382 research outputs found

    Analyzing Brazilian markets using the Global VAR & IIS Approach

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    This thesis consists of three chapters. The chapters can be read separately, ie there is no predetermined reading order. However, the suggested order follows a linear evolution of the theme. This work expands the work of Barbosa (2017), in his study the author establishes a model for the Brazilian market taking into account the interdependencies between regions using the Global VAR (GVAR) methodology, and uses this model to estimate the elasticity of regional employment in relation to the country’s economic activity. In this study we expand the Barbosa (2017) model on several fronts. First, the study addresses the use of different weight matrices. Traditionally, the weight matrix used in the literature is based on trade weights and bilateral trade between two countries. Barbosa (2017) proposes a weight matrix based on connections between regions, this study in its turn expands these weight matrix allowing the weight matrix to be based not only on connections between regions but also on macroeconomic variables of each region such as GDP, GDP per capita and population. A second innovation is made with the proposal of a new econometric model. This new econometric model is built from the Global VAR model, which is expanded through a saturation with impulse indicators (henceforth called GVAR-IIS). It is worth mentioning that the hypothesis of weak exogeneity remains a requirement for the validity of the GVAR-IIS. For validation of weak exogeneity, the study applies not only the classical tests of weak exogeneity proposed by Granger and Lin (1995) but expands the tests by applying the concept of separability proposed by Hecq et al. (2002). The first part of the study analyzes the original model proposed by Barbosa (2017) using a weight matrix based on connections between cities. The database is expanded to include the period of forecasts that took place between 2016 and 2018. In this chapter we assess how the forecasts behave in the face of the scenario, we also assess the resilience of the regions and the heterogeneity of the responses. In the second part, the GVAR model proposed by Barbosa (2017) is saturated with impulse indicators, this new model is referred as GVAR-IIS. The chapter proposes an estimation procedure for the GVARIIS. The Chapter also presents an empirical exercise in which the new GVAR-IIS model is evaluated together with other models to assess its predictive power. To validate the hypotheses of weak exogeneity, the classical tests proposed by Granger and Lin (1995) are carried out, in which an innovation is the use of the concept of separability proposed by Hecq et al. (2002) to validate the hypothesis of weak exogeneity. Finally, in the third part, the GVAR-IIS model developed in the previous chapter is used together with a weight.Este trabalho utiliza um modelo para o mercado Brasileiro levando em conta as interdependências entre as regiões utilizando a metodologia do Global VAR (GVAR), o estudo é dividido em 3 partes. A primeira parte do estudo analisa o modelo original proposto por (Barbosa, 2017) utilizando uma matriz de peso baseada nas conexões entre cidades. A base de dados é expandida para contemplar o período de previsões ocorridas entre 2016 e 2018. Neste capitulo avaliamos como as previsões se comportam frente ao cenário ocorrido bem como avaliamos a resiliência das regiões e a heterogeneidade das respostas. Na segunda parte, o modelo GVAR é saturado com a indicadoras de impulso, sendo este novo modelo referenciado como GVAR-IIS. O capitulo propõe um procedimento de estimação para o GVAR-IIS. O Capitulo apresenta também um exercício empírico no qual o novo modelo GVAR-IIS é avaliado juntamente com outros modelos para avaliação do seu poder preditivo. Para validação das hipóteses de exogeneidade fraca é realizado os testes clássicos propostos por Granger (1995), em sendo que uma inovação é a utilização do conceito de separabilidade proposto por Hecq (2002) para validação da hipóteses de exogeneidade fraca. Por fim, na terceira parte, o modelo GVAR-IIS desenvolvido no capitulo anterior é utilizado juntamente com uma matriz de pesos baseado na conexões entre cidades ponderada com informações do PIB per-capta. O capitulo avalia a performance de previsão do modelo GVAR-IIS, juntamente com a matriz de conexões, em um cenário de especificação incorreta

    Interconnecting Governments, Businesses and Citizens: A Comparison of Two Digital Infrastructures

