30 research outputs found

    Supplemental Material - The Influence of Agent Transparency and Complexity on Situation Awareness, Mental Workload, and Task Performance

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    Supplemental Material for The Influence of Agent Transparency and Complexity on Situation Awareness, Mental Workload, and Task Performance by Koen van de Merwe, Steven Mallam, Salman Nazir, and Øystein Engelhardtsen in Journal of Cognitive Engineering and Decision Making</p

    sj-pdf-1-hfs-10.1177_00187208221077804 - Supplemental Material for Agent Transparency, Situation Awareness, Mental Workload, and Operator Performance: A Systematic Literature Review

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    Supplemental Material, sj-pdf-1-hfs-10.1177_00187208221077804 for Agent Transparency, Situation Awareness, Mental Workload, and Operator Performance: A Systematic Literature Review by Koen van de Merwe, Steven Mallam, and Salman Nazir in Human Factors</p

    Agent Transparency and Human Performance in Supervisory Control

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    Background: In future maritime transport, Artificial Intelligence (AI)-enabled systems may allow ships to sail without direct human involvement. Here, humans are foreseen to take a supervisory role to ensure performance and safety requirements are met. However, there are well-known challenges related to this role that may affect the operator’s ability to intervene. Agent transparency is a design principle aimed at supporting supervisory control by providing humans with insight into the system’s decisions, planned actions, and internal reasoning. However, considering the novelty of the application of AI-enabled systems in safety-critical domains, there is limited experience with the effect of transparency on human supervisory performance in these settings. Aim: The research aim is to explore the application of transparency to support supervisory control. Five research questions are investigated: 1. What is the relationship between agent transparency and Situation Awareness, mental workload, and task performance? 2. How is human performance achieved in conventional- and supervised maritime collision avoidance? 3. How does a model for human information processing form the basis for agent transparency in the ship autonomy context? 4. How should a maritime collision avoidance system be made transparent to a human supervisor? 5. What is the relationship between agent transparency and Situation Awareness, mental workload, and task performance in maritime autonomous collision avoidance manoeuvring? Method: The study applied a mix of quantitative and qualitative methods: 1. Systematic literature review (review of 17 peer-reviewed articles) 2. Goal-Directed Task Analysis (in situ observations & interviews, 11 navigators, COLREGs) 3. Modelling (adapted and contextualized a model for human information processing) 4. Human Machine Interface development (iterative design process, workshops, 5 navigators) 5. Controlled experiment (measuring human performance effects, 34 navigators) Results: The thesis outlined the following contributions: 1. Synthesis of the research state-of-the-art on agent transparency and human performance 2. Explored cognitive tasks, identified information requirements to support supervisory control 3. Established transparency model, created layers of information indicating system reasoning 4. Developed realistic traffic situations, applied transparency model to design interface concepts 5. Evaluated the model in the autonomous collision avoidance context, found effects on SA and task performance, but not on mental workload Conclusions: This dissertation advocates the relevance of affording human operators with insight into the reasoning of autonomous systems and establishes transparency as an important prerequisite on the path towards safe and effective human-supervisory control. With these new insights, meaningful human work may be created where the combined capabilities of human-agent teams can be optimisedpublishedVersio

