Institute of Social Sciences

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    Климатске промене и пораст броја климатских спорова на глобалном нивоу

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    U poslednjih nekoliko godina posledice klimatskih promena postaju sve vidljivije i izraženije. U prilog tome govori i činjenica da je leto 2024. godine bilo do sada najtoplije leto na planeti Zemlji od kada postoje merenja. Uporedo sa porastom negativnih efekata klimatskih promena raste i broj takozvanih klimatskih sporova. Na globalnom nivou je, prema podacima Programa Ujedinjenih nacija za životnu sredinu i Sabin centra za pravo o klimatskim promenama na Univerzitetu Kolumbija, do kraja 2022. godini bilo 2.180 slučajeva, što je značajan porast u odnosu na 884 u 2017. godini. Većina sporova je pokrenuta u Sjedinjenim Američkim Državama, dok ih je u ostalim državama bilo 658. Posle SAD najveći broj slučajeva je pokrenut u Australiji, zatim sledi Ujedinjeno Kraljevstvo Velike Britanije i Severne Irske sa 79 slučajeva, a potom Evropska unija u kojoj je bilo 62 slučaj

    Development of geospatial passability maps: a multi-criteria analysis approach

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    This research presents a comprehensive analysis of the production of terrain passability maps in southeastern Serbia, employing a multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) analysis. The study integrates various geographical and infrastructural aspects, assigning coefficients to each input parameter, including rivers, roads, rails, CORINE Land Cover (CLC), soil, slope, and the Topographic Ruggedness Index (TRI). The introduction of the TRI marks an innovative advancement in terrain analysis and passability. By comparing wet and dry periods, the study provides critical insights into the dynamic nature of terrain passability, with implications for transportation planning and emergency response. The research's innovative approach and detailed examination set it apart, offering valuable contributions to scholarly comprehension and practical applications. The findings underscore the potential for interdisciplinary collaboration and the broad impact of geographic information systems (GIS) and terrain analysis in addressing real-world challenges. Future research may explore additional factors influencing terrain passability and expand the geographical scope of the study

    Culture of Ortodoxy and Journalism in Contemporary Society

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    We live in a world of superficiality and hyperproduction, often obsessed with an apocalyptic spirit, where the culture of instant sensation is frequently imposed as the only choice. This context of contemporary living is furthered by the effects of media content inundated with sensationalism, crime news, and similar materials. In the first part of the paper, we will point out the "culture of death" which has become a daily reality and whose key component is fear, imposed as an antithesis to the Christian ethos. Within this framework of living, a person finds themselves in a state of intoxication from the sedative effects of "yellow journalism". The consequence is a state of depression and apathy, given that bad news and superficial sensations are offered as the only reality, since the media distributes them cloaked in euphemisms with an emphasis on necessity, aiming for profit while making it easier for individuals to decline. Such a model of media operation contradicts the foundational principles of the journalistic profession, which are also part of its ethics. Therefore, in the second part, we will focus on the state of the media and journalism, examining the consequences of their work, as well as the importance of adhering to the core principles of this profession. Finally, we strive to indicate possible paths back to common sense, as well as to better physical and spiritual health, with the aim of healing the souls of individuals and society as a whole. In this sense, the Christian culture emerges as a potentially significant factor. Hence, we emphasize the importance of establishing a new paradigm of media work that, while necessarily following the contemporary reality, must also reflect the values propagated by this culture, thus influencing a different mode of media operation based on respect for journalistic ethics. In this way, we present our position on the topic, grounded in experience and the results of conducted research

