Berdikari: Jurnal Ekonomi dan Statistik Indonesia
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The Effect of The Israeli and Palestinian War Boycott on Starbucks Financ-es
Full text linkThe Israel-Palestine conflict has had a significant impact on multinational companies like Starbucks, with boycotts being conducted as a form of protest against alleged support for Israel by Starbucks. The boycott has greatly affected the company's finances, as well as its reputation and overall business expansion. This study aims to assess the financial condition of Starbucks following the boycott phenomenon. The method used in this research is literature review. The collected data shows the extent of Starbucks' financial decline, including not only global sales but also the drop in Starbucks' stock price. Additionally, the study provides information on the reasons behind the boycott and Starbucks' clarifications. Based on the data obtained, Starbucks experienced the longest and steepest stock decline since its IPO, with an 11-day consecutive drop from 93.8906, amounting to approximately 862.3 million in Q1 2024. Furthermore, the boycott's effects caused Starbucks to delay its expansion and only realize new store openings in Q1 2024. This is because Starbucks focused more on the welfare of its employees and improving sales performance. To mitigate the impact of the boycott, Starbucks can diversify its services, invest in digital technology, and maintain transparent communication to avoid misunderstandings. By taking appropriate and responsive actions, Starbucks can restore sales and consumer trust
Melihat Palu-Donggala dari Angkasa: Modal Sosial dan Pemulihan Ekonomi Pascagempa
Full text linkThis study aims to analyze the relations of social capital (“gotong royong”, the existence of sporting activities, the number of activities car-ried out by the Badan Permusyawaratan Desa) on the earthquake fol-lowed by tsunami and liquefaction disaster recovery process that oc-curred in Central Sulawesi on September, 26th 2018. By using the intensi-ty of the night light (Suomi National Polar Partnership Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite – SNPP VIIRS data) in assessing the time for recovery of economic activity and PODES 2018, a survival analysis was performed. The analysis shows that villages with higher social capital need a shorter time to reach their pre-disaster recovery. The chances of a village affected by the disaster having sports activities were 13,046 times faster than that of villages without sports activities. This research also indicates the positive role of village institutions and infrastructure in accelerating the recovery process of villages affected by disasters
Apakah Program Keluarga Harapan Mampu Mengurangi Pekerja Anak di Masa Pandemi COVID-19?
Full text linkThe COVID-19 pandemic can be an economic shock for low-income households. Several studies have shown that child labor is a strategy used by households to cope with economic shocks. This shock will exacerbate the phenomenon of child labor. Social protection is a form of mitigating the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic which is considered able to reduce the number of child labor. Program Keluarga Harapan (PKH) is one of the social protection programs in Indonesia. This study investigates the impact of Program Keluarga Harapan (PKH) on the phenomenon of child labor during the COVID-19 pandemic. To overcome the problem of self-selection, this study applies the variable of interest as an endogenous variable. By using the recursive bivariate probit method, this study concludes that PKH has no impact on reducing the likelihood of a child becoming child labor during the COVID-19 pandemic. To enrich the research, we also investigated the influence of PKH on the phenomenon of child labor in the period before the COVID-19 pandemic and found that PKH had an impact on reducing the likelihood of a child becoming child labor in the period before the COVID-19 pandemic. Several factors that influence the phenomenon of child labor, such as the characteristics of children, the characteristics of the head of the household, household characteristics, and environmental characteristics, have been shown to influence a child's tendency to become child labor, both in both periods (before the pandemic or during the COVID-19 pandemic) and in only one period
Employment Formalization in Indonesia: Role of Parents’ Employment Mobility Toward Children’s Employment Mobility
