1,721,012 research outputs found

    Introduzione ai metodi statistici per il credit scoring

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    Il libro descrive in dettaglio gli strumenti statistici maggiormente utilizzati nel settore della valutazione e-ante del rischio di credito

    Bayesian Inference for Graphical Factor Analysis Models

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    We generalize factor analysis models by allowing the concentration matrix of the residuals to have nonzero off-diagonal elements. The resulting model is named graphical factor analysis model. Allowing a structure of associations gives information about the correlation left unexplained by the unobserved variables, which can be used both in the confirmatory and exploratory context. We first present a sufficient condition for global identifiability of this class of models with a generic number of factors, thereby extending the results in Stanghellini (1997) and Vicard (2000).We then consider the issue of model comparison and show that fast local computations are possible for this purpose, if the conditional independence graphs on the residuals are restricted to be decomposable and a Bayesian approach is adopted. To achieve this aim, we propose a new reversible jump MCMC method to approximate the posterior probabilities of the considered models. We then study the evolution of political democracy in 75 developing countries based on eight measures of democracy in two different years

    Graphical Factor Analysis Models: Specification and Model Comparison

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    We introduce a graphical factor Analysis Model as graphical Gaussian model with latent variables staisfying a set of conditional indepdndence assumptions. The study of the associations left unexplained by the latent factors allows a better interpretation of the model. A real data example is presented to clarify the ideas. We propose a MCMC method to approximate both the model probabilities and the inference on the quantities of interest

    On the identification of discrete graphical models with hidden nodes

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    We focus on the identification of discrete undirected graphical models with one unobserved binary variable and establish a necessary and sufficient condition for the rank of the transformation from the natural parameters to the parameters of the model to be full. This ensures local identification of this class of models. These models generalize the latent class model, by allowing associations between the observed variables conditionally on the latent one. The practical importance of this issue is witnessed by several applied papers. For non-full rank models, the obtained characterization allows us to find the expression of the (sub)space where the identifiability breaks down. Geometrically, this corresponds to the singularities in the parameter space. This in turn allows us (a) to derive a reparametrization that leads to an identified model and (b) to compute the correct dimension of the model. The condition is based on the topology of the undirected graph associated with the model and relies on the faithfulness assumption
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