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    POWER OF PERSUASION

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    Sir Louis Blom-Cooper has had a distinguished career as QC, Chairman of Inquiries, advocate of Human Rights and campaigning author. This book is a collection of essays on topical and controversial issues. As one would expect of the author, he constantly expresses individual views and challenges orthodox opinion. The essays cover such diverse subjects as judicial review, Human Rights, the need for a new Homicide Act, trial by jury, criminal sentencing and penal policy, media freedom and regulation of the Press and include a number of diverting tales from his life at the Bar and pen-portraits of leading judges. It is only possible within the scope of this review to comment on some of the essays

    EDITORIAL INTRODUCTION

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    I am delighted to announce the publication of our Magna Carta 2015 Special Edition of the Denning Law Journal. Each of our contributors has explored the impact the foundation stone of Magna Carta has had on the development of human rights principles cast in pillars of eternity and owing in no small part to the Magna Carta and the movement for reform. Magna Carta has etched its legacy into the contemporary living instruments of our law as indeed has the judgments of our patron Lord Denning himself

    Caesars and Misopogon: A linguistic approach of Flavius Claudius Julianus’ political satires

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    This study examines the linguistic practice of two political satires(Misopogon or Beard - Hater and Caesars) written by Flavius Claudius Julianthe Emperor. Its purpose is to describe the way that Julian organizes the coherence and intertextuality of his texts and to draw conclusions about the text, the context of the satires and Julian’s political character.

    Higher –Order Questioning in SL classrooms –a study

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    AbstractHigher order questioning (HOQ) benefits first language and second language learners in various ways.  Various studies prove that asking students higher order questions open many learning avenues.  Higher-order questioning (HOQ) influences the question types like test scores, amounts of language production for understanding the language abilities of students etc.,   This study examined:The HOQ patterns of a  college teacherThe teacher’s  foundation for this patternLearners perceptions of answering  HOQ The study comprised nearly 400 questions, teachers and students’ interviews.  Students’ survey showed that HOQ may be effective by general theories of learning than by perceptions of learners’ abilities.Keywords: Higher-order questioning, perceptions, practic

    WHO PLAYS THE LOTTERY? FINDINGS FROM NEW JERSEY LOTTERY SALES

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    Despite the very unfavorable odds and low payout ratios, many people play lottery games all over the world, and the number of participants is growing.  While surveys and empirical tests have been performed to characterize the demographics of lottery players, there is still no consensus on who they are.  The present study aims to provide an in-depth and clearer profile of said participants.  The analysis is based on New Jersey lottery sales from 2001 to 2010.  Our findings indicate that the typical lottery consumer in the state of NJ would be (1) male or female with a greater participation by females, (2) in his/her 20s to late-30s, or senior citizens in their 70s, (3) a minority, (4) a high school graduate with no further educational degree, (5) from a below-average income family, (6) and a home renter instead of a home owner.  As for lottery game preferences, African-Americans and Hispanics have a strong preference for both the Instant Match and Mega Millions.  Lastly, it appears that the economic climate has little effect on the socio-demographic factors influencing lottery purchasing behavior

    RESTRICTING ACCESS: SELF-EXCLUSION AS A GAMBLING HARM MINIMISATION MEASURE IN GREAT BRITAIN

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    The purpose of this review was to examine the academic literature regarding self-exclusion as a form of harm minimisation in gambling and consider views from gambling operators and treatment providers. The extant literature was limited in that most studies were completed more than five ago; related specifically to a particular product or jurisdiction; relied on weak research designs and drew from self-selected samples. There were however some consistent findings indicating that in order to improve effectiveness, self-exclusion protocols should be: actively yet strategically promoted; quick and simple to implement; administered by attentive, well-trained staff; attracting sufficient investment in resources and technology to improve enforcement; and comprehensive rather than isolated in coverage (where feasible). Programmes should also be subject to robust evaluation and regulatory expectations should be detailed and specific rather than open to interpretation and general. Further scoping of the feasibility of multi-operator self-exclusion schemes (MOSES) was identified as a priority for future work

    Forecasting the decisions of the US Supreme Court: lessons from the ‘affordable care act’ judgment

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    This paper examines the 2012 US Supreme Court consideration of the Affordable Care Act, and the resulting judgment, with a view to learning what lessons this landmark case can afford us into the way in which the US Supreme Court works, so helping us forecast its decisions. Although this is simply one judgment among many, a case is advanced here that the details of the way that the judgment was made can be used to help arbitrate between conflicting interpretations in the literature as to the way that the US Supreme Court reaches its decisions. It is argued that consideration of this case does provide particular insights which might usefully improve forecasts of future Supreme Court decisions

    Informed Traders and Balanced Books

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    We explore sports gambler and bookmaker behavior by examining the pregame price movements of sports contracts listed on the Tradesports betting exchange.  The vast majority of prior gambling studies that examine the price efficiency of bookmaker-style betting markets and the associated informational processing ability of bettors rely on the balanced book assumption.  But, on Tradesports, bet prices are directly observable and therefore we are not required to assume that the point spreads set by bookmakers are a reliable proxy for the market’s dollar-weighted vote on contest outcome.  We find that pregame NBA and NFL contract price movements are reliable predictors of future contract values.  The magnitude of these movements is sufficient to remove the possibility of profit-taking by tipoff/kickoff.  Results are consistent with the notion that in bookmaker-style NBA betting markets there exist informed traders and that lines are set at levels that balance wagers on either side of the bet.  However, NFL bookmakers may allow (or perhaps encourage) imbalanced wagering in order to exploit relatively unskilled NFL bettors

    Managing Risk Using Prediction Markets

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    Prediction markets have emerged fairly recently as a promising forecasting mechanism to handle efficiently the dynamic aggregation of dispersed information among various agents. The interest that this mechanism attracts seems to be increasing at a steady rate, in terms of both business interest and academic work. Applications of predictive markets span the areas of political predictions, sports prediction, Governance to name a few. This paper makes a bold attempt to explore the use of predictive markets for effective risk management process in projects to derive certainty in projects. The key components of prediction markets i.e. the specification of contracts traded in a prediction market, the trading mechanism and finally the incentives provided to ensure information revelation will then be presented. Innovative concept of fusing Predictive Markets for Risk Management will then be outlined. How the probability of Risk Occurrence can be predicted with a greater degree of certainty using the predictive markets and aggregation of wisdom of project stakeholders will be described. Further areas to be explored such as a framework for deployment of Predictive markets in a project context, guidelines for use are then presented. We close with conclusions and area for further investigation. Case Studies complement the paper and the model proposed

    Liquidity Provision and Cross Arbitrage in Continuous Double-Auction Prediction Markets

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    Continuous double-auction prediction markets often exhibit low transaction volume due to substantial bid-ask spreads. This paper explores a novel method of providing artificial liquidity in continuous double-auction prediction markets by introducing an automated market maker that engages in zero-profit cross-arbitrage in multi-contract markets. Empirical analysis of observed bid-ask spreads, liquidity, offer acceptance, and order sizes in the 2008 UBC Election Stock Market provides additional new insights into the micro-structure of prediction markets.

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