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Analisis terintegrasi selling option on wti futures
Get PDFWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil is one of the macroeconomic indicators traded through futures and options. Trading options on WTI is currently the largest transaction in the world. Prior to trading, an integrated analysis of selling options on WTI was required by means of WTI fundamental, winning probability, and risk-return analysis. WTI fundamental analysis was done on the first and second study. Winning probability and risk-return analysis was done in third and fourth study.
The first study was a WTI fundamental analysis that aimed to analyze the determinants of WTI prices using VECM and monthly data of WTI prices, WTI supply, WTI demand, gold prices, S & P 500, T-Note, US dollar index, and US GDP from February 1990 to July 2017. Empirical results indicated that the WTI supply variable was the major determinant of WTI prices significantly negatively. An increase (decrease) in growth of WTI supply would lead to a major decrease (increase) in growth of price.
The second study was a WTI fundamental analysis that aimed to analyze the early warning of WTI price using OECD method. It used monthly data of price, supply, demand of WTI, financial market, and OECD economic indicators from January 1990 to October 2017. Empirical results indicated that the OECD model was able to predict the price of WTI with the level of accuracy reached 93 %.
The third study was the winning probability analysis between strike far out of the money (FOTM) and near the money (NTM) strike of selling option on WTI strategy. The daily data of WTI price from April 1984 to May 2017 was simulated by Black Scholes Option Pricing method into monthly premium return data. These data were then analyzed with runs test and one-sample proportion test. Empirical results indicated that the winning probability of strike in FOTM and strike in NTM were 94% and 49%. The winning probability at FOTM strike was much higher than that at NTM strike.
The fourth study was the risk-return analysis between FOTM and NTM strike of selling option on WTI strategy. The daily data of WTI price from April 1984 to May 2017 was simulated by Black Scholes Option Pricing method into monthly premium return data. These data were then done to analyze Value at Risk (VaR) using ARCH-GARCH method. The empirical results indicated that the selling option on WTI at the FOTM strike position had a low risk of at least 12% and the yield value of 11% per annum. This yield value was much more above the Fed rate of 1.75% per annum
Model minat perguruan tinggi berbasis preferensi dengan perilaku terencana, merek dan kelompok referensi
Get PDFThe intention of the public to continue their education to college was motivated by the hope of getting a job and a good life in the future. In the higher education sector, competition was increasingly competitive and therefore it was necessary to change the management orientation to be like a business. The high interest of prospective students towards colleges became one of the benchmarks of successful management of higher education institutions. Colleges needed to know and identified the factors that influence the interest of prospective students as their customers. There were differences of opinion on the factors that shape the interest of college consumers. Therefore, it was necessary to identify and analyse the factors considered influencing the interest of college consumers in order to know the process of formation. Interest was formed influenced by consumer preferences so interest could be measured by basing on preference.
This research was conducted to examine the influence of factors that played a role in the formation of intention based on preference to college that was behavioural factor of planned behaviour, subjective norm, perceived behavioral control; dimensions of brand equity perception of quality, brand image, integrated marketing communications; and the role of reference groups. This study aimed to formulate intention model of preference to college that could be used as a basis and understanding in establishing strategies to obtain students.
Survey research was conducted for information gathering. The study sites were set at fifteen state and private high schools in all parts of DKI Jakarta using questionnaires and interview instruments. Primary data was taken with the number of respondents as many as 397 third grade high school students, who have met the requirements for analysis with the method of Structural Equation Model - Lisrel. Determination of respondents was done by determining the classification using stratified random sampling technique because the population was heterogeneous and was selected using concentration sampling technique in each classification that has been determined.
The test results showed that the formulated model meets both test requirements and means the model corresponds to the actual conditions. The test results stated that attitudes, subjective norms, perceived behavioral control, and brand image influence intention-based preferences; while perceptions of quality, brand image, integrated marketing communications, and reference groups affect attitudes. Similarly, brand image affected perceived behavioral control and reference groups affect subjective norms. This study produced a preference-based intention model formed from the dimensions of brand equity and reference groups through the influence of planned behavior factors.
