9,696 research outputs found

    George Albert Smith correspondence, 1911 [29]

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    Miscellaneous correspondence and papers of George A. Smith from 1911. Several letters of sympathy following the death of Smith\u27s father, John Henry Smith, including from M. F. Cowley of Logan, Utah; Charles A. Callis, President of the Southern States mission at Chattanooga, Tennessee; and Lottie R. Carter at Saint George, Uta

    Lee-Carter mortality forecasting: a multi-country comparison of variants and extensions

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    We compare the short- to medium-term accuracy of five variants or extensions of the Lee-Carter method for mortality forecasting. These include the original Lee-Carter, the Lee-Miller and Booth-Maindonald-Smith variants, and the more flexible Hyndman-Ullah and De Jong-Tickle extensions. These methods are compared by applying them to sex-specific populations of 10 developed countries using data for 1986-2000 for evaluation. All variants and extensions are more accurate than the original Lee-Carter method for forecasting log death rates, by up to 61%. However, accuracy in log death rates does not necessarily translate into accuracy in life expectancy. There are no significant differences among the five methods in forecast accuracy for life expectancy.Functional data, Lee-Carter method, mortality forecasting, nonparametric smoothing, principal components, state space.

    Lee-Carter mortality forecasting: a multi-country comparison of variants and extensions

    No full text
    We compare the short- to medium-term accuracy of five variants or extensions of the Lee-Carter method for mortality forecasting. These include the original Lee-Carter, the Lee-Miller and Booth-Maindonald-Smith variants, and the more flexible Hyndman-Ullah and De Jong-Tickle extensions. These methods are compared by applying them to sex-specific populations of 10 developed countries using data for 1986-2000 for evaluation. All variants and extensions are more accurate than the original Lee-Carter method for forecasting log death rates, by up to 61%. However, accuracy in log death rates does not necessarily translate into accuracy in life expectancy. There are no significant differences among the five methods in forecast accuracy for life expectancy.functional data, Lee-Carter method, mortality forecasting, nonparametric smoothing, principal components, state space

    Marriage record of Smith, F. R. and Carter, Violet

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    Marriage license for F.R. Smith and Violet Carter. R.P. Perry was the officiant

    Joseph F. Smith

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    Joseph F. Smith (1838-1918) was the son of early LDS Church leader, Hyrum Smith, president of the LDS Church from 1901-1918, and the father of future LDS Church president Joseph Fielding Smith

    List of book recipients

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    Handwritten list of people to whom General Dwight D. Eisenhower's books should be sent.Harry C. Weeks F.J. Adams Jay Manning Mrs. Carl Deakins Burdette Brants Charlie (crossed out) C.H. Hightower BH King JM North BN Honea James R. Record Phil R North Amon Carter Jr Harrold Hough Glen Coffin Walter Claer WK Stripling Marvin Leonard Obie Leonard Otto Monnig Lionel Bevan RE Cox Billie Bob Watt Edgar Deen Ernest Allen Amon G Carter Sidney Samuels Ed Landreth Ellison Harding Ed H Winton F Kirk Johnson J Lee Johnson Jr J Lee Johnson III Mrs WC Stripling Mrs WD Reynolds Raymond Buck Hodges McKnight Sid Richardson Perry Bass J Edwin Hill WH Mc Fadden Josephine Graf CR Smith Hugo Anderson Mrs HC Meacham Amon G Carter President Ft Worth ClubMrs. Robt Windfohr Robt Hanger WC Moncrief Marshall Young Tom Byrne Joe Pelich Pauline Frenc

    Jere Nash Interview with Hodding Carter

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    Interview conducted by author Jere Nash with Hodding Carter III as research for Mississippi Politics: The Struggle for Power, 1976-2006. Topics covered include the Democratic National Convention of 1964; the creation of the Mississippi Democratic Congress and the Young Democrats to receive official designation and counter the Mississippi Freedom Democratic Party; Young Democrats; his conversion as an activist newspaper editorialist in Greenville, Mississippi; Aaron Henry, Stokely Carmichael; Mississippi Human Relations Council and Ken Dean; Charles Evers; John Bell Williams; Mississippi Action for Progress created to support Headstart; Sargeant Shriver; John Stennis; Leroy Percy; Oscar Carr; Owen Cooper; Pat Derian; Fannie Lou Hamer; Hilton Waites; Mississippi Democratic Convention in 1960; attending the presidential inauguration in 1961; Joe Wroten; Millie Jeffries; George McLean; Loyal Democrats of Mississippi; Democratic National Convention of 1968; Curtis Wilkie; Al Gore; Reuben Anderson; Bill Burgin; Charles Clark; Robert F. Kennedy; Hubert Humprhey; Democratic National Convention in 1972; Bill Waller; Jimmy Carter; James O. Eastland; and party unification at the state Democratic Convention in 1976

    Manifestations of the grotesque in Angela Carter's love and wise children

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    Dissertação (mestrado) - Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina, Centro de Comunicação e ExpressãoEsta dissertação tem como objetivo investigar o emprego do grotesco, segundo as teorias de Wolfgang Kayser e Mikhail Bakhtin, em dois romances de Angela Carter: Love (1971) e Wise Children (1991). O primeiro capítulo caracteriza o "grotesco trágico", de acordo com a definição proposta por Wolfgang Kayser, bem como o "grotesco cômico", a partir do estudo de Mikhail Bakhtin. A seguir, analisa-se Love, tendo como foco de análise a trágica perspectiva de vida da protagonista do romance, a partir da descrição detalhada de seu comportamento. Neste capítulo, fica claro que o tipo de grotesco utilizado prioriza o grotesco romântico, ou trágico, assim descrito por Kayser, através da paródia do tema do amor romântico/trágico que está comprometido com o texto autenticamente "Romântico" de Edgar A. Poe. No terceiro capítulo apresenta-se a análise de Wise Children identificando-se o tom cômico empregado pelo narrador com o "grotesco cômico", assim descrito por Bakthin, focalizando-se basicamente em dois aspectos: o riso, e a velhice. A partir daí, sugere-se que houve uma modificação no emprego do grotesco cômico, ou seja, em Carter o uso do grotesco cômico reflete a ambigüidade inerente ao seu tempo, e não mais a certeza de transformação presente na interpretação Bakhtiniana do grotesco. Na conclusão, chama-se atenção para o fato de que uso dos dois tipos de grotesco identificados por Kayser e Bakhtin sofrem modificações, em Carter, que servem para demonstrar as mudancas sofridas pelo emprego contemporâneo do grotesco na narrativa

    [Howard and Carter Wedding Party]

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    Photograph of the wedding party of Kathleen Howard and Joseph D. Carter of Longview, Texas. There are several unidentified family members and guests in the photograph; all known members are listed on the back of the photograph. From left to right, top to bottom, the members pictured are: Top row: Luke Cole, Mrs. Joe Battle, Birdie Fisher, Bo Brown, Garland Smith, Tracy Flanagan, Flo Bramlette, Sadie Spradling, Anita Howard, Mr. and Mrs. J. D. Roach. Second row: Anna Coleman, Mrs. W. F. Wood, Camie F. Gray, Joseph D. Carter, Kathleen Howard, Laura Howard, Mr. McGinnis, Gladys Howard, Mr. and Mrs. Jackson C. Howard (parents of the bride). Bottom row: Agnes Brown, W. C. Hixson, Shep (family dog)
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