1,720,975 research outputs found
Assessing multi-level congruence in voting in comparative perspective: Introducing the municipal level
No full textThis article widens the theoretical debate on congruence in voting by including the municipal level on top of the consolidated national-regional comparisons. The concept of multi-level congruence (MLC) is introduced and an original dataset is computed in order to investigate two distinct territorial-level comparisons in Italy and Spain: the national-municipal and the regional-municipal. By building on several strands of literature, the article tests different predictors of congruence. Our findings show that local elections are more likely to be impacted by national (and, to a smaller extent regional) politics in central, large municipalities; while local politics is more likely to prevail in peripheric, small municipalities. Moreover, municipal elections are second-order with respect to the national-level at least when election timing is taken into account. Furthermore, historical voting patterns also play a role in explaining the incongruence between local and national elections. Finally, national party-system reshuffle (slightly) affects congruence only for the regional-municipal comparison–and surprisingly not for the national-municipal one
National and local effects in the Italian regional elections (2018-2020). Beyond second-order election expectations?
Full text linkThis article investigates Italian regional elections held between 2018 and 2020 in order to assess whether, and if so, to what extent, regional elections present nationalized or localized features. We argue that the Italian regional elections do not perfectly reflect the expectations deriving from the Second Order Elections (SOE) theory. However, they are not completely ‘localized’, and they often mirror the national climate, as captured by Reif and Schmitt’s classical empirical expectations. Our contribution consists of two parts. First, we descriptively measure and discuss the extent to which high rates of volatility are due to local (localness) or national factors (nationalness). We do so by separately inspecting volatility produced by variations in electoral supply and by variations in vote shares. Secondly, after reflecting on the expected scope of the SOE theory in these terms, the latter component of volatility is explored to test Reif and Schmitt’s classic expectations. We show that, despite profound party-system change, recent Italian regional elections are still second-order–featuring, compared to legislative elections, lower turnouts and reversals for large, governing parties. Moreover, we show that, on top of the impact of national politics, regional and local peculiarities are nonetheless clearly visible; and, regardless of the recent extreme turbulence, they (mostly) follow classic historical trends and features
The EurLocalTurnout Dataset. (Version 1.0.0) [Data set]. GESIS, Cologne. https://doi.org/10.7802/2894
No full textThe EurLocalTurnout Dataset contains electoral data at the municipal level for both national and local elections in 18 European countries - Austria, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Iceland, Italy, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Romania, Slovakia, Spain, Sweden. In addition, a number of relevant institutional, economic, cultural, and demographic measures are included. All variables were recorded in the period 2013-2020
Radical-Right Surge in a Deinstitutionalised Party System: The 2022 Italian General Election
Full text linkThe 2022 Italian general election marked a new step in the
unprecedented instability experienced by the Italian party
system over the past 15 years. This article presents and discusses the outcome of the election within the deinstitutionalised Italian party system. The most remarkable results
were the unprecedented success of the radical-right FDI
(Fratelli d’Italia – Brothers of Italy) led by Giorgia Meloni
(who would become the first female prime minister in Italy)
and a historic drop in voter turnout. In particular, by employing original individual-level survey data, we investigate the
impact of territory on the vote, the individual-level dynamics
behind the results, and the overall picture emerging in terms
of the Italian party system
Going Beyond Counting First Authors in Author Co-citation Analysis
Full text linkThe present study examines one of the fundamental aspects of author co-citation analysis (ACA) - the way co-citation
counts are defined. Co-citation counting provides the data on which all subsequent statistical analyses and mappings
are based, and we compare ACA results based on two different types of co-citation counting - the traditional type that
only counts the first one among a cited work's authors on the one hand and a non-traditional type that takes into
account the first 5 authors of a cited work on the other hand. Results indicate that the picture produced through this non-traditional author co-citation counting contains more coherent author groups and is therefore considerably clearer. However, this picture represents fewer specialties in the research field being studied than that produced through the traditional first-author co-citation counting when the same number of top-ranked authors is selected and analyzed. Reasons for these effects are discussed
The 2018 Italian general election: party strategies in a changing political space
No full textThe 2018 Italian election featured striking results, with both a historic success for the two challenger parties (League and M5S) and massive defeats for the two mainstream parties (PD and FI). In this article, we analyse party campaign strategies, and their consistency with the opportunity structures provided by the configuration of Italian public opinion. Relying on issue yield theory, we collected original survey data for both issue support and priority among Italian voters, and party emphases on issues in the electoral campaign - through Twitter data. Our findings indicate a generalised ideological inconsistency of the constituencies of main parties, while campaign strategies appear much more ideologically consistent. Moreover, we find that parties focussed mostly on conflict-mobilisation strategies, rather than on problem-solving. Finally, we show that, in general, parties acted strategically, by aligning their campaign to the available opportunities, although with relevant variations across parties
Populist Success in a Hung Parliament: The 2018 General Election in Italy
No full textThe 2018 Italian general elections were a crucial test to assess the resilience of mainstream parties vis-à-vis the challenge provided by populist forces and the stabilisation of the tripolar party system emerged in 2013. The article analyses the outcome of the election, whose most remarkable result was the unprecedented success of two populist parties, the M5S and the Lega, by focusing on key aspects such as the new electoral system, the coalition-building process, the electoral campaign, the evolution of the Italian party system, and the analysis of vote shifts between parties
Variations on the Author
Full text link“Variations on the Author” discusses two of Eduardo Coutinho’s recent films (Um Dia na Vida, from 2010, and Últimas Conversas, posthumously released in 2015) and their contribution to the general question of documentary authorship. The director’s filmography is characterized by a consistent yet self-effacing form of authorial self-inscription: Coutinho often features as an interviewer that rather than express opinions propels discourses; an interviewer that is good at listening. This mode of self-inscription characterizes him as an author who is not expressive but who is nonetheless markedly present on the screen. In Um Dia na Vida, however, Coutinho is completely absent form the image, while Últimas Conversas, on the contrary, includes a confessional prologue that moves the director from the margins to the center of his films. This article examines the ways in which these works stand out in the filmography of a director who offers new insights into the notion of cinematic authorship
Appropriate Similarity Measures for Author Cocitation Analysis
Full text linkWe provide a number of new insights into the methodological discussion about author cocitation analysis. We first argue that the use of the Pearson correlation for measuring the similarity between authors’ cocitation profiles is not very satisfactory. We then discuss what kind of similarity measures may be used as an alternative to the Pearson correlation. We consider three similarity measures in particular. One is the well-known cosine. The other two similarity measures have not been used before in the bibliometric literature. Finally, we show by means of an example that our findings have a high practical relevance.information science;Pearson correlation;cosine;similarity measure;author cocitation analysis
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