1,721,085 research outputs found
Going Beyond Counting First Authors in Author Co-citation Analysis
Full text linkThe present study examines one of the fundamental aspects of author co-citation analysis (ACA) - the way co-citation
counts are defined. Co-citation counting provides the data on which all subsequent statistical analyses and mappings
are based, and we compare ACA results based on two different types of co-citation counting - the traditional type that
only counts the first one among a cited work's authors on the one hand and a non-traditional type that takes into
account the first 5 authors of a cited work on the other hand. Results indicate that the picture produced through this non-traditional author co-citation counting contains more coherent author groups and is therefore considerably clearer. However, this picture represents fewer specialties in the research field being studied than that produced through the traditional first-author co-citation counting when the same number of top-ranked authors is selected and analyzed. Reasons for these effects are discussed
Variations on the Author
Full text link“Variations on the Author” discusses two of Eduardo Coutinho’s recent films (Um Dia na Vida, from 2010, and Últimas Conversas, posthumously released in 2015) and their contribution to the general question of documentary authorship. The director’s filmography is characterized by a consistent yet self-effacing form of authorial self-inscription: Coutinho often features as an interviewer that rather than express opinions propels discourses; an interviewer that is good at listening. This mode of self-inscription characterizes him as an author who is not expressive but who is nonetheless markedly present on the screen. In Um Dia na Vida, however, Coutinho is completely absent form the image, while Últimas Conversas, on the contrary, includes a confessional prologue that moves the director from the margins to the center of his films. This article examines the ways in which these works stand out in the filmography of a director who offers new insights into the notion of cinematic authorship
Appropriate Similarity Measures for Author Cocitation Analysis
Full text linkWe provide a number of new insights into the methodological discussion about author cocitation analysis. We first argue that the use of the Pearson correlation for measuring the similarity between authors’ cocitation profiles is not very satisfactory. We then discuss what kind of similarity measures may be used as an alternative to the Pearson correlation. We consider three similarity measures in particular. One is the well-known cosine. The other two similarity measures have not been used before in the bibliometric literature. Finally, we show by means of an example that our findings have a high practical relevance.information science;Pearson correlation;cosine;similarity measure;author cocitation analysis
The influence of the Indian and Atlantic Oceans on wet and dry spells over southern Tanzania
No full textIncludes bibliographical references (leaves 94-104).Rainfall over Tanzania is highly variable. In recent decades the country has been devastated by floods and droughts. The Tanzanian population relies heavily on seasonal rainfall. Over the northern part of the country, the rainy season occurs in two phases, the short rains (October-December) and the long rains (March - May). Over the southern and the western areas, the rainy season occurs during November - May. This study aims at identifying factors that may playa role in the rainfall variability over the southern region of Tanzania. This study indicates that over the Indian Ocean, the sea surface temperatures (SSTs) over the northeast of Madagascar have a strong relationship with the rainfall in southern Tanzania during the OND rainfall, while the SSTs over the southeast Atlantic have a strong relationship during the JFM rainfall. It has also been revealed that the El Niño/ Southern Oscillation (ENSO) have influence on rainfall variability over the region. The warm/cold ENSO events would impact both a wet or dry year. Such contradiction has imposed a challenge to the forecasters of seasonal rainfall over southern Tanzania
Numerical modelling of Tropical Cyclone Dineo and its rainfall impacts over north-eastern South Africa
Full text linkWidespread flooding over parts of Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Malawi, Botswana as well as north-eastern South Africa was experienced in February 2017. The flooding was associated with Tropical Cyclone Dineo that was generated in the Mozambique Channel on 12 February 2017 and made landfall over the south-central coast of Mozambique on 15 February. This study investigates the atmospheric circulation and potential mechanisms responsible for the heavy rainfall that occurred during the passage of ex-Tropical Cyclone Dineo inland from the Mozambican coast with focus on the rainfall patterns over north-eastern South Africa. Output from the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, the Climate Forecast System Reanalyses version 2 (CFSv2) atmospheric reanalysis, satellite derived rainfall and wind data, and station rainfall data are used for this purpose. Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) rainfall estimates, WRF model rainfall and rainfall station data indicated that many parts of north-eastern South Africa experienced large amounts of rainfall during the final stages of Dineo (16-17 February 2017) while Mozambique experienced heavy rainfall soon after the cyclone made landfall. An inland trough ahead of Dineo led to substantial rainfall at this time over Malawi and Botswana. Furthermore, analysis of the station data revealed that in north-eastern South Africa some stations recorded about 80 % of their total monthly rainfall from this event. The WRF model run indicated low level monsoonal north-easterly moisture fluxes feeding into Dineo in the Mozambique Channel. Subsequent convergence over south-eastern Africa between this flow and the south-easterly cyclonic flux associated with Dineo led to substantial rainfall over Mozambique, Zimbabwe, Botswana and north-eastern South Africa. Although the 2016/17 tropical cyclone season recorded below average numbers of storms, it is suggested that the conditions prior to the storm iv formation were favourable for the track of Tropical Cyclone Dineo and landfall on the southcentral Mozambican coast
Numerical modelling of the Angola Low and the Botswana High during a neutral and two El Ni˜no summers
