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Resilience, Complexity and Cooperation in Socio-ecological System
Full text linkAdvances in experimental technologies, both in the laboratory and in the field, are generating an increasing volume of ecologically and sociologically relevant data, spanning a wide range of scales, revealing recurrent emergence of patterns in these systems. This "data explosion"' is both a challenge (inventing new tools for their analysis) and an opportunity (identifying rules driving the functioning of complex systems). However, data alone do not necessarily lead to an understanding of the systems of interest. At present, we are in a situation where in front of a rich (but common to many systems) phenomenology we have innumerable models for very specific cases that call for a general vision. This challenge is very fascinating for physicists, that have in their veins the search for general principles of apparently different phenomena.
In particular, a very important property that seems to be shared by most of the socio-ecological systems is their ability to respond to perturbations, i.e. the system resilience. Cell biology, ecology, environmental science, and food security are just some of the many areas of investigation on the mechanisms increasing the system resilience. Nevertheless, not all socio-ecological systems display high resilience. In food security, the intensification of international food trade and local shocks in food production led to global food crises, and for example Suweis develops a framework to investigate the coupled global food-population dynamics and finds that the global food system is losing resilience (increasingly unstable and susceptible to conditions of crisis); In ecology, the concept of resilience has evolved considerably since Holling's (1973) seminal paper to describe the persistence of natural systems in the face of changes in ecosystem variables due to natural or anthropogenic causes. It has been suggested that in many ecosystems we are facing a lost of resilience and consequent loss of biodiversity. Therefore an important challenge is to understand what are the main drivers ruling the resilience of ecological communities, so that proper ecosystem management strategy can be developed.
From data is emerging that one of the key feature of socio-ecological system resilience may lie in the architecture of the interaction networks. The topology of the interaction network may actually represent the "parameter" that system somehow self-tunes so that the system's responses to stimuli is optimized with respect to some feature (e.g. stability). In inanimate matter, spins or particles always have their mutual interactions turned on (with an intensity decaying with their relative distance) and the network describing their interaction is dense, with most of the connections present. In contrast, if we consider for instance an ecosystem, species interact selectively even if they coexist at short distances, and the species interaction network is sparse, that is, most of the interactions are turned off. At the same time, the interactions that are turned on form non-random evolving structures that are the result of some optimization process under adaptive/evolution pressure. Thanks to massive databases now easy available, characteristics similar to those just mentioned for ecological networks, have been observed also in gene-interaction network, in neuronal networks and even in social networks. These networks are very different and yet share a crucial aspect: they all have undergone biological/social evolution that has driven their incremental complexity.
One particular long-standing question regards the relationship between stability (resilience) and complexity in ecological system. Many of the population dynamics modeling frameworks proposed in the literature cannot elude the celebrated May's theorem. This theorem, recently refined by Allesina and Tang states that the stability of the system depends on the product [SC], where [S] is the number of species and [C] is the fraction of non-zero pairwise interactions between species. This result leads to the so-called stability and complexity paradox debate: a system in order to be stable cannot be too large ([S] large) or too connected (large [C]). The paradox lies in the fact that empirically, ecosystems with a large number of species seem to be very stable. Moreover, recently it has been suggested that because of this stability paradox, in microbial ecosystems competition may play a much important roles than what expected until now. In fact in these models, competition has a stabilizing role in ecosystem dynamics, contrarily to cooperation that decreases the ecosystem resilience.
