1,720,958 research outputs found
Perbandingan Model Saxena Easo dan Model Chen Hsu pada Fuzzy Time Series untuk Prediksi Harga Emas
Emas menjadi salah satu produk investasi karena harganya yang dapat mengalami kenaikan maupun penurunan harga. Kenaikan maupun penurunan harga emas menjadi indikator yang dapat digunakan dalam memprediksi harga emas untuk kedepannya. Salah satu metode yang dapat digunakan yaitu metode fuzzy time series, fuzzy time series adalah suatu metode yang digunakan untuk memprediksi data kedepannya dengan menggunakan data historis berdasarkan perhitungan matematik. Dalam fuzzy time series terdapat banyak pengembangan model, diantaranya adalah model Saxena Easo, dan model Chen Hsu. Penelitian ini membandingkan kedua model tersebut untuk mengetahui hasil keakuratan yang lebih baik dengan pembanding model menggunakan metode AFER, MAD, dan MSE. Pada panjang interval model Chen Hsu menggunakan average-based fuzzy time series sedangkan pada model Saxena Easo panjang interval menggunakan selisih data terbesar dan terkecil dibagi dengan banyaknya kelas. Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian yaitu data tahun 2017 – 2019, terdapat 3 kali percobaan dengan jumlah data yang berbeda yaitu data 2019, data 2018 - 2019, dan data 2017 - 2019. Dari hasil percobaan, model Saxena Easo mempunyai hasil prediksi yang lebih baik dengan nilai AFER dan MSE yang lebih kecil yaitu AFER 0.00430%, MAD 28.66, dan MSE 48907 sedangkan model Chen Hsu mempunyai nilai AFER, MAD, dan MSE yang lebih besar yaitu AFER 0.0472%, MAD 315.33 dan MSE 153908
PENGARUH SIFAT MACHIAVELLIAN, LOCUS OF CONTROL, DAN INDEPENDENSI TERHADAP PERILAKU ETIS AUDITOR (STUDI EMPIRIS PADA KANTOR AKUNTAN PUBLIK DI YOGYAKARTA)
ANALISIS KEMATIAN BAYI DI TIGA PROVINSI DENGAN PERSENTASE TERTINGGI DI INDONESIA
Abstrak: Kematian bayi di Indonesia secara umum masih relatif tinggi. Provinsi yang mempunyai persentase kasus kematian bayi tiga terbesar perlu mendapatkan perhatian faktor apa yang kemungkinan mempengaruhi terhadap kejadian tersebut. Hal ini perlu mendapatkan perhatian karena kasus ini akan berpengaruh terhadap kualitas hidup, kondisi kesehatan dan praktek penggunaan kontrasepsi. Tujuan penelitian ini untuk melihat kaitan umur, jarak kelahiran, jumlah anak masih hidup, dan pendidikan ibu terhadap kematian bayi di Nusa Tenggara Barat, Kalimantan Selatan, dan Gorontalo. Penelitian ini menggunakan data sekunder dari Survei Demografi Kesehatan Indonesia (SDKI) 2017. Umur memiliki hubungan signifikan dengan kejadian kematian bayi. Yang perlu diwaspadai bila umur ibu hamil kurang dari 20 tahun. Usia ini rentan karena masih pada tahap masa reproduksi awal dan organ reproduksi belum tumbuh secara sempurna sehingga dapat berisiko terjadi gangguan pertumbuhan janin saat di kandungan. Demikian pula pada usia lebih dari 30 tahun seorang ibu sudah mulai muncul berbagai macam penyakit yang menurunkan kemampuan ibu untuk melakukan proses persalinan normal karena usia maupun penyakit kronik yang dialaminya. Kematian bayi juga kemungkinan terjadi 1,695 kali lebih tinggi pada ibu yang memiliki 3 anak atau lebih dibandingkan pada ibu yang baru memiliki 1-2 anak yang masih hidup. Abstract: Infant mortality in Indonesia in general is still relatively high. Provinces that have the third largest percentage of infant mortality cases need to get attention to what factors are likely to influence the incidence. This needs attention because this case will affect the quality of life, health conditions and the practice of contraceptive use. The purpose of this study was to look at the relationship of age, birth spacing, number of children still alive, and mother's education towards infant mortality in West Nusa Tenggara, South Kalimantan and Gorontalo. This study uses secondary data from the 2017 Indonesian Demographic and Health Survey (IDHS). Age has a significant relationship with infant mortality. That need to be aware of if the age of pregnant women is less than 20 years. This age is vulnerable because it is still in the early reproductive stages and the reproductive organs have not fully grown so that there can be a risk of fetal growth disturbance when in the womb. Similarly, at the age of more than 30 years a mother has begun to emerge various kinds of diseases that reduce the ability of mothers to carry out normal childbirth due to age and chronic disease they experience. Infant mortality is also likely to occur 1,695 times higher in mothers who have 3 or more children compared to mothers who have only 1-2 children who are still alive
Going Beyond Counting First Authors in Author Co-citation Analysis
The present study examines one of the fundamental aspects of author co-citation analysis (ACA) - the way co-citation
counts are defined. Co-citation counting provides the data on which all subsequent statistical analyses and mappings
are based, and we compare ACA results based on two different types of co-citation counting - the traditional type that
only counts the first one among a cited work's authors on the one hand and a non-traditional type that takes into
account the first 5 authors of a cited work on the other hand. Results indicate that the picture produced through this non-traditional author co-citation counting contains more coherent author groups and is therefore considerably clearer. However, this picture represents fewer specialties in the research field being studied than that produced through the traditional first-author co-citation counting when the same number of top-ranked authors is selected and analyzed. Reasons for these effects are discussed
PARTISIPASI MASYARAKAT DALAM KETAHANAN KELUARGA PADA MASA PANDEMI COVID-19
