E-Journal UMSIDA (Universitas Muhammadiyah Sidoarjo)
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1909 research outputs found
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Bitcoin Movements Correlate with Shifts in Global Financial Market Indices
No full textGeneral background: The increasing integration of digital technologies has transformed global financial systems, with cryptocurrencies, especially Bitcoin, emerging as prominent financial instruments. Specific background: Amid widespread adoption by institutions and individuals, Bitcoin has garnered attention for its potential to influence traditional financial markets, particularly during periods of global uncertainty such as the COVID-19 pandemic. Knowledge gap: While much has been discussed about the theoretical influence of cryptocurrencies, empirical evidence on their actual impact on global financial indices remains inconclusive. Aims: This study investigates the effect of Bitcoin trading volume and the COVID-19 pandemic on a composite index comprising advanced (S&P 500), emerging (KLSE), and developing (DZ) market indices from July 2018 to December 2022. Results: Using a fixed-effects panel data model, the findings reveal that past market performance significantly predicts current performance, while Bitcoin trading volume and the pandemic show no statistically significant impact. Novelty: The study uniquely combines market classifications and utilizes a composite index to empirically isolate the influence of Bitcoin across diverse economies. Implications: These results suggest that, despite Bitcoin's rising prominence, its direct influence on global financial markets may be limited in the short term, underscoring the need for continued investigation as regulatory frameworks and adoption rates evoHighlight :
Minimal Impact: Bitcoin trading volume and the COVID-19 pandemic had no statistically significant effect on global financial market indices (2018–2022).
Strong Market Correlation: Global financial indices showed strong interdependence, reflecting synchronized market behavior.
Future Outlook: Despite current findings, evolving crypto regulations and technologies may alter their financial market influence.
Keywords : Cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin, Trading Volume, COVID-19, Financial Indices
 
Graduate Competency Patterns for Strategic Differentiation in Bukhara HEIs
No full textGeneral Background: In today’s global knowledge economy, the competitiveness of higher education institutions (HEIs) increasingly depends on their ability to align graduate competencies with labor market expectations. Specific Background: This is particularly relevant in regional contexts like Bukhara, Uzbekistan, where institutions must adapt to evolving demands while preserving traditional education values. Knowledge Gap: Despite global emphasis on employability, limited empirical research has analyzed how specific competencies influence HEI competitiveness in transitional economies. Aims: This study investigates the impact of five key graduate competencies—communication, creativity, self-competence, IT competence, and social competence—on employer evaluations to inform strategic competitiveness management. Results: Using data from 363 employers and regression analysis, the findings reveal that communication and creativity are the most significant predictors, explaining 47.9% of the variance in employer ratings. Institution-specific models further highlight varied strengths across five HEIs. Novelty: The study provides a competency-based, data-driven framework for HEI competitiveness management that differentiates institutional profiles rather than applying uniform standards. Implications: These insights offer HEI leaders targeted guidance for curriculum development and strategic planning, demonstrating how employer feedback can serve as a powerful tool for institutional enhancement and labor market alignment.Highlight :
Communication and creativity are the strongest predictors of graduate employability.
Each university exhibits unique competency strengths, requiring tailored improvement strategies.
Competency-based employer evaluations support evidence-driven competitiveness management.
Keywords : Higher Education, Graduate Competencies, Institutional Competitiveness, Employer Evaluation, Regression Analysi
The Role of Digital Da'wah in Alpha Generation Character Education: Peran Dakwah Digital Dalam Pendidikan Karakter Generasi Alpha
No full textGeneral Background: The rapid advancement of digital technology has transformed communication, education, and religious outreach, particularly affecting younger generations immersed in digital platforms. Specific Background: Generation Alpha, born into a fully digital environment, demonstrates unique behavioral and learning patterns that differ significantly from previous cohorts, requiring new approaches in moral and character education. Knowledge Gap: While many studies have explored digital literacy and character education for Generation Z, few have specifically addressed the Alpha generation in relation to digital da'wah as a medium for Islamic character development. Aim: This study investigates the role of digital da'wah in shaping the character of Generation Alpha through content on platforms like TikTok and YouTube. Results: Findings reveal that digital da'wah significantly contributes to internalizing Islamic values such as faith, discipline, and social responsibility among Generation Alpha, using appealing and contextualized multimedia content. Novelty: This research uniquely integrates Islamic educational values with digital communication strategies tailored to Generation Alpha, highlighting the synergy between moral instruction and modern technology. Implications: The study emphasizes the importance of creative digital strategies in religious education and calls for collaborative roles from educators, parents, and digital content creators to foster holistic character formation in the digital era.Highlight :
Digital da’wah effectively integrates Islamic values into the character education of Generation Alpha.
