1,723,056 research outputs found
WANG, CHUN-SONG
本研究乃針對本省肩柏、紅檜、鐵杉、楠木、杉木、柯椎、雜木、和柳桉等八種木材
市價及其需求量,利用Box -Jenkins 之時間數序分析方法,建立短期預測模式,進
行預測,並分別選定其適當的模型如:
⑴木材價格模式
①扁柏:(1-B)Zt=(1+0.2051B)at
②紅檜:(1-0.1917B-0.2378B)(1-B)Zt=(1+0.
2769B+0.1789B)at
③鐵杉:(1-B)Zt=(1+0.1314B+0.1524B+0.251
9B)at
④杉木:(1-B)Zt=(1-0.2542B+0.2405B)at
⑤楠木:(1-B)Zt=(1-0.1595B+0.2007B+0.2316
B)(1+0.1364B)at
⑥柯椎:(1-B)Zt=(1+0.1285B+0.1589B+0.222
9B+0.1261B+0.1992B)at
⑦雜木:(1+0.1325B)(1-B)Zt=(1+0.1413B+0.1
563B)(1+0.16B)at
⑧柳桉:(1-0.2179B)(1-B)Zt=(1+0.2582B)at
⑵木材需求量模式
①扁柏:(1-B)(1-0.3969B)Zt=(-0.1732*t )(
1-B)+(1+0.587B+0.28B)(1-0.5958B)
at
②紅檜:(1-0.2392B)(1-B)Zt=(-0.1495*t )(
1-B)+(1+0.3430B+0.1699B)(1-0.8690B
)at
③鐵杉:(1-0.2134B)(1-B)Zt=(-0.2165*t )(
1-B)+(1+0.2894B+0.1956B)(1-0.6642B
)at
④杉木:(1-0.2937B)(1-B)Zt=(-0.0773t )(1
-B)+(1+0.2423B+0.3787B)(1-0.6815B
)at
⑤楠木:(1-0.2771B)(1-B)Zt=(-0.1728*t )(
1-B)+(1+0.3877B-0.2067B)(1-0.7639B
)at
⑥柯椎:(1-0.2265B+0.1317B)(1-B)Zt=(-0
.2323*t )(1-B)+(1+0.4663B)(1-0.7249B
)at
利用上述等模式進行民國73年6月起之六個月的預測,價格模式除了楠下、雜木之
平均誤差率較高外,其餘皆在4.2%以下,而木材需求量預測結果不太穩定,平均
誤差率嫌高
[[alternative]]A Study on the Commercialization of Sport within the Modern Olympic Games
[[abstract]]A Study on the Commercialization of Sport within the Modern Olympic Games
Ph.D. Dissertation, 2006
Student: Hung, Huang-Chia
Advisor: Wang, Chun-Chi
Abstract
The commercialization of sport is not only a key factor to accustom the modern sport to the society, but also a outcome of the capitalistic society. In the same way, the modern Olympic Games played a major paradigm within the sport or society and intended to pursue the commercial benefits. The aims of the study were to analyze the social structure of the sport commercialization within the modern Olympics.
Using the methodology of structural functionalism, documentary analysis, and synchronic and diachronic analysis the study would discuss the structural relationships among organization, politics, economy and culture of sport commercialization in the modern Olympics. The results of the study are concluded as follows:
1. Three stages of the development of the modern Olympics’ sport commercialization were identified as embryonic stage (1896~1972), growth stage (1973~1984), and maturity stage (1985~).
2. The organizational, political, economical, and cultural power have reciprocally predominated the structural relationship of the modern Olympics’ sport commercialization, and have changed the needs of the related organizations of International Olympic Committee, thus have driven the revolution of sport commercialization.
3. The strengths of the modern Olympics’ sport commercialization were not only to help the development of the host community, but also to push the development of global sport forward.
4. The modern Olympics’ sport commercialization should pay attention to the problems about political hegemony of sport, over-commercialization of sport, sport class, and annoyance of sport organization.
Keywords: the Olympic Games, the commercialization of sport
Jian qiao ye hua
1. 王純二胡演奏 -- 2. 劍橋夜話 : 二胡及古琴演奏.王純, 金德航, 余少華.Live recording.Electronic reproduction from Rulan Chao Pian V8 collection.Er hu: 王純, 余少華, Qin: 金德航.Spoken in English ; Opera performance and part of conversation in Chinese.Wang Chun, Jin Dehang, Yu Shaohua.Er hu: wang chun, yu shao hua, Qin: jin de hang.Detailed contents in vernacular field only
A new species of the genus Thoracochirus Bernhauer (Coleoptera: Staphylinidae: Osoriinae) from Yunnan, China
Li, Guo-Feng, Wang, Chun-Mei, Li, Zhong-Wei, Zhou, De-Quan (2013): A new species of the genus Thoracochirus Bernhauer (Coleoptera: Staphylinidae: Osoriinae) from Yunnan, China. Zootaxa 3750 (1): 89-94, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.11646/zootaxa.3750.1.
A new species of the genus Oxyporus Fabricius (Coleoptera: Staphylinidae: Oxyporinae) in Yunnan, China
Li, Guo-Feng, Wang, Chun-Mei, Li, Hua-Feng, Hou, Yun-Ping (2015): A new species of the genus Oxyporus Fabricius (Coleoptera: Staphylinidae: Oxyporinae) in Yunnan, China. Zootaxa 3986 (5): 591-596, DOI: 10.11646/zootaxa.3986.5.
On a collection of Batraxis Reitter (Coleoptera: Staphylinidae: Pselaphinae) from Hainan Island, southern China
Wang, Dan, Yin, Zi-Wei, Wang, Chun-Xin (2016): On a collection of Batraxis Reitter (Coleoptera: Staphylinidae: Pselaphinae) from Hainan Island, southern China. Zootaxa 4109 (1): 1-15, DOI: 10.11646/zootaxa.4109.1.
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