The Christie School of Oncology: Christie Research Publications Repository
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Is this test fit-for-purpose? Principles and a checklist for evaluating the clinical performance of a test in the new era of in vitro diagnostic (IVD) regulation
Recent changes in the regulatory assessment of in vitro medical tests reflect a growing recognition of the need for more stringent clinical evidence requirements to protect patient safety and health. Under current regulations in the United States and Europe, when needed for regulatory approval, clinical performance reports must provide clinical evidence tailored to the intended purpose of the test and allow assessment of whether the test will achieve the intended clinical benefit. The quality of evidence must be proportionate to the risk for the patient and/or public health. These requirements now cover both commercial and laboratory developed tests (LDT) and demand a sound understanding of the fundamentals of clinical performance measures and study design to develop and appraise the study plan and interpret the study results. However, there is a lack of harmonized guidance for the laboratory profession, industry, regulatory agencies and notified bodies on how the clinical performance of tests should be measured. The Working Group on Test Evaluation (WG-TE) of the European Federation of Clinical Chemistry and Laboratory Medicine (EFLM) is a multidisciplinary group of laboratory professionals, clinical epidemiologists, health technology assessment experts, and representatives of the in vitro diagnostic (IVD) industry. This guidance paper aims to promote a shared understanding of the principles of clinical performance measures and study design. Measures of classification performance, also referred to as discrimination, such as sensitivity and specificity are firmly established as the primary measures for evaluating the clinical performance for screening and diagnostic tests. We explain these measures are just as relevant for other purposes of testing. We outline the importance of defining the most clinically meaningful classification of disease so the clinical benefits of testing can be explicitly inferred for those correctly classified, and harm for those incorrectly classified. We introduce the key principles and a checklist for formulating the research objective and study design to estimate clinical performance: (1) the purpose of a test e.g. diagnosis, screening, risk stratification, prognosis, prediction of treatment benefit, and corresponding research objective for assessing clinical performance; (2) the target condition for clinically meaningful classification; (3) clinical performance measures to assess whether the test is fit-for-purpose; and (4) study design types. Laboratory professionals, industry, and researchers can use this checklist to help identify relevant published studies and primary datasets, and to liaise with clinicians and methodologists when developing a study plan for evaluating clinical performance, where needed, to apply for regulatory approval
Transfusion independence, hematological improvement and associated safety outcomes with bexmarilimab and azacitidine in HR-MDS: Results of the bexmab Phase 1/2 study
ESMO-ESTRO consensus statements on the safety of combining radiotherapy with immune checkpoint inhibitors, VEGF(R) inhibitors, or multitargeted tyrosine kinase inhibitors
BACKGROUND: The combination of radiotherapy (RT) with targeted agents or immunotherapy may result in improved outcomes, but it can also increase toxicity. However, there is a paucity of high-quality toxicity data, leading to an absence of evidence-based guidelines. DESIGN: To address this, ESMO and ESTRO initiated a series of systematic reviews followed by a Delphi consensus process to develop multidisciplinary, evidence-based consensus statements regarding the safety of combining RT with such agents. The current publication describes the combination of RT with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), vascular endothelial growth factor (receptor) (VEGF(R)) inhibitors, or multitargeted tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs). By systematically covering different drug classes and irradiated areas, 76 clinical scenarios were evaluated during two Delphi rounds with 20 international experts. Safety statements were developed for each scenario, based on the systematic literature reviews. RESULTS: A total of 5,921 records were screened during the systematic literature review process for ICIs, VEGF(R) inhibitors and multitargeted TKIs, and 159 reports were selected for inclusion in the final literature reviews and the database. During the two Delphi rounds, agreement was reached regarding the safety statements for 74 clinical scenarios. CONCLUSIONS: Generally, the expected toxicity of combining RT with ICIs is low, particularly for PD-(L)1 inhibitors. For most combinations with VEGF(R) inhibitors and multitargeted TKIs, exercising caution is recommended. The evidence-based safety statements developed during this comprehensive project, provide practical guidance on combining RT with targeted cancer therapies and immunotherapy