Social media platforms like TikTok and YouTube serve as strategic tools for moral learning.
Parental and educator involvement is essential for guiding ethical digital engagement.
Keywords : Digital Da'wah, Alpha Generation, Character Education, Islamic Values, Technology
 
Strategic Foresight Scenarios for Tourism Development in Uzbekistan
No full textGeneral Background: Tourism is increasingly recognized as a strategic sector within Uzbekistan’s national economy, demonstrating robust growth and rising contributions to GDP in recent years. Specific Background: Despite impressive gains, the sector remains vulnerable to global disruptions, such as pandemics, highlighting the need for adaptive and forward-looking strategies. Knowledge Gap: While foresight technologies are gaining traction globally in tourism planning, their application in Uzbekistan remains underexplored and institutionally undeveloped. Aims: This study investigates the role of foresight methodologies—scenario analysis, horizon scanning, and long-term forecasting—in shaping strategic tourism development in Uzbekistan and proposes a structured framework for their implementation. Results: Empirical analysis revealed a strong correlation (r ≈ 0.99) between tourist inflows and export revenues, and scenario modeling projected 2030 arrivals ranging from 10 to 14 million tourists depending on external and policy factors. Novelty: The study presents the first integrated application of foresight tools in Uzbekistan’s tourism context, including custom growth scenarios and institutional foresight recommendations. Implications: Embedding foresight into national tourism planning will enhance Uzbekistan’s resilience to global shocks, align sectoral strategies with market trends, and strengthen its position as a leading destination in Central Asia.Highlight :
Foresight tools such as scenario planning and forecasting are crucial for anticipating and shaping the future of Uzbekistan's tourism sector.
Tourism recovery post-COVID has shown strong momentum, with projections aiming at 10–14 million tourists by 2030.
Strategic integration of foresight into policy can enhance resilience, competitiveness, and sustainability in national tourism development.
Keywords : Foresight, Strategic Planning, Tourism Development, Uzbekistan, Scenario Analysi
Chlorhexidine Mouthwash Use and Blood Glucose Trends by Age and Gender: Penggunaan Obat Kumur Klorheksidin dan Tren Glukosa Darah Berdasarkan Usia dan Jenis Kelamin
No full textGeneral Background: Oral health is intricately associated with systemic health, particularly in the aging population where chronic conditions such as diabetes are prevalent. Specific Background: Chlorhexidine 0.2% mouthwash is widely used to reduce oral microbial load, potentially influencing systemic inflammation and metabolic markers. Knowledge Gap: However, the systemic impact of routine chlorhexidine use, especially on glycemic regulation in older adults, remains insufficiently explored. Aims: This cross-sectional study aimed to evaluate the association between the use of 0.2% chlorhexidine mouthwash and random blood glucose (RBG) levels, while considering age and gender influences. Results: Among 90 respondents, predominantly aged ≥40 years (82%), 34% reported regular chlorhexidine use. Users showed a lower mean RBG (120 mg/dL) compared to non-users (128 mg/dL), though the difference was not statistically significant (p > 0.05). Gender-based analysis also revealed no significant differences. Novelty: This study contributes novel insight by highlighting a possible, albeit non-significant, trend toward improved glycemic status in chlorhexidine users. Implications: While not conclusive, these findings suggest that consistent oral hygiene via chlorhexidine may support systemic health maintenance in older adults, reinforcing the need for longitudinal studies on its metabolic effects.
Highlights:
Highlights a potential link between oral hygiene and blood glucose control.
Shows lower average glucose in chlorhexidine users, though not significant.
Supports further research on systemic benefits of mouthwash use in elderly.