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    Public and private organizations in various areas are setting up digital Information Infrastructures (IIs) for interconnecting government, businesses and citizens. IIs can create value by sharing and integrating data of multiple ac-tors. This can be the basis for value added services and especially collaborations of public and private partners can make IIs thrive. Easier access to integrated services and products (jointly) offered by government and businesses may stimulate transparency and innovations. IIs are under development in many do-mains, including for open data and international trade. However, there are nota-ble differences in the design, characteristics and implementation of the IIs. The objective of this paper is to compare two diverse IIs in order to obtain a better understanding of common and differing elements in the IIs and their impact. Among the differences are the roles of government, businesses and users, in driving, developing and exploitation of the IIs.Multi Actor SystemsTechnology, Policy and Managemen

    PENGARUH EVENT DAN KESADARAN MASYARAKAT KARAWANG TERHADAP MINAT DONOR DARAH DI PMI KABUPATEN KARAWANG

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    This study aims to determine, explain and analyze the event and awareness of the Karawang community towards blood donor interest in the Indonesian Red Cross, Karawang Regency. This research was conducted using descriptive and verification methods, the sample in this study was the Karawang community who had done blood donations in the Indonesian Red Cross district. Karawang as many as 100 donors. data collection by distributing questionnaires (questionnaires) and observations, data analysis is done by regression analysis, path analysis, and analysis of the scale range. the results of the study at a significance level of 10% found that,(1) The event had a positive and significant effect on the interest of blood donors in the Indonesian Red Cross in Karawang district (2) Awareness influences the interest of blood donors in the Indonesian Red Cross in Karawang district (3) Event and awareness together positively and significantly influence the interest of blood donors in the Karawang regency's Indonesian Red Cross. The results of the coefficient of determination in this study shows that the decision of donor interest influenced the event and awareness amounted to 72,26636%, while the remaining 27,73364% represents the contribution of another variable (£) which was not examined in this study.Keywords: Event; Awareness; Donor InterestPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui, menjelaskan dan menganalisis event dan kesadaran masyarakat Karawang terhadap minat donor darah di PMI Kabupaten Karawang. Penelitian ini dilakukan dengan menggunakan metode deskriptif dan verifikatif, sampel pada penelitian ini adalah masyarakat Karawang yang telah melakukan donor darah di PMI kab. Karawang sebanyak 100 orang pendonor. pengumpulan data dengan cara penyebaran kuisioner (angket) dan observasi, analisis data yang dilakukan dengan analisis regresi, analisis jalur, dan analisis rentang skala. Hasil penelitian dalam taraf signifikansi 10% menemukan bahwa, (1) Event berpengaruh positif dan signifikan pada minat donor darah di PMI kab. Karawang (2) Kesadaran berpengaruh terhadap minat donor darah di PMI kabupaten Karawang (3) Event dan kesadaran bersama sama berpengaruh positif dan signifikan pada minat donor darah di PMI kabupaten Karawang. Hasil koefisien determinasi dalam penelitian ini menunjukan bahwa keputusan minat donor di pengaruhi event dan kesadaran sebesar 72,26636%, sedangkan sisanya sebesar 27,73364% merupakan kontibusi dari variable lain (£) yang tidak di teliti dalam penelitian ini.Kata Kunci: Event; Kesadaran; Minat Dono

    Pengembangan Aplikasi Augmented Reality untuk Edukasi Keselamatan Kebakaran: Metode Prototyping dan Usability

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    This study aims to develop an Augmented Reality (AR) application to introduce fire safety equipment as part of Occupational Health and Safety (OHS) education for the general public. The research employed a prototyping method, which involved iterative stages from requirements analysis to user evaluation, as well as functional testing using Black Box Testing and usability testing with 20 respondents. The results showed that all application features functioned according to specifications, and the usability testing yielded a user satisfaction score of 80.1%. These findings indicate that AR is effective as an interactive educational medium to enhance public understanding of fire protection equipment. The implication of this study is the potential for wider use of AR technology in public education to support fire risk mitigation efforts

    Die Lernergebnisse In Deskriptiven Schreibfertigkeit Der Deutschen Sprache Klasse XI Iis 1 SMA Negeri 1 Mojosari Mit Dem Lernmodell Entdeckung