    Classifying yield spread movements in sparse data through triplots

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    Thesis (PhD)--Stellenbosch University, 2020.ENGLISH SUMMARY : In many developing countries, including South Africa, all data that are required to calculate the fair values of financial instruments are not always readily available. Additionally, in some instances, companies who do not have the necessary quantitative skills are reluctant to incorporate the correct fair valuation by failing to employ the appropriate techniques. This problem is most notable with regards to unlisted debt instruments. There are two main inputs with regards to the valuation of unlisted debt instruments, namely the the risk-free curve and the the yield spread. Investigation into these two components forms the basis of this thesis. Firstly, an analysis is carried out to derive approximations of risk-free curves in areas where data is sparse. Thereafter it is investigated whether there is sufficient evidence of a significant change in yield spreads of unlisted debt instruments. In order to determine these changes, however, a new method that allows for simultaneous visualisation and classification of data was developed - termed triplot classification with polybags. This new classification technique also has the ability to limit misclassification rates. In the first paper, a proxy for the extended zero curve, calculated from other observable inputs, is found through a simulation approach by incorporating two new techniques, namely permuted integer multiple linear regression and aggregate standardised model scoring. It was found that a Nelson Siegel fit, with a mixture of one year forward rates as proxies for the long term zero point, and some discarding of initial data points, performs relatively well in the training and testing data sets. This new method allows for the approximation of risk-free curves where no long term points are available, and further allows for the determinants of the yield curve shape by considering other available data. The changes in these shape determining parameters are used in the final paper as determinants for changes in yield spreads. For the second paper, a new classification technique is developed that was used in the final paper. Classification techniques do not easily allow for visual interpretation, nor do they usually allow for the limitation of the false negative and positive error rates. For some areas of research and practical applications these shortcomings are important to address. In this paper, classification techniques are combined with biplots, allowing for simultaneous visual representation and classification of the data, resulting in the so-called triplot. By further incorporating polybags, the ability of limiting misclassification type errors is also introduced. A simulation study as well as an application is provided showing that the method provides similar results compared to existing methods, but with added visualisation benefits. The paper focuses purely on developing a statistical technique that can be applied to any field. The application that is provided, for example, is on a medical data set. In the final paper the technique is applied to changes in yield spreads. The third paper considered changes in yield spreads which were analysed through various covariates to determine whether significant decreases or increases would have been observed for unlisted debt instruments. The methodology does not specifically determine the new spread, but gives evidence on whether the initial implied spread could be left the same, or whether a new spread should be determined. These yield spread movements are classified using various share, interest rate, financial ratio, and economic type covariates in a visually interpretive manner. This also allows for a better understanding of how various factors drive the changes in yield spreads. Finally, as supplement to each paper, a web-based application was built allowing the reader to interact with all the data and properties of the methodologies discussed. The following links can be used to access these three applications: - Paper 1: https://carelvdmerwe.shinyapps.io/ProxyCurve/ - Paper 2: https://carelvdmerwe.shinyapps.io/TriplotSimulation/ - Paper 3: https://carelvdmerwe.shinyapps.io/SpreadsTriplot/AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING : In baie ontwikkelende lande, insluitend Suid-Afrika, is al die