An Individualized Prediction Model for Early-Stage Classic Hodgkin's Lymphoma
BACKGROUND: A predictive model for early-stage classic Hodgkin's lymphoma (cHL) does not exist. Leveraging patient-level data from large clinical trials and registries, we developed and validated a model that we term the Early-Stage cHL International Prognostication Index (E-HIPI) to predict 2-year progression-free survival (PFS). METHODS: We developed the model using the Transparent Reporting of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) guidelines in 3000 adults with newly diagnosed early-stage cHL from four international phase III clinical trials conducted from 1994 to 2011. External validation was performed in two cohorts, totaling 2360 treated patients from five international cHL registries (1996 to 2019). Two-year PFS was estimated using a Cox model with pretreatment variables selected using backward elimination. Internal validation corrected for overfitting. External validation assessed discrimination and calibration. The final model was also compared against European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) favorable or unfavorable status. RESULTS: The median age in the development cohort was 31.2 years; 77.4% had stage II disease. The estimated 2-year PFS was 93.7%. Final variables retained in the model were sex and continuous values of maximum tumor diameter (MTD), and levels of hemoglobin and albumin. The optimism-corrected C statistic in the development cohort was 0.63 (95% confidence interval, 0.60 to 0.69). Two-year PFS was lower in the validation cohorts 1 (90.3%) and 2 (91.6%). In validation cohort 1, the C statistic was 0.63 and the calibration slope was near 1, but overall calibration indicated underprediction, which improved on updating the intercept. The performance was similar in validation cohort 2. In addition, higher-risk E-HIPI scores were associated with worse outcomes in both the EORTC unfavorable and favorable subgroups. When included altogether in one Cox model, the E-HIPI was associated with PFS, whereas EORTC favorable or unfavorable status was not. Online risk calculators were developed (https://rtools.mayo.edu/holistic_ehipi/). CONCLUSIONS: Utilizing objective, continuous, and readily available variables, we developed and validated a new prediction model for early-stage cHL. Male sex, lower hemoglobin or albumin levels, and higher MTDs were associated with worse PFS. (Funded by the National Cancer Institute; grant number, NCI R01 CA 262265-04.)
Associating serum testosterone levels with African ancestral prostate cancer health disparities
Serum testosterone levels decrease in the aging male, while the risk for prostate cancer (PCa) increases concomitantly. Higher levels in younger men have been linked with racially driven PCa disparities, with African men disproportionately impacted. In turn, higher levels of serum lipids have been associated with aggressive disease, while racial disparity between serum testosterone, cholesterol and cancer mortality has been suggested. Having previously reported a 2.1-fold increased age-adjusted risk for aggressive PCa in Black South African over Black American men, we determined the serum testosterone and associated lipid levels in 250 Black South African men either with or without clinicopathologically diagnosed disease. Observing no associations with serum lipid levels, Black South Africans presented with testosterone levels between 1.24 (< 60 years) and 1.3-fold (≥ 60 years) greater than Black Americans. Notably, a rapid drop in total-, bioavailable- and free testosterone levels in men 65 years or older was significantly associated with PCa risk (P = 0.0057, 0.009 and 0.005, respectively), while irrespective of age, further associated with advanced disease (P = 0.004, 0.0012 and 0.0036, respectively). These preliminary data provide insights into the potential role of androgens in driving PCa health disparities, with important consequence for tailoring treatment for Black men
The hypoxic ECM and neutrophils in MIBC immunotherapy resistance
Immune-checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) targeting programmed cell death 1 (PD1) and programmed cell death 1 ligand 1 (PDL1) have improved survival for patients with different types of solid tumour. However, clinical response in patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) is limited, with only 20-30% demonstrating a sustained response. An improved understanding of ICI mechanisms and robust biomarkers will increase efficacy and enable patient stratification in MIBC. Hypoxia (low oxygen tension) and neutrophil infiltration are prevalent in MIBC and are associated with immunotherapy resistance. Hypoxia-associated extracellular matrix (ECM) remodelling can induce pro-tumour or anti-tumour neutrophil polarization through biomechanical and biochemical signalling. Hypoxia-associated ECM mechanisms alter neutrophil recruitment, polarization, activation and affect T cell-centric immunotherapies. However, the specific mechanisms by which hypoxia, ECM and neutrophils confer immunotherapy resistance in MIBC are not yet fully understood. ICI resistance could be overcome by targeting specific ECM remodelling-related and neutrophil-related pathways to elicit durable and efficacious responses in 70-80% of patients with MIBC who are currently non-responsive to ICIs
