1,583 research outputs found
Lifecourse social position and D-dimer; findings from the 1958 British birth cohort
No full textThe aim is to examine the association of lifecourse socioeconomic position (SEP) on circulating levels of D-dimer. Data from the 1958 British birth cohort were used, social class was determined at three stages of respondents' life: at birth, at 23 and at 42 years. A cumulative indicator score of SEP (CIS) was calculated ranging from 0 (always in the highest social class) to 9 (always in the lowest social class). In men and women, associations were observed between CIS and D-dimer (P<0.05). Thus, the respondents in more disadvantaged social classes had elevated levels of D-dimer compared to respondents in less disadvantaged social class. In multivariate analyses, the association of disadvantaged social position with D-dimer was largely explained by fibrinogen, C-reactive protein and von Willebrand Factor in women, and additionally by smoking, alcohol consumption and physical activity in men. Socioeconomic circumstances across the lifecourse at various stages also contribute independently to raised levels of D-dimer in middle age in women only. Risk exposure related to SEP accumulates across life and contributes to raised levels of D-dimer. The association of haemostatic markers and social differences in health may be mediated by inflammatory and other markers
Noseweek 68, 2005-06
No full textSouth Africa's only investigative magazine about business, professions, politics and society in South Africa.Letters: Mr Nose, I presume ■ Ronald Suresh Roberts ■ What Times, what mores! ■ How many blondes does it take to run a gallery? ■ Truth well told ■ Thanks for the ad ■ Prawn in distress ■ Nose in Kampala ■ Taxing matter ■ Can’t keep Goodman down ■ Stupid Mr Nose ■ In a lather over Rather;
Dear Reader: SA’s avoidable shack-fire holocaust ■ Hello and goodbye;
Mr Nose puts it about: Geyser blows it ■ Telkom customer service awards ■ Is Zuma next? ■ Long Walk to Fortune ■ North Korean salutations ■ Sign of the times ■ Blast from the past (4) ■ Art society antics ■ Local aesthetic;
Poisoned by the path lab: A routine set of tests ended in death for a 42- year-old mother of four when two powders were inadvertantly mixed up;
White mischief: April Fool’s Day was an inauspicious day for a group black empowerment partners to take control of their new company;
War at The Pink Palace: A new front opens up in the fight between Surgeon and Safari’s Lorraine Melvill and her uncle Gerald Mahoney;
Orders from above: What secret agenda was Cape Town’s Mayor Nomaindia Mfeketo pursuing when she binned a report that criticises the planned redevelopment of the harbour?;
Note & Updates: Herr Hoster taken hostage by Nedbank ■ Third-term presidents ■ SARS sniffs around Wits Business School;
Africa Confidential: Congo parties can’t agree ■ Russian oligarchs bed down with SA mining houses ■ Death in Djibouti;
Frankenflora: When indigenous gardening goes monstrously wrong;
This & that: Harold Strachan draws on RW Johnson and Gus Ferguson does his verse;
Wine: Gullible gluggers;
Last word: Harold Strachan on how times they are a changin
Estimating the Aquifer’s Renewable Water to Mitigate the Challenges of Upcoming Megadrought Events
No full textIn arid and semi-arid regions of the world, the occurrence of prolonged drought events (megadroughts) associated with climate change can seriously affect the balance between water supply and demand, thereby severely increasing the susceptibility of such regions to adverse impacts. In this study, a simple framework is introduced to estimate renewable water volumes (RW) to mitigate the challenges of megadrought events by managing the groundwater resources. The framework connects a weighted annual hydrological drought index (wSPEI) to RW, based on the short time-scale precipitation volume. The proposed framework, which was in a proof-of-concept case study applied to the Neishaboor watershed in the semi-arid part of Iran, showed that developing the weighted drought index can be valuable to estimate RW. The results suggested that the wSPEI, aggregating hydrological drought index (HSPEI) with the time scale k = 5 days and the regional coefficient s = 1.3 can be used to estimate RW with reasonable accuracy (R2 = 0.73, RMSE = 11.5 mm year−1). This indicates that in the Neishaboor watershed, the best estimation of RW can be determined by precipitation volumes (or the lack thereof) falling over 5-day aggregation periods rather than by any other time scales. The accuracy of the relationship was then investigated by cross validation (leave-one-out method). According to the results, the proposed framework performed fairly well for the estimation of RW, with R2 = 0.75 and RMSE = 12.2 mm year−1 for k = 5 days. The Overall agreement between the wSPEI, the RW derived from water balance calculations, and the estimated RW by the proposed framework was also assessed for a period of 34 years. It showed that the annual RW followed closely the wSPEI, indicating a reasonable relationship between wSPEI and the annual RW. Accordingly, the proposed framework is capable to estimate the renewable water of a given watershed for different climate change scenarios.Green Open Access added to TU Delft Institutional Repository ‘You share, we take care!’ – Taverne project https://www.openaccess.nl/en/you-share-we-take-care Otherwise as indicated in the copyright section: the publisher is the copyright holder of this work and the author uses the Dutch legislation to make this work public.Water Resource
Bayesian approaches to cointegration
No full textThe degree of empirical support of a priori plausible structures on the cointegration vectors has a central role in the analysis of cointegration. Villani (2000) and Strachan and van Dijk (2003) have recently proposed finite sample Bayesian procedures to calculate the posterior probability of restrictions on the cointegration space, using the existence of a uniform prior distribution on the cointegration space as the key ingredient. The current paper extends this approach to the empirically important case with different restrictions on the individual cointegration vectors. Prior distributions are proposed and posterior simulation algorithms are developed. Consumers' expenditure data for the US is used to illustrate the robustness of the results to variations in the prior. A simulation study shows that the Bayesian approach performs remarkably well in comparison to other more established methods for testing restrictions on the cointegration vectors