inligting wat benodig word om die billike waardes van finansiële instrumente te bereken, nie altyd geredelik beskikbaar nie. In sommige gevalle is ondernemings, wat nie oor die nodige kwantitatiewe vaardighede beskik nie, teësinnig om die regte billike waardasie te bereken deur nie-toepaslike tegnieke te gebruik. Hierdie probleem is veral opvallend ten opsigte van ongenoteerde skuldinstrumente. Daar is twee hoof insette met betrekking tot die waardasie van ongenoteerde skuldinstrumente, naamlik die risiko-vrye kromme en die opbrengskoersspreiding. Die ondersoek na hierdie twee komponente vorm die basis van hierdie tesis. Eerstens word ’n analise uitgevoer om benaderings vir die risiko-vrye kurwes af te lei in areas waar die data skaars is. Daarna word ondersoek gedoen om vas te stel of daar voldoende bewyse is van betekenisvolle veranderinge in die opbrengskoersspreiding van ongenoteerde skuldinstrumente. Ten einde hierdie veranderinge te bepaal, is ’n nuwe metode wat gelyktydige visualisering en klassifikasie van data moontlik maak, ontwikkel - genaamd tri-stipping-klassifisering met poli-sakke. Hierdie nuwe klassifikasietegniek het ook die vermoë om wanklassifikasiekoerse te beperk. In die eerste artikel word ’n benadering vir die uitgebreide nul-kromme bereken uit ander waarneembare insette. Dit word gevind deur middel van ’n simulasiebenadering deur twee nuwe tegnieke, naamlik gepermuteerde heelgetal meervoudige liniêre regressie en totale gestandaardiseerde model-telling, te gebruik. Dit is gevind dat ’n Nelson Siegel-passing, met ’n kombinasie van een jaar vooruitkoerse as benaderings vir die langtermyn nulpunt, en ’n mate van weglating van die aanvanklike datapunte, relatief goed in die leer en toetsing van datastelle presteer. Hierdie nuwe metode maak voorsiening vir die benadering van risiko-vrye krommes waar geen langtermynpunte beskikbaar is nie. Dit maak ook voorsiening vir die komponente van die opbrengskrommevorm deur ander beskikbare data in ag te neem. Die veranderinge in hierdie vormbepalingsparameters word in die finale artikel as komponente vir veranderinge in opbrengskoersspreidings gebruik. In die tweede artikel word ’n nuwe klassifikasietegniek ontwikkel wat in die finale artikel gebruik word. Klassifikasietegnieke laat nie maklik visuele interpretasie toe nie, en maak gewoonlik ook nie die beperking van die vals negatiewe en positiewe foutkoerse moontlik nie. Hierdie tekortkominge is belangrik vir sommige navorsings- en praktiese toepassingsareas. In hierdie artikel word klassifikasietegnieke gekombineer met bi-stippings, waardeur die data gelyktydig visueel voorgestel en geklassifiseer word, wat die sogenaamde tri-stipping tot gevolg het. Deur poli-sakke in te bring, word die vermoë om foute in die wanklassifikasie te beperk geïnkorporeer. ’n Simulasie-studie sowel as ’n toepassing word word geïllustreer. Dit toon aan dat die metode soortgelyke resultate lewer in vergelyking met die bestaande metodes, maar met ekstra visualiseringsvoordele. Die artikel fokus slegs op die ontwikkeling van ’n statistiese tegniek wat op enige veld toegepas kan word. Die toepassing wat byvoorbeeld verskaf is, was op ’n mediese datastel. In die finale artikel word die tegniek op veranderinge in opbrengskoersspreidings toegepas. In die derde artikel word veranderinge in opbrengskoersspreidings ondersoek en word dit deur middel van verskillende ko-variate ontleed om te bepaal of betekenisvolle daling of stygings by ongenoteerde skuldinstrumente waargeneem word. Die metodologie bepaal nie die nuwe spreiding spesifiek nie, maar lewer ’n bewys of die aanvanklike geïmpliseerde spreiding dieselfde gelaat kan word, of dat ’n nuwe spreiding bepaal moet word. Hierdie opbrengskoersspreidingbewegings word op ’n visueel interpretatiewe wyse geklassifiseer met behulp van verskillende aandeel-, rentekoers-, finansiële verhouding- en ekonomiese tipe ko-variate. Dit gee ook ’n beter begrip van hoe verskillende faktore die veranderinge in opbrengskoerse beïnvloed. Ten slotte, aanvullend tot elke artikel, is ’n webtoepassing gebou wat die leser in staat stel om met al die data en eienskappe van die metodologieë wat bespreek is, te eksperimenteer. Die volgende skakels kan gebruik word om toegang tot hierdie drie toepassings te verkry: - Artikel 1: https://carelvdmerwe.shinyapps.io/ProxyCurve/ - Artikel 2: https://carelvdmerwe.shinyapps.io/TriplotSimulation/ - Artikel 3: https://carelvdmerwe.shinyapps.io/SpreadsTriplot/Doctora