Keywords: Chlorhexidine 0.2%, Blood Glucose, Oral Health, Aging Population, Cross-Sectional Stud
Digital Integration and Legal Innovation in Qashqadaryo Folk Crafts: Integrasi Digital dan Inovasi Hukum dalam Kerajinan Rakyat Qashqadaryo
No full textGeneral Background: Folk crafts are a vital component of Uzbekistan’s national heritage and an important sector for regional socio-economic development. Specific Background: In the Qashqadaryo region, there is a growing movement to integrate traditional handicrafts with modern digital technologies and intellectual property (IP) frameworks. Knowledge Gap: However, few studies have examined how digital tools like 3D modeling and IoT are being practically applied in crafts, and how artisans interact with patenting systems. Aims: This study investigates the synergetic modernization of folk crafts through digitalization and IP protection to enhance production efficiency, design innovation, and market competitiveness. Results: Field data, trend modeling, and correlation analysis reveal systemic barriers such as low digital literacy, limited IP awareness, and insufficient infrastructure. Nevertheless, emerging initiatives—such as regional innovation hubs and blockchain-based IP systems—demonstrate growing institutional support. Novelty: The paper introduces a holistic “synergistic approach” combining digital design, smart production, and legal safeguards, tailored to the cultural and economic context of Uzbek artisans. Implications: Findings support the creation of targeted policies and educational programs, positioning folk crafts within the digital economy and ensuring their sustainable, legally protected development in global markets.Highlight :
Digital Integration: Introducing 3D modeling and IoT boosts production efficiency and design quality in traditional crafts.
Legal Protection: Patenting crafts as intellectual property strengthens ownership and market competitiveness.
Regional Empowerment: Innovation hubs and artisan training improve skills, preserve heritage, and drive local economies.
Keywords : Folk Crafts, Digital Technology, Intellectual Property, Patenting, Innovation
 
Prediction of Kidney Failure and Cancer Insurance Claims with Bayesian MCMC: Prediksi Klaim Asuransi Gagal Ginjal dan Kanker dengan Bayesian MCMC
No full textGeneral Background: Health insurance plays a crucial role in mitigating the financial risks of catastrophic illnesses. Specific Background: In Indonesia, chronic kidney disease (CKD) and cancer contribute significantly to the burden of BPJS Health claims, with rising costs reported in recent years. Knowledge Gap: Existing claim estimation models often fail to capture the uncertainty and variability inherent in real-world data. Aims: This study aims to develop a Bayesian model with a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach to accurately estimate insurance claims for CKD and cancer. Results: Using 2021–2024 data from RSUP Dr. Soeradji Tirtonegoro Klaten, the model successfully estimated outpatient CKD claims at 1649.29 (SD = 19.82) and outpatient cancer claims at 147.68 (SD = 10.18). All model diagnostics indicate strong convergence and accuracy (R-hat = 1.0, ESS > 5000). Novelty: This research applies MCMC-based Bayesian inference with various prior settings (informative to non-informative) and demonstrates robust posterior prediction under different assumptions. Implications: The model provides a credible framework for insurance risk management, improving claim prediction and fiscal planning for health providers and insurers, particularly in managing high-cost diseases within the national health system.Highlight :
The Bayesian MCMC model produced accurate and stable estimates of kidney failure and cancer claims (R-hat = 1.0, ESS > 5000).
Sensitivity analysis showed the results remained stable despite different priors, indicating a robust model.
The best prediction in outpatient CKD (MAPE 5.15%), but less accurate in outpatient cancer (MAPE 50.26%).
Keywords : Bayes, Claims, MCMC, PyMC, Pytho
Sharia-Based Evaluation of Village Fund Allocation for Infrastructure Development
No full text
General Background: Effective village fund management is vital for advancing rural development, especially through infrastructure enhancement that directly supports community welfare. Specific Background: Karangmulyo village exemplifies the central role of village governance in allocating and utilizing these funds to deliver essential infrastructure. Knowledge Gap: Despite significant fund allocations, comprehensive assessments of fund effectiveness and alignment with Islamic economic principles remain limited. Aim: This study aims to evaluate the effectiveness of village fund utilization for infrastructure development in Karangmulyo village and to analyze it from an Islamic economic perspective. Results: The findings reveal that 81% of the village fund was effectively utilized in infrastructure development, aligning with standards set by the Minister of Home Affairs Decree No. 690.900.327/1996. Communication among stakeholders and adherence to procedures were satisfactory, despite constraints such as limited human resources and budget.Novelty: This research uniquely integrates conventional performance metrics with Islamic economic principles—mutual assistance (ta’awun), benefit (maslahah), and justice (‘adl)—to assess infrastructure governance. Implications: The study contributes to policy discourse on optimizing village fund use, emphasizing both administrative accountability and Sharia compliance as foundations for sustainable rural development.