Preferential intention-based formation models for category services require high involvement from these customers, suggested that institutions required integrative strategies with planned behavior factors, brand equity dimensions, and reference groups to influence their customers. Ranking for the contribution of the importance of factors influenced these preference-based intention could be the basis for setting marketing strategies tailored to the organizational resource capability
Rancang bangun sistem traceability berbasis teknologi informasi pada pertanian beras organik, tasikmalaya jawa barat
Get PDFOrganic Farming is one of the methods of agriculture in producing or engaging production process without using artificial chemicals. The development of organic agriculture in the world and Indonesia has increased. This can be seen from facts that the amount of agricultural land area used for organic cultivation have increased. Organic rice as the second largest organic product becomes the main concern because rice is the primary product consumed by the people of Indonesia and one of the imported commodities.
Organic producers have an obligation to ensure the authenticity of organic rice offered. On the other hand, consumers also have the right to receive products as promised by organic rice producers. Good traceability systems help to minimize the production and distribution of unsafe or poor quality of organic rice products, thereby minimizing the potential for bad publicity, liability, and recalls. One system that can guarantee quality and safety is by applying the traceability system on the organic rice supply chain. One of the development of traceability system that already exists in the world are Iot (Internet of Things) dan QR Code (Quick Response Code) to be able to store real-time data and read product data.
This study aims to design a traceability system prototype using System Development Life Cycle (SDLC) approach. Based on the SDLC approach, this research through the identification phase, system investigation, system analysis, system design, system architecture, prototyping, and also testing and evaluation. This study focused on analyzing the information system needs in the collecting, storing and digital data exchange. The results of this study indicates that the actors involved in orcganic rice supplye chain are farmers, cooperatives, exporters, and certificatiuon institute. Development of prototype traceability system is done so that every actor can do product tracking and consumer can scan and see the complete data of the products they consumed
Strategi pemasaran cv diana phon bogor
Get PDFCV Diana Bogor Phon is one of the small businesses engaged in the trade
sector by selling agricultural supporting products. In the past four years this small
business has experienced a continuous decline in sales. Designing a marketing
strategy is expected to increase sales in this business. The purpose of this study is
to identify the factors that led to a decline in sales at CV diana Bogor Phon,
identifying the marketing strategies that have been and are currently used by CV
Diana Bogor Phon, and designing marketing strategies for CV Diana Bogor Phon
to increase sales returns.
This study uses a descriptive method approach which aims to describe the
facts of certain problems factually and systematically. The data used are primary
data and secondary data. Primary data was obtained through semi-structured
interviews and questionnaires. The speaker at the semi-structured interview was the
owner of CV Diana Phon Bogor and the manager of CV Diana Bogor Phon.
Questionnaires were addressed to consumers and suppliers related to CV Diana
Bogor Phon. Secondary data is obtained from literature studies by studying and
analyzing various literature related to research.
Data processing and analysis techniques used in this study are descriptive
analysis. Factors that affect sales use the factors described by Swastha (2003).
These factors are the condition and ability of the seller, market conditions, capital,
organizational conditions, and other factors. Based on the results of the interview it
was found that the factors that influence the decline in sales are the conditions and
capabilities of the seller and market conditions. The identification of marketing
strategies used today uses the marketing mix approach described by Sumarwan
(2009). The product strategy used is the product differentiation strategy. The price
strategy used is a cost-based pricing strategy. The place strategy is based on
company considerations. Promotional strategies carried out are advertising and
exhibition. Identification of internal factors and external factors using SWOT
analysis. Identified internal factors are strengths and weaknesses of CV Diana
Bogor Phon. External factors identified are the opportunities and threats faced by
CV Diana Bogor Phon. Stakeholder analysis was used to see the involvement
between CV Diana Bogor Phon and stakeholders. The results of stakeholder
analysis in the form of strong or weak relationship between CV Diana Bogor Bogor
and stakeholders. The relationships that occur are grouped into three, namely
engage, communicate, and inform.
Based on the results of identification and analysis explained that CV Diana
Bogor Phon has several things that must be improved, namely in terms of payment
systems and goods delivery services. While the marketing strategy used today is
good. The results of stakeholder analysis show that as many as 66.7 percent of
supplier stakeholders are included in the engage category, and consumer
stakeholders by 76.7 percent. Marketing strategy design for CV Diana Bogor Phon
is to maintain good relations with suppliers stakeholders. For consumer
stakeholders, CV Diana Bogor Phon must improve its services, besides this
business must attract new consumers on a wider scale. One of them is the marketing
4.0 approach. Marketing 4.0 is a marketing strategy by utilizing offline and online
interactions between CV Diana Bogor Phon and consumers.
