25,967 research outputs found
Author Peter FitzSimons speaking at the National Library of Australia, Canberra, 13 November 2012 /
No full textTitle from acquisitions documentation.; Part of the collection: Portraits of author Peter FitzSimons speaking at the National Library of Australia, Canberra, 13 November 2012.; Acquired in digital format; access copy available online.; Mode of access: Online.; Photographed by a staff member of the National Library of Australia
Is there something special with probabilities? - Insight vs. computational ability in multiple risk combination
No full textWhile a wealth of evidence suggests that humans tend to rely on additive cue combination to make controlled judgments, many of the normative rules for probability combination require multiplicative combination. In this article, the authors combine the experimental paradigms on probability reasoning and multiple-cue judgment to allow a comparison between formally identical tasks that involve probability vs. other task contents. The purpose was to investigate if people have cognitive algorithms for the combination, specifically, of probability, affording multiplicative combination in the context of probability. Three experiments suggest that, although people show some signs of a qualitative understanding of the combination rules that are specific to probability, in all but the simplest cases they lack the cognitive algorithms needed for multiplication, but instead use a variety of additive heuristics to approximate the normative combination. Although these heuristics are surprisingly accurate, normative combination is not consistently achieved until the problems are framed in an additive way. (C) 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.Swedish Research Council; Swedish Tercentary Bank foundatio
The sensory sampling model: theoretical developments and empirical findings
No full textThe article presents the distinction between Thurstonian and Brunswikian errors in judgment, and provides an informal presentation of the sensory sampling model (SESAM) which is premised on this distinction [Juslin, P., & Olsson, H. (1997). Thurstonian an</p
Moral Good, the Beatific Vision, and God’s Kingdom Writings by Germain Grisez and Peter Ryan, S.J.. Edited by Peter J. Weigel
No full textFor close to half a century, the work of Germain Grisez has been highly influential, and his writings continue to receive considerable attention from philosophers and theologians of diverse viewpoints. His co-author for this work is the professor and noted moral theologian Fr. Peter Ryan, S.J., currently the executive director of the Secretariat of Doctrine and Canonical Affairs of the United States Conference of Catholic Bishops (USCCB). These two eminent scholars explore fundamental questions about Christian eschatology, moral theory, the purpose of human life, and the promise of human fulfilment. The authors examine Christian teaching on the final destiny of persons, investigating the meaning of God's kingdom, the hope of the beatific vision, and the centrality of moral goodness and divine grace in one's final end. This work is an ideal source for students, scholars, ministers and lay persons interested in basic questions of Christian theology, the philosophy of religion, ethical theory, and Catholic doctrin
Murder on the mountain: author talk with Peter J. Wosh
No full textAuthor talk by Peter J. Wosh on May 5th, 2022, on his book, "Murder on the Mountain: crime, passion, and punishment in gilded age New Jersey.
Lunchtime Talk with Author and Attorney Peter Godwin
No full textAuthor and attorney Peter Godwin gave a lunchtime talk about the topics discussed in his book, The Fear, which focuses on the human rights situation in Zimbabwe under the rule of Robert Mugabe
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When Learning is Detrimental: SESAM and Outcome Feedback
No full textThe sensory sampling model (SESAM, P. Juslin & H. Olsson, 1997) accounts for the underconfidence observed in sensory discriminations with pair-comparisons. In the present study the model is applied to a single-stimulus task and a comparison is made with pair- comparisons. The model predicts that in the single-stimulus condition training with feedback should lead to poorer calibration with more underconfidence. In pair-comparison the feedback should have little or no effect on calibration. The results confirm these predictions
Realism of confidence in earwitness versus eyewitness identification
No full textThe confidence-accuracy relation in earwitness identification is studied with calibration and diagnosticity analysis. In comparison to eyewitness identification in similar circumstances (P. Juslin, N. Olsson, & A. Winman, 1996), earwitness accuracy is po</p
Format dependence in subjective probability calibration
No full textEmpirical data from 2 experiments confirmed the format dependence predicted by the combined error model (P. Juslin, H. Olsson, & M. Bjorkman, 1997). Format dependence refers to the simultaneous observation of over/underconfidence in judgment for the same</p
Calibration, additivity, and source independence of probability judgments in general knowledge and sensory discrimination tasks
No full textPredictions for probability judgments in a general knowledge task were derived from the combined error model (Juslin, Olsson, & Bjorkman, 1997) and predictions for probability judgments in a sensory discrimination task were derived from the sensory sampli</p
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