1,720,986 research outputs found
Fiscal policy in the Great Recession
Full text linkDefence date: 22 May 2015Examining Board:
Prof. Evi Pappa, EUI, Supervisor;
Prof. Fabio Canova, EUI;
Prof. Giuseppe Fiori, North Carolina State University;
Prof. Nora Traum, North Carolina State University.This thesis investigates three questions on fiscal policy that have gained importance in the recent turbulent times of general economic decline, labelled as the Great Recession. The first chapter examines how government spending multipliers can vary depending on the location of the debt holder. Empirically, we find that fiscal multipliers are larger when government purchases are financed by issuing debt to non-resident foreign investors, than to resident home investors. Using a theoretical model we then show how the location of the government debt holder produces these di?erential responses through the extent that investment is crowded out in each case. Increasing international capital mobility of the resident private sector can attenuate the di?erence between the two types of financing. The second chapter contributes to the current debate on fiscal sustainability and fiscal coordination in currency unions. It does so using a large-scale New-Keynesian DSGE model calibrated to the EA South and EA North, and fed with a particular fiscal policy scenario identified using the guidelines of the Stability and Growth Pact. The results suggest that when monetary policy is constrained by the zero-lower bound an expansion in the EA North o?sets a consolidation in the EA South leading to a union-wide increase in output. The third chapter studies the effects of fiscal policy in a setting where crisis shocks propagate through the real exchange rate to generate distortions in labour and financial markets. The joint presence of labour market and financial frictions, modelled as downward nominal rigid wages and a collateral constraint on private borrowing, endogenously generate unemployment and persistently high debt levels. Fiscal policies aiming to stimulate or consolidate the economy affect the movement of the real exchange rate in such a way so as to generate it toothless in the face of a 'debt-unemployment' trade-off
Going Beyond Counting First Authors in Author Co-citation Analysis
Full text linkThe present study examines one of the fundamental aspects of author co-citation analysis (ACA) - the way co-citation
counts are defined. Co-citation counting provides the data on which all subsequent statistical analyses and mappings
are based, and we compare ACA results based on two different types of co-citation counting - the traditional type that
only counts the first one among a cited work's authors on the one hand and a non-traditional type that takes into
account the first 5 authors of a cited work on the other hand. Results indicate that the picture produced through this non-traditional author co-citation counting contains more coherent author groups and is therefore considerably clearer. However, this picture represents fewer specialties in the research field being studied than that produced through the traditional first-author co-citation counting when the same number of top-ranked authors is selected and analyzed. Reasons for these effects are discussed
Growth effects of corporate balance sheet adjustments in the EU
No full textThis paper investigates the impact of active balance sheet adjustments in the non-financial corporate sector on economic growth in the EU. We jointly model firms' ability to reduce their balance sheet imbalances and a growth equation in an instrumental variables (IV) panel context. This enables us to explicitly consider the contemporaneous interaction between corporate balance sheet adjustment and growth, which can otherwise bias inference. Our main findings inter alia suggest that periods of active corporate deleveraging are associated on average with lower output growth compared to periods when no adjustment takes place. Moreover, a decline in corporate debt overhang supports output growth. Model-based simulations are in line with these findings
Sources of borrowing and fiscal multipliers
Full text linkWe find that debt-financed government spending multipliers vary considerably depending on the location of the debt holder. In a sample of 59 countries we find that government spending multipliers are larger when government purchases are financed by issuing debt to foreign investors (non-residents), compared to the case when government purchases are financed by issuing debt to home investors (residents). In a theoretical model we show that the location of the government debt holder produces these differential responses through the extent that private investment is crowded out in each case. Increasing international capital mobility of the resident private sector decreases the difference between the two types of financing, a prediction, which is also confirmed by the data. The share of rule-of-thumb workers, as well as the strength of the public good in the utility function play a key role in generating model-based fiscal multipliers, which are quantitatively comparable with those of the data
Deposit flight and capital controls: a tale from Greece