Full text linkThis study aims to analyze the impact of parents’ employment status mobility on the children’s employment status mobility. In doing so, we applied a two-stage multinomial logistic regression model. In this research, employment status mobility refers to a mobility status from informal to formal jobs and vice versa. Using data from the Indonesian Family Life Survey (IFLS) for the period 2007 and 2014, the profile of the Indonesian workforce was dominated by stayers. The estimation results of multinomial logistic regression indicate that only fathers’ employment status mobility has a significant effect on the children’s employment status mobility, where fathers who are stayers and experiencing upward mobility will provide greater opportunities for their children to be stayers and fewer opportunities to experience downward mobility. Moreover, the employment status mobility of mothers does not have a significant impact on their children’s employment mobility. Our study points out the pivotal role of fathers in influencing employment formalization in Indonesia. Our findings could be valuable inputs for policy-making regarding employment formalization in Indonesia
Pengeluaran Pemerintah Daerah dan Rumah Tangga untuk Pendidikan menurut Kelompok Pendapatan
Full text linkPenelitian ini dilakukan untuk menganalisis pengaruh pengeluaran pendidikan oleh pemerintah daerah terhadap pengeluaran pendidikan oleh rumah tangga menurut kelompok pendapatan. Sumber data utama yang digunakan berasal dari Indonesian Family Life Survey (IFLS) 2007 dan 2014 serta APBD kabupaten/kota. Dengan model tobit, penelitian ini menemukan hasil bahwa peningkatan belanja pemerintah untuk pendidikan dasar berhubungan dengan pengurangan yang signifikan dalam pengeluaran pendidikan dasar oleh rumah tangga di setiap kelompok pendapatan. Menurut jenis pengeluaran, peningkatan pengeluaran pendidikan oleh pemerintah signifikan mengurangi pengeluaran iuran sekolah di semua kelompok pendapatan. Sementara itu, pengurangan pengeluaran untuk peralatan sekolah, transport dan kursus hanya terjadi pada rumah tangga berpendapatan rendah dan menengah
Analisis Keterkaitan Antar Sektor dan Antar Provinsi dalam Perekonomian Kalimantan Tengah Tahun 2016 (Analisis IO dan IRIO)
Full text linkRegional development does not only rely on the contribution of the economic sector in the region to the economy, but also the interaction of a sector with other sectors as well as inter-regional. The demand for goods and services outside the region has led to efforts to increase production so it encourage economic growth. In other words, economic development in one region is expected to trigger economic development in other regions. The purpose of this study is to determine the leading business sectors, the interrelationships between the business sectors, and the economic linkages of Central Kalimantan with other regions in Indonesia. Using the Input-Output Table (I-O) of Central Kalimantan in 2016, this study succeeded in identifying the leading business sectors in Central Kalimantan and the interrelationships between business sectors in Central Kalimantan. In addition, this study also uses the Inter-Regional Input-Output Table (IRIO) to determine economic linkages between Central Kalimantan and several provinces in Indonesia. The results showed that Iron Ore Mining is a leading sector and one of the leading business sectors in Central Kalimantan. In addition, in terms of regional linkages, it was found that changes in final demand in Central Kalimantan will have a major impact on output in DKI Jakarta, East Kalimantan, and South Kalimantan
Optimalisasi Penerapan Metode ARIMA dalam Mengestimasi Harga Emas di Negara Indonesia
Full text linkTahun 2023 Indonesia tercatat sebagai negara pemilik cadangan emas terbesar nomor 6 di dunia. Dan menurut data yang diberikan Ditjen Minerba Kementerian ESDM pada tahun 2021 Indonesia menghasilkan 118,3 ton emas murni, menjadikan negara Indonesia sebagai penghasil emas nomor 9 di dunia. Keberadaan Indonesia dalam cincin api pasifik ditandai dengan aktivitas vulkanik akibat pergerakan lempengan bumi yang menghasilkan pergerakan tektonik di bawah permukaan bumi menjadikan potensi adanya pertambang di Indonesia sangat besar. Dimana menurut Kementerian Energi dan Sumber Daya Mineral (ESDM) Indonesia memiliki sekitar 1.182.073,53 hektare tambang emas yang