Pencegahan Penyakit Infeksi Menular Melalui Edukasi PHBS Pada Masyarakat RW.02 Jungge, Kelurahan Bontoparang, Kabupaten Gowa
No full textThis service aims to provide education regarding how to prevent the emergence of infectious diseases by implementing PHBS cultural practices to the community of RW.02 Jungge. This service is carried out in the Bontoala neighborhood, Bontoparang Village, Gowa Regency. The author uses several stages in the process of service activities, including: the preparation stage, the implementation stage, and the evaluation stage. The service activity was carried out on March 9, 2022, by lecturers and students of the Faculty of Health, Patria Arta University.D uring the service process, the author found that in the preparation stage there were several gaps related to the social conditions of the RW.02 Jungge community such as social status, profession, age, educational background, economic, social, cultural, and health conditions that made the writer decide to use an educational approach. theory and practice to introduce about PHBS. Then in the second stage, namely implementation, the author and his friends did heart exercise, then continued with theoretical education regarding the importance of PHBS and how to apply PHBS using a persuasive approach, panel discussion and door to door methods. And in the third stage or evaluation stage, the writer together with other friends did a cross check by asking the RW residents one by one. 02 Jungge regarding the results and benefits of this service activity. The implementation of PKM was successfully carried out using an educational approach based on theory and practice, obtained by RW residents. O2 Jungge, Gowa Regency by knowing, understanding, and being able to prevent infectious infectious diseases by implementing PHBS.Keywords: Infectious infectious diseases, PHBS Educatio
Are slump folds reliable indicators of downslope flow in recent mass transport deposits?
No full textRW was supported by the Israel Science Foundation (ISF grant No. 868/17) and the Israeli government GSI DS project 40706. We thank Iyad Swaed for the drone photography and Nadav Lensky for fruitful discussion during the course of this study. We also thank Cees Passchier for efficient editorial handling and John Waldron and Lorna Strachan for constructive and detailed reviews that improved the paper.Peer reviewe
Bayesian State Space Models In Macroeconometrics
No full textState space models play an important role in macroeconometric analysis and the Bayesian approach has been shown to have many advantages. This paper outlines recent developments in state space modelling applied to macroeconomics using Bayesian methods. We outline the directions of recent research, specifically the problems being addressed and the solutions proposed. After presenting a general form for the linear Gaussian model, we discuss the interpretations and virtues of alternative estimation routines and their outputs. This discussion includes the Kalman filter and smoother, and precision-based algorithms. As the advantages of using large models have become better understood, a focus has developed on dimension reduction and computational advances to cope with high-dimensional parameter spaces. We give an overview of a number of recent advances in these directions. Many models suggested by economic theory are either non-linear or non-Gaussian, or both. We discuss work on the particle filtering approach to such models as well as other techniques that use various approximations – to either the time (Formula presented.) state and measurement equations or to the full posterior for the states – to obtain draws
Revitalisasi Taman Bacaan Anak-Anak Dan Remaja (Akar) Arjowinangun Malang
No full textKegiatan pengabdian masyarakat yang dilakukan oleh Tim PkM UT Malang di wilayah Rukun Warga (RW) 05 Kelurahan Arjowinangun, Kota Malang, dalam rangka revitalisasi taman bacaan anak-anak dan remaja.Tujuan kegiatan PkM ini adalah untuk meluaskan diseminasi pengetahuan-pengetahuan baru yang mendidik, berdayaguna untuk ketahanan mental dan tumbuhkembang anak-anak dan remaja dengan interaksi yang sehat dan positif, sehingga mengurangi ketergantungan pada gagdet seperti yang saat ini dirasakan para orangtua di lingkungan RW 05 Kelurahan Arjowinangun. Metode kegiatan yang dilakukan mengacu pada langkah-langkah pemberdayaan masyarakat berdasarkan prinsip-prinsip community organization-community development (CO-CD), yakni sosialisasi, pengorganisasian, analisis kebutuhan, pelaksanaan, pemeliharaan, dan peluncuran program. Hasil kegiatan berupa revitalisasi taman bacaan sekaligus pengembangan kapabilitas pengelolaan taman bacaan, berujud bantuan sarana dan prasarana taman bacaan serta pelatihan pengelolaan taman bacaan. Untuk menjaga keberlanjutan dan kemanfaatan program maka ada beberapa program lanjutan dengan berkolaborasi dengan pengurus lingkungan, Posyandu, PAUD dan Karang Taruna setempat
Bayesian analysis of the error correction model
No full textThis paper presents a method for estimating the posterior probability density of the cointegrating rank of a multivariate error correction model. A second contribution is the careful elicitation of the prior for the cointegrating vectors derived from a prior on the cointegrating space. This prior obtains naturally from treating the cointegrating space as the parameter of interest in inference and overcomes problems previously encountered in Bayesian cointegration analysis. Using this new prior and Laplace approximation, an estimator for the posterior probability of the rank is given. The approach performs well compared with information criteria in Monte Carlo experiments. (C) 2003 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved
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