196,103 research outputs found

    Earthquake magnitude estimation from early radiated energy

    No full text
    From inspection of a large set of Japanese events, we investigate the scaling of the early radiated energy, inferred from the squared velocity integral (IV2) with the final magnitude of the event. We found that the energy can only discriminate whether the event has a magnitude larger or smaller than 5.8, and in the latter case it can allow for realtime magnitude estimation. However, by normalizing IV2 for the rupture area, the initial slip scales with the magnitude between 4 < M < 7 following the expected scaling laws. We show that the ratio between the squared peak displacement and IV2 is a proxy for the slip following the same scaling but it can be directly derived from the data, without any assumption on the rupture area. The scaling relationship between initial slip and magnitude can be used for early warning applications, when integrated in a probabilistic, evolutionary approach. Citation: Festa, G., A. Zollo, and M. Lancieri (2008), Earthquake magnitude estimation from early radiated energy, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L22307, doi:10.1029/ 2008GL035576.PublishedL223074.1. Metodologie sismologiche per l'ingegneria sismicaJCR Journalreserve

    Reply to comment by P. Rydelek et al. on "Earthquake magnitude estimation from peak amplitudes of very seismic signals on strong motion records"

    No full text
    Based on the analysis of Mediterranean, near-source, strong motion records Zollo et al. [2006] (hereinafter referred to as ZLN) showed that peak displacement amplitudes of initial P- and S-wave seismic signals scales with the earthquake size in the moment magnitude range 4 < Mw < 7.4. Similar evidence have been also reported for southern California [Wu and Zhao, 2006] and Taiwan [Wu et al., 2006] using only P-wave arrivals up to 100 km distance on mostly short period and broadband waveform data.PublishedL203033.1. Fisica dei terremotiJCR Journalreserve

    An evolutionary approach to real-time moment magnitude estimation via inversion of displacement spectra

    No full text
    We present an evolutionary approach for magnitude estimation for earthquake early warning based on real-time inversion of displacement spectra. The Spectrum Inversion (SI) method estimates magnitude and its uncertainty by inferring the shape of the entire displacement spectral curve based on the part of the spectra constrained by available data. The method consists of two components: 1) estimating seismic moment by finding the low frequency plateau Omega(0), the corner frequency f(c) and attenuation factor (Q) that best fit the observed displacement spectra assuming a Brune omega(2) model, and 2) estimating magnitude and its uncertainty based on the estimate of seismic moment. A novel characteristic of this method is that is does not rely on empirically derived relationships, but rather involves direct estimation of quantities related to the moment magnitude. SI magnitude and uncertainty estimates are updated each second following the initial P detection. We tested the SI approach on broadband and strong motion waveforms data from 158 Southern California events, and 25 Japanese events for a combined magnitude range of 3 <= M <= 7. Based on the performance evaluated on this dataset, the SI approach can potentially provide stable estimates of magnitude within 10 seconds from the initial earthquake detection
    corecore