1,720,953 research outputs found

    Analysis and Prediction of Disruptions in Metro Networks

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    Public transport disruptions can result in major impacts for passengers and operator. Our study objective is to predict disruption exposure at different stations, incorporating their location-specific characteristics. Based on a 13-month incident database for the Washington metro network, we successfully develop a supervised learning model to predict the expected number of disruptions, per type, station and time of day. This supports public transport authorities and operators to prioritize what type of disruptions at what location to focus on, to potentially achieve the largest reduction in disruption exposure. Our clustering results show that start/terminal and transfer stations are most susceptible to disruptions, mainly due to operations-and vehicle-related disruptions.Green Open Access added to TU Delft Institutional Repository ‘You share, we take care!’ – Taverne project https://www.openaccess.nl/en/you-share-we-take-care Otherwise as indicated in the copyright section: the publisher is the copyright holder of this work and the author uses the Dutch legislation to make this work public.Transport and Plannin

    Workshop 8 report: Big data in the digital age and how it can benefit public transport users

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    This paper synthesizes evidence from Workshop 8 ‘Big data in the digital age and how it can benefit public transport users’ of the 15th International Conference on Competition and Ownership in Land Passenger Transport. Big data in public transportation has increasingly attracted the attention from both scientists and practitioners, resulting in an increasing number of scientific studies and practical applications in this field. However, compared to the scientific developments, we see that practical big data applications are relatively limited, and that these are applied with a relatively low pace. This indicates that big data has not been used to its full potential in practice yet, meaning that public transport passengers currently do not fully benefit from the opportunities big data offers in terms of public transport quality and attractiveness. Based on literature study and input gained from a qualitative expert session with scientists, public transport authorities, public transport operators and transport consultants together during the conference workshop, we come to the conclusion that the challenges to stimulate further and faster use of big data in practice are institutional rather than technical. This complexity results from required coordination and cooperation among public and private entities that are not always aligned. A framework has been proposed with four components to stimulate a further and faster adoption of big data in practice, directing to different stakeholders or relations between stakeholders: align technical ambitions of big data applications with their institutional environment; enable/ease the use of big data by PT authorities by developing common definitions, data standards and consolidation; incorporate the use of big data by PT operators in the contract between authority and operator; quantify and visualize the business value of big data for PT operators. We illustrate our framework by successful case studies in Chile, the Netherlands and Sweden.Transport and Plannin

    Going Beyond Counting First Authors in Author Co-citation Analysis

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    The present study examines one of the fundamental aspects of author co-citation analysis (ACA) - the way co-citation counts are defined. Co-citation counting provides the data on which all subsequent statistical analyses and mappings are based, and we compare ACA results based on two different types of co-citation counting - the traditional type that only counts the first one among a cited work's authors on the one hand and a non-traditional type that takes into account the first 5 authors of a cited work on the other hand. Results indicate that the picture produced through this non-traditional author co-citation counting contains more coherent author groups and is therefore considerably clearer. However, this picture represents fewer specialties in the research field being studied than that produced through the traditional first-author co-citation counting when the same number of top-ranked authors is selected and analyzed. Reasons for these effects are discussed

    Analysis and prediction of ridership impacts during planned public transport disruptions

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    Urban metro and tram networks are regularly subject to planned disruptions, including closures, resulting from the need to maintain and renew infrastructure. In this study, we first empirically analyse the passenger demand response to planned public transport disruptions based on individual passenger travel behaviour, based on which we infer generalised journey time and cost elasticities for different passenger groups and time periods of the day. Second, we develop a model which enables predicting public transport demand for individual origin-destination pairs affected by a closure. The model is trained based on the empirically observed travel behaviour. The proposed method is applied to a case study closure in Amsterdam, the Netherlands, based on which we empirically derive generalised journey time and generalised journey cost elasticities of − 0.99 and − 1.11, respectively. Our results suggest that passengers’ demand response is lower for frequent users of the public transport network, as well as during weekdays - especially during the peak periods. Arguably, this stems from a higher share of captive passengers with a mandatory journey purpose in these segments, who will continue making their journey nevertheless. During weekends - with typically higher shares of leisure related journeys - a much more pronounced demand response is found. The estimated neural network regression model is able to predict passenger demand during public transport closures with a high level of accuracy. This provides public transport agencies more precise insights into the impact of closures on their revenue losses and on the potential need for resources reallocation.Transport and Plannin