    Die Stroom-op: April 1981

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    The Stroom-op is the official newspaper of Afrikaanse Hoër Seunskool and Afrikaanse Hoër Meisieskool Pretoria. The publication is a joint effort, each school doing its own part. It consist of 16 pages, each school writing 8 pages. / Die Stroom-op is die offisiële koerant van die Afrikaanse Hoër Seunskool en Afrikaanse Hoër Meisieskool Pretoria. Hierdie publikasie is 'n gesamentlike poging waar elke skool sy eie deel byvoeg. Dit bestaan uit 16 bladsye, waarvan 8 bladsye toegeken word aan elke skool

    Situational Awareness Assessment in Flight Simulator Experiment

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    Within the HILAS (Human Integration into the Lifecycle of Aviation Systems) project a flight simulator experiment was performed. The aim of the experiment was to study and select relevant Human Factors tools for pilot Situational Awareness assessment. One specific scenario was designed in which a malfunction of the aircraft was simulated: an Indicated Air Speed discrepancy. The malfunction was introduced during flight and slowly progressed over time while researchers monitored if and how pilots detected the discrepancy. Pilot behaviour was studied during the scenario; i.e. pilots’ Situational Awareness was assessed via eye trackers and rating scales

    Biological Psychiatry Congress 2015

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    List of Abstract Titles and authors: 1. Psychosis: A matter of mental effort? M Borg, Y Y van der Zee, J H Hsieh, H Temmingh, D J Stein, F M Howells 2.In search of an affordable, effective post-discharge intervention: A randomised control trial assessing the influence of a telephone-based intervention on readmissions for patients with severe mental illness in a developing country U A Botha, L Koen, M Mazinu, E Jordaan, D J H Niehaus 3. The effect of early abstinence from long-term methamphetamine use on brain metabolism using 1H-magnetic resonance spectro-scopy (1H-MRS) A Burger, S Brooks, D J Stein, F M Howells 4. The effect of in utero exposure to methamphetamine on brain metabolism in childhood using 1H-magnetic resonance spectroscopy (1H-MRS) A Burger, A Roos, M Kwiatkowski, D J Stein, K A Donald, F M Howells 5. A prospective study of clinical, biological and functional aspects of outcome in first-episode psychosis: The EONKCS Study B Chiliza, L Asmal, R Emsley 6. Stimulants as cognitive enhancers - perceptions v. evidence in a very real world H M Clark 7. Pharmacogenomics in antipsychotic drugs Ilse du Plessis 8. Serotonin in anxiety disorders and beyond Ilse du Plessis 9. HIV infection results in ventral-striatal reward system hypo-activation during cue processing S du Plessis, M Vink, J A Joska, E Koutsilieri, A Bagadia, D J Stein, R Emsley 10. Disease progression in schizophrenia: Is the illness or the treatment to blame? R Emsley, M J Sian 11. Serotonin transporter variants play a role in anxiety sensitivity in South African adolescents  S M J Hemmings, L I Martin, L van der Merwe, R Benecke, K Domschke, S Seedat 12. Iron deficiency in two children diagnosed with multiple sclerosis: Report on whole exom sequencing S Janse van Rensburg, R van Toorn, J F Schoeman, A Peeters, L R Fisher, K Moremi, M J Kotze 13. Benzodiazepines: Practical pharmacokinetics P Joubert 14. What to consider when prescribing psychotropic medications G Lippi 15. Current prescribing practices for obsessive-compulsive disorder in South Africa: Controversies and consensus C Lochner, L Taljaard, D J Stein 16. Correlates of emotional and behavioural problems in children with preinatally acquired HIV in Cape Town, South Africa K-A Louw, N Phillips, JIpser, J Hoare 17. The role of non-coding RNAs in fear extinction S Malan-Muller, L Fairbairn, W M U Daniels, M J S Dashti, E J Oakleley, M Altorfer, J Harvey, S Seedat, J Gamieldien, S M J Hemmings 18. An analysis of the management og HIV-mental illness comorbidity at the psychiatric unit of the Dr George Mukhari Academic Hospital M L Maodi, S T Rataemane, T Kyaw 19. The identification of novel genes in anxiety disorders: A gene X environment correlation and interaction study N W McGregor, J Dimatelis, S M J Hemmings, C J Kinnear, D J Stein, V Russel, C Lochner 20. Collaborations between conventional medicine and traditional healers: Obstacles and possibilities G Nortje, S Seedat, O Gureje 21. Thought disorder and form perception: Relationships with symptoms and cognitive function in first-episode schizophrenia M R Olivier, R Emsley 22. Investigating the functional significance of genome-wide variants associated with antipsychotic treatment response E Ovenden, B Drogemoller, L van der Merwe, R Emsley, L Warnich 23. The moral and bioethical determinants of "futility" in psychiatry W P Pienaar 24. Single voxel proton magnetic resonance spectroscopy (1H-MRS) and volumetry of the amylgdala in social anxiety disorder in the context of early developmental trauma D Rosenstein, A T Hess, J Zwart, F Ahmed-Leitao, E Meintjies, S Seedat 25. Schizoaffective disorder in an acute psychiatric unit: Profile of users and agreement with Operational Criteria (OPCRIT) R R Singh, U Subramaney 26. The right to privacy and confidentiality: The ethics of expert diagnosis in the public media and the Oscar Pistorius trial C Smith 27. A birth cohort study in South Africa: A psychiatric perspective D J Stein 28. 