The Pakistan Development Review
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    Economic Growth-Female Labour Force Participation Nexus: An Empirical Evidence for Pakistan

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    Economic literature shows significant attention towards the role played by female labour force in the economic development of nations. The structural changes of economies from agriculture to industrial and services sector reduce the female labour force participation in case of developing nations. The activities of female labour force increases in the later stage of economic development due to increase in education and dynamics of economic activity. As the size of the economy expands females have easier and better access of jobs thus are encouraged to become economically active, it leads to increase female participation in the productive activities. The participation of female labour force is desirable for both equity and efficiency reasons. The equity aspect shows that the women’s participation in the labour market ultimately improves their relative economic position, increase the overall economic efficiency by enhancing the development potential of the country. Moreover, the increasing integration of women in the economy helps in reducing gender disparities in education, improving maternal health, increasing sectoral share of female employment in different sectors of the economy, demonstrating the hidden contribution of women as unpaid family worker especially in agriculture sector. According to the modernisation theorists, economic development is positively associated with female labour force participation through change in the occupational structure and increase in educational opportunities along with the household responsibilities. The modernisation process is linked with increased demand for labour, a general social acceptance of women’s education and employment as well as lower fertility [Heckman (1980); Standing (1981); Bauer and Shin (1987)]. A body of theoretical and empirical literature provides evidence that female labour force participation has a positive and strong relationship with economic growth [Tansel (2002) and Fatima and Sultana (2009)]

    “Saving the Euro: A Test for Globalisation” (The Allama Iqbal Lecture)

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    The sovereign debt crisis originating in the eurozone immediately after the eruption of the global financial crash represents a significant challenge not only for the European but also for the world economy. Overcoming it will contribute to creating the conditions for sustained global economic recovery and also provide a testing ground for our capabilities to control the dangers surrounding the globalisation process which is unfolding over the recent decades. The integration of markets in products and finance, and less so in services, coupled with enormous technological progress in communications and transport diffused growth to regions and continents that, during the last centuries, had been left behind the dramatic rise in living standards witnessed in Europe, North America and Japan since the Industrial Revolution. The opening up of markets led to more efficient use of global resources allowing productivity to grow while billions of people transgressed poverty lines and joined the modern world. The downside of this process is that national control over economic policy has been significantly diminished, even vanished for small economies, while intricate problems emerged for international economic governance. These problems were brought to the fore during the recent crisis at the global and eurozone level. As markets integrate and systems converge, controlling imbalances in either the real economy or the financial sector becomes increasingly difficult since it requires much more advanced policy cooperation than allowed for in institutional set-ups corresponding to nation-centred economic models. The extent of the changes that are needed will become clearer as we review the origins of the present crisis. At the global level the huge current account imbalances that have been built up over the last decades produced an unusual pattern of savings flows. Poor countries, chiefly China, have been financing rich ones, such as the United States. This pattern reflects the fact that emerging countries have had large current account surpluses, whereas developed economies have accumulated sizeable deficits. The imbalances led capital to flow ‘the wrong way’ from the developing to the advanced economies, destabilising the financial system and thus creating the conditions for the economic crisis

    Market Diversification and Firms’ Characteristics of Export-Oriented Manufacturers in Pakistan

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    This paper explores the determinants of market diversification by export-oriented manufacturing firms using the logistic regression framework. The results show that firm level characteristics including age of the enterprise, managerial expertise, type of ownership, and size of the enterprise play a key role in determining the probability of market diversification by firms. These findings highlight the salience of firm level capacities in achieving export diversification in Pakistan. JEL Classification: F14, L25 Keywords: Exports, Firms, Market Diversification, Manufacturin

    Precise Estimates of the Unrecorded Economy

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    Informal economy in Pakistan is the backbone of the economy. However, the problem is that we do not know how big it is due to non-availability of the precise estimates of unrecorded1 economy. Precise estimates of the unrecorded economy would help policy-makers to make better macroeconomic policies. If unrecorded economy becomes part of the recorded economy government can seek revenues from it and rest of the sectors may have to take lesser burden of taxes. This would be a win-win situation for the government and for those sectors that are part of the documented system. In return, by becoming part of the documented economic system the undocumented sector can enjoy all those benefits and incentives that are available to the formal sector

    Allan H. Meltzer. Why Capitalism? USA: Oxford University Press. 2012. 145 pages. US $ 21.95. Hardbound.