    Robust public transport from a passenger perspective: A study to evaluate and improve the robustness of multi-level public transport networks

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    Disturbances in public transport are an important issue for passengers, public transport operators and infrastructure managers. After the occurrence of large disturbances, there is often a strong call from passengers and society to make the public transport network less vulnerable – and therefore more robust – against these types of events. In this study, a methodology is developed which enables the evaluation of the current robustness of multi-level public transport networks, as well as the evaluation of proposed robustness measures. The case study shows that it is worth to consider another network level as back-up in case a certain network level is blocked. The result of the case study indicates that from a societal point of view, there is still room to improve the robustness of multi-level public transport networks.Transport, Infrastructure and LogisticsTransport & PlanningCivil Engineering and Geoscience

    Measuring, Predicting and Controlling Disruption Impacts for Urban Public Transport

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    Public transport systems can be subject to disruptions, which have negative impacts on passengers. Disruptions can result in additional in-vehicle time, waiting time, transfer time and extra transfers for passengers. In addition, perceived journey times might increase due to higher crowding levels on public transport services. Public transport disruptions can also result in revenue losses, rescheduling costs, reimbursement costs and fines for the public transport service provider. Although it is thus important to reduce the impact of public transport disruptions, it is particularly challenging to foresee and study disruptions due to their uncertainty and variety. They occur in an environment with complex interactions between decisions made by both passengers and public transport service provider in response to these disruptions, surrounded by various sources of uncertainty in relation to disruption type, location and duration. In this research, we propose a generic, stepwise approach to reduce the passenger impacts of disruptions: Step 1: Measure current disruption impacts. Step 2: Predict future disruptions frequencies and impacts. Step 3: Develop and evaluate measures aimed to control these disruption impacts.TRAIL Thesis Series no. T2020/3, the Netherlands Research School TRAILTransport and Plannin

    Variations on the Author

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    “Variations on the Author” discusses two of Eduardo Coutinho’s recent films (Um Dia na Vida, from 2010, and Últimas Conversas, posthumously released in 2015) and their contribution to the general question of documentary authorship. The director’s filmography is characterized by a consistent yet self-effacing form of authorial self-inscription: Coutinho often features as an interviewer that rather than express opinions propels discourses; an interviewer that is good at listening. This mode of self-inscription characterizes him as an author who is not expressive but who is nonetheless markedly present on the screen. In Um Dia na Vida, however, Coutinho is completely absent form the image, while Últimas Conversas, on the contrary, includes a confessional prologue that moves the director from the margins to the center of his films. This article examines the ways in which these works stand out in the filmography of a director who offers new insights into the notion of cinematic authorship

    Appropriate Similarity Measures for Author Cocitation Analysis

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    We provide a number of new insights into the methodological discussion about author cocitation analysis. We first argue that the use of the Pearson correlation for measuring the similarity between authors’ cocitation profiles is not very satisfactory. We then discuss what kind of similarity measures may be used as an alternative to the Pearson correlation. We consider three similarity measures in particular. One is the well-known cosine. The other two similarity measures have not been used before in the bibliometric literature. Finally, we show by means of an example that our findings have a high practical relevance.information science;Pearson correlation;cosine;similarity measure;author cocitation analysis

    Dispelling the Myths Behind First-author Citation Counts

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    We conducted a full-scale evaluative citation analysis study of scholars in the XML research field to explore just how different from each other author rankings resulting from different citation counting methods actually are, and to demonstrate the capability of emerging data and tools on the Web in supporting more realistic citation counting methods. Our results contest some common arguments for the continued use of first-author citation counts in the evaluation of scholars, such as high correlations between author rankings by first-author citation counts and other citation counting methods, and high costs of using more realistic citation counting methods that are not well-supported by the ISI databases. It is argued that increasingly available digital full text research papers make it possible for citation analysis studies to go beyond what the ISI databases have directly supported and to employ more sophisticated methods
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