, 559 (1989).""Author Institution: Department of Chemistry, University of MichiganThe ground internal rotation state microwave spectrum of benzene has been reported previously [1]. It was shown that the spectrum is characteristic of an asymmetric top and displays a- and c-type transitions. It was also pointed out that numerous additional transitions occurred in the microwave spectrum of this complex. Using the Principal Axis Method (PAM) internal rotation Hamiltonian, the state transitions and the ``additional” transitions have been assigned. The existence of a rich spectrum for benzene is due to the internal rotation of benzene about its axis with a 6-fold potential barrier. The barrier height, , is . Transitions arising from internal rotation states as high as m = were seen with our FTMW spectrometer. The internal rotation microwave spectrum of benzene- was also assigned. Further information on the magnitude of the tilt angle of the benzene plane and the tilt angle of the axis of with respect to the line joining their centers of mass was obtained
Designing Pandemic Antifragility for Multimodal Transport Hubs
No full textThe outbreak of COVID-19 demonstrated the fragility of the transportation system and its Multimodal Transport Hubs (MTHs). Global travel reduced dramatically, leading to an existential crisis in MTHs. To cope with the pandemic, MTHs implemented multiple resilient measurements including social distancing, rapid testing regimes, and infrared cameras. Although these measurements are valuable tools, this research advocates to transcend resilient measures and move towards antifragility by applying a systems thinking approach. As Nassim Taleb (2013) defines: “Antifragility is beyond resilience or robustness. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets better.” Our goal is to contribute to a long-term future of the transportation system by transforming MTHs into a tool to effectuate antifragility during the management of health disruptions.Marketing and Consumer ResearchMechatronic DesignApplied Ergonomics and Desig
Addressing domestic violence in primary care: What the physician needs to know
No full textDomestic violence (DV) is quite prevalent and negatively impacts the health and mental wellbeing of those affected. Victims of DV are frequent users of health service, yet they are infrequently recognized. Physicians tend to treat the presenting complaints without addressing the root cause of the problem. Lack of knowledge on adequately managing cases of DV and on appropriate ways to help survivors is commonly presented as a barrier. This article presents the magnitude of the problem of DV in the Arab world, highlights the role of the primary care physician in addressing this problem, and provides practical steps that can guide the clinician in the Arab world in giving a comprehensive and culturally sensitive service to the survivors of DV. © 2014 Jinan Usta and Rim Taleb.Al-Nsour M, 2009, J FAM VIOLENCE, V24, P569, DOI 10.1007-s10896-009-9255-2; Ambuel B, 2003, J COMP FAM STUD, V34, P113; Ambuel B, 1998, J AGGRESS MALTREAT T, V1, P72; American Congress of Obstetricians and Gynecologists, SCREEN TOOLS DOM VIO; [Anonymous], PHYS OBL PREV ID TRE; [Anonymous], 2008, JORDAN POPULATION FA; [Anonymous], 2005, EGYPT DEMOGRAPHIC HL; [Anonymous], 2009, POPULATION REPORTS E; Basile K. C., 2007, INTIMATE PARTNER VIO; Boy A, 2008, VIOLENCE AGAINST WOM, V14, P53, DOI 10.1177-1077801207311860; Campbell JC, 2002, LANCET, V359, P1331, DOI 10.1016-S0140-6736(02)08336-8; Campbell JC, 1997, PSYCHIAT CLIN N AM, V20, P353, DOI 10.1016-S0193-953X(05)70317-8; Campbell JC, 2009, J INTERPERS VIOLENCE, V24, P653, DOI 10.1177-0886260508317180; Cronholm PF, 2011, AM FAM PHYSICIAN, V83, P1165; Eisenstat SA, 1999, NEW ENGL J MED, V341, P886, DOI 10.1056-NEJM199909163411206; Elliott L, 2002, J GEN INTERN MED, V17, P112, DOI 10.1046-j.1525-1497.2002.10233.x; European Women's Lobby Study, 1999, UNV HIDD DAT DOM VIO; Feldhaus KM, 1997, JAMA-J AM MED ASSOC, V277, P1357, DOI 