1,720,956 research outputs found
La gestion structurelle des déficits jumeaux au Maroc et la recherche d’une stratégie d’équilibre
Get PDFDuring these last years, Morocco has almost always known at the same time a budget deficit and a current account deficit. So we can conclude prematurely the existence of a structural problem of twin deficits over a long period.
The article introduces in addition to the two balances, the variable transfers of MREs - second source of foreign currency after the tourist returns - as a participatory variable to the equilibrium of the current transactions and verify the hypothesis of the twin deficits using econometric tools, notably the method of Co-integration - to test the long-term relationship - and the method of Granger causality - to know the direction of causality -.
The results confirm the twin deficits hypothesis for Morocco for the period from 1980 to 2014 and show bidirectional causality between the variables and the lack of a balanced strategy
Vérification empirique de l’hypothèse des déficits jumeaux au Maroc pour la période (1980 – 2023)
No full textDuring these last years, Morocco has almost always known at the same time a budget deficit and a current account deficit. So we can conclude prematurely the existence of a structural problem of twin deficits over a long period.
The article introduces in addition to the two balances, the variable transfers of MREs - second source of foreign currency after the tourist returns - as a participatory variable to the equilibrium of the current transactions and verify the hypothesis of the twin deficits using econometric tools, notably the method of Co-integration - to test the long-term relationship - and the method of Granger causality - to know the direction of causality -.
The results confirm the twin deficits hypothesis for Morocco for the period from 1980 to 20123 and show bidirectional causality between the variables and the lack of a balanced strategy.
Keywords : Twin deficit, Transfers of MREs, Co-integration, Granger causality, Balanced strategy.
JEL Classification : F13, F14, F15, F53
Paper type : Empirical researchDurant ces dernières années, le Maroc a presque toujours connu à la fois un déficit budgétaire et un déficit de la balance de ses transactions courantes. On pourrait alors en conclure prématurément qu’il existe un problème structurel de déficits jumeaux sur une longue période. L’article introduit en plus des deux soldes, la variable transferts des MRE - seconde source de devises après les recettes touristiques - comme variable participative à l’équilibre des transactions courantes et vérifie l’hypothèse des déficits jumeaux à l’aide d’outils économétriques, notamment la méthode de Co-intégration - pour tester la relation à long terme - et la méthode de la causalité au sens de Granger pour connaître le sens de la causalité. Les résultats obtenus valident l’hypothèse des déficits jumeaux pour le cas du Maroc pour la période allant de 1980 à 2023 et témoignent d’une causalité bidirectionnelle entre les variables de l’analyse et l’absence d’une stratégie d’équilibre.
Mots clés : Déficits jumeaux, Transferts des MRE, Co-intégration, Causalité au sens de Granger, Stratégie d’équilibre.
Classification JEL : F13, F14, F15, F53
Type de l’article : Recherche empirique
Vérification empirique de l’hypothèse des déficits jumeaux au Maroc pour la période (1980 – 2023)
No full textDuring these last years, Morocco has almost always known at the same time a budget deficit and a current account deficit. So we can conclude prematurely the existence of a structural problem of twin deficits over a long period.
The article introduces in addition to the two balances, the variable transfers of MREs - second source of foreign currency after the tourist returns - as a participatory variable to the equilibrium of the current transactions and verify the hypothesis of the twin deficits using econometric tools, notably the method of Co-integration - to test the long-term relationship - and the method of Granger causality - to know the direction of causality -.
The results confirm the twin deficits hypothesis for Morocco for the period from 1980 to 20123 and show bidirectional causality between the variables and the lack of a balanced strategy.
Keywords : Twin deficit, Transfers of MREs, Co-integration, Granger causality, Balanced strategy.
JEL Classification : F13, F14, F15, F53
Paper type : Empirical researchDurant ces dernières années, le Maroc a presque toujours connu à la fois un déficit budgétaire et un déficit de la balance de ses transactions courantes. On pourrait alors en conclure prématurément qu’il existe un problème structurel de déficits jumeaux sur une longue période. L’article introduit en plus des deux soldes, la variable transferts des MRE - seconde source de devises après les recettes touristiques - comme variable participative à l’équilibre des transactions courantes et vérifie l’hypothèse des déficits jumeaux à l’aide d’outils économétriques, notamment la méthode de Co-intégration - pour tester la relation à long terme - et la méthode de la causalité au sens de Granger pour connaître le sens de la causalité. Les résultats obtenus valident l’hypothèse des déficits jumeaux pour le cas du Maroc pour la période allant de 1980 à 2023 et témoignent d’une causalité bidirectionnelle entre les variables de l’analyse et l’absence d’une stratégie d’équilibre.
Mots clés : Déficits jumeaux, Transferts des MRE, Co-intégration, Causalité au sens de Granger, Stratégie d’équilibre.
