JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN
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TRADE CREATION DAN TRADE DIVERSION ANTARA INDONESIA DAN NEGARA-NEGARA ASEAN-KOREA
Full text linkIndonesia has several free trade agreements with trading partners that aimed to eliminate tariff and non tariff trade barriers. One of the free trade agreements is ASEAN-Korea FTA. Trade agreement in goods in ASEAN-Korea FTA was agreed since 2007 and now it is entering the implementation phase. The objective of this research is to determine whether the ASEAN-Korea FTA would increase the trade flows between Indonesia and ASEAN-Korea’ countries by analyzing the impact of regional integration on trade creation and trade diversion. This research is utilized balance panel data including 13 countries from 1998-2012. The empirical result shows that all Indonesia\u27s trading sectors experienced decline because of trade diversion and trade creation does not occur. Indonesia\u27s import trading with the non-member countries of ASEAN-Korea is 68% lower than the existing trading. Key word: trade creation, trade diversion, free trade agreement, trade in good
ANALISIS DAYA SAING DAN FAKTOR PENENTU EKSPOR KOMODITAS UNGGULAN INDONESIA KE ORGANISASI KERJASAMA ISLAM (OKI)
Full text linkOrganization of Islamic Cooperation or OIC is an association of Islamic countries in the world which is made up of 57 countries, including Indonesia. OIC has great potential as a destination for the export market. The purpose of this study is to analyze the competitiveness of Indonesian exports to OIC and determinants that influence it. Competitiveness of commodities analyzed using the RCA, IIT and EPD, while the determinants of export using the gravity model analysis. The results showed that 86,7 percent from fifteen commodities that have the largest export value had RCA more than one and seven commodity have market position as rising star, but from IIT analysis showed that integration of economics still not strong enough. Factors that influence a positive and significant impact on Indonesia\u27s commodity exports to OIC are per capita income, real exchange rate and a common language, while the negative effects are the gdp per capita difference, economic distance and tarrif. Key words: RCA, IIT, EPD, Gravity Mode
ANALISIS INTEGRASI PASAR SPASIAL KOMODITI PANGAN ANTAR PROVINSI DI INDONESIA
Full text linkFood prices stabilization through the food production and trade to fulfillment consumption in terms of both availability and accessibility food is government major problem. Government’s ability to determine an appropriate pricing policy depends on market structure, behavior and effectiveness. Trade barriers and market failure reduction, improved access information would make market integration effective and efficient. This study aims to analyze the market integration and the price transmission elasticity that occurs between regions in Indonesia. Using Ravallion integration analysis and a span from 2009 to 2013 on 33 provinces retail prices data in Indonesia to capture level integration and price transmission between regions. The results showed in the rice shows that Jakarta and South Sulawesi region is becoming the leading market and Jakarta for sugar market those integrated with most areas in Indonesia. Sugar and rice have a better degree of integration than soya. Integration analysis with Ravallion models cannot explain two areas integrated or not. It is necessary to study towards further for East Java in terms of either regional autonomy policy or any market failure that occurs in order to find a policy solution to be more integrated. Key words : Food, Market integration, Ravallion mode
ANALISIS PENGARUH NON-TARIFF MEASURES EKSPOR KOMODITI CRUDE PALM OIL (CPO) INDONESIA KE NEGARA TUJUAN EKSPOR UTAMA
Full text linkThe study of this paper is aimed to evaluate the effects of non-tariff measures (NTM) upon Indonesian crude palm oil (CPO) export in the main destinations. Identified the competitiveness analysis using the Revealed Comparative Advantage index and the impact of the measures has estimated using a panel data gravity model constructed with disaggregated data about bilateral export trade flow of crude palm oil between Indonesia and its main trade partners for the period from 2003 to 2013. NTM represented binary variable that specified with a dummy variable. The gravity model has estimated with a fixed effects model and the results indicated that the existence of trade barriers to trade (TBT) appears to impede the Indonesian exports of CPO. But the existence of sanitary and phytosanitary measures (SPS) which related to food safety and the existence of trade remedy (antidumping, subsidy, safeguard) presented a positive impact upon the Indonesian exports of CPO. Keywords: Export, Non-Tariff Measures (NTM), Sanitary and Phytosanitary (SPS), Trade Barriers to Trade (TBT), Trade Remedy, Crude Palm Oi
PERMINTAAN PANGAN HEWANI RUMAH TANGGA DI PROVINSI JAWA BARAT
Full text linkIndonesian’s consumption of food derived from animal products is relatively low. In general, the consumption behaviour depends not only on prices and total expenditure, but also on some household characteristics. Households with different characteristics have different spending patterns reflecting the level of welfare of each household. This study analyzed the food consumption of households using the LA system (AIDS) of five groups of animal based food. The data used in this research are the National Socio-Economic Survey (NSES) in 2012 in West Java Province. The result show that the consumption of animal based food is influenced by household income and also by other factors including socio-demographic household size, type of area and level of education of household head. The value of own price elasticity showed that all commodities are inelastic. Based on the values of cross elasticity, all animal based food commodities are complement to each other except that fish are substitutes for eggs. Fish and egg are categorized as normal good, whereas meat, poultry and milk are categorized as luxury goods. Key words: food consumption, animal based food, AIDS, elasticit
ANALISIS PERTUMBUHAN TEKNOLOGI, PRODUK DOMESTIK BRUTO, DAN EKSPOR SEKTOR INDUSTRI KREATIF INDONESIA
