NUPI Research Online (Norwegian Institute of International Affairs)
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Negotiating Brexit: what do the UK’s negotiating partners want?
Get PDF‘Negotiating Brexit: national governments, EU institutions and the UK’ brings together specialists from across Europe to monitor approaches to the negotiations and the internal politics of Brexit. It is funded by the Economic and Social Research Council, associated with ‘The UK in a Changing Europe’ programme, and based at the University of East Anglia. It is committed to high quality, independent research. (www.uea.ac.uk/political-social-international-studies/research/negotiating-brexit)Negotiating Brexit: what do the UK’s negotiating partners want? Amidst the intense political debate and coverage in the UK, it sometimes seems to be forgotten that the outcome of the current negotiations will not be decided in London. The UK’s negotiating partners – the other 27 member states, as well as the EU institutions, and perhaps even the members of the European Free Trade Association – will also have a major say. In fact, contrary to political wisdom in some quarters, it may even be that the UK’s negotiating partners hold the upper hand. For that reason, but also because the UK’s departure will have far-reaching consequences for the EU, neighbouring states, and countries across the globe, it is important to know how the UK’s partners are approaching the negotiations. How important is Brexit to them? Did they see it coming? How are they preparing? Do they see the UK’s departure as a matter for regret, an opportunity, or both? And, although the EU has set out principles that will guide its approach, will they hold? How are they viewed from the national capitals of the EU27?publishedVersio
Russia’s turn to Asia: Myanmar seen from Moscow
Get PDFRussia has made increased engagement with Asian countries
a declared priority. This ‘turn to the East’, marked by
the extravagant APEC (Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation)
summit in Vladivostok in 2012, is driven by both internal
considerations (developing Russia’s huge eastern territories)
and external ones (perceived shifts in the global balance of
economic and political power). Since the events of 2014,
with relations with the West deteriorating into confrontation
and sanctions, Russian interest in further developing ties
with Asia has only increased.publishedVersio
The Geopolitics of Renewable Energy
Get PDFFor a century, the geopolitics of energy has been synonymous with the geopolitics of oil and gas. However, geopolitics and the global energy economy are both changing. The international order predominant since the end of World War II faces mounting challenges. At the same time, renewable energy is growing rapidly. Nevertheless, the geopolitics of renewable energy has received relatively little attention, especially when considering the far-reaching consequences of a global shift to renewable energy. The paper starts with a discussion of seven renewable energy scenarios for the coming decades: the IEA’s World Energy Outlook 2016, the EIA’s International Energy Outlook 2016, IRENA’s REmap 2016, Bloomberg’s New Energy Outlook 2016, BP’s Energy Outlook 2016, Exxon-Mobil’s Outlook for Energy 2016 and the joint IEA and IRENA G20 de-carbonization scenario. The paper then discusses seven mechanisms through which renewables could shape geopolitics: Critical materials supply chains, technology and finance, new resource curse, electric grids, reduced oil and gas demand, avoided climate change, and sustainable energy access.The work by Columbia University and NUPI on this working paper was funded by the Norwegian Ministry of Foreign Affairs. The work by the Harvard Kennedy School received support from the Middle East Initiative Kuwait Program. The authors are very grateful for this support.publishedVersio
Market-specific Sunk Export Costs: The Impact of Learning and Spillovers
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Nepal: A Political Economy Analysis. Landanalyserapport
No full textReport commissioned by the Norwegian Ministry of Foreign AffairsReport commissioned by the Norwegian Ministry of Foreign AffairspublishedVersio
Surviving Brexit: twelve lessons from Norway
Get PDFOne year after the referendum, after losing its majority in the general election, the UK government is revising what Foreign Secretary Boris Johnson famously labelled the ‘Cake-and-Eat-It’ approach to Brexit. In this context, it might be worth asking if there is anything the UK can learn from Norway’s quarter of a century experience as a ‘quasimember’ of the European Union.The brief is a part of the project ‘Europe in transition – Small states and Europe in an age of global shifts (EUNOR).publishedVersio
Russia's turn to the East: The Ministry for the Development of the Far East, and the domestic dimension
Get PDFRussia’s recently proclaimed turn toward Asia is fuelled by expectations of reaping benefits from integrating with the fast-growing markets of Northeast Asia. However, such a geoeconomic reorientation requires a viable springboard in the Russian Far East. For all the talk about Asia–Pacific markets, a key component of the Asian pivot is Russia’s own Far Eastern region, an underdeveloped, crisis-ridden backwater that currently constitutes a ‘double periphery’ – in relation to Moscow, and to the Asia–Pacific (Kuhrt 2012).publishedVersio
Mali: A Political Economy Analysis. Landanalyserapport
No full textReport commissioned by the Norwegian Ministry of Foreign AffairsReport commissioned by the Norwegian Ministry of Foreign AffairspublishedVersio
Grasping the everyday and extraordinary in EU–NATO relations: the added value of practice approaches
Get PDFThis article offers an alternative account of how both the everyday and the extraordinary in EU–NATO security cooperation can be identified and analysed by applying practice theory. Despite the “Cyprus issue”, which has left EU–NATO cooperation under Berlin Plus in political stalemate, regular interaction involving civilian and military EU and NATO staff at all levels and various sites has increased over the past decade. The article shows how a practice take is well suited to uncover the practical logic at work in these, predominantly informal EU–NATO encounters; how practices are established, enacted, and also abrupted. Furthermore, it discusses how shared “background conditions” – skills and experience – facilitate practices, learning, and community-building but also competition and rivalry.acceptedVersio