NUPI Research Online (Norwegian Institute of International Affairs)
Not a member yet
1579 research outputs found
Sort by
The End of Multilateralism as we know it? Assessing Current Trends in International Security.
Full text linkD8.1 Working paper on institutional landscape of global security governanceThe weakening of the liberal, rules-based international order poses significant challenges for the EU, which has traditionally supported it. Geopolitical tensions, the rise of emerging powers like China, and the anti-globalist stance of the second Trump administration threaten multilateral institutions. This shift is forcing the EU to reconsider its role, moving from a normative power to a more geopolitical stance. The EU faces dilemmas in navigating these changes, balancing its interests with the increasing fragmentation of global governance, and adapting to the rise of informal, flexible arrangements such as ad hoc coalitions.The End of Multilateralism as we know it? Assessing Current Trends in International Security.This project receives funding from the European Union’s Horizon Europe research and innovation programme under the Call HORIZON-CL2-2021-DEMOCRACY-01 – Grant agreement n°101061621publishedVersio
Poland and Norway in their regional strategic contexts
Full text linkThis working paper examines the role of regional cooperation in shaping Polish and Norwegian foreign and security policy. The focus is on the role of regional cooperation frameworks in this context, including the Weimar Triangle, the Bucharest Nine, Visegrad Four, the Three Seas Initiative, Nordefco, Joint Expeditionary Force, European Intervention Initiative and Framework Nations Concept.Poland and Norway in their regional strategic contextspublishedVersio
Hybrid Frontlines: Russian Threats and the Future of Maritime Infrastructure in the Black Sea and the North Sea
No full textThis study analyzes the risks facing critical maritime infrastructure in two regions essential to European energy security: the Black Sea and the North Sea. The study highlights how the Russian Federation employs hybrid tactics — ranging from sabotage and cyberattacks to influence operations — to advance its geopolitical interests, undermining the stability and security of undersea energy and communication infrastructure. This comparative research examines the responses of Romania and Norway — two NATO member states on the frontlines of this strategic competition — and offers concrete policy recommendations for strengthening the resilience of critical maritime infrastructure. The study is part of the Strategic Initiative for Defending Critical Maritime Infrastructure (SIDMI) project conducted jointly by the New Strategy Center and Norwegian Institute of International Affairs.Hybrid Frontlines: Russian Threats and the Future of Maritime Infrastructure in the Black Sea and the North SeapublishedVersio
Populism, Energy Transition, and International Politics
Full text linkIn recent years, populist political forces both in power and in opposition, have engaged with energy politics in various ways. This chapter discusses how populists influence the international politics of energy. The departure point is a reflection on the specific relationship between populist ideology and international energy politics, and especially the ways in which the key dichotomies of populism play out in this political domain. The chapter first defines populism and its core features, then present energy politics as an unusual and unique area of public policy, highlighting both its domestic and international dimension. It further emphasises the problem of energy transitions as examples of rapid social change, and their role as a fuel for populist contestation, before moving to the two illustrative case studies of the USA under Donald Trump, and of Poland under the Law and Justice party government.Populism, Energy Transition, and International PoliticsacceptedVersio
Explaining changes in women’s representation in peace processes: The adoption of a gender quota in the Agreement Monitoring Committee in Mali
Full text linkDynamics of inclusion and exclusion in peace processes have in recent years received increasing attention in research and among policymakers and practitioners. Much of this attention has focused on inclusion in peace negotiations, whereas inclusion in post-agreement commissions or committee-type institutions has received limited attention despite the key role they play in peacebuilding. This article offers an in-depth exploration and process tracing of the introduction of a gender quota in the Agreement Monitoring Committee in Mali. It argues that changes in women’s representation in post-agreement committees in peace processes become possible when critical actors perform their work in the context of international gender equality norms and women’s mobilization. Based on analysis of documents and interviews with key actors involved in the peace process, it finds that critical actors use political accumulation, collaboration with women’s activists, and altering of the institutional environment to effect gender-based policy changes in peace processes.Explaining changes in women’s representation in peace processes: The adoption of a gender quota in the Agreement Monitoring Committee in MalipublishedVersionacceptedVersio
Regional Organization, Global Governance and the EU
Full text linkD2.3. Regional organizations, global governance, and the EUsThis project receives funding from the European Union’s Horizon Europe research and innovation programme under the Call HORIZON-CL2-2021-DEMOCRACY-01 – Grant agreement n°101061621publishedVersio
Norway and Poland as members of transatlantic and European security community. Opportunities and challenges (2024).
