1,721,044 research outputs found

    Bias-optimal vol-of-vol estimation: the role of window overlapping

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    The simplest and most natural vol-of-vol estimator, the pre-estimated spot variance-based realized variance, is typically plagued by a large finite-sample bias. In this paper, we analytically show that allowing for the overlap of consecutive local windows to pre-estimate the spot variance may correct for this bias. In particular, we provide a feasible rule for the bias-optimal selection of the length of local windows when the volatility is a CKLS process. The effectiveness of this rule for practical applications is supported by numerical and empirical analyses

    Box-constrained multiobjective optimization: a gradient-like method without "a priori" scalarization

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    The aim of this paper is the development of an algorithm to find the critical points of a box-constrained multi-objective optimization problem. The proposed algorithm is an interior point method based on suitable directions that play the role of gradient-like directions for the vector objective function. The method does not rely on an ‘‘a priori’’ scalarization and is based on a dynamic system defined by a vector field of descent directions in the considered box. The key tool to define the mentioned vector field is the notion of vector pseudogradient. We prove that the limit points of the solutions of the system satisfy the Karush–Kuhn–Tucker (KKT) first order necessary condition for the box-constrained multi-objective optimization problem. These results allow us to develop an algorithm to solve box-constrained multi-objective optimization problems. Finally, we consider some test problems where we apply the proposed computational method. The numerical experience shows that the algorithm generates an approximation of the local optimal Pareto front representative of all parts of optimal front

    A tail-revisited Markowitz mean-variance approach and a portfolio network centrality

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    A measure for portfolio risk management is proposed by extending the Markowitz mean-variance approach to include the left-hand tail effects of asset returns. Two risk dimensions are captured: asset covariance risk along risk in left-hand tail similarity and volatility. The key ingredient is an informative set on the left-hand tail distributions of asset returns obtained by an adaptive clustering procedure. This set allows a left tail similarity and left tail volatility to be defined, thereby providing a definition for the left-tail-covariance-like matrix. The convex combination of the two covariance matrices generates a “two-dimensional” risk that, when applied to portfolio selection, provides a measure of its systemic vulnerability due to the asset centrality. This is done by simply associating a suitable node-weighted network with the portfolio. Higher values of this risk indicate an asset allocation suffering from too much exposure to volatile assets whose return dynamics behave too similarly in left-hand tail distributions and/or co-movements, as well as being too connected to each other. Minimizing these combined risks reduces losses and increases profits, with a low variability in the profit and loss distribution. The portfolio selection compares favorably with some competing approaches. An empirical analysis is made using exchange traded fund prices over the period January 2006–February 2018
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