The use of the stakeholder engagement strategy approach in the economic
field is still rarely carried out. This approach is generally used in social fields such
as the implementation of CSR (Corporate Social Responsibility) programs in
companies with the surrounding environment. Future studies are expected to
develop stakeholder engagement strategies in various fields
Analisis fundamental terhadap return saham perusahaan asuransi di bei periode 2012-2016
Get PDFThe insurance sector is one of the promising sectors for investment activities. Insurance is a place or form of risk control, which is done by transferring or giving a number of risks from one party to another, in this case the insurance company. The economy in Indonesia itself can’t be separated from risk or an uncertainty, which if not controlled will caused unstable economy.
Stock is one of the most favored investment instruments, but investment in stocks also has a high risk because stock prices are very sensitive to many factors. Increased stock demand will caused the rising of stock prices. Therefore, investors expect to get a stock return in the form of capital gains or gains obtained due to rising stock prices. However, this is not followed by an increase in stock returns generated by the company. Stock return conditions tend to fluctuate.
The purpose of this research is to analyze the influence of fundamental factors of company to stock return of insurance company in Indonesia Stock Exchange, and also want to determine how strategy of priority of investment decision of share in Indonesia Stock Exchange. The method of analysis used is panel data regression and hierarchy analysis process to be able to see alternative priority strategy to invest.
The results showed that fundamental factors such as debt equity ratio and return on asset variables have a significant effect on stock returns. In addition, the rupiah exchange rate has a significant effect on stock returns. An alternative strategic priority strategy that should be done by investors in making investment decisions is that investors must be able to make rational decisions by considering the level of risk to be taken as to how much time will be taken by investors to invest, in addition to seeing the movement of stock prices is assessed one an important priority strategy when viewed from existing technical criteria
Evaluasi kebijakan program bantuan bidikmisi pada perguruan tinggi swasta di kopertis wilayah xii tahun 2013-2015
Get PDFBidikmisi program is an agenda of the government to open the acces to university for unreach students with the high level of academic achievement from the poor family. The beneficiaries students of the Bidikmisi program are expected to be able to use education financial support properly, achieve good academic performance as well and are expected to complete the study timely while studying in private universities.
The purpose of this research are to know how the financial support allocated by the students in Kopertis Region XII and to know the influence of Bidikmisi program contribution to the success of the study of students in private universities in Maluku and North Maluku.
This research is descriptive research using qualitative and quantitative approach. Quantitative methods in the form of a survey that aims to describe or explain the problems, while qualitative methods used to answer the existing problems. The data sources consist of primary and secondary data. The study was conducted at private universities in Maluku and North Maluku.
Primary data was obtained directly by completing the questionnaires and google forms distributed to students and direct interviews with the students. Secondary data obtained from literature studies in the form of magazines, literatures and other publications and documents related to the title of the study.
Sampling technique used is Proportional Stratified Random Sampling technique based on the number of quotas received by private universities with a sample size of 246 respondents. Descriptive analysis conducted to determine the distribution of respondents 'answers on the questionnaire which shows respondents' perceptions of the indicator variables measured in this study. Independent variables in this study include student intrinsic characteristics, Bidikmisi program management characteristics, student environmental characteristics, while dependent variables include attitudes and behavior of students who receiving bidikmisi program. Technique of processing and data analysis in research using descriptive analysis. The tool used is multiple linear regression analysis using Statistical Package for Social Science (SPSS) version 23 software. Based on the results of research, the students allocate the living cost for food, boarding houses, clothing, transfortasi, health, textbooks, stationery, photo copy, however some the utilize the money to assist their parents and for buying electronic device. The student intrinsic characteristic variable partially has no effect significantly to the attitude and behavior of students.Likewise, the characteristics of Bidikmisi program management (X2), student environmental characteristics (X3) with family environment indicator, academic environment, and community environment have a significant effect on student attitudes and behavior (Y).
