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    The Impact of Supply and Demand Imbalance on Stock Prices: an Analysis Based on Fractional Cointegration Using Borsa Italiana ultra High Frequency Data

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    The role of demand and supply in financial markets has been analyzed in the microstructural and behavioural literature. One of the empirical approaches is based on the analysis of returns vs order flow (difference between buyer and seller initiated trades). In this paper we explore the dynamic relationship among the two variables by parametric fractional unit roots techniques (Johansen-Nielsen). The univariate analysis suggests that the order flow is long memory, while returns seem to be antipersistent. Therefore, we develop a generalized version of the FVAR(d,b) model proposed in Johansen-Nielsen (2010), where different fractional orders of the variables are more flexibly handled. The current version is preliminary and incomplete (due to time constraints and extreme computational intensity of the models, the empirical analysis is currently limited to one stock for 65 days). However the evidence seems promising. The bivariate analysis suggests that ln(price) and cumulated order flow are polynomial cofractional procesess, and the polynomial cofractional relation drives down the fractional order from 1.05 to 0.6. This is coherent with the finding that ln(price) and cumulated order flow are not cointegrated, but their relationship is strong and persistent ("weak flow centric view", see Froot-Ramadorai, 2005, and Bacchetta-Van Wincoop, 2006). The dynamic FVAR seems to have predictive power for both returns and order flow, and could be used for a potentially profitable trading strategy; causality seems to hold in both directions

    Going Beyond Counting First Authors in Author Co-citation Analysis

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    The present study examines one of the fundamental aspects of author co-citation analysis (ACA) - the way co-citation counts are defined. Co-citation counting provides the data on which all subsequent statistical analyses and mappings are based, and we compare ACA results based on two different types of co-citation counting - the traditional type that only counts the first one among a cited work's authors on the one hand and a non-traditional type that takes into account the first 5 authors of a cited work on the other hand. Results indicate that the picture produced through this non-traditional author co-citation counting contains more coherent author groups and is therefore considerably clearer. However, this picture represents fewer specialties in the research field being studied than that produced through the traditional first-author co-citation counting when the same number of top-ranked authors is selected and analyzed. Reasons for these effects are discussed

    Variations on the Author

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    “Variations on the Author” discusses two of Eduardo Coutinho’s recent films (Um Dia na Vida, from 2010, and Últimas Conversas, posthumously released in 2015) and their contribution to the general question of documentary authorship. The director’s filmography is characterized by a consistent yet self-effacing form of authorial self-inscription: Coutinho often features as an interviewer that rather than express opinions propels discourses; an interviewer that is good at listening. This mode of self-inscription characterizes him as an author who is not expressive but who is nonetheless markedly present on the screen. In Um Dia na Vida, however, Coutinho is completely absent form the image, while Últimas Conversas, on the contrary, includes a confessional prologue that moves the director from the margins to the center of his films. This article examines the ways in which these works stand out in the filmography of a director who offers new insights into the notion of cinematic authorship

    Appropriate Similarity Measures for Author Cocitation Analysis

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    We provide a number of new insights into the methodological discussion about author cocitation analysis. We first argue that the use of the Pearson correlation for measuring the similarity between authors’ cocitation profiles is not very satisfactory. We then discuss what kind of similarity measures may be used as an alternative to the Pearson correlation. We consider three similarity measures in particular. One is the well-known cosine. The other two similarity measures have not been used before in the bibliometric literature. Finally, we show by means of an example that our findings have a high practical relevance.information science;Pearson correlation;cosine;similarity measure;author cocitation analysis

    Dispelling the Myths Behind First-author Citation Counts

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    We conducted a full-scale evaluative citation analysis study of scholars in the XML research field to explore just how different from each other author rankings resulting from different citation counting methods actually are, and to demonstrate the capability of emerging data and tools on the Web in supporting more realistic citation counting methods. Our results contest some common arguments for the continued use of first-author citation counts in the evaluation of scholars, such as high correlations between author rankings by first-author citation counts and other citation counting methods, and high costs of using more realistic citation counting methods that are not well-supported by the ISI databases. It is argued that increasingly available digital full text research papers make it possible for citation analysis studies to go beyond what the ISI databases have directly supported and to employ more sophisticated methods

    Author Index

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