'Womb Raiders': Women referred for observation in terms of the Criminal Procedures Act (CPA) charged with fetal abduction and murder U Subramaney 29. Psycho-pharmacology of sleep wake disorders: An update R Sykes 30. Refugee post-settlement in South Africa: Role of adjustment challenges and family in mental health outcomes L Thela, A Tomita, V Maharaj, M Mhlongo, K Jonathan 31. Dstinguishing ADHD symptoms in psychotic disorders: A new insight in the adult ADHD questionnaire Y van der Zee, M Borg, J H Hsieh, H Temmingh, D J Stein, F M Howells 32. Oscar Pistorius ethical dilemmas in a trial by media: Does this include psychiatric evaluation by media? M Vorster 33. Genetic investigation of apetite aggression in South African former young offenders: The involvement of serotonin transporter gene K Xulu, J Somer, M Hinsberger, R Weierstall, T Elbert, S Seedat, S Hemmings 34. Effects of HIV and childhood trauma on brain morphemtry and neurocognitive function G Spies, F Ahmed-Leitao, C Fennema-Notestine, M Cherner, S Seedat 35. Measuring intentional behaviour normative data of a newly developed motor task battery S Bakelaar, J Blampain, S Seedat, J van Hoof, Y Delevoye-Turrel 36. Resilience in social anxiety disorder and post-traumatic stress disorder in the context of childhood trauma M Bship, S Bakelaar, D Rosenstein, S Seedat 37. The ethical dilemma of seclusion practices in psychiatry G Chiba, U Subramaney 38. Physical activity and neurological soft signs in patients with schizophrenia O Esan, C Osunbote, I Oladele, S Fakunle, C Ehindero 39. A retrospective study of completed suicides in the Nelson Mandela Bay Metropolitan Area from 2008 to 2013 - preliminary results C Grobler, J Strumpher, R Jacobs 40. Serotonin transporter variants play a role in anxiety sensitivity in South African adolescents S M J Hemmings, L I Martin, L van der Merwe, R Benecke, K Domschke, S Seedat 41. Investigation of variants within antipsychotic candidate pharmacogenes associated with treatment outcome F Higgins, B Drogmoller, G Wright, L van der Merwe, N McGregor, B Chiliza, L Asmal, L Koen, D Niehaus, R Emsley, L Warnich 42. Effects of diet, smoking and alcohol consumption on disability (EDSS) in people diagnosed with multiple sclerosis S Janse van Rensburg, W Davis, D Geiger, F J Cronje, L Whati, M Kidd, M J Kotze 43. The clinical utility of neuroimaging in an acute adolescnet psychiatric inpatient population Z Khan, A Lachman, J Harvey 44. Relationships between childhood trauma (CT) and premorbid adjustment (PA) in a highly traumatised sample of patients with first-episode schizophrenia (FES) S Kilian, J Burns, S Seedat, L Asmal, B Chiliza, S du Plessis, R Olivier, R Emsley 45. Functional and cognitive outcomes using an mTOR inhibitor in an adolescent with TSC A Lachman, C van der Merwe, P Boyes, P de Vries 46. Perceptions about adolescent body image and eating behaviour K Laxton, A B R Janse van Rensburg 47. Clinical relevance of FTO rs9939609 as a determinant of cardio-metabolic risk in South African patients with major depressive disorder H K Luckhoff, M J Kotze 48. Childhood abuse and neglect as predictors of deficits in verbal auditory memory in non-clinical adolescents with low anxiety proneness L Martin, K Martin, S Seedat 49. The changes of pro-inflammatory cytokines in a prenatally stressed febrile seizure animal model and whether Rhus chirindensis may attenuate these changes A Mohamed, M V Mabandla, L Qulu 50. Influence of TMPRSS6 A736v and HFE C282y on serum iron parameters and age of onset in patients with multiple sclerosis K E Moremi, M J Kotze, H K Luckhoff, L R Fisher, M Kidd, R van Toorn, S Janse van Rensburg 51. Polypharmacy in pregnant women with serious mental illness E Thomas, E du Toit, L Koen, D Niehaus 52. Infant attachment and maternal depression as predictors of neurodevelopmental and behavioural outcomes at follow-up J Nothling, B Laughton, S Seedat 53. Differences in abuse, neglect and exposure to community violence in adolescents with and without PTSD J Nothling, S Suliman, L Martin, C Simmons, S Seedat 54. Assessment of oxidative stress markers in children with autistic spectrum disorders in Lagos, Nigeria Y Oshodi, O Ojewunmi, T A Oshodi, T Ijarogbe, O F Aina, J Okpuzor, O C F E A Lesi 55. Change in diagnosis and management of 'gender identity disorder' in pre-adolescent children S Pickstone-Taylor 56. Brain network connectivity in women exposed to intimate partner violence A Roos, J-P Fouche, B Vythilingum, D J Stein 57. Prolonged exposure treatment for PTSD in a Third-World, task-shifting, community-based environment J Rossouw, E Yadin, I Mbanga, T Jacobs, W Rossouw, D Alexander, S Seedat 58. Contrasting effects of early0life stress on mitochondrial energy-related proteins in striatum and hippocampus of a rat model of attention-deficit/ hyperactivity disorder V Russell, J Dimatelis, J Womersley, T-L Sterley 59. Attention-deficit hyperactivity disorder in adults: A South African perspective R Schoeman, M de Klerk, M Kidd 60. Cognitive function in women with HIV infection and early-life stress G Spies, C Fennema-Notestine, M Cherner, S Seedat 61. Changes in functional connectivity networks in bipolar disorder patients after mindfulness-based cognitic therapy J A Starke, C F Beckmann, N Horn 62. Post-traumatic stress disorder, overweight and obesity: A systematic review and meta-analysis S Suliman, L Anthonissen, J Carr, S du Plessis, R Emsley, S M J Hemmings, C Lochner, N McGregor L van den Heuvel, S Seedat 63. The brain and behaviour in a third-trimester equivalent animal model of fetal alcohol spectrum disorders P C Swart, C B Currin, J J Dimatelis, V A Russell 64. Irritability Assessment Model (IAM) to monitor irritability in child and adolescent psychiatric disorders. D van der Westhuizen 65. Outcome of parent-adolescent training in chilhood victimisation: Adaptive functioning, psychosocial and physiological variables D van der Westhuizen 66. The effect of ketamine in the Wistar-Kyoto and Sprague Dawley rat models of depression P J van Zyl, J J Dimatelis, V A Russell 67. Investigating COMT variants in anxiety sensitivity in South African adolescents L J Zass, L Martin, S Seedat, S M J Hemming