Full text linkThis paper presents an analytical narration of the later stages of the Greek crisis, focusing on two key events that unfolded during 2014-2015 and set Greece apart from other episodes of sovereign debt crises: the risk of Grexit and the imposition of capital controls on the banking sector. To account for them both, we extend the standard small open economy environment along three dimensions. First, we allow for an informal sector. Second, we allow for a richer menu of assets that include cash, which is needed for informal consumption and is costly to hold. Third, we introduce a banking sector that turns households' deposits into capital. We show that a risk of Grexit leads households to run down their deposits to the detriment of bank balance sheets, increase their demand for cash, and increase their consumption whilst reallocating it towards formal goods. As evidenced by the data capital controls mitigate the deposit ight and reinforce the switch of consumption to formality
Variations on the Author
Full text link“Variations on the Author” discusses two of Eduardo Coutinho’s recent films (Um Dia na Vida, from 2010, and Últimas Conversas, posthumously released in 2015) and their contribution to the general question of documentary authorship. The director’s filmography is characterized by a consistent yet self-effacing form of authorial self-inscription: Coutinho often features as an interviewer that rather than express opinions propels discourses; an interviewer that is good at listening. This mode of self-inscription characterizes him as an author who is not expressive but who is nonetheless markedly present on the screen. In Um Dia na Vida, however, Coutinho is completely absent form the image, while Últimas Conversas, on the contrary, includes a confessional prologue that moves the director from the margins to the center of his films. This article examines the ways in which these works stand out in the filmography of a director who offers new insights into the notion of cinematic authorship
Sources of borrowing and fiscal multipliers
No full textWe find that debt-financed government spending multipliers vary considerably depending on the location of the debt holder. In a sample of 59 countries we find that government spending multipliers are larger when government purchases are financed by issuing debt to foreign investors (non-residents), compared to the case when government purchases are financed by issuing debt to home investors (residents). In a theoretical model we show that the location of the government debt holder produces these differential responses through the extent that private investment is crowded out in each case. Increasing international capital mobility of the resident private sector decreases the difference between the two types of financing, a prediction, which is also confirmed by the data. The share of rule-of-thumb workers, as well as the strength of the public good in the utility function play a key role in generating model-based fiscal multipliers, which are quantitatively comparable with those of the data.The ADEMU Working Paper Series is being supported by the European Commission Horizon 2020 European Union funding for Research & Innovation, grant agreement No 649396
Fiscal and macroprudential policies during an energy crisis
No full textWe construct a New-Keynesian E-DSGE model with energy disaggregation and financial intermediaries to show how energy-related fiscal and macroprudential policies interact in affecting the euro area macroeconomy and carbon emissions. When a shock to the price of fossil resources propagates through the energy and banking sector, it leads to a surge in inflation while lowering output and carbon emissions, absent policy interventions. By contrast, imposing energy production subsidies reduces both CPI and core inflation and increases aggregate output, while energy consumption subsidies only lower CPI inflation and reduce aggregate output. Carbon subsidies instead produce an intermediate effect. Given that both energy subsidies raise carbon emissions and delay the "green transition," accompanying them with parallel macroprudential policy that taxes dirty energy assets in bank portfolios promotes "green" investment while enabling energy subsidies to effectively mitigate the adverse effects of supply-type shocks, witnessed in recent years in the EA
Sources of borrowing and fiscal multipliers
No full textWe find that debt-financed government spending multipliers vary considerably depending on the location of the debt holder. In a sample of 59 countries we find that government spending multipliers are larger when government purchases are financed by issuing debt to foreign investors (non-residents), compared to the case when government purchases are financed by issuing debt to home investors (residents). In a theoretical model we show that the location of the government debt holder produces these differential responses through the extent that private investment is crowded out in each case. Increasing international capital mobility of the resident private sector decreases the difference between the two types of financing, a prediction, which is also confirmed by the data. The share of rule-of-thumb workers, as well as the strength of the public good in the utility function play a key role in generating model-based fiscal multipliers, which are quantitatively comparable with those of the data.The ADEMU Working Paper Series is being supported by the European Commission Horizon 2020 European Union funding for Research & Innovation, grant agreement No 649396
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