JURNAL EKONOMI DAN KEBIJAKAN PEMBANGUNAN
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ANALISIS DAMPAK LIBERALISASI PERDAGANGAN KAWASAN EKONOMI ASIA TERHADAP KINERJA EKONOMI MAKRO ASEAN
Full text linkThis research intends to explore the impact of trade liberalization on macroeconomic performances, especially on Indonesia and other ASEAN Countries. The GTAP model is used as the main tool of analysis. The findings show that the benefit of the trade liberalization is still dominated by developed countries such as Japan and China. The elimination of import tariff results an increase in economic growth and economic welfare on all participated countries. It also results in an increase in GDP deflator and terms of trade which meant decreasing competitiveness. Keywords: Asia trade liberalization, ASEAN countries, GTAP mode
KENAIKAN TARIF DASAR LISTRIK DAN RESPON KEBIJAKAN UNTUK MEMINIMISASI DAMPAK NEGATIF TERHADAP PEREKONOMIAN
Full text linkElectricity is one of the strategic commodities in Indonesia. The Increasing of electrical price (so called TDL stand for Tarif Dasar Listrik) administered by the government will be negative impact on Indonesian economic performance. Based on this research analysis, a rise of TDL will have negative impact on macro and sectoral economic performance. This study aims to analyze the effects of a rise of TDL and policy responses to minimize its negative impacts on Indonesian economic performance. The data which is used in this research areInput Output Table, Social Accounting Matrix (SAM) and SUSENAS data. Sources of data obtained from Board Central of Statistics. The analysis using Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model is called INDOTDL CGE model. The simulation results show that a rise of TDL will have negative impact oneconomic growth, household consumption, export, employment and sectoral demand. This study also shows that an increase of efficiency in electricity sector by 10 percent is expected to decrease the electrical price. In addition, a rise of TDL which is followed by an increase of efficiency or decrease of value added tax (VAT) policy in all sector have positive impact on macro and sectoral economic performance on Indonesian. The most effective policy to economic improvementis to increase efficiency of electricity sector, so TDL doesn’t need to be increased.Keywords : TDL, CGE, Efficiency, VAT, Economic Performanc
ANALISIS KEIKUTSERTAAN INDONESIA DALAM LIBERALISASI MULTILATERAL TERHADAP KINERJA SEKTOR BERAS DAN GULA DALAM MEWUJUDKAN KETAHANAN PANGAN
Full text linkLots of people believe that multilateral liberalization will reduce Indonesia capability to maintain national food security, especially for rice and sugar. However, this study that use multiregression analysis with dummy variabel and GTAP found that import of rice and sugar increase due to lack of capability to fulfill national consumption. Therefore, Indonesia must increase its rice and sugar productivity to fulfill national food security in liberalization regime.Keywords : Trade Liberalization, Food Security, Multiregression, GTAP Model
INTEGRASI PASAR BERAS INDONESIA DENGAN PASAR BERAS INTERNASIONAL
Full text linkThe food crisis that was triggered by climate change has swept the world lately. Climate change is affecting the pattern of the world that led to changes in the pattern of agricultural production as well. Changes in the pattern of production results in world food production schedule was delayed, and along with these changes, many countries export so that world food prices increase. Rising world food prices starting from US and then spread in the other parts of the world, including Indonesia. However, it is unknown how big relatedness of International food prices changes with food prices in Indonesia. This paper aims to analyze the connectedness between domestic rice market with international market, how long shock in international rice impact on the domestic market and to analyze interlinkage in domestic primary rice market. Using data rice price in indonesia and international rice price of FAO, writer found that market rice integrated both in domestic and foreign, so the fluctuations in both markets would affect each other Keywords: Food Crisis, Production Pattern, Domestic and International Market Integratio
PROSEDUR UJI KEPATUHAN TERHADAP PRINSIP BERSAING ISLAMI PADA INDUSTRI PERBANKAN SYARIAH: SEBUAH PROPOSAL BERDASARKAN TEORI DAN KAJIAN EMPIRIS ORGANISASI INDUSTRI
Full text linkAn industry in Islamic Economics is required to compete perfectly regardless of its market structure. How to ensure this rule being implemented in reality, however, has been neglected either in literatures or by industry supervisors. This paper is aimed at proposing a systematic procedure to test the industry compliance toward islamic competition rules. The advance of theory and empirics of New Empirical Industrial Organization is used to formulate the procedure. There are two conditions to satisfy for an industry to have an islamic competition. The first and necessary condition is rejecting the Traditional Hypothesis which is based on collutive bahaviour of dominant banks. The second and sufficient condition is, the perfect competition is driven more by the intention of syariah compliance rather than due to the pressure of contestability. Keywords: SCP Paradigm, Perfect Competition, Contestable Market, Traditional Hypothesis, New Empirical Industrial Organization, Islamic Competition, Structural Approach, Nonstructural Approach, Panzar and Rosse Mode