Naresuan University Journal
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    39887 research outputs found

    Singular prior distributions in Bayesian D-optimal design for nonlinear models

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    For Bayesian D-optimal design, we define a singular prior distribution for the model parameters as a prior distribution such that the determinant of the Fisher information matrix has a prior geometric mean of zero for all designs. For such a prior distribution, the Bayesian D-optimality criterion fails to select a design. For the exponential decay model, we characterize singularity of the prior distribution in terms of the expectations of a few elementary transformations of the parameter. For a compartmental model and multi-parameter logistic regression, we establish sufficient conditions for singularity of a prior distribution. For logistic regression we also obtain sufficient conditions for non-singularity. In the existing literature, weakly informative prior distributions are commonly recommended as a default choice for inference in logistic regression. Our results show that some of the recommended prior distributions are singular, and hence should not be used for Bayesian D-optimal design. Additionally, methods are developed to derive and assess Bayesian D-efficient designs for logistic regression when numerical evaluation of the objective function fails due to ill-conditioning

    Systems toxicology: modelling biomarkers of glutathione homeostasis and paracetamol metabolism

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    One aim of systems toxicology is to deliver mechanistic, mathematically rigorous, models integrating biochemical and pharmacological processes that result in toxicity to enhance the assessment of the risk posed to humans by drugs and other xenobiotics. The benefits of such ‘in silico’ models would be in enabling the rapid and robust prediction of the effects of compounds over a range of exposures, improving in vitro–in vivo correlations and the translation from preclinical species to humans. Systems toxicology models of organ toxicities that result in high attrition rates during drug discovery and development, or post-marketing withdrawals (e.g., drug-induced liver injury (DILI)) should facilitate the discovery of safe new drugs. Here, systems toxicology as applied to the effects of paracetamol (acetaminophen, N-acetyl-para-aminophenol (APAP)) is used to exemplify the potential of the approach

    The Efficacy of Screening for Common Dental Diseases by Hygiene-Therapists: A Diagnostic Test Accuracy Study.

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    Regularly attending adult patients are increasingly asymptomatic and not in need of treatment when attending for their routine dental examinations. As oral health improves further, using the general dental practitioner to undertake the "checkup" on regular "low-risk" patients represents a substantial and potentially unnecessary cost for state-funded systems. Given recent regulatory changes in the United Kingdom, it is now theoretically possible to delegate a range of tasks to hygiene-therapists. This has the potential to release the general dental practitioner's time and increase the capacity to care. The aim of this study is to compare the diagnostic test accuracy of hygiene-therapists when screening for dental caries and periodontal disease in regularly attending asymptomatic adults who attend for their checkup. A visual screen by hygiene-therapists acted as the index test, and the general dental practitioner acted as the reference standard. Consenting asymptomatic adult patients, who were regularly attending patients at 10 practices across the Northwest of England, entered the study. Both sets of clinicians made an assessment of dental caries and periodontal disease. The primary outcomes measured were the sensitivity and specificity values for dental caries and periodontal disease. In total, 1899 patients were screened. The summary point for sensitivity of dental care professionals when screening for caries and periodontal disease was 0.81 (95% CI, 0.74 to 0.87) and 0.89 (0.86 to 0.92), respectively. The summary point for specificity of dental care professionals when screening for caries and periodontal disease was 0.87 (0.78 to 0.92) and 0.75 (0.66 to 0.82), respectively. The results suggest that hygiene-therapists could be used to screen for dental caries and periodontal disease. This has important ramifications for service design in public-funded health systems

    The relation of MRI-detected structural damage in the medial and lateral patellofemoral joint to knee pain: the Multicenter and Framingham Osteoarthritis Studies.

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    OBJECTIVE: To examine the relation of cartilage loss and bone marrow lesions (BMLs) in the medial and lateral patellofemoral joint (PFJ) to knee pain. METHODS: We categorized the location of full-thickness cartilage loss and BMLs in the PFJ on knee magnetic resonance imaging (MRIs) from the Multicenter Osteoarthritis (MOST) and Framingham Osteoarthritis (FOA) Studies as no damage, isolated medial, isolated lateral, or both medial and lateral (mixed). We determined the relation of MRI lesions in each PFJ region to prevalent knee pain. Differences in knee pain severity were compared among categories of PFJ full-thickness cartilage loss and BMLs using quantile regression. RESULTS: In MOST (n = 1137 knees), compared with knees without full-thickness cartilage loss, knees with isolated lateral or mixed PFJ full-thickness cartilage loss had 1.9 (1.3, 2.8) and 1.9 (1.2, 2.9) times the odds of knee pain, respectively, while isolated medial cartilage loss had no association with knee pain. BMLs in both the medial and lateral PFJ had 1.5 (1.1, 2.0) times the odds of knee pain compared with knees without BMLs. Knee pain severity was lowest in knees with isolated medial PFJ cartilage loss or BMLs. In FOA (n = 934 knees), neither isolated medial nor lateral cartilage loss was associated with knee pain, whereas isolated BMLs in either region were associated with pain. CONCLUSIONS: Results were not completely concordant but suggest that knee pain risk and severity is greatest with cartilage loss isolated to (MOST) or inclusive of (MOST and FOA) the lateral PFJ. While BMLs in either the medial or lateral PFJ are related to pain

    Increased Power for Detection of Parent-of-Origin Effects via the Use of Haplotype Estimation.

