1,720,966 research outputs found

    MODEL GABUNGAN (ANSAMBEL) SARIMA DAN JARINGAN SARAF TIRUAN UNTUK PERAMALAN BEBAN LISTRIK

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    This study aims to investigate the efficacy of employing artificial neural networks in conjunction with a seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) ensemble for forecasting electrical load. The SARIMA ensemble comprises members generated by varying autoregressive orders or moving averages. Subsequently, these SARIMA ensemble members are integrated using artificial neural networks. The datasets encompass monthly electrical load data pertaining to households, businesses, industries, and the public, spanning from January 2016 to December 2020. The findings demonstrate that across various categories, SARIMA ensemble-based artificial neural networks demonstrated superior predictive performance compared to alternative models. Future research endeavors should focus on exploring diverse methodologies for both creating and amalgamating ensemble members

    Forecasting Inflation In Indonesia Using Hybrid ARIMA And Artificial Neural Networks Ensemble

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    Hybrid autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and artificial neural networks (ANNs) ensemble is methodology which generating multi-model of hybrid ARIMA and ANNs then combining the output of each hybrid into single output. Meanwhile hybrid ARIMA and ANNs model is combination of ARIMA and ANNs which residual of ARIMA is used to input of ANNs. Hybrid ARIMA and ANNs ensemble are constructed to improve the performance of ARIMA for forecasting inflation in Indonesia. The architechture of ANNs in this research are feedforward neural network (FFNNs), recurrent neural network (RNNs), radial basis function neural network (RBFNNs) and generalized regression neural network (GRNNs) This research evaluates performance of hybrid ARIMA and ANNs ensemble based on root mean square error (RMSE), relative root mean square error (RelRMSE) and log mean square error ratio (LMR). This reserach use national inflation and seven cities in East Java as case study. The result show that, in the context of forecasting inflation, hybrid ARIMA and ANNs ensemble is better than ARIMA, particularly when the stacking hybrid ARIMA and GRNNs is used. Overall, stacking technique is better than averaging to combine ensemble member of hybrid ARIMA and ANNs

    Going Beyond Counting First Authors in Author Co-citation Analysis

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    The present study examines one of the fundamental aspects of author co-citation analysis (ACA) - the way co-citation counts are defined. Co-citation counting provides the data on which all subsequent statistical analyses and mappings are based, and we compare ACA results based on two different types of co-citation counting - the traditional type that only counts the first one among a cited work's authors on the one hand and a non-traditional type that takes into account the first 5 authors of a cited work on the other hand. Results indicate that the picture produced through this non-traditional author co-citation counting contains more coherent author groups and is therefore considerably clearer. However, this picture represents fewer specialties in the research field being studied than that produced through the traditional first-author co-citation counting when the same number of top-ranked authors is selected and analyzed. Reasons for these effects are discussed

    Variations on the Author

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    “Variations on the Author” discusses two of Eduardo Coutinho’s recent films (Um Dia na Vida, from 2010, and Últimas Conversas, posthumously released in 2015) and their contribution to the general question of documentary authorship. The director’s filmography is characterized by a consistent yet self-effacing form of authorial self-inscription: Coutinho often features as an interviewer that rather than express opinions propels discourses; an interviewer that is good at listening. This mode of self-inscription characterizes him as an author who is not expressive but who is nonetheless markedly present on the screen. In Um Dia na Vida, however, Coutinho is completely absent form the image, while Últimas Conversas, on the contrary, includes a confessional prologue that moves the director from the margins to the center of his films. This article examines the ways in which these works stand out in the filmography of a director who offers new insights into the notion of cinematic authorship

    Appropriate Similarity Measures for Author Cocitation Analysis

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    We provide a number of new insights into the methodological discussion about author cocitation analysis. We first argue that the use of the Pearson correlation for measuring the similarity between authors’ cocitation profiles is not very satisfactory. We then discuss what kind of similarity measures may be used as an alternative to the Pearson correlation. We consider three similarity measures in particular. One is the well-known cosine. The other two similarity measures have not been used before in the bibliometric literature. Finally, we show by means of an example that our findings have a high practical relevance.information science;Pearson correlation;cosine;similarity measure;author cocitation analysis

    ECONOMIC PROJECTION OF BALIKPAPAN AS A BUFFERING CITY FOR INDONESIA’S NEW CAPITAL

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    As part of Indonesia’s capital relocation plan to East Kalimantan, Balikpapan plays a critical role as a supporting city, facing opportunities and challenges in infrastructure, economic stability, and public services. This study forecasts two key economic indicators: monthly inflation and annual Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP), using Error, Trend, Seasonal (ETS) and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) methods. For monthly inflation, the SARIMA(0,1,1)(1,0,0)12 model outperforms ETS(A,N,N) with a lower RMSE, providing higher accuracy in capturing inflation dynamics. For annual GRDP, both ETS(A,N,N) and ARIMA(0,0,0) yield similar accuracy, with ARIMA slightly better. These findings support data-driven planning to maintain price stability and foster economic growth. Accurate projections ensure Balikpapan’s readiness as a sustainable, resilient city, aligning with SDG 8 (Economic Growth) and SDG 11 (Sustainable Cities and Communities)

    Dispelling the Myths Behind First-author Citation Counts

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    We conducted a full-scale evaluative citation analysis study of scholars in the XML research field to explore just how different from each other author rankings resulting from different citation counting methods actually are, and to demonstrate the capability of emerging data and tools on the Web in supporting more realistic citation counting methods. Our results contest some common arguments for the continued use of first-author citation counts in the evaluation of scholars, such as high correlations between author rankings by first-author citation counts and other citation counting methods, and high costs of using more realistic citation counting methods that are not well-supported by the ISI databases. It is argued that increasingly available digital full text research papers make it possible for citation analysis studies to go beyond what the ISI databases have directly supported and to employ more sophisticated methods

    Author Index

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    koamabayili/VECTRON-author-checklist: VECTRON author checklist

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    We have done our best to complete the author checklist relating to the use of animals in the hut study. Note that the objective for the hut study was to evaluate the IRS treatment applications for residual efficacy against Anopheles mosquitoes, including the local An. coluzzii mosquito population. Cows were only used to attract mosquitoes into the huts and no tests were carried out directly on the cows. The author checklist is intended for use with studies where experiments are carried out on animals, which is why we have had such difficulty in completing this for the hut study, as many of the questions do not relate to how the cows were used
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