    Assuring Safe Implementation of Decision Support Functionality based on Data-driven Methods for Ship Navigation

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    The rapid technology development related to machine learning and data-driven models for autonomous and unmanned vessels continues. Also manned vessels can make use of this technology, for example to enhance situational awareness of an on board navigator. Potentially, this can contribute to increase safety and to optimize operations by transferring tasks and functions to where they are most effectively handled, ashore and on board. However, the introduction of decision support systems and functionality to enhance situational awareness can have detrimental consequences, due to for example misunderstandings, wrong use of the functionality, malfunctioning user-interface, as well as bad or wrong decision proposals. This can be the case, even when manning levels are kept unchanged. To ensure safety, we argue that the system must be rigorously tested, and the system’s limitations, uncertainties and capabilities must be correctly conveyed to its users. Based on current regulations, including the International Maritime Organization (IMO) resolution Principles of minimum safe manning, we investigate how minimum safe manning of a vessel should be established considering relevant factors, including the ship’s level of automation and shore support. We also discuss challenges related to lack of specification, which is an inherent challenge to decision support systems based on object detection and image classification since these tasks rely on perception of the environment, which can only partially be specified using rules. Furthermore, challenges related to lack of explainability are discussed, and potential benefits of using methods for black-box explanation during operation and during testing are investigated. We emphasize the importance of testing and verification of the dataset used to train the models, ensuring that it sufficiently covers relevant scenarios. We also discuss challenges related to human factors, and emphasize the importance of safety management systems used to identify risks, responsibilities, resources and competencies ensuring compliance with rules and regulations.publishedVersio
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