    Домети меке моћи Републике Србије на постјугословенском простору

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    Државе настале након распада Југославије, у савременим околностима, настављају сарадњу у различитим друштвено-политичким областима, иако су њихови међусобни односи у великој мери обликовани богатом историјом, као и оптерећени дешавањима из деведесетих година XX века, што често представља препреку у испуњавању пуног потенцијала сарадње и међусобног утицаја. Без обзира на препреке, које објективно постоје, неопходно је узети у обзир сличности међу народима и државама насталих из Југославије, које значајно утичу на испољавање меке моћи. Истраживање је теоријски утемељено на концепту меке моћи, који у анализу међународних односа, уводи амерички политиколог Џозеф Нај. У методолошком смислу, истраживање је засновано на научној методи интервјуа. Током истраживачког процеса коришћене су методе анализе садржаја и дискурса, историјска метода, као и методе индукције и дедукције. Основно истраживачко питање на које аутори настоје да одговорегласи: каква је перцепција испољавања меке моћи Републике Србије на постјугословенском простору? Рад ће понудити одговоре и на питање: које су основне препреке и најистакнутији потенцијали меке моћи Републике Србије на постјугословенском простору? Резултати истраживања указују на то да је у државама постјугословенског простора уочљив утицај меке моћи Републике Србије, који је омогућен постојањем фактора међусобне повезаности. Ипак, налази истраживања показују да уз факторе међусобне повезаности, који олакшавају утицај меке моћи Републике Србије, делују и други фактори који настоје да ослабе могућност и умање домете утицаја меке моћи

    Mortality risk during heatwaves: An evaluation of effects by heatwaves characteristics in Serbia

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    Extreme temperatures and heatwaves are recognized as one of the deadliest weather-related hazards. The first of its kind in the Balkans region, this study explores the effects of heatwave timing, duration, and intensity on mortality in Serbia. Using daily all-cause mortality data and mean temperature, a distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) evaluates the heat-mortality response for each city during the warm season (May to September) for the period 2000-2015 for Belgrade, Novi Sad and Niš. Results indicate that longer heatwaves generally have a greater impact on mortality, regardless of when they occur in the warm season. When comparing warm and extremely warm days, relative risk (RR) increases with intensity, and RRs are higher for earlier season heatwaves Extremely warm, early season heatwaves show significantly high RR in all three cities, respectively, for Belgrade 1.37 (95% CI: 125, 1.5), for Novi Sad 1.27 (95% CI: 1.08, 1.5), and for Niš 1.47 (95% CI: 1.15, 1.87). The findings draw attention to how different heat events modify the health response in Serbia. Stakeholders who work to improve resilience to heat hazards may consider the development of an early warning heat system and a strengthening of local and regional outreach efforts designed to reduce adverse health outcomes

    Komparativna analiza dinamike BDP-a Srbije 2000-2024.

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    Na osnovu podataka MMF-a o kretanju BDP-a i BDP-a po stanovniku u stalnim cenama od 2000. do 2024. izračunali smo prosečne stope rasta datih pokazatelja za Srbiju i 16 bivših socijalističkih zemalja Evrope. Osnovni nalaz je da, suprotno uvreženim mišljenjima, tokom proteklog dela ovog milenijuma naša zemlja beleži solidne ekonomske rezultate. Prosečni rast domaćeg BDP i BDP po stanovniku iznosio je 3,3%, odnosno 4%, znatno više od neponderisanog proseka svih observisanih 17 ekonomija (2,9%, odnosno 3,3%). Istina, bolji rezultati od onih koje su ostvarile većina bivših socijalističkih zemalja, koje i dalje imaju daleko više nivoe BDP-ova po stanovniku, najvećim delom se mogu objasniti nižom bazom s koje je Srbija krenula, nakon izolacije tokom 1990-ih. Projekcije NBS, Vlade RS i MMF-a ukazuju da će se u narednom petogodištu srpski BDP povećavati relativno brzo, imajući u vidu solidnu projektovanu stopu fiksnih investicija, kao ključnog generatora privrednog rasta, te očekivano održavanje stabilnosti glavnih makroekonomskih indikatora. Uzete zajedno sve ove projekcije, kao i ostvareni rezultati u proteklom delu ovog stoleća, ukazuju da naša zemlja, iako izvesno ne beleži impresivne ekonomske rezultate, ima bazične pretpostavke da nastavi sa zadovoljavajućom dinamikom unapređenja životnog standarda svoje populacij

    Disaster revised

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    What changes in the age composition of the Vojvodina population tell us?

