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Analysis of foreign exchange rates with the Box-Jenkins approach (Arima), the\ud Exponential Smoothing, The Winters, The Add-Winters and the Stepar Method\ud
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Globalization is increasingly widespread in all sectors pushing higher and higher rate of growth. The rate at which growing economic sector, especially in the field of trade between countries can not be dammed again, this is seen from free trade that has been on the run in 2010. Competition is so tight in the field of trade to economic selection between countries that compete in global markets. The exchange rates have an important role in economic globalization is a highlight authors to see whether economic variables that have a close relationship with the exchange rate so vulnerable affected by economic variables as well as non-economic variables and predicting exchange rates so volatile a few periods ahead.\ud
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The purpose of this study is to determine how the influence of the difference of M2, the difference in GDP, difference interest rates, foreign inflation and balance of payments is the difference between Indonesia and Singapore to exchange Rp/S $. Economic models and econometric models used in this study is the model of Frenkel-Bilson, Hooper- Morton model and the Dornbusch-Frenkel model. The data used is data processed in the form of monthly data by using the procedure expand the period 2003.01-2008.12.. In this study, all data were tested with the unit root test and classical assumption. Models estimated using OLS (Ordinary Least Square). The method of forecasting using Box- Jenkins (Arima), the Exponential Smoothing, The Winters, The Add-Winters and the Stepar Method.\ud
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THE INFLUENCE OF INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY SET, DEBT POLICY, AND DIVIDEND POLICY TO THE STOCK PRICE\ud (AT MANUFACTURING COMPANIES LISTED IN INDONESIA STOCK EXCHANGE)\ud
No full textThe research purposes to empirically test the the influence of investment opportunity set, debt policy, and dividend policy to the stock price (CAR) and also to obtain empirical evidence about the variance of market responses (CAR), dividend policy, and debt policy at the firm’s growth level (Level IOS)\ud
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The sample is obtained by purposive judgment sampling from Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX). Based on the criteria, there are only 50 companies used as the sample. Afterwards, we commit factor analysis to clasify the firm’s growth into grow firm and non grow firm. The factor analysis results 15 grow firms and 15 non grow firms. The hypothesis testing is conducted by using General Linear Model.\ud
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The result shows that investment opportunity set, debt policy, and dividend policy all together influence the stock price (CAR) and there’s a variance of market responses (CAR), dividend policy, and debt policy at the firm’s growth level (Level IOS). Based on the result, it can be concluded that lower debt to equity ratio in high growth firm and higher dividend policy ratio in high growth firm reflect management optimism for the firm’s future income. Thus, it’s such a good announcement for the investors in order they can response positively on the stock price.\u
INFLUENCE OF INFORMATION ASYMMETRY ON THE PRACTIC EARNINGS MANAGEMENT IN MANUFACTURING COMPANY WHICH IS LISTED ON INDONESIA STOCK EXCHANGE\ud \ud \ud \ud \ud \ud \ud \ud \ud \ud \ud
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The purpose of this research was to examine empirically the influence of independent variable information asymmetry, control variable firm size and leverage on the earnings management. Sample used in this research was the manufacture firms that are listed in Indonesia Stock Exchange which was collected through purposive judgement sampling method, for an observation period of 2004 up to 2008. Based on stated criterions, there were 53 companies becoming the research sample. In this research, hypotheses were examined by multiple regression analysis at degree of certainty 95% and degree of error 5%. Before analyze with multiple regression linier analysis, there was a discriminant test and classic assumption test.\ud