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    In German language learning, students are required to be able to increase the ability to communicate orally and in writing. Writing skill is one of German language skills that is considered difficult by students. Based on observations made by the author, it is due to the low ability students of ideas / ideas, a lack of vocabulary in German, lack of mastery of language structure, and low motivation of students in writing German. To overcome these problems, need to be supported by an appropriate learning models. Learning model that can be used is a discovery learning model (discovery learning). The discovery learning model (discovery learning) is learning that regulates structure teaching with students actively involved in order to solve their own problems and find solution. This study aims to determine and describe the results of essay writing skills in learning German language in class XI IIS 1 by using discovery learning model. The method used is a qualitative research that will produce descriptive data. Sources of data in this study are 31 students of class XI IIS 1 SMA Negeri 1 Mojosari. The instrument used in this study is a written test. Data retrieval is executed in four meetings. The results show that, by using discovery learning model in essay writing skills in learning German languag in class XI IIS 1 SMA Negeri 1 Mojosari, the students can improve their learning outcomes that are originally bad to good, better and very good. It was shown from the average student learning outcomes increasingly. Keywords             : Writing Skills, Discovery Learning Model (Discovery Learning

    Peningkatan hasil belajar "Beriman kepada Malaikat” menggunakan model discovery learning

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    To improve the student's result of learning, the Islamic Education teacher can use one of the alternative ways that is by using discovery learning model. Discovery learning model helps the students to get easier in learning the subject. The major aim of the research is to improve the students' result in learning "the believe in Angel”. This research is conducted in Fourteen Junior High School Bogor, author took grade VII students. Author did a population research and took one class. Author  used discovery learning model with two cycles. The finding indicates before the treatment, 31 students, there are 23 students (74,19%) get score below the standard. After the treatment of cycle-I the mastery learning shows 45,16% and after cycle II shows 87,10%. It means that the discovery learning model can improve the student's result in learning "the believe in Angel”.AbstrakUntuk meningkatkan hasil belajar siswa, guru Pendidikan Agama Islam dapat memakai salah satu cara alternatif yaitu dengan menggunakan model discovery learning. Model discovery learning membantu siswa untuk lebih mudah dalam mempelajari Pendidikan Agama Islam. Tujuan utama dari penelitian ini adalah untuk meningkatkan hasil belajar siswa dalam mempelajari materi "Beriman kepada Malaikat”. Penelitian ini dilakukan di SMP Negeri 14 Bogor, mengambil siswa kelas VII. Penulis melakukan penelitian populasi dan mengambil satu kelas. Penulis menggunakan model discovery learning dengan dua siklus. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan sebelum perlakuan, 31 siswa, ada 23 siswa (74,19%) mendapat nilai di bawah KKM. Setelah perlakuan pada siklus pertama, penguasaan pembelajaran siswa menunjukkan 41,16% dan setelah siklus dua menunjukkan 87,10%. Hal tersebut menunjukkan bahwa model discovery learning dapat meningkatkan hasil belajar siswa dalam mempelajari materi "Beriman kepada Malaikat”

    Author Correction: Human Sexual Cycles are Driven by Culture and Match Collective Moods

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    This deposit is composed simultaneously by the original published article and also by the "correction" for the published article (erratum).This deposit is composed by the main article plus the supplementary materials of the publication.The link for the original article: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-017-18262-5A correction to this article has been published and is linked from the HTML and PDF versions of this paper. The error has not been fixed in the paper.Human reproduction does not happen uniformly throughout the year and what drives human sexual cycles is a long-standing question. The literature is mixed with respect to whether biological or cultural factors best explain these cycles. The biological hypothesis proposes that human reproductive cycles are an adaptation to the seasonal (hemisphere-dependent) cycles, while the cultural hypothesis proposes that conception dates vary mostly due to cultural factors, such as holidays. However, for many countries, common records used to investigate these hypotheses are incomplete or unavailable, biasing existing analysis towards Northern Hemisphere Christian countries. Here we show that interest in sex peaks sharply online during major cultural and religious celebrations, regardless of hemisphere location. This online interest, when shifted by nine months, corresponds to documented human births, even after adjusting for numerous factors such as language and amount of free time due to holidays. We further show that mood, measured independently on Twitter, contains distinct collective emotions associated with those cultural celebrations. Our results provide converging evidence that the cyclic sexual and reproductive behavior of human populations is mostly driven by culture and that this interest in sex is associated with specific emotions, characteristic of major cultural and religious celebrations.National Institutes of Health grant: (01LM011945-01); Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia grant: (PTDC IVC ESCT 5337 2012); Welcome DFRH WIIA 60 2011; Marie Curie Actions; Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) - NGS2 program grant: (#D17AC00005); Economic Development Agency grant: (ED17HDQ3120040); NSF Award grant: (IIS-0811994).info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio

