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    Прогнозиране населението на България до 2050 г. с използване на прости методи

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    Дигиталното трансформиране в бизнеса изисква развиването на компетенции за анализиране, прогнозиране на взимане на решения на база на данни. Статията цели да покаже, че сравнително прости методи за прогнозиране могат да се използват за прогнозиране на важни показатели като броя на населението, раждаемостта и коефициента на плодовитост. Смисълът от такива упражнения нараства в условия на неопределеност, когато официалните прогнози изискват повече време за актуализация, но има нужда от бързина за взимане на решение на база на дадена прогноза. Използваните прости методи са базирани на експоненциално изглаждане. Един прогнозист с минимален опит може да ги приложи и изготви прогнози за такива важни показатели в рамките на минути. Това е една необходима адаптация за организациите, чиито бизнес процеси са изцяло базирани на данни

    Биоморфизмът като характеристика на формата. Проблеми при пластичния изказ в скулптурата на Боян Райнов : Дисертационен труд за присъждане на образователна и научна степен "доктор", професионално направление 8.2. Изобразително изкуство.

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    Дисертационният труд разглежда творчеството на скулптора Боян Райнов, погледнато от гледна точка на биоморфното ѝ третиране. В условията на един свят, разтърсван от идеите на постмодернизма, Боян Райнов останал верен на по-класическия подход за правене на скулптура, както и на нейния чист облик. Докато работил върху изразяването на чувствата си чрез различни материали като камък, дърво, бронз, а също смола и калай, той насищал пластичните си резултати с хуманистичните си разбирания, а често и с едно искрено очарование от жизнеродните сили на природата. В представяните от него сюжети почти винаги се срещат алюзии за процеси от живата или неживата природа. В някои случаи намеренията му били чисто естетически, в други той припомня въпроси, касаещи позицията на човека спрямо бързо променящия се, технологично ориентиран модерен свят. Понякога Боян Райнов ни представя субекта в конфликт с обкръжението му, но в повечето случаи личностните качества и позитивният светоглед на скулптора надделяват, обрисувайки не антагонизма, а толерантния диалог в избраните от него теми. The dissertation examines the work of the sculptor Boyan Raynov, viewed in terms of its biomorphic treatment. In the conditions of a world shaken by the ideas of postmodernism, Boyan Raynov remained faithful to the more classical approach to making sculpture, as well as to its pure appearance. While working on expressing his feelings through various materials such as stone, wood, bronze, as well as resin and tin, he saturated his plastic results with his humanistic understandings, and often with a sincere fascination with the life-giving forces of nature. In the plots presented by him one can almost always find allusions to processes from the living or inanimate nature. In some cases, his intentions were purely aesthetic, in others he recalls issues concerning man's position in relation to the rapidly changing, technologically oriented modern world. Sometimes Boyan Raynov presents the subject in conflict with its environment, but in most cases the personal qualities and positive worldview of the sculptor prevail, describing not antagonism but tolerant dialogue in his chosen topics

    Български информационен консорциум. Двадесет години библиотечна кооперация

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    ABSTRACT: The article presents the development of the concept of a library cooperation in the world and in Bulgaria, from its inception until today. Special attention is paid to the creation of the first library consortium for cooperative database subscription – Bulgarian Information Consortium. Its 20-year history and main aspects of activity, applied governance modes and achieved results are tracked. The conclusion about the possible, albeit difficult to achieve, success of private initiatives for a library cooperative is substantiated. РЕЗЮМЕ: Статията представя развитието на концепцията за библиотечна кооперация в света и в България, от възникването ѝ до днес. Специално внимание е отделено на създаването на първото библиотечно обединение за коопериран абонамент за бази данни – Българския информационен консорциум. Проследени са неговата двадесетгодишна история и основни аспекти на дейност, прилаганите управленски модели (governance models) и постигнатите резултати. Обоснован е изводът за възможния, макар и трудно постижим успех на частни инициативи за библиотечна кооперация

    Social and emotional skills in early and preschool age children : EU-Self progect : Unlock children's potential

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    This project started with a dream of changing the world we live in, of contributing to children’s development, wellbeing and prosperity, of contributing to a better future! Social and emotional skills are part of the key competences! We are convinced of this, but we also know there is a lot to be done. The original approved duration of this project was two years, and then extended into three. It was quite a journey! We had to face difficult times! Most of the project’s lifetime coincided with the period of the global Covid-19 pandemic. We faced many professional and personal challenges. Collaborators came and went. We had to be innovative and creative, but also rational. We had to use all our cognitive but mainly social and emotional skills. Nevertheless, we did it! We succeeded! We managed to overcome all the challenges and difficulties we had to face and to produce very innovative and qualitative products! All this is due to all of our EU-Self project consortium members! All of you deserve a great thank you! Thank you for all your work, your engagement, your commitment, your ideas during these three years. We hope that the EU-Self platform will continue its journey after the EU-Self project lifetime. We hope it will grow! We managed to establish an innovative and useful tool and three valuable compendiums with country overviews, programs and assessment measures. We would be happy if EU bodies, ECEC providers, practitioners (teachers, educators, psychologists, etc.), stakeholders, policy makers, researchers, parents could benefit from it. Let’s unlock children’s potential! Nadia Koltcheva, PhD Manager and General Coordinato

