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Analisis Determinan Neraca Transaksi Berjalan di Indonesia
Get PDFAbstrak
Neraca transaksi berjalan merupakan salah satu komponen neraca pembayaran yang mencerminkan kesehatan ekonomi suatu negara dalam hubungannya dengan perdagangan internasional. Oleh karena itu, para pembuat kebijakan ekonomi dan analis pasar dapat menggunakan neraca transaksi berjalan sebagai alat penting untuk memahami dinamika ekonomi global dan menentukan arah kebijakan yang tepat guna mencapai keseimbangan ekonomi yang berkelanjutan. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi neraca transaksi berjalan di Indonesia menggunakan data time series triwulanan dari tahun 2007 hingga 2023 serta metode analisis Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) menggunakan perangkat lunak Eviews 12. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa dalam model jangka pendek, variabel ekspor pada tahun berjalan tidak memiliki pengaruh signifikan, sedangkan pada lag 1, lag 2, dan lag 3, variabel ini memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap neraca transaksi berjalan. Variabel cadangan devisa memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap neraca transaksi berjalan, sementara variabel nilai tukar dan inflasi tidak memiliki pengaruh signifikan. Dalam model jangka panjang, variabel ekspor dan nilai tukar tidak memiliki pengaruh signifikan terhadap neraca transaksi berjalan, sedangkan variabel cadangan devisa memiliki pengaruh positif dan signifikan, dan variabel inflasi memiliki pengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap neraca transaksi berjalan.
Kata kunci: Neraca Transaksi Berjalan; Ekspor; Cadangan Devisa; Nilai Tukar; Inflasi
Abstract
The current account balance is one component of the balance of payments that reflects a country\u27s economic health in relation to international trade. Therefore, economic policymakers and market analysts can use the current account balance as a crucial tool to understand global economic dynamics and determine appropriate policies to achieve sustainable economic balance. This study aims to analyze the factors influencing the current account balance in Indonesia using quarterly time series data from 2007 to 2023 and the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) analysis method with the assistance of Eviews 12 software. The results show that in the short-term model, the export variable for the current year does not have a significant impact, whereas at lag 1, lag 2, and lag 3, this variable has a positive and significant effect on the current account balance. The foreign exchange reserves variable has a positive and significant effect on the current account balance, while the exchange rate and inflation variables do not have a significant effect. In the long-term model, the export and exchange rate variables do not have a significant effect on the current account balance, while the foreign exchange reserves variable has a positive and significant effect, and the inflation variable has a negative and significant effect on the current account balance.
Keywords: Current Account Balance; Exports; Foreign Exchange Reserves; Exchange Rate; Inflatio
Going Beyond Counting First Authors in Author Co-citation Analysis
Get PDFThe present study examines one of the fundamental aspects of author co-citation analysis (ACA) - the way co-citation
counts are defined. Co-citation counting provides the data on which all subsequent statistical analyses and mappings
are based, and we compare ACA results based on two different types of co-citation counting - the traditional type that
only counts the first one among a cited work's authors on the one hand and a non-traditional type that takes into
account the first 5 authors of a cited work on the other hand. Results indicate that the picture produced through this non-traditional author co-citation counting contains more coherent author groups and is therefore considerably clearer. However, this picture represents fewer specialties in the research field being studied than that produced through the traditional first-author co-citation counting when the same number of top-ranked authors is selected and analyzed. Reasons for these effects are discussed
Variations on the Author
Get PDF“Variations on the Author” discusses two of Eduardo Coutinho’s recent films (Um Dia na Vida, from 2010, and Últimas Conversas, posthumously released in 2015) and their contribution to the general question of documentary authorship. The director’s filmography is characterized by a consistent yet self-effacing form of authorial self-inscription: Coutinho often features as an interviewer that rather than express opinions propels discourses; an interviewer that is good at listening. This mode of self-inscription characterizes him as an author who is not expressive but who is nonetheless markedly present on the screen. In Um Dia na Vida, however, Coutinho is completely absent form the image, while Últimas Conversas, on the contrary, includes a confessional prologue that moves the director from the margins to the center of his films. This article examines the ways in which these works stand out in the filmography of a director who offers new insights into the notion of cinematic authorship
Appropriate Similarity Measures for Author Cocitation Analysis