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    The research focuses on the characteristics and transformation of the age structure in AP Vojvodina from 1948 to 2022, examining demographic trends and socio-geographic events to present and analyse changes in the region's age structure trends and characteristics. We analysed the population age structure found on the age pyramids and the calculation of the age indicators based on the Census data. Substantial changes are present in the young (0-14 years) and old (65 and over) populations, which have opposite trends. Since 2002, the number of inhabitants in Vojvodina has been decreasing, while the number of older adults is growing. In 2002, the proportion of the young population stood at 15.9%, mirroring closely the 15.5% share held by the older population. According to the last population Census, every fifth resident in Vojvodina is 65 years old or older. The young population in Vojvodina has been decreasing since the 1961 census. Trends in the category of the working-age population indicate the process of demographic ageing of the population of Vojvodina. These shifts in age group proportions have side effects on the region's demographic landscape and societal dynamics. The rising share of older adults signals the need for policies and support systems to cater to the needs of an ageing population, such as healthcare, pension plans, and elderly care services. The changing ratio of young individuals may impact education, family dynamics, and workforce planning. Comprehending these demographic patterns holds significant importance for policymakers and stakeholders, enabling them to respond to the shifting needs and complexities within the population of Vojvodin

    AI in Education: Visions Challenges and Strategies for Tomorrow

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    The incorporation of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in educational systems signals a transformative phase in teaching and learning methods. In the presentation we examine the interplay between AI developments and educational practices, envisioning how this synergy might unfold in three future contexts. In one scenario, where AI capabilities expand gradually, we foresee AI augmenting education, as seen with examples like Khanmigo – Khan Academy's virtual tutor. Recent advancements in Large Language Models highlight AI's potential as an adaptive tutor, capable of tailoring educational content to individual learners' preferences and needs. This opens possibilities for personalized learning, potentially revitalizing traditional teaching methods and aligning education more closely with the needs of a workforce increasingly shaped by AI technologies. However, this prospect raises ethical concerns, particularly regarding the use of AI in early education, where its impact on young minds and cognitive development must be carefully managed. Alternatively, a rapid leap in AI capabilities could fundamentally challenge our current educational structures, with AI excelling in both curriculum customization and teaching, potentially outperforming human educators. Here, we explore how educational systems might adapt to remain relevant and effective in the face of such swift AI advancements while also considering the potential psychological and societal risks involved. The third scenario explores the concept of technological singularity, envisioned as a moment where technological advancement accelerates uncontrollably, leading to profound and unpredictable impacts on humanity. Identifying common threads in all these scenarios is essential to promote a deliberate and mindful integration of AI in education, ensuring that technological progress is in harmony with human ethics and values. The integration of AI in education is inevitable, but its direction is not preordained. Our presentation aims to examine possible directions for AI in reshaping education. We advocate for extensive experimentation with AI applications within educational settings, underscored by innovation and a firm commitment to student welfare and ethical considerations. This includes empirical studies involving pilot programs and longitudinal research, with educators, technology experts, and policymakers engaging in proactive, long-term, and inventive discussions. Our objective must be to ensure that the future of education is not only technologically proficient but also ethically responsible and centered on human development and values

    Prilog proučavanju nasilja prema ženama u politici

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    U tekstu se govori o različitim aspektima specifičnog područja u društvenim naukama u kome se istražuju koncepti, teorije i praksa koja se odnosi na nasilje nad ženama u politici. Ova vrsta nasilja se događa unutar političke sfere i posebno je usmerena na žensku populaciju. U mnogim društvima takve se prakse neutralizuju, depolitizuju i najčešće ostaju neprepoznate. Problem nastaje kada se političarke diskvalifikuju, vređaju i omalovažavaju korišć enjem i zloupotrebom obrazaca rodnog identiteta, ženskog tela i tradicionalne uloge majke i supruge, kako bi se potkopale kompetencije i efikasnost ženskog aktivizma u političkoj sferi. Semiotičko nasilje, kao oblik političkog nasilja, vrlo uspešno reprodukuje žensku opresiju jer je suptilno, eufemizirano, nevidljivo, tako da mnoge žene ne prepoznaju ovu vrstu nasilja i to u društvima sa višim stepenom rodne ravnopravnosti. Često normalizovano i opšteprihvaćeno, nasilje prema ženama u politici služi održavanju rodne hijerarhije, podrivanju temelja demokratksog društva i sprečavanju promocije žena u političkoj aren

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