During my Ph.D. I have used a physicists approach based on complex networks and statistical physics, to study the resilience in Socio-Ecological systems, how it is related to the system complexity and what is the role of cooperation in the ecosystem dynamics. I have used a comprehensive approach that includes data mining, theoretical modeling (both computational and analytical) and statistical analyses. In particular, I have investigated the efficiency of a recently proposed framework to study the resilience of complex interacting systems, what the role of cooperation and competition in the universal patterns theoretically predicted by the model, and its validation with data. I have then focused on the long-standing open question of the relation between complexity and resilience in ecosystems, by specifically focusing on how the architecture of interaction networks may confer to living systems their ability to promptly react to to perturbations (e.g. increase resilience). To do that we have developed a stochastic population dynamics model, generalizing an interacting non-equilibrium model known as the voter model, and I have also studied the effect of cooperation on the ecosystem resilience. The results of my work suggest a novel picture on the relation between complexity, cooperation and resilience, challenging previous results in the literature
Reconciling cooperation, biodiversity and stability in complex ecological communities
Full text linkAbstract Empirical evidences show that ecosystems with high biodiversity can persist in time even in the presence of few types of resources and are more stable than low biodiverse communities. This evidence is contrasted by the conventional mathematical modeling, which predicts that the presence of many species and/or cooperative interactions are detrimental for ecological stability and persistence. Here we propose a modelling framework for population dynamics, which also include indirect cooperative interactions mediated by other species (e.g. habitat modification). We show that in the large system size limit, any number of species can coexist and stability increases as the number of species grows, if mediated cooperation is present, even in presence of exploitative or harmful interactions (e.g. antibiotics). Our theoretical approach thus shows that appropriate models of mediated cooperation naturally lead to a solution of the long-standing question about complexity-stability paradox and on how highly biodiverse communities can coexist
A data driven network approach to rank countries production diversity and food specialization
Full text linkThe easy access to large data sets has allowed for leveraging methodology in network physics and complexity science to disentangle patterns and processes directly from the data, leading to key insights in the behavior of systems. Here we use country specific food production data to study binary and weighted topological properties of the bipartite country-food production matrix. This country-food production matrix can be: 1) transformed into overlap matrices which embed information regarding shared production of products among countries, and or shared countries for individual products, 2) identify subsets of countries which produce similar commodities or subsets of commodities shared by a given country allowing for visualization of correlations in large networks, and 3) used to rank country fitness (the ability to produce a diverse array of products weighted on the type of food commodities) and food specialization (quantified on the number of countries producing a specific food product weighted on their fitness). Our results show that, on average, countries with high fitness produce both low and high specializion food commodities, whereas nations with low fitness tend to produce a small basket of diverse food products, typically comprised of low specializion food commodities
Global unsustainable virtual water flows in agricultural trade
Full text linkRecent studies have highlighted the reliance of global food production on unsustainable irrigation practices, which deplete freshwater stocks and environmental flows, and consequently impair aquatic ecosystems. Unsustainable irrigation is driven by domestic and international demand for agricultural products. Research on the environmental consequences of trade has often concentrated on the global displacement of pollution and land use, while the effect of trade on water sustainability and the drying of over-depleted watercourses has seldom been recognized and quantified. Here we evaluate unsustainable irrigation water consumption (UWC) associated with global crop production and determine the share of UWC embedded in international trade. We find that, while about 52% of global irrigation is unsustainable, 15% of it is virtually exported, with an average 18% increase between year 2000 and 2015. About 60% of global virtual transfers of UWC are driven by exports of cotton, sugar cane, fruits, and vegetables. One third of UWC in Mexico, Spain, Turkmenistan, South Africa, Morocco, and Australia is associated with demand from the export markets. The globalization of water through trade contributes to running rivers dry, an environmental externality commonly overlooked by trade policies. By identifying the producing and consuming countries that are responsible for unsustainable irrigation embedded in virtual water trade, this study highlights trade links in which policies are needed to achieve sustainable water and food security goals in the coming decades
Going Beyond Counting First Authors in Author Co-citation Analysis
Full text linkThe present study examines one of the fundamental aspects of author co-citation analysis (ACA) - the way co-citation
counts are defined. Co-citation counting provides the data on which all subsequent statistical analyses and mappings
are based, and we compare ACA results based on two different types of co-citation counting - the traditional type that
only counts the first one among a cited work's authors on the one hand and a non-traditional type that takes into
account the first 5 authors of a cited work on the other hand. Results indicate that the picture produced through this non-traditional author co-citation counting contains more coherent author groups and is therefore considerably clearer. However, this picture represents fewer specialties in the research field being studied than that produced through the traditional first-author co-citation counting when the same number of top-ranked authors is selected and analyzed. Reasons for these effects are discussed
Variations on the Author
Full text link“Variations on the Author” discusses two of Eduardo Coutinho’s recent films (Um Dia na Vida, from 2010, and Últimas Conversas, posthumously released in 2015) and their contribution to the general question of documentary authorship. The director’s filmography is characterized by a consistent yet self-effacing form of authorial self-inscription: Coutinho often features as an interviewer that rather than express opinions propels discourses; an interviewer that is good at listening. This mode of self-inscription characterizes him as an author who is not expressive but who is nonetheless markedly present on the screen. In Um Dia na Vida, however, Coutinho is completely absent form the image, while Últimas Conversas, on the contrary, includes a confessional prologue that moves the director from the margins to the center of his films. This article examines the ways in which these works stand out in the filmography of a director who offers new insights into the notion of cinematic authorship
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