Abstrak: Individu dan keluarga yang memiliki pengetahuan dan pemahaman tentang ketahanan keluarga yang baik, akan mampu bertahan dengan perubahan struktur, fungsi dan peranan keluarga. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mendeskripsikan dan menganalisis proses implementasi ketahanan keluarga dilihat dari kepesertaan masyarakat dalam program bina keluarga. Penelitian berdasarkan data sekunder dari hasil laporan pengendalian program BKKBN DI Yogyakarta. Metode analisis yang digunakan yaitu deskriptif kuantitatif. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa pelaksanaan program pemberdayaan masyarakat sudah baik, hal itu terlihat dari tingkat partisipasi dan kesadaran masyarakat untuk ikut kegiatan bina keluarga sudah cukup tinggi dan diharapkan capaiannya dapat membantu meningkatkan ketahanan keluarga meskipun terdapat beberapa kendala seperti adanya pandemi Covid-19, sehingga partisipasinya menurun. Penurunan partisipasi masyarakat pada bulan April 2020 dalam Bina Keluarga Balita, Bina Keluarga Remaja, dan Bina Keluarga Lansia tinggal sekitar 40-50 persen, yang sebelumnya mencapai 70-80 persen. Berkenaan dengan itu, dalam usaha mewujudkan ketahanan keluarga penting dikembangkan kebijakan dalam rangka peningkatan ketahanan keluarga secara sosial dan mental spiritual. Kebijakan diarahkan pada pengembangan jejaring di kelompok-kelompok masyarakat yang diinisiasi pemerintah maupun kelambagaan sosial yang tumbuh secara alamiah untuk mendapatkan ketahanan keluarga seperti yang diinginkan. Abstract: Individuals and families who have knowledge and understanding of good family resilience will be able to survive with changes in the structure, function and role of the family. This study aims to describe and analyze the process of implementing family resilience in terms of community participation in the family development program. The study is based on secondary data from the results of the BKKBN DI Yogyakarta control report. The analytical method used is quantitative descriptive. The results showed that the implementation of the community empowerment program was good, it was seen from the level of community participation and awareness to participate in family building activities which were quite high and it was hoped that their achievements could help improve family resilience despite several obstacles such as the Covid-19 pandemic, so participation declined . Decreased community participation in April 2020 in the Development of Toddler Families, Adolescent Families, and Elderly Family Development live around 40-50 percent, which previously reached 70-80 percent. In this regard, in an effort to realize family resilience it is important to develop policies in order to increase family resilience socially and mentally and spiritually. The policy is directed at the development of networks in community groups initiated by the government and social institutions that grow naturally to obtain family resilience as desired
Variations on the Author
“Variations on the Author” discusses two of Eduardo Coutinho’s recent films (Um Dia na Vida, from 2010, and Últimas Conversas, posthumously released in 2015) and their contribution to the general question of documentary authorship. The director’s filmography is characterized by a consistent yet self-effacing form of authorial self-inscription: Coutinho often features as an interviewer that rather than express opinions propels discourses; an interviewer that is good at listening. This mode of self-inscription characterizes him as an author who is not expressive but who is nonetheless markedly present on the screen. In Um Dia na Vida, however, Coutinho is completely absent form the image, while Últimas Conversas, on the contrary, includes a confessional prologue that moves the director from the margins to the center of his films. This article examines the ways in which these works stand out in the filmography of a director who offers new insights into the notion of cinematic authorship
Appropriate Similarity Measures for Author Cocitation Analysis
We provide a number of new insights into the methodological discussion about author cocitation analysis. We first argue that the use of the Pearson correlation for measuring the similarity between authors’ cocitation profiles is not very satisfactory. We then discuss what kind of similarity measures may be used as an alternative to the Pearson correlation. We consider three similarity measures in particular. One is the well-known cosine. The other two similarity measures have not been used before in the bibliometric literature. Finally, we show by means of an example that our findings have a high practical relevance.information science;Pearson correlation;cosine;similarity measure;author cocitation analysis
Dispelling the Myths Behind First-author Citation Counts
We conducted a full-scale evaluative citation analysis study of scholars in the XML research field to explore just how different from each other author rankings resulting from different citation counting methods actually are, and to demonstrate the capability of emerging data and tools on the Web in supporting more realistic citation counting methods. Our results contest some common arguments for the continued
use of first-author citation counts in the evaluation of scholars, such as high correlations between author rankings by first-author citation counts and other citation
counting methods, and high costs of using more realistic citation counting methods that are not well-supported by the ISI databases. It is argued that increasingly available digital full text research papers make it possible for citation analysis studies to go beyond what the ISI databases have directly supported and to employ more
sophisticated methods
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