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The Influences of Typhoon on Nutrient Dynamics and Hypoxia in Atsumi Bay, Japan
No full text豊橋技術科学大学博士(工学)doctoral thesi
Highly Chemo- and Stereoselective Carbene Transfer Reactions Catalyzed by Ru(II) Complexes
No full text豊橋技術科学大学博士(工学)thesi
Homo- and Stereocomplex Crystallization Behavior of Linear 1,2-Arm and Branched 4-Arm Poly(L-lactide) and Poly(L-lactide)/Poly(D-lactide) Blends : Effects of Chain Directional Change and Branching
No full text豊橋技術科学大学博士(工学)doctoral thesi
The Structure of Small-size regional Econometric Model - The Case of Mitaka city in Tokyo -
Get PDFP(論文)This empirical study will present the structure of a macroscopic econometric
forecasting model for the Mitaka city, which is a western suburb of the Tokyo Central
Business District（ CBD）.
For a long time, macro econometric models have been used for helping to formulate
the socio-economic policy of every country in the world including Japan. However
there are relatively few cases of using a regional econometric model for the city
planning of the small town. One obvious explanation expense and time required for
development and maintenance of these models that do existed, the application of an
econometric model to the ten-year plan of Mitaka city is an excellent example.
Econometric models have already been used five times in long-term city planning to
calculate the basic trends of Mitaka city. The new model of Mitaka （version seven）
will be estimated with annual data for a 1971-2007 sample period. The observed period
is 1969-2009. The author, for the purposes of this study, will divide Mitaka into four
districts to analyze population densities and land places. The model Ⅶ contains six
blocks of equations. This model consists of fifty-seven equations. Forty-one stochastic
equations are estimated and sixteen are definitions. This model, which I constructed,
is also adopted as the official model of Mitaka city government.
After the final test and other shock tests I will use this model to predict three cases
of conditional forecast up to 2035, based on assumed reasonable trends of Japan and
the CBD of Tokyo.departmental bulletin pape