    Case study 5: Urban-acupuncture Projects in Danubian Cities in Bulgaria

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    Urban Acupuncture is an interconnected architectural influence of the collective intellect of the city, in which citizens are encouraged to join the process of creative planning. Basically, it refers to the urban changes that revitalise the inactive built environment by “needling” urban interventions. It is believed that even small urban change can “cure” entire neighbourhoods or even a city. The "Case study 5: Urban-acupuncture Projects in Danubian Cities in Bulgaria" is a part of chapter "4. Visions for Tomorrow"

    Programs for social and emotional skills development for early and preschool children applied in European Countries : Compendium

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    With a compendium that counts almost 150 pages, the EU-SELF project team offers a thorough collection of Social and Emotional Learning programs. The 59 programs as shown in this compendium, are the result of an international systematic search by all nine project partners from six different countries in even more different languages. Only programs that included all four criteria considering age, origin, scope and content were held back for reviewing. However, the search was systematic and based on both existing databases and new searches (as shown in the methodology), there is a possibility that other relevant programs were not found by the review team and were therefore incorrectly not included in this compendium. However, would this only strengthen our first point of attention: the need for a centralized and international database that not only contains verified content of each program, but also includes practice- or evidence based research about the program. As both private businesses and universities create and offer those programs, a frame of references in quality shows to be necessary. All collected programs are already used in practice, but only some of them are based on research or show the impact and effect of the project in independent research. That brings a second point to discussion: the amount of evidence-based programs that tangle the element of SEL are limited. For reasons unknown, the EU-SELF team only found a few evidence based practices or was only in limited cases able to discover if a program was evidence based. Without questioning the effectiveness of the non-evidence based programs, the question rises why there is so little evidence. A third impression made by the EU-SELF team, is the one of perspective. What perspective on SEL is dominant and what other perspectives can also be of value? Where are gaps in the existing practices and what research is needed to discover what fits best in the long term? With the 59 practices in this compendium, the review descriptions and these questions, we hope to have both inspired as conflicted you to reflect on these and other initiatives of SEL

    Политики и иновации за градовете: Сборник с доклади от интердисциплинарната школа „Политики и иновации за градовете“

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    Какво може да обедини архитекти, политолози, икономисти, социолози и еколози в един общ формат? Отговорът е многоизмерният и сложен, но именно поради това и любопитен образ на града

    Energy poverty alleviation – a step for sustainable energy transition

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    The paper investigates the issue of fuel poverty and its presence in the Bulgarian context. The focus of the analysis is on the potential for alleviation and – in the long term – elimination of energy poverty through the implementation of measures for energy-efficient retrofit of residential multi-story apartment housing. An effective strategy tackling this topic at the local scale is a key prerequisite for the achievement of the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) with particular relevance for SDG 7 Affordable and Clean Energy and SDG 11 Sustainable Cities and Communities. Achieving the optimal ratio of saved energy versus financial resources is the key to renovating housing at scale sustainably and efficiently. Energy poverty as a phenomenon is linked to the combined effect of three main factors - low household income, high energy costs and low energy efficiency of housing. There is a broad scientific consensus that this phenomenon has a serious negative impact on the quality of life and citizens’ health and wellbeing. Furthermore, energy poverty contributes to a huge waste of energy and also affects the physical dimension of the sustainable development of the built environment. Therefore, energy poverty exacerbates deficits and discrepancies for territorial economies and communities. Eliminating the problem of “fuel poverty” is often considered to be impossible without the support of the affected households through subsidies. Subsidies invested in energy-efficient housing reconstruction result in immediate savings in housing heating costs, which in turn leads to a tangible reduction in the “fuel poverty” experienced by residents of reconstructed housing. Energy-efficient housing reconstruction (retrofit) is the fastest and most efficient (in terms of public resources) way to combat energy poverty. The financial resources required to enable these activities could also be obtained or complemented through financial engineering schemes with third-party involvement

    Съвременният публичен мениджмънт и приложимостта му в публичната администрация на Република България

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    The purpose of the report is to present the administrative reforms that have taken place in the public administration of the Republic of Bulgaria from the implemented policies of the Bulgarian governments for the application of the theoretical views of public management. As a result of the analysis of scholarly research revealing the essence of public and new public management, as well as adopted trategic documents and regulations in the period from 1995 to 2022, an attempt is made to defend the thesis that reforms have improvement the efficiency in the area of public administration and the efficiency in the functioning of public administration in the Republic of Bulgaria, but the reforms should continue with new policies

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