No full textThe Angola Low and Botswana High pressure systems are thought to play a crucial role in the variability of summer rainfall over southern Africa. However, very little is known about their variability during the summer half of the year and how their influence on rainfall patterns during ENSO and non-ENSO summers may vary. In simple terms, a weaker Angola Low is expected to lead to decreased rainfall as is a stronger Botswana High. This study looks at the monthly evolution of the Angola Low and the Botswana High during the neutral summer of 2012/13 and the two strong El Ni˜no summers of 1997/98 and 2015/16 using the WRF model. CFSR and CFSv2 reanalyses, satellite derived winds, GPCC rainfall and TRMM satellite-derived rainfall estimates are used to validate the model. The model was integrated from September through to April for each run with observed sea surface temperature and reanalyses as boundary conditions. During the neutral summer of 2012/13, the Angola Low became clearly evident in the model during the pentad of 6-10 October whereas during the 1997/98 and 2015/16 El Ni˜no summers, it became evident during the pentads of 6-10 November and 16-20 November respectively. In addition to these differences in onset, there were also differences in the date after which the Low was no longer present in the model fields. These dates were 26-28 February 2013 and 26-31 March 1998 while in the 2015/16 case, the Low remained present throughout the whole of March. In each year, the Botswana High was present throughout the entire summer half of the year. The WRF simulation indicated that during the strong El Ni˜no event of 1997/98, the Angola Low did not weaken whereas the Botswana High was weaker than normal. However, during the strong El Ni˜no event of 2015/16, the Angola Low was weaker and the Botswana High was relatively strong. The strengthening of the Angola Low and the weakening of the Botswana High during the strong 1997/98 El Ni˜no led to substantial rainfall over southern Africa. The near to above average rainfall over subtropical southern Africa during 1997/98 was unexpected given the strength of the El Ni˜no and the SST anomalies in the Indian and Pacific Oceans. The weaker Angola Low and stronger Botswana High during the strong 2015/16 El Ni˜no led to severe drought over the region. The study highlights the importance of modulations in the Angola Low and the Botswana High for rainfall anomalies during ENSO and non-ENSO summers as very different rainfall patterns may occur over southern Africa during similar strength ENSO events. The significance of these regional circulation systems is reinforced by the fact that during the 2012/13 neutral summer, the Angola Low was stronger than average and the Botswana High was relatively weak leading to good rainfall. The relationship between the Angola Low, the Botswana High and southern Africa rainfall is found to be relatively strong through the 1979-2017 period. Thus, monitoring and better understanding these regional circulation systems is important and complements ongoing efforts to monitor and predict ENSO
An analysis of rainy season characteristics over the Limpopo region
No full textIncludes bibliographical references (leaves 112-126).This thesis investigates characteristics of the summer rainy season over the Limpopo region that are important to the agricultural sector and other user groups. The Limpopo region supports a large rural population dependent on rain-fed agriculture as well as significant biodiversity, particularly in the Kruger National/Limpopo Transfrontier Park and is vulnerable to severe flood and drought events. REcently, the region has been impacted by severe drought (2002-2004) and flooding in late summer 2000. The rainy season characterisitcs investigated are the frequency of wet and dry spells during the rainy season and the onset date of the season
Numerical simulation of a mesoscale convective system over the east coast of South Africa
No full textIncludes bibliographical references (leaves 189-200).Weather stations across the northern KwaZulu-Natal coastline recorded over 100 mm of rainfall over the 11112 February 2005, with Cape St. Lucia and Richards Bay measuring 111 mm and 96.8 mm, respectively. This heavy rainfall was associated with a mesoscale convective system (MCS) that initiated through small convective storms beginning early in the afternoon on 11 February 2005 and eventually decayed in the early morning hours on the 12th. The high-lying topography of the eastern escarpment and high diurnal surface heating possibly provided the trigger for the event. It was also identified that a combination of synoptic features in and around South Africa contributed to the evolution of the system. This particular MCS is investigated with a non-hydrostatic numerical model (MM5) to help determine which processes were important in its initiation and development, as well as what factors contributed to the associated heavy rainfall. The model is also used to conduct sensitivity tests to determine the role that local features, such as the regional topography and sea surface temperature, played in the evolution of the system. Through the various MM5 simulations, it was evident that the eastern escarpment played a key role in triggering the convective event, while it also had an influence on the low level winds that advected moisture into the region. A sea surface temperature sensitivity simulation highlighted the important role that the Agulhas Current plays in supplying moisture to fuel extreme precipitation events in South Africa. The significance of resolving large-scale features in the mid-latitudes in numerical simulations of weather events in South Africa was identified when excluding these features from the simulation. Through these simulations it was identified that the development of the MCS and the heavy nocturnal precipitation was due to a combination of the continuous moisture supply into the region, a conditionally unstable atmosphere, and uplift due to low level convergence and the local topography
Cut-off low pressure systems and extreme rainfall over South Africa
No full textIncludes bibliographical references (p. 257-271).This thesis is an investigation of cut-off low pressure systems over South Africa. These weather systems have been responsible for many of the flooding disasters that have affected South Africa, particularly the coastal regions, over recent decades. The thesis has two main objectives, namely, to construct a 30-year climatology of cut-off lows over South Africa, and to further understanding of the evolution of the low-level flow that leads to these systems producing extreme quantities of rainfall
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