Classification JEL : F13, F14, F15, F53
Type de l’article : Recherche empirique
Vérification empirique de l’hypothèse des déficits jumeaux au Maroc pour la période (1980 – 2023)
No full textDuring these last years, Morocco has almost always known at the same time a budget deficit and a current account deficit. So we can conclude prematurely the existence of a structural problem of twin deficits over a long period.
The article introduces in addition to the two balances, the variable transfers of MREs - second source of foreign currency after the tourist returns - as a participatory variable to the equilibrium of the current transactions and verify the hypothesis of the twin deficits using econometric tools, notably the method of Co-integration - to test the long-term relationship - and the method of Granger causality - to know the direction of causality -.
The results confirm the twin deficits hypothesis for Morocco for the period from 1980 to 20123 and show bidirectional causality between the variables and the lack of a balanced strategy.
Keywords : Twin deficit, Transfers of MREs, Co-integration, Granger causality, Balanced strategy.
JEL Classification : F13, F14, F15, F53
Paper type : Empirical researchDurant ces dernières années, le Maroc a presque toujours connu à la fois un déficit budgétaire et un déficit de la balance de ses transactions courantes. On pourrait alors en conclure prématurément qu’il existe un problème structurel de déficits jumeaux sur une longue période. L’article introduit en plus des deux soldes, la variable transferts des MRE - seconde source de devises après les recettes touristiques - comme variable participative à l’équilibre des transactions courantes et vérifie l’hypothèse des déficits jumeaux à l’aide d’outils économétriques, notamment la méthode de Co-intégration - pour tester la relation à long terme - et la méthode de la causalité au sens de Granger pour connaître le sens de la causalité. Les résultats obtenus valident l’hypothèse des déficits jumeaux pour le cas du Maroc pour la période allant de 1980 à 2023 et témoignent d’une causalité bidirectionnelle entre les variables de l’analyse et l’absence d’une stratégie d’équilibre.
Mots clés : Déficits jumeaux, Transferts des MRE, Co-intégration, Causalité au sens de Granger, Stratégie d’équilibre.
Classification JEL : F13, F14, F15, F53
Type de l’article : Recherche empirique
Going Beyond Counting First Authors in Author Co-citation Analysis
Get PDFThe present study examines one of the fundamental aspects of author co-citation analysis (ACA) - the way co-citation
counts are defined. Co-citation counting provides the data on which all subsequent statistical analyses and mappings
are based, and we compare ACA results based on two different types of co-citation counting - the traditional type that
only counts the first one among a cited work's authors on the one hand and a non-traditional type that takes into
account the first 5 authors of a cited work on the other hand. Results indicate that the picture produced through this non-traditional author co-citation counting contains more coherent author groups and is therefore considerably clearer. However, this picture represents fewer specialties in the research field being studied than that produced through the traditional first-author co-citation counting when the same number of top-ranked authors is selected and analyzed. Reasons for these effects are discussed
Variations on the Author
Get PDF“Variations on the Author” discusses two of Eduardo Coutinho’s recent films (Um Dia na Vida, from 2010, and Últimas Conversas, posthumously released in 2015) and their contribution to the general question of documentary authorship. The director’s filmography is characterized by a consistent yet self-effacing form of authorial self-inscription: Coutinho often features as an interviewer that rather than express opinions propels discourses; an interviewer that is good at listening. This mode of self-inscription characterizes him as an author who is not expressive but who is nonetheless markedly present on the screen. In Um Dia na Vida, however, Coutinho is completely absent form the image, while Últimas Conversas, on the contrary, includes a confessional prologue that moves the director from the margins to the center of his films. This article examines the ways in which these works stand out in the filmography of a director who offers new insights into the notion of cinematic authorship
Appropriate Similarity Measures for Author Cocitation Analysis
Get PDFWe provide a number of new insights into the methodological discussion about author cocitation analysis. We first argue that the use of the Pearson correlation for measuring the similarity between authors’ cocitation profiles is not very satisfactory. We then discuss what kind of similarity measures may be used as an alternative to the Pearson correlation. We consider three similarity measures in particular. One is the well-known cosine. The other two similarity measures have not been used before in the bibliometric literature. Finally, we show by means of an example that our findings have a high practical relevance.information science;Pearson correlation;cosine;similarity measure;author cocitation analysis
Dispelling the Myths Behind First-author Citation Counts
Get PDFWe conducted a full-scale evaluative citation analysis study of scholars in the XML research field to explore just how different from each other author rankings resulting from different citation counting methods actually are, and to demonstrate the capability of emerging data and tools on the Web in supporting more realistic citation counting methods. Our results contest some common arguments for the continued
use of first-author citation counts in the evaluation of scholars, such as high correlations between author rankings by first-author citation counts and other citation
counting methods, and high costs of using more realistic citation counting methods that are not well-supported by the ISI databases. It is argued that increasingly available digital full text research papers make it possible for citation analysis studies to go beyond what the ISI databases have directly supported and to employ more
sophisticated methods
- …
