1,720,956 research outputs found
Topp-Leone generalization of the Generalized Pareto distribution and its impact on Extreme value modelling
No full textExtreme Value theory (EVT) is a phenomenon used to model rare or extreme events and has been useful in well-known areas such as finance, economics, hydrology, insurance, etc. In this paper, we combine EVT and Bayesian statistics to estimate the extreme value index and other distribution parameters. EVT studies the behavior of the tails of the distribution, while Bayesian statistics allows us to incorporate prior knowledge of the parameters. The interdependence between these two statistical branches allows us to account for uncertainty in parameter and tail estimation. Block maxima and Peaks over Threshold are EVT divisions that are used to model observations. In this paper we use the Peaks over Threshold approach. The generalized Pareto distribution is a Peaks over Threshold distribution. Existing literature studied the generalizations and extensions of the generalized Pareto distribution. These extensions mostly focus on the positive domain of attraction. In this paper we contribute to the study of EVT by considering both the negative and positive domains of attraction. We consider the (Topp and Leone, 1955) generalization for the generalized Pareto distribution. We show, by means of a simulation study, that this distribution can effectively estimate the extreme value index and that it is less sensitive to threshold selection than the normal generalized Pareto distribution
USING SHRINKAGE ESTIMATORS TO REDUCE BIAS AND MSE IN ESTIMATION OF HEAVY TAILS
No full text© 2019, National Statistical Institute. All rights reserved. Bias reduction in tail estimation has received considerable interest in extreme value analysis. Estimation methods that minimize the bias while keeping the mean squared error (MSE) under control, are especially useful when applying classical methods such as the Hill (1975) estimator. In the case of heavy tailed distributions, Caeiro et al. (2005) proposed minimum variance reduced bias estimators of the extreme value in- dex, where the bias is reduced without increasing the variance with respect to the Hill estimator. This method is based on adequate external estimation of a pair of parameters of second order slow variation under a third order condition. Here we revisit this problem exploiting the mathematical fact that the bias tends to 0 with increasing threshold. This leads to shrinkage estimation for the extreme value index, which allows for a penalized likelihood and a Bayesian implementation. This new approach is applied starting from the approximation to excesses over a high thresh- old using the extended Pareto distribution, as developed in Beirlant et al. (2009). We present asymptotic results for the resulting shrinkage penalized likelihood estima- tor of the extreme value index. Finite sample simulation results are proposed both for the penalized likelihood and Bayesian implementation. We then compare with the minimum variance reduced bias estimators.sponsorship: This work is based on the research supported wholly/in part by the National Research Foundation of South Africa (Grant Number 102628). The Grantholder acknowledges that opinions, findings and conclusions or recommendations expressed in any publication generated by the NRF supported research is that of the author(s), and that the NRF accepts no liability whatsoever in this regard. (National Research Foundation of South Africa|102628, NRF)status: Publishe
Going Beyond Counting First Authors in Author Co-citation Analysis
Full text linkThe present study examines one of the fundamental aspects of author co-citation analysis (ACA) - the way co-citation
counts are defined. Co-citation counting provides the data on which all subsequent statistical analyses and mappings
are based, and we compare ACA results based on two different types of co-citation counting - the traditional type that
only counts the first one among a cited work's authors on the one hand and a non-traditional type that takes into
account the first 5 authors of a cited work on the other hand. Results indicate that the picture produced through this non-traditional author co-citation counting contains more coherent author groups and is therefore considerably clearer. However, this picture represents fewer specialties in the research field being studied than that produced through the traditional first-author co-citation counting when the same number of top-ranked authors is selected and analyzed. Reasons for these effects are discussed
Variations on the Author
Full text link“Variations on the Author” discusses two of Eduardo Coutinho’s recent films (Um Dia na Vida, from 2010, and Últimas Conversas, posthumously released in 2015) and their contribution to the general question of documentary authorship. The director’s filmography is characterized by a consistent yet self-effacing form of authorial self-inscription: Coutinho often features as an interviewer that rather than express opinions propels discourses; an interviewer that is good at listening. This mode of self-inscription characterizes him as an author who is not expressive but who is nonetheless markedly present on the screen. In Um Dia na Vida, however, Coutinho is completely absent form the image, while Últimas Conversas, on the contrary, includes a confessional prologue that moves the director from the margins to the center of his films. This article examines the ways in which these works stand out in the filmography of a director who offers new insights into the notion of cinematic authorship
Appropriate Similarity Measures for Author Cocitation Analysis
Full text linkWe provide a number of new insights into the methodological discussion about author cocitation analysis. We first argue that the use of the Pearson correlation for measuring the similarity between authors’ cocitation profiles is not very satisfactory. We then discuss what kind of similarity measures may be used as an alternative to the Pearson correlation. We consider three similarity measures in particular. One is the well-known cosine. The other two similarity measures have not been used before in the bibliometric literature. Finally, we show by means of an example that our findings have a high practical relevance.information science;Pearson correlation;cosine;similarity measure;author cocitation analysis
Dispelling the Myths Behind First-author Citation Counts
Full text linkWe conducted a full-scale evaluative citation analysis study of scholars in the XML research field to explore just how different from each other author rankings resulting from different citation counting methods actually are, and to demonstrate the capability of emerging data and tools on the Web in supporting more realistic citation counting methods. Our results contest some common arguments for the continued
use of first-author citation counts in the evaluation of scholars, such as high correlations between author rankings by first-author citation counts and other citation
counting methods, and high costs of using more realistic citation counting methods that are not well-supported by the ISI databases. It is argued that increasingly available digital full text research papers make it possible for citation analysis studies to go beyond what the ISI databases have directly supported and to employ more
sophisticated methods
koamabayili/VECTRON-author-checklist: VECTRON author checklist
No full textWe have done our best to complete the author checklist relating to the use of animals in the hut study. Note that the objective for the hut study was to evaluate the IRS treatment applications for residual efficacy against Anopheles mosquitoes, including the local An. coluzzii mosquito population. Cows were only used to attract mosquitoes into the huts and no tests were carried out directly on the cows. The author checklist is intended for use with studies where experiments are carried out on animals, which is why we have had such difficulty in completing this for the hut study, as many of the questions do not relate to how the cows were used
Author-wise bibliometric analysis based on entropy.
No full textAuthor-wise bibliometric analysis based on entropy.</p
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