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    Parent-of-origin (or imprinting) effects relate to the situation in which traits are influenced by the allele inherited from only one parent and the allele from the other parent has little or no effect. Given SNP genotype data from case-parent trios, the parent of origin of each allele in the offspring can often be deduced unambiguously; however, this is not true when all three individuals are heterozygous. Most existing methods for investigating parent-of-origin effects operate on a SNP-by-SNP basis and either perform some sort of averaging over the possible parental transmissions or else discard ambiguous trios. If the correct parent of origin at a SNP could be determined, this would provide extra information and increase the power for detecting the effects of imprinting. We propose making use of the surrounding SNP information, via haplotype estimation, to improve estimation of parent of origin at a test SNP for case-parent trios, case-mother duos, and case-father duos. This extra information is then used in a multinomial modeling approach for estimating parent-of-origin effects at the test SNP. We show through computer simulations that our approach has increased power over previous approaches, particularly when the data consist only of duos. We apply our method to two real datasets and find a decrease in significance of p values in genomic regions previously thought to possibly harbor imprinting effects, thus weakening the evidence that such effects actually exist in these regions, although some regions retain evidence of significant effects

    Design of Core/Shell Colloidal Quantum Dots for MEG Solar Cells

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    Semiconductor quantum dots (QDs) are the subject of intensive research worldwide due to a number of novel properties, which make them of interest for both fundamental science and technological applications. QDs are of particular interest for solar cell applications due to their ability to increase efficiency via the generation of multiexcitons from a single photon. The efficiency of multiexciton generation (MEG) in colloidal QDs is determined by the competition between MEG and other hot electron-cooling processes. Core/shell QDs with type-II band alignment offers extra degrees of freedom in mediating both the optical dipoles and the Coulomb interaction between charges in such structures for the benefit of elevated MEG efficiency

    Microscopic study of the corrosion behaviour of mild steel in ionic liquids for CO2 capture applications

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    Three 1-alkyl-3-methylimidazolium tricyanomethanide (TCM) ionic liquids (ILs) (alkyl = ethyl, butyl and hexyl) and one butyrolactam cation-based IL with a fluorinated anion were synthesised and tested in contact with mild steel (MS) at temperatures up to 80 degrees C. The corrosion behaviour was evaluated by monitoring the morphological changes on the steel surface after testing. Exposure of MS to the IL results in two main types of degradation that depend on the IL type. General etching over the macroscopic surface of the alloy was revealed for the IL with the fluorinated anion. The 1-alkyl-3-methylimidazolium TCM ILs promoted dissolution of MnS inclusions present in the steel. In the ILs with a shorter alkyl chain in the cation (alkyl = ethyl, butyl), the dissolution of MnS was accompanied by generation of corrosion products around the inclusion sites, which are mainly identified as magnetite and maghemite ferrites by micro-Raman spectroscopy. The rest of the macroscopic steel surface remains unaffected. Etching resulted in significant weight loss due to removal of material, whereas no significant weight loss was revealed following MnS dissolution. Butyrolactam cation-based IL severely attacks MS with the formation of a plethora of corrosion products including ferrites (mainly hematite), zinc oxide, sulphates and carbonates. Addition of 500 ppm sodium molybdate to the butyrolactam cation-based IL resulted in efficient inhibition of etching at both room temperature and 60 degrees C due to adsorption of molybdate on the alloy surface. A side effect of MS degradation is that the CO2 absorption capacity of the ILs can be severely reduced through the transfer of metal ions and corrosion products from the metallic surface to the liquid phase. Therefore, gravimetric CO2 absorption capacity and kinetic measurements on the selected 1-alkyl-3-methylimidazolium tricyanomethanide ILs before and after their contact with MS were also conducted with the purpose to unveil and study these side effects. Moreover, CO2 absorption experiments of the butyrolactam cation-based IL before and after contact with MS, as well as in the presence of a sodium molybdate inhibitor, showed that sodium molybdate has the capacity to limit significantly the etching rate without affecting the CO2 capture performance of the IL

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