tersebar ke dalam 25 provinsi. Emas sendiri merupakan salah satu alat tukar menukar. Dimana menurut web www.goldprice.org di Indonesia pada bulan September 2022 sampai pada September 2023 mengalami peningkatan sebesar 12% namun pada bulan januari 2023 harga emas mengalami penurunan sebesar 7%. Adanya penurunan harga ini dapat mempengaruhi investor yang ingin menginvestasikan harta mereka ke emas. Maka dari ini penulis tertarik untuk menerapkan estimasi Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) dalam menghitung harga emas penulis memilih negara Indonesia sebagai tempat melakukan penelitian, dimana Indonesia merupakan salah satu penghasil emas terbesar ke 6 di dunia. Dengan ini penulis berasumsi diperlukan adanya penelitian dengan pemodelan matematika untuk menganalisis, memprediksi, dan mengidentifikasi estimasi harga emas kedepannya. Adapun pemodelan matematika yang penulis pilih untuk menganalisis, memprediksi dan mengidentifikasi estimasi harga emas kedepannya di negara Indonesia adalah pendekatan deskriptif kuantitatif dengan menerapkan metode Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) dalam perhitungannya. Dimana tujuan penulis sendiri melakukan penelitian adalah untuk mewujudkan SDGs dalam sektor ekonomi, yang harapannya dengan adanya penelitian ini dapat membawa banyak pengaruh untuk kedepannya terutama untuk negara Indonesia sendiri
Pengaruh Pengangguran, Kemiskinan, Indeks Pembangunan Manusia, dan Populasi Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Provinsi Kalimantan Tengah
Full text linkThe success or downturn of a country's economy can also be measured by its economic growth rate. This study aims to analyze the influence of unemployment rate, poverty, human development index, and population on economic growth, especially in 14 districts/cities of Central province. Kalimantan for the period 2017-2019. The technique used is a regression analysis of panel data with the best model being the fixed effects model (FEM). The test results show that all variables simultaneously affect economic growth. Partially, unemployment and HDI have negative and insignificant effects on economic growth. Second, poverty has a negative and significant impact while the population has a positive and significant impact on economic growth. Based on the findings of this study, it is recommended from the findings of this study that policies are needed to reduce poverty while increasing population so that economic growth can continue to increase
Application of Panel Regression Model in Gender Studies in East Java
Full text linkGender inequality remains one of the exciting issues to discuss. The role of women in social and economic continues to increase from year to year. This study aims to see the effect of the Gender Empowerment Index (GEI), Gender Development Index (GDI), and poverty rate on the Gender Inequality Index (GII) in East Java. Data sourced from the BPS-Statistics Indonesia of East Java Province for the 2018-2020 period. The statistical method used was multiple linear regression with panel data. Based on panel model testing, the random model is the best. Simultaneously, all variables affect the GII. Partially, GEI and GDI have a significant negative effect on GII. On the other hand, the percentage of poor people has a significant positive effect on GII. Based on the results of this study, comprehensive policies related to macro-social economics are needed so that the level of GII continues to decline
Pengaruh Analisis Kebangkrutan Model Altman Z-score Terhadap Harga Saham Pada Perusahaan Manufaktur di Bursa Efek Indonesia Sebelum dan Saat Pandemi Covid -19: (Studi Kasus Tahun 2019-2020)
Full text linkPenelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh pengaruh Altman Z-Score terhadap harga saham, pengaruh rasio-rasio pada Altman Z-score terhadap harga saham sebelum dan saat pandemi covid-19, dan mengetahui perbedaan rasio-rasio pada Altman Z- score sebelum dan saat pandemic covid-19 pada perusahaan manufaktur yang terdaftar dalam Bursa Efek Indonesia (BEI) periode 2019-2020. Jenis penelitian ini menggunakan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan metode Purposive Sampling. Terdapat 14 Sampel Perusahaan yang sesuai dengan kriteria yang ditentukan. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa pada regresi linier sederhana nilai Altman Z-score tidak berpengaruh terhadap harga saham sebelum pandemi covid-19 dan saat pandemi covid -19