Get PDFWe provide a number of new insights into the methodological discussion about author cocitation analysis. We first argue that the use of the Pearson correlation for measuring the similarity between authors’ cocitation profiles is not very satisfactory. We then discuss what kind of similarity measures may be used as an alternative to the Pearson correlation. We consider three similarity measures in particular. One is the well-known cosine. The other two similarity measures have not been used before in the bibliometric literature. Finally, we show by means of an example that our findings have a high practical relevance.information science;Pearson correlation;cosine;similarity measure;author cocitation analysis
Dispelling the Myths Behind First-author Citation Counts
Get PDFWe conducted a full-scale evaluative citation analysis study of scholars in the XML research field to explore just how different from each other author rankings resulting from different citation counting methods actually are, and to demonstrate the capability of emerging data and tools on the Web in supporting more realistic citation counting methods. Our results contest some common arguments for the continued
use of first-author citation counts in the evaluation of scholars, such as high correlations between author rankings by first-author citation counts and other citation
counting methods, and high costs of using more realistic citation counting methods that are not well-supported by the ISI databases. It is argued that increasingly available digital full text research papers make it possible for citation analysis studies to go beyond what the ISI databases have directly supported and to employ more
sophisticated methods
koamabayili/VECTRON-author-checklist: VECTRON author checklist
No full textWe have done our best to complete the author checklist relating to the use of animals in the hut study. Note that the objective for the hut study was to evaluate the IRS treatment applications for residual efficacy against Anopheles mosquitoes, including the local An. coluzzii mosquito population. Cows were only used to attract mosquitoes into the huts and no tests were carried out directly on the cows. The author checklist is intended for use with studies where experiments are carried out on animals, which is why we have had such difficulty in completing this for the hut study, as many of the questions do not relate to how the cows were used
Author-wise bibliometric analysis based on entropy.
No full textAuthor-wise bibliometric analysis based on entropy.</p
Author Under Sail The Imagination of Jack London, 1893-1902
No full textIn Author Under Sail, Jay Williams offers the first complete literary biography of Jack London as a professional writer engaged in the labor of writing. It examines the authorial imagination in London's work, the use of imagination in both his fiction and nonfiction, and the ways he defined imagination in the creative process in his business dealings with his publishers, editors, and agents. In this first volume of a two-volume biography, Williams traverses the years 1893 to 1902, from London's "Story of a Typhoon" to The People of the Abyss. The Jack London who emerges in the pages of Author Under Sail is a writer whose partnership with publishers, most notably his productive alliance with George Brett of Macmillan, was one of the most formative in American literary history. London pioneered many author models during the heyday of realism and naturalism, blurring the boundaries of these popular genres by focusing on absorption and theatricality and the representation of the seen and unseen. London created an impassioned, sincere, and extremely personal realism unlike that of other American writers of the time. Author Under Sail is a literary tour de force that reveals the full range of London as writer, creative citizen, and entrepreneur at the same time it sheds light on the maverick side of machine-age literature.Intro -- Title Page -- Copyright Page -- Dedication -- Contents -- Acknowledgments -- Introduction -- 1. Spirit Truth -- 2. From Absorption to Theatricality and Back Again -- 3. "I Will Build a New Present" -- 4. Sons as Authors -- 5. Fathers as Publishers -- 6. The Daughter as Author -- 7. Lovers as Authors -- 8. At Sea with the Family -- 9. Yellow News, Yellow Stories -- 10. The Return Home -- Notes -- Bibliography -- Index -- About Jay WilliamsIn Author Under Sail, Jay Williams offers the first complete literary biography of Jack London as a professional writer engaged in the labor of writing. It examines the authorial imagination in London's work, the use of imagination in both his fiction and nonfiction, and the ways he defined imagination in the creative process in his business dealings with his publishers, editors, and agents. In this first volume of a two-volume biography, Williams traverses the years 1893 to 1902, from London's "Story of a Typhoon" to The People of the Abyss. The Jack London who emerges in the pages of Author Under Sail is a writer whose partnership with publishers, most notably his productive alliance with George Brett of Macmillan, was one of the most formative in American literary history. London pioneered many author models during the heyday of realism and naturalism, blurring the boundaries of these popular genres by focusing on absorption and theatricality and the representation of the seen and unseen. London created an impassioned, sincere, and extremely personal realism unlike that of other American writers of the time. Author Under Sail is a literary tour de force that reveals the full range of London as writer, creative citizen, and entrepreneur at the same time it sheds light on the maverick side of machine-age literature.Description based on publisher supplied metadata and other sources.Electronic reproduction. Ann Arbor, Michigan : ProQuest Ebook Central, YYYY. Available via World Wide Web. Access may be limited to ProQuest Ebook Central affiliated libraries
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