161,582 research outputs found

    An Even Sterner Review: Introducing Relative Prices into the Discounting Debate

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    The Stern Review has had a major influence on the policy discussion on climate change. One reason is that the report has raised the estimated cost of unmitigated climate damages by an order of magnitude compared to most earlier estimates, leading to a call for strong and urgent action on climate change. Not surprisingly, severe criticism has been levied against the report by authors who think that these results hinge mainly on the use of a discount rate that is too low. Here we discuss the Ramsey rule for the discount rates and its implications for the economics of climate change. While we find no strong objections to the discounting assumptions adopted in the Stern Review, our main point is that the conclusions reached in the review can be justified on other grounds than by using a low discount rate. We argue that nonmarket damages from climate change are probably underestimated and that future scarcities that will be induced by the changing composition of the economy and climate change should lead to rising relative prices for certain goods and services, raising the estimated damage of climate change and counteracting the effect of discounting. We build our analysis on earlier research (Hoel and Sterner 2007) that has shown that the Ramsey discounting formula is somewhat modified in a two-sector economy with differential growth rates. Most importantly, such a model is characterized by changing relative prices, something that has major implications for a correct valuation of future climate damages. We introduce these results into a slightly modified version of the DICE model (Nordhaus 1994) and find that taking relative prices into account can have as large an effect on economically warranted abatement levels as can a low discount rate.discounting, relative prices, Ramsey, climate damage

    Structure-activity relationships of the estrogenic sesquiterpene ester ferutinin. Modification of the terpenoid core

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    Esterification of p-hydroxybenzoic acid, a very weak estrogenic compound, with the daucane alcohol jaeschkeanadiol (1b) leads to a spectacular magnification of the estrogenic activity. To identify the structural elements responsible for this effect, the terpenoid core of jaeschkeanadiol p-hydroxybenzoate (ferutinin, 1a) was modified, capitalizing on the presence of two functionalities, the monoacylated, hydrogen-bonded 1,3-diol system and the double bond. The hydrogen bonding, while possibly useful, was not critical for activity, while hydrogenation and cyclopropanation of the double bond were tolerated. Conversely, oxidative modifications of the double bond that placed a hydroxyl on the a-face of the molecule proved detrimental. Taken together, these observations identified the substitution at C-8/C-9 as critical for activity

    Discounting and Relative Consumption

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    This paper analyzes optimal social discount rates where people derive utility from relative consumption. We identify and compare three separate discount rates -- the social rate (taking positional externalities into account), the private rate, and the conventional Ramsey rate. Two main findings resulted for the standard case with a positive growth rate -- 1) the social discount rate exceeds the private discount rate if the degree of positionality increases with consumption, and 2) the social discount rate is smaller than the Ramsey rate if preferences are quasi-concave in own and reference consumption, and exhibit risk aversion with respect to reference consumption. Numerical calculations demonstrate that the latter difference may be substantial and economically important for such issues as global warming.discounting, relative consumption, Ramsey rule, degree of positionality, keeping up with the Joneses

    Modulation of chemoselectivity by protein additives. Remarkable effects in the oxidation of hyperforin

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    Protein additives have a dramatic effect on the H2O2 oxidation of hyperforin, either protecting the enolized phloroglucinol core from oxidation (human albumin) or promoting (HRP and ovalbumin) reaction pathways derived from the intermediacy of the enollactone 4, a minor component of the oxidation mixture in the absence of protein additives. To rationalize the exquisite specificity of several steps and their mechanistic oddity, an organocatalytic effect is postulated. The use of protein additives allows a straightforward and multigram preparation of the enollactone 6, an interesting multifunctionalized scaffold for bioactivity induction and/or modulation
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