24,708 research outputs found

    The Average Earnings Index

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    Survey data are widely used to provide indicators of economic activity ahead of the publication of official data. This paper proposes an indicator based on a theoretically consistent procedure or quantifying firm-level survey responses that are ordered and categorical. Firms' survey responses are assumed to be triggered by a latent continuous random variable as it crosses thresholds. Breaking tradition these thresholds are not assumed time invariant. An application to firm-level survey data from the Confederation of British Industry shows that the proposed indicator of manufacturing output growth outperforms traditional indicators that assume time-invariant thresholds

    Aggregate Risk, Political Constraints and Social Security Design

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    We analyze the behavior of a fully funded system, whose portfolio is composed of a risk free and a risky asset, in a stochastic environment, in the presence of political constraints. If an aggregate negative shock occurs, a large share of the wealth of the elderly is wiped out. In this case, office-seeking policy-makers act as a lender of last resort, and institute a long-lasting PAYG system. Under these political constraints, a fully funded system suffers from a moral hazard problem, since agents have an incentive to choose a riskier portfolio, which increases the wealth loss associated with the bad state. The introduction of a mixed system reduces the riskiness of the portfolio, which remains however higher than in the case of no political constraints. The early adoption of a mixed system, previous to the occurrence of a negative shock, could prevent the policy-makers from intervening as a lender of last resort, but at a high cost. In fact, its PAYG pillar would be larger than the PAYG system introduced in the case of a bad shock: This would amount to impose an extra loss on all future generations, since in this environment, a PAYG system is dominated, in rate of return, by the risk-free asset

    Jack Alive / Martin Dead : The Location of the "Author" in Jack London\u27s Martin Eden

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    This essay is an attempt to read Martin Eden, Jack Londonʼs autobiographical novel, in terms of the inextricable relationship between the author and the protagonist. Critics have often taken the unbalanced plot and the lack of ironic distance between narrator and character in Martin Eden as the technical weakness of London, but this paper argues that the achievement of this novel owes a great deal to the attachment of London to Martin. The unbalanced structure is a necessary product of the severe struggle of the author to kill his romantic alter ego. // Martin, who aspires to win Ruth Morse, tries to cross class boundaries by making a career of a writer. Even after realizing the emptiness of Ruth, who turns out to be nothing but a typical figure of the bourgeoisie, he somehow persists in loving her. The notion underlying here is that, for Martin, love, career and art are fundamentally inseparable. He objects to the aestheteʼs view of Brissenden on account of his separation of art from career. Martinʼs identity and life consist only in the triunity of love/career/art; the alternative is the repudiation of life. Thus, the unnatural delay of his disappointment in love can be regarded as Londonʼs strategy to set the suicide of Martin as the necessary consequence of the story. // By finishing the story and killing Martin, London finally detaches himself from Martin, reconstructs his self, and, unlike Martin, survives as a professional writer. In this sense, Martin Eden is a story about “writerʼs self-reconstruction.

    Robert Martin Tiffin's Mystery Man Newspaper Articles

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    Advertiser-Tribune newspaper clippings featuring a story about Robert Martin (written by Nancy Kleinhenz), a local author from Tiffin (Ohio) who wrote under the pseudonym of Lee Roberts, and two of his short stories. Martin wrote mystery novels in his spare time, creating more than 22 mystery novels. For more information about Robert Martin and a list of books go to http://www.mysteryfile.com/RMartin/JBennett.html

    Education, externalities, fertility, and economic growth

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    The benefits of education are usually assessed by analyzing rates of return. Social rates of return reflect the fact that education may be provided free or at a subsidized price and that a part of any individual's income accrues to the state through taxation. But they typically do not include private benefits that are not directly connected with the individual's gross earnings; nor do they include the external effects of education on economic growth. Some benefits are generally omitted from calculations of social returns to education, but the estimates produced - ranging from 13 percent to 26 percent - are implausibly high. There are several reasons for this. Studies may not reflect the fact that family background influences both the likelihood of participating in education and a person's future earning power even without education. Failure to take account of the effects of quality of education may also lead to upward bias. An alternative approach is to make cross-country comparisons using macroeconomic data. A number of such studies are discussed. In assessing whether education has any external effect on economic growth, assumptions must be made about education's direct effect on earning power. Based on a conservative figure of a 5 to 8 percent increase in earnings for every year of education, there is some evidence to support the presence of a small externality, but the evidence cannot be said to be overwhelming. There is, however, much clearer evidence of a link between education and fertility rates. The effect is observed in both macroeconomic data and household studies, but is stronger in macroeconomic data for reasons that are not clear. This effect constitutes an externality that - at a time of widespread (but not universal) concern about population growth - is of great importance. The author develops a simulation model from work by Barro and Becker. The model links fertility decisions with consumption/saving decision. In this model, parents derive utility from their children's welfare; as a consequence, children are a form of saving. The model is extended to reflect education as an endogenous decision and then further to look at the effects of an external effect of education on economic growth. Simulations demonstrate that the rate of return on education relative to that on physical capital is a major influence on fertility, suggesting that the model sheds some light on education's external effect on fertility.Curriculum&Instruction,Health Monitoring&Evaluation,Teaching and Learning,Gender and Education,Primary Education

    Experiences Using Large Scale Video Walls for Distance Education

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    We describe our experiences building and using the Rutgers Videowall, a low-cost telepresence system that has been used teaching 15 courses and colloquia. By relaxing typical spatial telepresence features, such as background continuity, we greatly reduced costs and gained flexibility in the rooms it could be deployed in. The lower costs and room flexibility enabled academic departments to use the wall, in contrast to traditional telepresence systems which remained inaccessible. We found that the Videowall’s spatial distortions did not have a significant impact on useability, as our initial survey results show that students had an overall positive experience.Technical report DCS-tr-72

    Hans Martin Schwarz Collection 1934 - 1938

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    This collection contains clippings of articles by Hans Martin Schwarz (1917, Hamburg – 2006, New York, better known as Martin Ebon), published between 1934 and 1938 in German-Jewish newspapers on a wide variety of subjects such as sports, emigration, the political situation in Germany, and religious attitudes of the young. It also contains reviews of his books "Einer wie Du und Ich" and "Heiteres, Besinnliches, Nachdenkliches."digitizedHans Martin Schwarz (1917, Hamburg – 2006, New York, better known as Martin Ebon), was a journalist and author. In Germany during the 1930s, he published in a variety of German-Jewish periodicals, primarily the Israelitisches Familienblatt. After immigrating to the United States in 1938, he changed his name to Martin Ebon, and published dozens of books in the areas of world affairs and parapsychology.Processe

    Interview with Father James Martin

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    In May 2011, the Ignatian Faculty Scholars at Regis University conducted a Skype interview with Father James Martin, S. J., author of The Jesuit Guide to Almost Everything. The Scholars had used Father Martin’s book as a text for their year of study, which focused on Ignatian Spirituality, the Ignatian Pedagogical Paradigm, and teaching and learning at a Jesuit university. The interview was transcribed and is printed below. Father Martin reflects on the book, and responds to questions about the book itself, about finding God in all learners, and about the Church
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