Full text linkCreative industries are seen to be important for the economic well-being, proponents suggesting that human creativity is the ultimate economic resource. This research seeks to explore the technology progress measured by total factor productivity (TFP) growth of creative industry in Indonesia, analyze how external factors influence GDP of creative industry (education, TFP growth, the number of companies, the number of labors, and government policy), and analyze the causality between GDP and export of creative industry using Granger Causality Test. This research uses panel data, representing pooled of time series data (year 2006-2013) and cross section data (14 subsectors of creative industry). The results shows that (1) TFP growth of 4 creative industry subsectors are negative: architecture, interactive games, computer programs, and research and development; (2) factors influencing the GDP of creative industry positively: education, TFP growth, the number of labors, and government policy; (3) there is two-way-causality between GDP and export of creative industry. Keywords: creative industry, TFP, panel data, Granger causality
PERTUMBUHAN INKLUSIF : FENOMENA PERTUMBUHAN INKLUSIF DI KAWASAN INDONESIA BAGIAN BARAT DAN INDONESIA BAGIAN TIMUR
Full text linkThe growth of the middle class in Indonesia that occurred during the last ten years allegedly raised by the economic growth that is likely to increase in the same period. An economic theory which states that inclusive growth is growth that is able to bring the middle class makes economists focus on inclusive growth and the middle class itself. But in fact, the middle class in Indonesia is dominated by the lower middle class whose features are similar to the poor. These issues indicate a gap in the economy. In addition, to talk about the gap, there is no doubt that this issue has long been a discussion in Indonesia, especially the gap between western Indonesia and eastern Indonesia. Therefore this study was conducted to analyze whether it is true that inclusive growth has occurred in Indonesia and how the phenomena that occur in the western part of Indonesia and eastern Indonesia. Based on the data from 33 provinces in Indonesia over a period of 5 years, ie from 2008 to 2012, this study of the Measured inclusive growth by adopting the concept formulated by Klasen (2010) on-Poverty Equivalent Growth Rate (PEGR). This study of the processing of data performed using Excel and SPSS software. The results found that economic growth in Indonesia in 20082012 has not been inclusive in reducing poverty, lowering inequality and increase employment. The results also show that inclusive growth is not a consistent phenomenon in Indonesia. The phenomenon of inclusive growth in reducing poverty, lowering inequality, and increasing employment are more prevalent in Western Indonesia (IBB). Key words : inclusive, growth, middle class, panel data, excel
ASYMMETRY IN FARM-RETAIL PRICE TRANSMISSION: THE CASE OF CHILI INDUSTRY IN INDONESIA
Full text linkA decade of strong economic growth and rapid urbanization are transforming Indonesia’s food retail sector. In particular, supermarkets and related modern retail outlets are reorganizing how high value fruit and vegetable supply chains operate, effecting quantities, varieties, quality and prices. Among the agricultural development issues facing Indonesia’s policymakers are efficiency and distributional consequences of these transforming fruit and vegetable markets. This study examines asymmetric price transmission in chili supply chains to assess emerging market failures and potential equity implications for producers and consumers. The Indonesian government recognizes chilies as one of its 10 priority crops. Chilies are produced by more than 400,000 small scale producers and are an essential ingredient in the Indonesian daily diet. Historically, chili markets have exhibited large price fluctuations in Indonesia. Two methods for examining asymmetric price transmission are compared using monthly data over an 18 year period in Java: Houck’s model and the Error Correction Model (ECM). Although commonly believed that modern retail sectors are increasing market power and influencing prices, both models suggest that there is no price asymmetry issue in the chili supply chain in Indonesia. Key word: chili, price, asimetric, transmission
ANALISIS KETERKAITAN ANTARA INDEKS PEMBANGUNAN MANUSIA DAN PDRB PER KAPITA DI INDONESIA
Full text linkThis paper attempts to analyse the two-way relationship between human development and economic growth for 33 provinces in Indonesia during six years period: 2006–2011. The various links in each variabel were analyzed with description analysis, such education, government spending on health and education, total government expenditure, income distribution, and density. The quantitatif analysis used two-stage least square (2SLS) method. The result shows that there is a strong positive relationship between human development index and GDRP per capita, while education, government spending on health and education, total government expenditure, and income distribution are the important links determining the strength of relationship between human development and economic growth. Keywords: human development, economic growt
IDENTIFIKASI BANJIR IMPOR KENTANG DAN DAMPAKNYA TERHADAP HARGA DOMESTIK KENTANG DI INDONESIA
Full text linkIndonesia needed to be cautious of import surge since it has potential to influence import value and price in the era of trade globalization. The main purpose of this reasearch was to examine whether import surge occurred for horticulture commodities in Indonesia, especially for potato. The methods used for identifying occurrence of import surge was based on Special Safeguard Mechanism framework of World Trade Organization which will strengthened with Vector Error Correction Model to analyse the impact of import surge to domestic prices. Based on Special Safeguard Mechanism framework, volume-based Special Safeguard Mechanism triggered in almost all year during 2002-2012 but price-based Special Safeguard Mechanism is not triggered in those years. Based on Impuls Response Function analysis, the impact of import surge shock to domestic price was relatively low but occurred permanently. Based on Forecast Error Variance Decomposition analysis, import surge variables contributed slightly to the domestic price variability but it tend to increased as time. Keywords: Horticulture, Potato, Special Safeguard Mechanism, Import Surge, Vector Error Correction Mode