10.1001-jama.277.17.1357; Garcia-Moreno C, 2006, LANCET, V368, P1260, DOI 10.1016-S0140-6736(06)69523-8; Golding JM, 1999, J FAM VIOLENCE, V14, P99, DOI 10.1023-A:1022079418229; Goodman LA, 2001, J TRAUMA STRESS, V14, P615, DOI 10.1023-A:1013026318450; Hegarty K, 2011, AUST FAM PHYSICIAN, V40, P852; Howard LM, 2009, PSYCHOL MED, V40, P1; Howard LM, 2013, PLOS MED, V10, DOI 10.1371-journal.pmed.1001452; Iverson KM, 2011, J CONSULT CLIN PSYCH, V79, P193, DOI 10.1037-a0022512; Johnson DM, 2011, J CONSULT CLIN PSYCH, V79, P542, DOI 10.1037-a0023822; Joyner K, 2012, PLOS ONE, V7, DOI 10.1371-journal.pone.0029540; Klevens J, 2012, WOMEN HEALTH ISS, V22, pE45, DOI 10.1016-j.whi.2011.06.008; Klevens J, 2012, JAMA-J AM MED ASSOC, V308, P681, DOI 10.1001-jama.2012.6434; Knapp J F, 1998, Pediatr Rev, V19, P316, DOI 10.1542-pir.19-9-316; Lehmann P, 2000, CHILD YOUTH SERV REV, V22, P275, DOI 10.1016-S0190-7409(00)00078-5; Macy RJ, 2009, SOC WORK, V54, P29; Maziak Wasim, 2003, Health Care Women Int, V24, P313; National Research Council, 2011, CLIN PREV SERV WOM C; Nelson HD, 2012, ANN INTERN MED, V156, P796, DOI 10.7326-0003-4819-156-11-201206050-00447; Nicolaidis C, 2003, J GEN INTERN MED, V18, P788, DOI 10.1046-j.1525-1497.2003.21202.x; Nicolaidis C, 2008, J GEN INTERN MED, V23, P1157, DOI 10.1007-s11606-008-0606-0; Republic of Iraq, 2008, REPUBLIC IRAQ IRAQ F; Rhodes KV, 2002, ANN EMERG MED, V40, P476, DOI 10.1067-mem.2002.127181; Ronan GF, 2004, J FAM VIOLENCE, V19, P131, DOI 10.1023-B:JOFV.0000019843.26331.cf; Rose D, 2011, BRIT J PSYCHIAT, V198, P189, DOI 10.1192-bjp.bp.109.072389; Ryden J, 2009, INTIMATE PARTNER VIO; Sickel AE, 2002, J HEALTH PSYCHOL, V7, P583, DOI 10.1177-1359105302007005677; Silverman ME, 2010, ARCH WOMEN MENT HLTH, V13, P411, DOI 10.1007-s00737-010-0161-7; Stockl H, 2013, LANCET, DOI 10.1016-S0140-6736(13)61030-2; Tashkandi A. A., 2009, Eastern Mediterranean Health Journal, V15, P1242; Thackeray JD, 2010, PEDIATRICS, V125, P1094, DOI 10.1542-peds.2010-0451; Trevillion K, 2012, PLOS ONE, V7, DOI 10.1371-journal.pone.0051740; Trickett P, 2005, LONGITUDINAL STUDY C; U.S. Preventive Services Task Force, 1996, GUID CLIN PREV SERV; U.S. Preventive Services Task Force, 2004, SCREEN FAM INT PARTN; Usta J, 2007, PUBLIC HEALTH, V121, P208, DOI 10.1016-j.puhe.2006.09.014; Usta J, 2012, ANN FAM MED, V10, P213, DOI 10.1370-afm.1336; Wasson JH, 2000, J FAM PRACTICE, V49, P1017; World Health Organization, 2013, RESP INT PARTN VIOL; Yount KM, 2009, J MARRIAGE FAM, V71, P1125, DOI 10.1111-j.1741-3737.2009.00659.x0
Reflective Practice: Decoding Ethical Knowledge
No full textThis article analyses reflective practice by exploring ethical
knowledge-in-use and the influence of context on professional nursing
practice. Is ethical knowledge used in an appropriate context? The author
identifies and discusses the theoretical underpinnings of reflective practice
and offers an alternative paradigm to the generation and use of ethical
knowledge in practice. The message to teachers and practitioners is decoded to
facilitate teaching and learning. This article is an extension of the work
done by the author and described by him in Nursing Ethics
Characteristics of Trust (Waqf) in Islamic Law (Sharea’a)
Get PDFThe paper consists of an introduction and two chapters, namely, definition of Waqf in language and convention and characteristics of Islamic Waqf. In the introduction, the author studies the importance of Waqf. Furthermore, he surveys the literature review and introduces his methodology. In the first chapter of the paper, the author explains the meaning of the term “Waqf” and its legality in the Quran, Sunna, jurisprudential provisions, and scholars’ opinions. The second chapter provides an overview of the characteristics of Waqf, its importance, and its effect on the state as well as individuals. Among these characteristics are divinity, positivism, humanity, comprehensiveness and firmness. The paper concludes with results and policy recommendations
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