Interaction of students with the support of the family environment, academic environment and community environment are very high, by giving encouragement to students to develop themselves in achieving high academic performance. The results of research need to be followed up strategically in the management of
tuition fees and living costs that exist in private universities. private universities need to conduct regular evaluation and guidance to know the seriousness of the students who receive the bidikmisi program in achieving academic achievement
Analisis minat menabung masyarakat di bank syariah
Get PDFSimilar to any other banks, Sharia banks have connecting function. Application of sharia principle, such as non-existance of bank interests, application of accad (contract) on each and every transaction, to capital management limited to business activity in acordance to sharia law, become the main factors differentiating sharia bank to conventional.
In 2016, total number of saving accounts at sharia banks are at only 8.97 percent of conventional banks. This indicate that growth of sharia banks are still slow and publics are still yet to switch to sharia bank, despite majority of islam believer in Indonesia reached 87.18 percent (BPS 2010). This cause a problem for sharia banks due to its inability to optimized huge market potential. This also indicates lack of public trust to Sharia banks.
To increase customer’s saving account in Sharia banks, management of Sharia banks needs to analyze factors underlying customers decision to save in Sharia banks. This research aim to identify customer intentions and explore factors that could affect saving intention to Sharia banks. It is expected that this research could form informations to Sharia banks regarding public saving intention and interest at sharia banks in Bogor city.
This researh used primary data collected by survey method through structured interview to respondents. Respondents in this research are categorized in two categories, which are respondents with conventional saving accounts and respondents with both saving accounts at conventional and sharia banks. The number of samples in this study were 223 respondets consisting of 112 Conventional respondents and 111 Conventional Sharia respondents. Data Collection was conducted from May to July 2017.
Structural variables tested by using Structural Equation Modelling (SEM). SEM itself are a prominent multivariate analysis technique which enabled complex variables relationship testing to get entire pictures of model. The advantages of SEM are robust and perfect results from variables as unit.
The results from SEM analysis shows that conventional respondents interest to create saving accounts at Sharia banks are quite high, reaching 54.50 percent of total respondents. Conventional-sharia respondents also shows very high interest to increase their saving at Sharia banks, reaching 78.38 percent of total respondents. At conventional respondents, factors which affect intentions are Attitude Toward Behavior (ATB) and Subjective Norm (SN). Meanwhile, Conventional-Sharia respondents shows that only Subjective Norm affecting their intention to save at Sharia banks.
This research resulted in several managerial recommendation to increase public intention in saving at sharia banks. Sharia banks could increase public knowledge via educations and promotion regarding products and sharia principles. Sharia banks could also reccomended to increase physiscal facilities such as servicing branch office, numbers of ATM machines and also increase nisbah (Sharia profit sharing equivalent of interest
Analisis pengaruh variabel makro dan mikro terhadap risiko kredit/ pembiayaan perbankan di indonesia
Get PDFElectronic prescribing is very much beneficial for the hospital, the benefits provided to the hospital include reducing the rate of prescribing medication mistakes made by the physician to the patient, reducing the prescribing error of the physician by the hospital pharmacy installation, improving the patient's compliance with the prescription of the physician and reducing patient waiting time in taking drugs. Current conditions are many levels of prescribing mistakes made by doctors to patients. But also many patients who are not obedient to prescriptions given by doctors, this is because there are still many hospitals that have not used prescription information system.
The study was conducted on the success of integrated prescribing information system at Ananda Bekasi Hospital. The study was conducted on 71 respondents. Data were collected using questionnaires distributed to specialists, dentists and general practitioners. Processing and data analysis techniques performed using SEM-PLS version 3.2.6. The results of the analysis show that the information quality affects the intentions to use and user satisfaction, intension to use and user satisfaction affect the net benefits. From the results of research can answer the research objectives as follows: Factors that affect prescribing information system success are: information quality, intension to use, user satisfaction and net benefits.
The conclusion of the research results when compared with the framework of DeLone & McLean updated information system success theory used in the study, from six construct variables used in the framework of the research theory obtained the results there are only four constructive variables that influence the research of integrated prescribing information system at the Ananda Bekasi hospital. The four influencing construct variables are variable of information quality, intension to use, user satisfaction and net benefits
Analisis strategi bersaing cv madu apiari mutiara di industri madu
Get PDFHoney is one of the beekeeping products and includes non-wood forest products. Honey has been long known by the public as a food that has the property to maintain health, and able to cure various diseases. The potential for development of honey in Indonesia is quite large, supported by forest resources that can be used as honey bee ecosystem and tropical weather factor of Indonesia. At this time many businessmen feel optimistic that the honey industry is always experiencing growth. This is due to the increasing popularity of honey bee products and the pattern of community life back to nature and the belief in increased consumption of honey products by individuals and companies. One of the businessmen who are optimistic about the competition between competitors and the development of the beekeeping industry at this time is CV. Honey Apiari Mutiara. Various types of products produced by the company that is in the form of bottle honey and various other honey products.