Full text linkThis NorPolFactor report takes a closer look at the role of Norway and Poland in transatlantic and European security communities. As Europe redefines its security architecture amid shifting global dynamics, Poland and Norway face a dual imperative: reinforcing their role in the transatlantic alliance while adapting to the EU’s growing defense ambitions. Their paths diverge institutionally but converge strategically in facing shared threats and navigating uncertain transatlantic commitments. Both countries anchor their security outlooks in NATO, historically seen as the cornerstone of collective defense. For Norway, a founding member since 1949, NATO has always been the primary framework due to its proximity to Russia and traditional skepticism toward EU supranationalism. Poland, though joining later, regards NATO as a vital deterrent and symbol of its return to the Western democratic fold. Yet, both recognize that hard security cannot be fully ensured without stronger European capabilities—particularly as doubts grow over the U.S. commitment to Article 5, exacerbated by Donald Trump’s return to the presidency. The EU, long seen as an economic actor, is increasingly asserting itself in security and defense. While it lacks NATO’s military reach, the EU has become a relevant player through initiatives like the European Security Union and the Common Security and Defence Policy (CSDP). It is not merely about tanks and troops—it’s about cybersecurity, disinformation, border resilience, and strategic industries. Poland, especially during its 2025 EU presidency, pushed for greater coherence between NATO and EU tools, framing security in a broader sense that also includes economic and technological dimensions. A key insight from the report is the asymmetry in institutional participation. Poland is deeply embedded in both NATO and the EU, and actively promotes stronger integration and autonomy. Norway, although outside the EU, has to navigate an increasingly complex balancing act: remain closely aligned with EU strategies without formal decision-making power. This underscores a growing divergence in how member and non-member states adapt to the EU’s evolving security ambitions, and highlights the necessity of flexible formats for cooperation, including bilateral partnerships and NATO-EU bridges. Equally notable is the shared anxiety regarding future U.S. engagement in Europe. The perceived unpredictability of U.S. foreign policy pushes both Warsaw and Oslo to consider scenarios where Europe must act more independently. While some EU member states still see “strategic autonomy” as either unrealistic or undesirable, Poland and Norway, albeit from different perspectives, acknowledge the urgent need to reduce vulnerability to American political shifts. Yet, they differ in tone: Poland advocates for a Europe strong in its own right but anchored in U.S. partnership; Norway tends to hedge more cautiously, prioritizing alliance unity while avoiding overt reliance on EU structures. Ultimately, the report suggests that the traditional binaries (EU vs NATO, transatlantic vs European) are increasingly obsolete. The current moment requires hybrid thinking and dual-track engagement. Norway and Poland, while institutionally distinct, both serve as critical nodes in Europe’s collective security effort. Their cooperation, both bilaterally and through regional formats, will be instrumental in adapting Europe’s security community to the 21st century’s layered threats. In an era of strategic uncertainty, coordination, not just commitment, will be the true test of resilience.Norway and Poland as members of transatlantic and European security community. Opportunities and challenges (2024).publishedVersio
Tåler Russland å krige til Putin når sine mål?
Full text linkDenne korte teksten drøfter forskjellige typer faktorer som kan påvirke Russland evne til å fortsette krigen i Ukraina. Fokuset er på opinionen i Russland og økonomiske begrensninger som kan påvirke regimets beslutning om å fortsette eller stoppe krigen.Tåler Russland å krige til Putin når sine mål?publishedVersio