Barriers and facilitators of deceased organ donation among Pakistanis living globally: a systematic review
Objective To identify the barriers and facilitators towards deceased organ donation among Pakistanis living globally.Design Systematic review using narrative synthesis.Data sources CINAHL, Medline with Full Text, Global Health and PsycINFO via EBSCO; Scopus via Elsevier; Web of Science via Clarivate; and PubMed through the US National Library of Medicine and the National Institutes of Health were searched between 1 January 1995 and 31 July 2024 and limited to English.Eligibility criteria We included qualitative and cross-sectional studies involving Pakistani participants aged 18 years and above, conducted both within Pakistan and internationally across settings such as universities, religious venues, hospitals and workplaces.Data extraction and synthesis Four independent reviewers were involved in screening, quality assessment and data extraction. A narrative synthesis method was employed to synthesise and integrate the data from qualitative and cross-sectional studies. The Joanna Briggs Institute tool was used to assess the quality of the included studies.Results Out of 11 944 studies retrieved, 26 studies were included in the current review. Based on the narrative synthesis, the findings are presented under the following five themes: (1) knowledge of deceased organ donation, (2) willingness towards deceased organ donation, (3) collective decision-making overriding individual's preferences, (4) religious uncertainty and its impact on deceased organ donation and (5) trust and the healthcare systems.Conclusion This review shows that decisions about deceased organ donation are shaped by family dynamics, religious beliefs and trust in healthcare. More diverse research is needed to uncover new gaps and improve donor registration and consent rates in Pakistan. A whole-systems approach, considering families, religion and trust, is essential for effective strategies.PROSPERO registration number CRD42022346343
A Polygenic Risk Score for Late Bladder Toxicity Following Radiotherapy for Non-Metastatic Prostate Cancer
BACKGROUND: Late bladder toxicity is a concern for patients receiving prostate cancer radiotherapy and negatively affects survivors. Few risk factors are known beyond the radiation dose and volume of bladder exposed. A polygenic risk score (PRS) could identify susceptible patients. METHODS: A PRS was built using genome-wide association results from the Radiogenomics Consortium (N = 3,988) and then tested in the prospective REQUITE and URWCI studies (N = 2,034). The primary outcome was time to patient-reported gross [grade ≥2, (≥G2)] hematuria, analyzed using Cox proportional hazards regression. Secondary outcomes were ≥G2 urinary retention and frequency. The PRS was externally validated for clinically diagnosed irradiation cystitis in the UK Biobank (N = 8,430). A gene-burden test evaluated rare coding variants. RESULTS: A 115-variant PRS was associated with a significantly increased risk of ≥G2 hematuria [hazard ratio (HR) per SD = 1.22; P = 0.009] as well as urinary retention (HR per SD = 1.18; P = 0.016) and frequency (HR per SD = 1.14; P = 0.036). When binarized, men in the upper decile (PRShigh) had a >2-fold increased risk of hematuria after adjusting for clinical risk factors [HR = 2.12; P = 0.002; Harrel's concordance index = 0.71 (95% confidence interval, 0.65-0.76)]. A similar effect size was seen in the UK Biobank for clinically diagnosed irradiation cystitis [odds ratio (OR) = 2.15; P = 0.026]. The burden test identified BOD1L1 as a putative novel radiosensitivity gene. CONCLUSIONS: This PRS identifies susceptible patients and could guide the selection of those needing reoptimized treatment plans that spare the bladder beyond currently recommended constraints. IMPACT: PRS-guided treatment planning in radiation oncology could lower the incidence of clinically relevant bladder toxicity and reduce the impact of this outcome on prostate cancer survivors
The roles of KRAS in cancer metabolism, tumor microenvironment and clinical therapy
KRAS is one of the most mutated genes, driving alternations in metabolic pathways that include enhanced nutrient uptaking, increased glycolysis, elevated glutaminolysis, and heightened synthesis of fatty acids and nucleotides. However, the beyond mechanisms of KRAS-modulated cancer metabolisms remain incompletely understood. In this review, we aim to summarize current knowledge on KRAS-related metabolic alterations in cancer cells and explore the prevalence and significance of KRAS mutation in shaping the tumor microenvironment and influencing epigenetic modification via various molecular activities. Given that cancer cells rely on these metabolic changes to sustain cell growth and survival, targeting these processes may represent a promising therapeutic strategy for KRAS-driven cancers