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Penaksiran Parameter Pada Distribusi Erlang Berdasarkan Metode Maksimum Likelihood Dengan Menggunakan Algoritma Newton Raphson Dan Fisher Scoring
Full text linkThe Erlang distribution is a special case of the Gamma distribution with the k shape parameter and the λ rate parameter. In this study, the parameter estimation of the Erlang distribution was carried out using the Maximum Likelihood method. In maximizing the function, an implicit and non-linear form is obtained, then it is solved using the Newton Raphson algorithm. Apart from Newton Raphon, the estimation of parameters was also carried out using the Fisher Scoring algorithm. The Fisher Scoring algorithm is similar to the Newton Raphson algorithm, the difference is that Fisher Scoring uses an matrix information. The result of parameter estimation in Erlang distribution using Newton Raphson algorithm which is applied to outgoing telephone call data that generated by Matlab R2010a software cannot be done simultaneously. Therefore, the parameter assessment is carried out on the k parameter first, then followed by the λ parameter estimation and the parameter and = 0.6886812 are obtained. Meanwhile, the parameter estimation using the Fisher Scoring algorithm produces an equation that is not different from the Newton Raphson algorith
Adjusting Anomalies in International Tourist Arrivals to North Sumatra During the Peak COVID-19 Period (April 2020 to June 2022) to Enhance the Validity of Time Series Modeling
Full text linkThe feasibility of time series modeling is significantly influenced by both the availability and the structural patterns of the data. Regular and continuous data collection over time is essential for constructing reliable time series models, particularly for forecasting purposes. Generally, a minimum of 50 time series data points is considered ideal to ensure the robustness and predictive power of such models. However, the presence of extreme fluctuations—such as sharp spikes or drops—can severely affect the integrity of the model. In the context of international tourist arrivals to North Sumatra during the peak period of the COVID-19 pandemic (April 2020 to June 2022), substantial data anomalies were observed. The results of modifying these anomalies indicate that increasing the number of adjusted data points during this period leads to a greater number of feasible time series models suitable for predictive analysis
Going Beyond Counting First Authors in Author Co-citation Analysis
Full text linkThe present study examines one of the fundamental aspects of author co-citation analysis (ACA) - the way co-citation
counts are defined. Co-citation counting provides the data on which all subsequent statistical analyses and mappings
are based, and we compare ACA results based on two different types of co-citation counting - the traditional type that
only counts the first one among a cited work's authors on the one hand and a non-traditional type that takes into
account the first 5 authors of a cited work on the other hand. Results indicate that the picture produced through this non-traditional author co-citation counting contains more coherent author groups and is therefore considerably clearer. However, this picture represents fewer specialties in the research field being studied than that produced through the traditional first-author co-citation counting when the same number of top-ranked authors is selected and analyzed. Reasons for these effects are discussed
Variations on the Author
Full text link“Variations on the Author” discusses two of Eduardo Coutinho’s recent films (Um Dia na Vida, from 2010, and Últimas Conversas, posthumously released in 2015) and their contribution to the general question of documentary authorship. The director’s filmography is characterized by a consistent yet self-effacing form of authorial self-inscription: Coutinho often features as an interviewer that rather than express opinions propels discourses; an interviewer that is good at listening. This mode of self-inscription characterizes him as an author who is not expressive but who is nonetheless markedly present on the screen. In Um Dia na Vida, however, Coutinho is completely absent form the image, while Últimas Conversas, on the contrary, includes a confessional prologue that moves the director from the margins to the center of his films. This article examines the ways in which these works stand out in the filmography of a director who offers new insights into the notion of cinematic authorship
Kajian Estimasi Parameter Distribusi Gamma dengan Penduga Metode Momen dan Penduga Kemungkinan Maksimum; Suatu Terapan Data Paruh Waktu dan Simulasi sebagai Perbandingan
No full textABSTRACT
Estimation is a process finding charakteristics and process in describe a
phenomen effectively and efficiently. Charakteristics can be an approximation
number or true one. Practically, the yield of estimation was an approaching
number into the true phenomen.
Moments method and maximum likelihood estimation applied into gamma
distribution. The solving steps result characteristics called with parametrics Based on
the generating data finally by compare the result expectation and variance.74 HalamanSkripsi Sarjan
Appropriate Similarity Measures for Author Cocitation Analysis
Full text linkWe provide a number of new insights into the methodological discussion about author cocitation analysis. We first argue that the use of the Pearson correlation for measuring the similarity between authors’ cocitation profiles is not very satisfactory. We then discuss what kind of similarity measures may be used as an alternative to the Pearson correlation. We consider three similarity measures in particular. One is the well-known cosine. The other two similarity measures have not been used before in the bibliometric literature. Finally, we show by means of an example that our findings have a high practical relevance.information science;Pearson correlation;cosine;similarity measure;author cocitation analysis
Dispelling the Myths Behind First-author Citation Counts
Full text linkWe conducted a full-scale evaluative citation analysis study of scholars in the XML research field to explore just how different from each other author rankings resulting from different citation counting methods actually are, and to demonstrate the capability of emerging data and tools on the Web in supporting more realistic citation counting methods. Our results contest some common arguments for the continued
use of first-author citation counts in the evaluation of scholars, such as high correlations between author rankings by first-author citation counts and other citation
counting methods, and high costs of using more realistic citation counting methods that are not well-supported by the ISI databases. It is argued that increasingly available digital full text research papers make it possible for citation analysis studies to go beyond what the ISI databases have directly supported and to employ more
sophisticated methods
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