Highlights:
Measures fund effectiveness using government benchmarks.
Highlights barriers like limited resources and budget.
Integrates Islamic economic values in development assessment.
Keywords: Village Fund Management, Infrastructure Development, Islamic Economics, Rural Welfare, Sharia Compliance
 
Essential Basic Structural Components in the Educational Process of a Medical University: Komponen Struktural Dasar yang Penting dalam Proses Pendidikan di Universitas Kedokteran
No full textGeneral Background: The evolving demands of global healthcare systems require medical education to shift from traditional theoretical instruction to innovative, competency-based learning. Specific Background: In Uzbekistan, this transformation is aligned with national reforms emphasizing the development of independently thinking medical professionals. Knowledge Gap: While creativity is acknowledged as vital in medical training, there remains a lack of comprehensive models explaining how integrative-creative thinking is systematically embedded within pedagogical structures, especially in post-Soviet contexts. Aims: This study aims to identify the essential structural components of integrative-creative pedagogy in Uzbekistan’s medical universities, using Bukhara State Medical Institute as a case. Results: The findings reveal a procedural model integrating motivational-personal engagement, intuitive insight, imaginative reasoning, and clinical improvisation, contributing to creative-professional identity formation. Novelty: The research proposes a contextualized framework where creativity is continuous, emerging from structured educational-cognitive practices, rather than episodic. Implications: These insights offer practical guidance for curriculum designers and educators aiming to foster adaptive, innovative clinicians, and inform global conversations on pedagogical transformation in medical education.Highlight :
Identifies creative thinking as a structural necessity in medical training.
Emphasizes the role of student-led inquiry and clinical simulations in fostering professional identity.
Proposes a localized pedagogical model suitable for medical education reform in Uzbekistan.
Keywords : Creative Thinking, Integrative Learning, Medical Education, Pedagogical Innovation, Clinical
 
The Millennial Fathers' Role in Parenting between Tradition and Equality: Peran Ayah Milenial dalam Pengasuhan antara Tradisi dan Kesetaraan
No full textGeneral Background: Traditional patriarchal norms in Indonesian society have long dictated gendered parenting roles, positioning fathers primarily as providers. Specific Background: However, since the early 2000s, digitalization, shifting family structures, and national gender equality discourse have catalyzed changes in paternal involvement. Knowledge Gap: Despite increasing awareness, few studies comprehensively explore how Indonesian millennial fathers reconcile traditional masculinity with modern parenting expectations in diverse cultural contexts. Aims: This study investigates the evolving parenting roles of millennial fathers amid the cultural tension between traditional norms and contemporary gender equality values. Results: Findings indicate a significant increase in fathers’ emotional and physical engagement in child-rearing, though role strain persists due to lingering patriarchal pressures and inadequate policy support. Novelty: This study offers a nuanced synthesis by integrating sociological and psychological perspectives, mapping out identity negotiations, and examining structural and cultural enablers and barriers for millennial fathers. Implications: The research highlights the necessity for structural reforms and inclusive policy frameworks that support father involvement as a norm, thereby advancing equitable family dynamics and child well-being within Indonesia’s shifting sociocultural landscape.Highlight :
Millennial fathers in Indonesia are increasingly involved in emotional and daily caregiving, negotiating between traditional masculinity and modern egalitarian ideals.
Role strain often emerges due to conflicting expectations between cultural norms and evolving gender roles.
Social media and national policies play a vital role in supporting and reshaping paternal engagement in childcare.
Keywords : Millennial Fathers, Parenting Roles, Gender Equality, Patriarchal Culture, Role Strain