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The result of empirical examination using multiple regression analysis shows that, individually, independent variable information asymmetry, control variable firm size and leverage had influence significant on the earnings management. Simultaneously, independent variable information asymmetry, control variable firm size and leverage had influence significant on the earnings management.\u
INFLUENCE OF INFORMATION ASYMMETRY ON THE PRACTIC EARNINGS MANAGEMENT IN MANUFACTURING COMPANY WHICH IS LISTED ON INDONESIA STOCK EXCHANGE\ud \ud \ud \ud
No full textA. Kesimpulan\ud
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Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui apakah variabel independen asimetri informasi dan variabel kontrol ukuran perusahaan, leverage berpengaruh secara signifikan terhadap praktik manajemen laba pada perusahaan manufaktur yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia pada tahun 2004-2008 dari 53 sampel perusahaan. Berdasarkan pembahasan hasil analisis data yang telah diuraikan pada bab-bab sebelumnya, dapat diambil kesimpulan bahwa rata-rata perusahaan\ud
yang diteliti melakukan manajemen laba dengan cara meminimalkan laba (income minimization).\ud
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Nilai adjusted R2 sebesar 0,339 atau 33,90% yang menunjukkan bahwa variabel dependen manajemen laba dapat dijelaskan oleh variabel independen asimetri informasi dan variabel kontrol ukuran perusahaan, leverage sebesar 33,90%. Sedangkan sisanya sebesar 66,10% dijelaskan oleh faktor lain yang tidak termasuk dalam model regresi ini. Namun, dalam regresi yang dilakukan antara variabel dependen manajemen laba dengan variabel kontrol (ukuran perusahaan dan leverage) diperoleh nilai koefisien determinasi majemuk disesuaikan (adjusted R2) sebesar 0,347 atau 34,70%. Sedangkan dalam regresi antara variabel dependen manajemen laba dengan variabel independen asimetri informasi diperoleh nilai koefisien determinasi majemuk disesuaikan (adjusted\ud
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O-D MATRIX ESTIMATION USING TRAFFIC FLOW\ud IN THE REPRESENTATION OF TRAVEL PATTERN\ud IN BANDAR LAMPUNG
Get PDFAbstract\ud
The condition of transportation in Bandar Lampung increasingly crowded and need a quick solution. This is\ud
first step to compile transportation database and provides an overview of traffic conditions in Bandar\ud
Lampung. O-D Matrix estimation based on traffic flow is done using combination gravity and multinomiallogit model, also least square linear method. The values ofand have reached convergence at iteration 26\ud
with the value of beta () = 0.4675 and gamma () = -0.3438. Standard Coefficient generated from\ud
statistically tests is R2 = 0.418 to comparing traffic volume estimated to observed. These results show that the\ud
model can describe the actual flow of 27,118%. From the analysis, it can be seen that only several single\ud
main route connecting origin to destination. There are nine main road which indicated insufficient road\ud
capacity (V/C > 1), therefore necessary in the handling of traffic management.\ud
Key Words: O-D Matrix, traffic flow, gravity, multinomial-logit, travel patter
THE INFLUENCE OF INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY SET, DEBT POLICY, AND DIVIDEND POLICY TO THE STOCK PRICE\ud (AT MANUFACTURING COMPANIES LISTED IN INDONESIA STOCK EXCHANGE)\ud
No full textA. Latar Belakang\ud
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Peristiwa yang terjadi pada dunia global membawa perubahan-perubahan baik pada internal maupun eksternal perusahaan.Kemampuan perusahaan mengatasi perubahan tersebut akan memberikan kesempatan mengambil keuntungan, kemudian menjadikan ini sebagai suatu pilihan investasi. Pilihan investasi merupakan suatu kesempatan untuk berkembang, namun seringkali perusahaan tidak selalu dapat melaksanakan semua kesempatan investasi di masa mendatang.\ud
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Nilai kesempatan investasi merupakan nilai sekarang dari pilihan-pilihan perusahaan untuk membuat investasi di masa mendatang. Kesempatan yang diperoleh perusahaan akan pilihan investasi yang membawa pertumbuhan perusahaan dimasa mendatang dikenal sebagai set kesempatan investasi (investment opportunity set / IOS). IOS menggambarkan mengenai kesempatan atau peluang investasi bagi suatu perusahaan, yang diharapkan akan menghasilkan return yang lebih besar dari biaya modal (cost of equity) dan dapat menghasilkan keuntungan. IOS sangat tergantung pada pilihan expenditure perusahaan untuk kepentingan di masa yang akan datang. Dengan demikian IOS bersifat tidak dapat dinilai secara langsung, sehingga perlu dipilih suatu indikator/proksi yang dapat\ud
