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    Forecasting Average Daily and Peak Electrical Load Based on Average Monthly Electricity Consumption Data

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    This article is devoted to the determination of the average daily electric load and the average electric load during the hours of maximum load, taking into account the generalized coefficient Ai, using data on electricity consumption for apartment buildings and individual residential buildings in Chelyabinsk and the cities of Dushanbe and Khorog in the Republic of Tajikistan. The results of modeling the average daily electric load, taking into account the developed generalized coefficient Ai, showed that the specific power values for apartments in apartment buildings and in individual residential buildings in the city of Chelyabinsk and the cities of Dushanbe and Khorog of the Republic of Tajikistan were overestimated, taking into account the applicability in the Republic of Tajikistan of the same standard values of specific electric loads (SELs) for apartments in apartment buildings (ABs) as in the Russian Federation. According to the results of modeling using data on the average monthly electricity consumption for 226 apartments in ABs and for individual residential buildings in Chelyabinsk, and according to the proposed approach, the average daily electric load on days during the month varied in the range of 2–3.5 kW/sq and below, while that for the cities of Dushanbe and Khorog of the Republic of Tajikistan varied in the range of 2–5 kW/sq and below, which did not exceed the SEL given by RB 256.1325800.2016. However, because of the lack of other energy sources (gas supply and hot water supply) in the conditions of the Republic of Tajikistan, on the basis of the obtained maximum load time factor and the generalized coefficient Ai(E), the obtained values of actual capacity exceeded the maximum during peak hours by 1.2–2.5 times the SEL given by RB 256.1325800.2016. To increase the durability and serviceability of power supplies and enhance the effectiveness of forecasting, the authors propose an approach based on the clustering of meteorological conditions, where each cluster has its own regression model. The decrease in mean absolute error due to clustering was 0.52 MW (57%). The use of meteorological conditions allowed the forecast error to be reduced by 0.22 MW (27%). High accuracy in electrical consumption forecasting leads to increased quality of power system management in general, including under such key indicators as reliability and serviceability

    Going Beyond Counting First Authors in Author Co-citation Analysis

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    The present study examines one of the fundamental aspects of author co-citation analysis (ACA) - the way co-citation counts are defined. Co-citation counting provides the data on which all subsequent statistical analyses and mappings are based, and we compare ACA results based on two different types of co-citation counting - the traditional type that only counts the first one among a cited work's authors on the one hand and a non-traditional type that takes into account the first 5 authors of a cited work on the other hand. Results indicate that the picture produced through this non-traditional author co-citation counting contains more coherent author groups and is therefore considerably clearer. However, this picture represents fewer specialties in the research field being studied than that produced through the traditional first-author co-citation counting when the same number of top-ranked authors is selected and analyzed. Reasons for these effects are discussed

    Variations on the Author

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    “Variations on the Author” discusses two of Eduardo Coutinho’s recent films (Um Dia na Vida, from 2010, and Últimas Conversas, posthumously released in 2015) and their contribution to the general question of documentary authorship. The director’s filmography is characterized by a consistent yet self-effacing form of authorial self-inscription: Coutinho often features as an interviewer that rather than express opinions propels discourses; an interviewer that is good at listening. This mode of self-inscription characterizes him as an author who is not expressive but who is nonetheless markedly present on the screen. In Um Dia na Vida, however, Coutinho is completely absent form the image, while Últimas Conversas, on the contrary, includes a confessional prologue that moves the director from the margins to the center of his films. This article examines the ways in which these works stand out in the filmography of a director who offers new insights into the notion of cinematic authorship

    Appropriate Similarity Measures for Author Cocitation Analysis

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    We provide a number of new insights into the methodological discussion about author cocitation analysis. We first argue that the use of the Pearson correlation for measuring the similarity between authors’ cocitation profiles is not very satisfactory. We then discuss what kind of similarity measures may be used as an alternative to the Pearson correlation. We consider three similarity measures in particular. One is the well-known cosine. The other two similarity measures have not been used before in the bibliometric literature. Finally, we show by means of an example that our findings have a high practical relevance.information science;Pearson correlation;cosine;similarity measure;author cocitation analysis

    Dispelling the Myths Behind First-author Citation Counts

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    We conducted a full-scale evaluative citation analysis study of scholars in the XML research field to explore just how different from each other author rankings resulting from different citation counting methods actually are, and to demonstrate the capability of emerging data and tools on the Web in supporting more realistic citation counting methods. Our results contest some common arguments for the continued use of first-author citation counts in the evaluation of scholars, such as high correlations between author rankings by first-author citation counts and other citation counting methods, and high costs of using more realistic citation counting methods that are not well-supported by the ISI databases. It is argued that increasingly available digital full text research papers make it possible for citation analysis studies to go beyond what the ISI databases have directly supported and to employ more sophisticated methods

    Author Index

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    Enhancing reliability of electricity supply of city electric networks cities of Dushanbe

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    The article is devoted to the actual problem of how to improve the reliability of the urban electric network. Based on the statistical analysis of the breakdown of electrical equipment in urban distribution networks in Dushanbe for the periods of 2017-2018 and for the reasons of damage leading to these emergency outages, the factors that affect the distribution of damage leading to emergency outages are identified. Taking into account the identified factors, a power consumption forecasting system is proposed that takes into account the local conditions of the city of Dushanbe. it allows us to suggest a way to control the operating parameters of the electric network, thereby increasing the reliability of the city's electric network in Dushanbe based on the recommendation of power consumption standards. Implementation of the control of the proposed method for improving the reliability of power supply to the urban electric network is proposed on the basis of the functionality of modern smart electricity metering using the control algorithm. To implement the control algorithm, schematic design for receiving and transmitting information from smart power metering to the data collection centre is proposed

    koamabayili/VECTRON-author-checklist: VECTRON author checklist

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    We have done our best to complete the author checklist relating to the use of animals in the hut study. Note that the objective for the hut study was to evaluate the IRS treatment applications for residual efficacy against Anopheles mosquitoes, including the local An. coluzzii mosquito population. Cows were only used to attract mosquitoes into the huts and no tests were carried out directly on the cows. The author checklist is intended for use with studies where experiments are carried out on animals, which is why we have had such difficulty in completing this for the hut study, as many of the questions do not relate to how the cows were used
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