1,722,315 research outputs found
Estimation and Detection Over Adaptive Networks
No full textIn this chapter, we review the foundations of statistical inference over adaptive networks by considering two canonical problems: distributed estimation and distributed detection. In the former setting, agents cooperate to estimate a model of interest while in the second setting, the agents cooperate to detect a state of nature. We focus on adaptive learning solutions where agents are able to track drifts in the underlying models, and examine performance limits under both estimation and detection formulations. Special attention is paid to the detailed characterization of the steady-state performance. Certain universal laws are highlighted and compared against known laws for estimation and detection in traditional (centralized or decentralized, nonadaptive) inferential systems
Consistent tomography under partial observations over adaptive networks
Full text linkThis paper studies the problem of inferring whether an agent is directly influenced by another agent over a network. Agent i influences agent j if they are connected (according to the network topology), and if agent j uses the data from agent i to update its online learning algorithm. The solution of this inference task is challenging for two main reasons. First, only the output of the learning algorithm is available to the external observer that must perform the inference based on these indirect measurements. Second, only output measurements from a fraction of the network agents is available, with the total number of agents itself being also unknown. The main focus of this paper is ascertaining under these demanding conditions whether consistent tomography is possible, namely, whether it is possible to reconstruct the interaction profile of the observable portion of the network, with negligible error as the network size increases. We establish a critical achievability result, namely, that for symmetric combination policies and for any given fraction of observable agents, the interacting and non-interacting agent pairs split into two separate clusters as the network size increases. This remarkable property then enables the application of clustering algorithms to identify the interacting agents influencing the observations. We provide a set of numerical experiments that verify the results for finite network sizes and time horizons. The numerical experiments show that the results hold for asymmetric combination policies as well, which is particularly relevant in the context of causation
Decision Learning and Adaptation over Multi-Task Networks
No full textThis paper studies the operation of multi-agent networks engaged in multi-task decision problems under the paradigm of simultaneous learning and adaptation. Two scenarios are considered:one in which a decision must be taken among multiple states of nature that are known but can vary over time and space, and another in which there exists a known 'normal' state of nature and the task is to detect unpredictable and unknown deviations from it. In both cases the network learns from the past and adapts to changes in real time in a multi-task scenario with different clusters of agents addressing different decision problems. The system design takes care of challenging situations with clusters of complicated structure, and the performance assessment is conducted by computer simulations. A theoretical analysis is developed to obtain a statistical characterization of the agents' status at steady-state, under the simplifying assumption that clustering is made without errors. This provides approximate bounds for the steady-state decision performance of the agents. Insights are provided for deriving accurate performance prediction by exploiting the derived theoretical results
Decision-making algorithms for learning and adaptation with application to COVID-19 data
No full textThis work focuses on the development of a new family of decision-making algorithms for adaptation and learning, which are specifically tailored to decision problems and are constructed by building up on first principles from decision theory. A key observation is that estimation and decision problems are structurally different and, therefore, algorithms that have proven successful for the former need not perform well when adjusted for the latter. Exploiting classical tools from quickest detection, we propose a tailored version of Page's test, referred to as BLLR (barrier log-likelihood ratio) test, and demonstrate its applicability to real-data from the COVID-19 pandemic in Italy. The results illustrate the ability of the design tool to track the different phases of the outbreak
Adaptation and Learning in Multi-Task Decision Systems
No full textAdaptation and learning over multi-agent networks is a topic of great relevance with important implications. Elaborating on previous works on single-task networks engaged in decision problems, here we consider the multi-task version in the challenging scenario where the state of nature may change arbitrarily. We propose a data diffusion scheme for tracking these changes in real time, and investigate by numerical simulations the corresponding steady-state decision performance. For the slow-adaptation regime, the complete analytical characterization of the agents' status is provided, under the simplifying assumption that the network connection matrix is correctly estimated
Going Beyond Counting First Authors in Author Co-citation Analysis
Full text linkThe present study examines one of the fundamental aspects of author co-citation analysis (ACA) - the way co-citation
counts are defined. Co-citation counting provides the data on which all subsequent statistical analyses and mappings
are based, and we compare ACA results based on two different types of co-citation counting - the traditional type that
only counts the first one among a cited work's authors on the one hand and a non-traditional type that takes into
account the first 5 authors of a cited work on the other hand. Results indicate that the picture produced through this non-traditional author co-citation counting contains more coherent author groups and is therefore considerably clearer. However, this picture represents fewer specialties in the research field being studied than that produced through the traditional first-author co-citation counting when the same number of top-ranked authors is selected and analyzed. Reasons for these effects are discussed
Variations on the Author
Full text link“Variations on the Author” discusses two of Eduardo Coutinho’s recent films (Um Dia na Vida, from 2010, and Últimas Conversas, posthumously released in 2015) and their contribution to the general question of documentary authorship. The director’s filmography is characterized by a consistent yet self-effacing form of authorial self-inscription: Coutinho often features as an interviewer that rather than express opinions propels discourses; an interviewer that is good at listening. This mode of self-inscription characterizes him as an author who is not expressive but who is nonetheless markedly present on the screen. In Um Dia na Vida, however, Coutinho is completely absent form the image, while Últimas Conversas, on the contrary, includes a confessional prologue that moves the director from the margins to the center of his films. This article examines the ways in which these works stand out in the filmography of a director who offers new insights into the notion of cinematic authorship
Appropriate Similarity Measures for Author Cocitation Analysis
Full text linkWe provide a number of new insights into the methodological discussion about author cocitation analysis. We first argue that the use of the Pearson correlation for measuring the similarity between authors’ cocitation profiles is not very satisfactory. We then discuss what kind of similarity measures may be used as an alternative to the Pearson correlation. We consider three similarity measures in particular. One is the well-known cosine. The other two similarity measures have not been used before in the bibliometric literature. Finally, we show by means of an example that our findings have a high practical relevance.information science;Pearson correlation;cosine;similarity measure;author cocitation analysis
Adaptation in online social learning
No full textThis work studies social learning under non-stationary conditions. Although designed for online inference, traditional social learning algorithms perform poorly under drifting conditions. To mitigate this drawback, we propose the Adaptive Social Learning (ASL) strategy. This strategy leverages an adaptive Bayesian update, where the adaptation degree can be modulated by tuning a suitable step-size parameter. The learning performance of the ASL algorithm is examined by means of a steady-state analysis. It is shown that, under the regime of small step-sizes: i) consistent learning is possible; ii) and an accurate prediction of the performance can be furnished in terms of a Gaussian approximation
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