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    Why Capitalism? is written in response to the popular belief of “end of capitalism” that emerged in the aftermath of the 2008 financial crisis. In this book, the author criticises the anti-capitalism claim advocated by numerous writers who welcomed regulated markets and essential government intervention at the time of recession to fix the problems, which free markets cannot resolve by itself. While praising capitalism, the author argues that the success of capitalist system was inevitable over the last half decade in most of the countries. He believes that democracy along with capitalism is the best system since people, by their voting rights, choose their own tax rates and way of redistribution of wealth. Furthermore, according to him it is the only system, which faced many challenges, but not only survived but came out stronger and dominated the world. Theoretically, the author’s arguments, in this book are very attractive but in practice give rise to several questions

    Fiscal Decentralisation and Economic Growth: Role of Democratic Institutions

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    This study attempts to analyse the impact of fiscal decentralisation on economic growth. It also examines the complementarity between fiscal decentralisation and democratic institutions in promoting growth. The modelling framework is the endogenous growth model augmented with measures of fiscal decentralisation through democratic institutions. To capture the multidimensionality, three different measures of fiscal decentralisation are used. The overall analysis shows that revenue decentralisation promotes economic growth while expenditure decentralisation retards economic growth. Composite decentralisation positively influences economic growth implying that simultaneous decentralisation of revenue and expenditure reinforce each other to promote economic growth. Analysis also shows that democratic institutions play a significant role in realising the benefits of fiscal decentralisation. Various policy implications emerge from this study. JEL Classification: C26, E02, H11, H72, O11 Keywords: Fiscal Decentralisation, Democracy, Economic Growth, Pakista

    External Debt Accumulation and Its Impact on Economic Growth in Pakistan

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    The accumulation of external debt is common phenomenon of the developing countries and it has become a common feature of the fiscal sectors of most of the economies. A country with lower saving rate needs to borrow more to finance the given rate of economic growth. So external debt is obtained to sustain the growth rate of the economy, which is otherwise not feasible with the given domestic resources. Pakistan is one of the developing countries and faces serious debt problems, according to World Bank Report 2000-2001, Pakistan is among the Highly Indebted Countries (HICs); because Pakistan’s present and future debt situation is very grim. According to the World Bank total external debt may be defined as debt owed to non-resident repayable in terms of foreign currency, goods or services. External debt is the composition of long term debt (public and publicly guaranteed debt plus private non guaranteed debt), short term commercial debt and International Monetary Fund (IMF) loans. Prior to early 1970s the external debt of developing countries was primarily small and official phenomenon, the majority of creditors being foreign governments and international financial institutions offer loan for development project [Todaro (1988)]. At the same time current account deficit was common which increased the external indebtedness of the developing countries, until when Mexico, despite an oil exporter, declared in august, 1992 that it could not services its debt ever since, the issue of external debt and its servicing has assumed critical importance and introduced the debt crises debate [Were (2001)]

    Analysis of Revenue Potential and Revenue Effort in Developing Asian Countries

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    Countries around the world are increasingly recognising that the effective revenue system is the most important factor for economic development. Factors effecting revenue potential measured as the revenue to GDP has been one of the most important issues that concerns to policy-makers from last three decades. Many developing countries face difficulties in generating sufficient revenues for public expenditure. In some countries budget deficits and the unproductive use of public expenditures have narrow the vital investments in both human resources and basic infrastructure that are necessary for providing base for sustainable economic growth and development. Too much dependence on foreign financing may cause problems of debt sustainability; therefore developing countries will need to depend substantially on domestic revenue generation. There is a large body of literature on tax revenue potential in developing countries [Bahl (1971); Tanzi (1987); Leuthold (1991); and Stotsky and Mariam (1997); Gupta (2007)]. However, there is few studies that examine institutional and governance quality as a factor influencing tax collection and tax revenue potential. According to Tanzi and Davoodi (1997) and Gupta (2007) these factors are responsible for low tax collection in developing countries by allowing citizens inappropriate tax exemptions and enabling tax evasion due to bad tax administration. Therefore, a precondition for ensuring adequate revenue collection is a legitimate and responsive institutions following the rule of law with control on corruption and having high quality bureaucracy to administer. Studies also confirm that a strong political will to reform is required for successful reform process [Bird (2004)]. Alm, et al. (2003) suggest that tax records of countries are reflection of their political or societal institutions

    Darn Acemoglu and James A. Robinson. Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty. New York: Crown Business. 2012. 529 pages. U.S $ 17.00.

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    “Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity and Poverty” is an impressive book by Daron Acemoglu and James A. Robinson. In this book, the authors attempt to solve the longstanding puzzle that why some nations, such as the United Sates, Great Britain, Germany, etc. are rich today, and why the others, such as Zimbabwe, Ghana, Egypt, etc. are poor. The authors show with the help of substantial historical evidence that man-made economic and political institutions matter for the vast differences in the level of economic development among countries. They argue history is the key to understand the difference and evolution of economic and political institutions in different parts of the world. During historical evolution of the institutions, small differences and contingency (e.g., Black Death) matter a lot. According to them, it is not the geography, culture, weather or the choice of wrong policies that make countries rich or poor but it is the institutions that make countries rich or poor

    Argentina: Economic Recovery and Tax Improvement after a Decade of Double Crisis.

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