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INFLUENCE OF INFORMATION ASYMMETRY ON THE PRACTIC EARNINGS MANAGEMENT IN MANUFACTURING COMPANY WHICH IS LISTED ON INDONESIA STOCK EXCHANGE
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Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menguji secara empiris pengaruh dari variabel independen asimetri informasi, variabel kontrol ukuran perusahaan dan leverage terhadap praktik manajemen laba. Sampel dalam penelitian ini adalah perusahaan manufaktur yang terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia yang diperoleh dengan metode purposive judgement sampling dari tahun 2004 - 2008. Berdasarkan kriteria yang telah ditentukan, maka diperoleh 53 perusahaan yang menjadi sampel penelitian. Pengujian hipotesis dalam penelitian ini dilakukan dengan menggunakan analisis regresi linier berganda pada tingkat keyakinan 95% dan tingkat kesalahan dalam analisis (α) 5%. Sebelum dilakukan analisis regresi linier berganda, terlebih dahulu dilakukan uji diskriminan dan uji asumsi klasik.\ud
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Hasil penelitian secara empiris menunjukkan secara parsial, variabel independen asimetri informasi, variabel kontrol ukuran perusahaan dan leverage mempunyai pengaruh signifikan terhadap praktik manajemen laba. Secara simultan, variabel independen asimetri informasi, variabel kontrol ukuran perusahaan dan leverage mempunyai pengaruh yang signifikan terhadap praktik manajemen laba.\u
The Influence of Budgeting Participation, Organization Commitment, and Environmental Uncertainty on Budgetary Slack\ud \ud
No full textThe purpose of this research is to investigate the influence of Budgeting Participation, Organization Commitment, and Environmental Uncertainty on Budgetary Slack. Population used in this research that is Set of Job of Area Peripheral Elementary Service at Government of Lampung. Data of this Research used of question enquette which is passed to who got involved with a budget compilation at Set of Job of Area Peripheral Elementary Service at Government of lampung. This Research is consisted of the variable dependen that is Slack Budgeting, while its independent variable that is budgeting participation, organization commitment, and Environmental Uncertainty. Method analyse in this research that use the Multiple Linear Regressions partially (test t) and Test The Classic Assumption. Result from this research accept the third alternative hypothesis, whereas for the hypothesis of second and first alternative refused, because disagree with what expected.\ud
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Keywords: Budgeting Participation, Organization Commitment, and\ud
Environmental Uncertainty and Budgetary Slack.\u
\ud The Influence of Budgeting Participation, Organization Commitment, and Environmental Uncertainty on Budgetary Slack\ud \ud
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The purpose of this research is to investigate the influence of Budgeting Participation, Organization Commitment, and Environmental Uncertainty on Budgetary Slack. Population used in this research that is Set of Job of Area Peripheral Elementary Service at Government of Lampung. Data of this Research used of question enquette which is passed to who got involved with a budget compilation at Set of Job of Area Peripheral Elementary Service at Government of lampung. This Research is consisted of the variable dependen that is Slack Budgeting, while its independent variable that is budgeting participation, organization commitment, and Environmental Uncertainty. Method analyse in this research that use the Multiple Linear Regressions partially (test t) and Test The Classic Assumption. Result from this research accept the third alternative hypothesis, whereas for the hypothesis of second and first alternative refused, because disagree with what expected.\ud
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Keywords: Budgeting Participation, Organization Commitment, and\ud
Environmental Uncertainty and Budgetary Slack.\u