    URI Disambiguation in the Context of Linked Data

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    The Linked Data initiative has given rise to an increasing number of RDF datasets, many of which are freely accessible online. These resources often arise as a result of database exports; however sufficient consideration may not be given to the unseen implications caused when they are used in the wider context of the Semantic Web. This paper investigates two popular resources, DBLP and DBpedia, and discusses whether the issues regarding identity management and co-reference resolution have been suitably addressed. We find that a large percentage of authors in DBLP have been conflated, and that disambiguation pages have been incorrectly linked using owl:sameAs within DBpedia. Systems for dealing with these issues are presented, and directions are given for future research

    KIPRAH RAHMAH EL-YUNUSIYAH TERHADAP PENDIDIKAN ISLAM BAGI PEREMPUAN

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    ABSTRAK KIPRAH RAHMAH EL-YUNUSIYAH TERHADAP PENDIDIKAN ISLAM BAGI PEREMPUAN Oleh IIS ISLAMIA 1711010233 Rahmah el-yunusiyah ialah pelopor bagi pendidikan Muslimah di Indonesia (dan tak mungkin bagi dunia). Langkahnya sangat maju karena tak hanya memberikan pelajaran agama maupun umum, tetapi juga mengajarkan berbagai keterampilan yang diperlukan oleh Muslimah sebagai ibu yang mandiri. Penelitian pada skripsi ini adalah kajian pustaka (library research) yakni proses mencari dan menyusun secara sistematis dan data yang diperoleh dari pustaka, baik dari sumber primer dan sumber sekunder, sehingga dapat mudah dipahami dan temuannya dapat memberikan informasi kepada orang lain. Karena dalam penelitian ini yang dijadikan objek penelitian adalah teori atau kajian teori, sehingga untuk menganalisis data tersebut penulis menggunakan metode deskriptif analisis deduktif yang penerapannya adalah untuk menganalisa objek penelitian yang kajiannya bersifat teoritis. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian dapat disimpulkan bahwa Rahmah el-yunusiyah memandang perempuan mempunyai peranan penting dalam kehidupan. Oleh karena itu, untuk meningkatkan kualitas serta memperbaiki kedudukan perempuan diperlukan pendidikan khusus perempuan yang diajarkan oleh sesama perempuan. Pendidikan merupakan suatu kewajiban bagi setiap muslim laki-laki maupun perempuan. Baik laki-laki maupun perempuan semuanya memiliki hak untuk mendapatkan pendidikan yang layak tanpa adanya diskriminasi. Kata Kunci : Rahmah el-Yunusiyah, Pendidikan Perempuan ii ABSTRACT Rahmah el-yunusiyah is a pioneer for Muslimah education in Indonesian (an unlikely for the world). The step is very advanced because it not only provides religious and general lessons, but also teach various skill needed by Muslim women as independent mothers. The research in this thesis is library research, namely the process of systematically searching and compiling data obtained from libraries, both form primary and secondary sources, so that they can be easily understood and the findings can provide information to other. Because in this study the object of research is theory or theoretical study, so to analyze the data the author uses a descriptive method of deductive analysis whose application is to analyze the objectof research whose study is theoretical. Based on the result of the study, it can be concluded that Rahmah el-yunusiyah views women as having an important role in life. Therefore, to improve the quality and improve the position of women, special education for women is needed which is taught by fellow women. Education is an obligation for every Muslim male and female. Both men and women all have the right to get a proper education without discrimination. Keywords : Rahmah el-yunusiyah, women’s education
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