The objectives of this study are to analyze the internal dan eksternal environment CV Madu Apiari Mutiara, formulate alternative strategies, making priorities in honey business CV Madu Apiari Mutiara, and mapping recommendations program of alternative strategies in honey business development at CV Madu Apiari Mutiara.
Processing and analyzing data on this research, using qualitative and quantitative method. The qualitative data were presented in descriptive form to describe a general overview, internal dan external factors from CV Madu Apiari Mutiara. The quantitative data in the form of weighting factors of internal and prioritization of the development strategy. The analysis tool was used A’WOT method, it is a combination of AHP (Analytical Hierarchy Process) with SWOT analysis (Strength, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats). Then conducted the mapping recommendations program of alternative strategies by the method of strategic architechture.
The result of internal factor, obtained that the strengths are product quality, competent employees, diverse product, SOPs in the production division, research and development. The weaknesses of the company are the limitations of raw materials of honey, lack of production facilities and honey products are easily imitated by competitors from the packaging or product labels.
The external factors affecting the development and competition of honey business on CV Madu Apiari Mutiara consist of opportunities and threats. The opportunities consist of loyal customers, marketing location is still widespread, demand for honey is increasing because of healthy lifestyle, information technology, beauty and health product innovation. The threat of the company consists of increasing raw material prices, raw material scarcity, competition between similar companies, and competitors create a good image of the product.
The alternative priority strategy applied to CV Madu Apiari Mutiara in seeking honey, starting from first to sixth priority is expansion of marketing area with value equal to (4.306836). The second priority is the optimization of market penetration for all honey derived products (4.028598). The third priority is the improvement of product quality and the credibility of the company with a value of (4,01988). The fourth priority is to increase the improvement of health and beauty product innovations with a value of (3.879486). The fifth priority is the introduction of product brand image to consumers (product characteristics) (3,490634). The sixth priority is the addition of the number of bee colonies and the increase in the company's capital by a value of (3.394597)
Faktor-faktor yang memengaruhi kinerja pegawai: studi kasus bank bjb syariah cabang bekasi
Get PDFEconomic development in cities and regencies growing very rapidly. This into a potential very large especially for industring Sharia Banking in expand its market. The Branch of Sharia BJB Bank have the potential to very large market shares, because into cities and regencies Bekasi. However, seen from performance assessment and financial statement valuation has ineffective performance an employee oh Sharia BJB Bank in Branch Bekasi. That can of Sharia BJB Bank in Branch Bekasi that can be expands its market in cities and regencies Bekasi. Sharia BJB Bank in Branch Bekasi have to strengthen human recources to compete in Cities and Regencies Bekasi.
Purpose of this research aim to know the affecting between work ability, motivation, and work Islamic ethic with employee performance in Sharia BJB Bank in Branch Bekasi. This research was conducted by distributing online questionnaires with respondents of Sharia BJB Bank employee in Branch Bekasi. This study used the structural equation modeing (SEM) to measure the relantionships between three latent variabels, i.e. work ability, work motivation, Islamic work ethic, and the relationships between those latent variables and their indicator variables. The SEM model in this study was processed using the PLS software. The primary data collection was performed through sel-administered questionnaire with 96 respondents of Sharia BJB Bank employee in Branch Bekasi.
The research results showed that the work ability significantly influences the employee performance in Sharia BJB Bank in Branch Bekasi at 95 percent confidence level. The research results also showed that work motivation significantly influences the employee performance in Sharia BJB Bank in Branch Bekasi. The research results showed that the Islamic work ethic significantly influences the employee performance in Sharia BJB Bank in Branch Bekasi. These steps must be maintain the achievement, the management will have to make the implications of managerial will support the improving performance employee in Sharia BJB Bank in Branch Bekasi. This should be good synergy, communicate and coordinate between management head Branch, the Branches and an employee in Sharia BJB Bank in Branch Bekasi